Core Viewpoint - Longking Environmental experienced a stock price decline of 2.13% on September 16, with a current price of 13.80 CNY per share and a total market capitalization of 17.527 billion CNY [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Longking Environmental's stock price has increased by 11.56% year-to-date, with an 8.41% rise over the last five trading days, 11.02% over the last 20 days, and 17.95% over the last 60 days [2] - As of June 30, 2025, the number of shareholders is 44,300, a decrease of 0.52% from the previous period, with an average of 28,642 circulating shares per shareholder, an increase of 0.53% [2] Group 2: Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Longking Environmental reported a revenue of 4.683 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 0.24%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 445 million CNY, up 3.27% year-on-year [2] - The company has distributed a total of 3.184 billion CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 763 million CNY distributed over the last three years [3] Group 3: Business Overview - Longking Environmental, established on February 23, 1998, and listed on December 29, 2000, is primarily engaged in dust removal, desulfurization, denitrification, material transportation, desulfurization operation, and power plant engineering contracting [2] - The revenue composition of Longking Environmental includes 64.93% from environmental equipment manufacturing, 24.59% from new energy business, 7.34% from project operation income, 2.27% from other sources, and 0.87% from soil remediation [2] - The company operates within the environmental protection industry, specifically in the environmental equipment sector, and is involved in concepts such as ecological forestry, energy storage, hydrogen energy, wind energy, and offshore wind power [2] Group 4: Shareholder Information - As of June 30, 2025, the fifth largest circulating shareholder is Guangfa Multi-Factor Mixed Fund, holding 40.228 million shares, unchanged from the previous period, while the tenth largest shareholder is the Southern CSI 1000 ETF, which is a new entrant with 9.3869 million shares [3] - Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited has exited the list of the top ten circulating shareholders [3]

Core Viewpoint - Longjing Environmental Protection (龙净环保) is actively pursuing its "environmental protection + new energy" dual-driven strategy by investing in significant projects both domestically and internationally, with a total investment exceeding 5.2 billion yuan in a single day [2][5]. Group 1: Project Developments - The company announced the acquisition of 80% of GML in the Democratic Republic of Congo, securing the development rights for the 140MW Kalan Geng Hydropower Station, with a total investment of approximately 3.99 billion USD (about 28.43 billion yuan) [3][4]. - Additionally, the company plans to invest in the Mami Cuo Integrated Energy Station project, with a total investment of around 2.39 billion yuan, which includes a combination of solar, energy storage, and thermal power generation [5][6]. Group 2: Financial Performance - Longjing Environmental Protection has maintained over 10 billion yuan in annual revenue for six consecutive years, with a reported revenue of 10.02 billion yuan in 2024, a decrease of 8.69% year-on-year, while net profit increased by 63.15% to 830 million yuan [7][8]. - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 4.68 billion yuan, a slight increase of 0.24% year-on-year, and a net profit of 445 million yuan, up 3.27% [7][8]. Group 3: Market Position and Strategy - The company holds a robust position in the environmental protection industry, with a total of 19.97 billion yuan in contracts on hand as of mid-2025, solidifying its status as an industry leader [8]. - Longjing Environmental Protection emphasizes technological innovation and has increased its R&D expenditure to 219 million yuan in the first half of 2025, reflecting a 4.7% year-on-year growth [8].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [7] Core Views - The company announced the investment in the Ma Mi Cuo integrated energy station project and the Congo (Kinshasa) Kalan Geng hydropower station project, with expected operational contributions starting from Q2 2026 [2][4] - The Ma Mi Cuo project is projected to generate an annual net profit of 130 million yuan, while the Congo project is expected to yield 358 million yuan annually, indicating a strong growth potential for the company [2][4] - The green electricity logic of the company continues to be validated, and the long-term development outlook remains positive [2] Summary by Sections Project Announcements - On September 12, 2025, the company announced the investment in the Ma Mi Cuo energy station and the Congo hydropower station projects [4] - The Ma Mi Cuo project is expected to be operational by Q2 2026, with a projected electricity price of 0.7 yuan/KWh (including tax) and an estimated annual net profit of 130 million yuan [2][4] - The Congo project is anticipated to be operational by 2029, with a supply electricity price of approximately 0.16 USD/KWh (excluding tax) and an estimated annual net profit of 358 million yuan [2][4] Financial Projections - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 1.103 billion yuan in 2025, 1.402 billion yuan in 2026, and 1.701 billion yuan in 2027, representing year-on-year growth rates of 32.8%, 27.1%, and 21.4% respectively [2] - The projected PE ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 15.1x, 11.9x, and 9.8x respectively, indicating a favorable valuation outlook [2] Operational Insights - The company has successfully operated the first phase of the La Guo Cuo project at full capacity and has seen stable operations in various overseas projects [2] - The green electricity projects are expected to contribute significantly to the company's profits, with a projected profit elasticity of 59% compared to the company's 2024 net profit [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for Longking Environmental [2] Core Views - The report highlights the high profitability potential of the Congo (DRC) hydropower projects, specifically the Kailangeng hydropower station and the Mami Cuo energy station [5] - The company is expected to see significant growth in net profit from 2025 to 2027, with projected net profits of 11.64 billion, 14.25 billion, and 16.66 billion respectively, corresponding to PE ratios of 14.33x, 11.70x, and 10.01x [5] Financial Forecast Summary - **Revenue Forecast**: - 2024A: 10,019.42 million - 2025E: 11,807.95 million (17.85% growth) - 2026E: 13,221.30 million (11.97% growth) - 2027E: 14,701.36 million (11.19% growth) [6] - **Net Profit Forecast**: - 2024A: 830.40 million - 2025E: 1,163.96 million (40.17% growth) - 2026E: 1,425.03 million (22.43% growth) - 2027E: 1,666.14 million (16.92% growth) [6] - **Gross Margin**: - Expected to remain stable around 25% from 2024 to 2027, with slight increases [6] - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: - 2024A: 0.65 - 2025E: 0.92 - 2026E: 1.12 - 2027E: 1.31 [6] - **Price-to-Earnings (PE) Ratio**: - 2024A: 20.08 - 2025E: 14.33 - 2026E: 11.70 - 2027E: 10.01 [6] Project Highlights - **Kailangeng Hydropower Project**: - Investment of approximately 3.99 billion USD (28.42 billion RMB) - Expected annual generation of 714 million kWh with a high utilization rate of 5,100 hours [5] - Power purchase agreements ensure 90% of electricity is sold to Zijin Mining at a competitive rate of approximately 0.16 USD/kWh [5] - **Mami Cuo Energy Station**: - Expected to begin operations in Q2 2026 with a competitive settlement price of 0.7 RMB/kWh - The project aims to support lithium-boron mining operations in a remote area [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for Longking Environmental [2] Core Views - The report highlights the high profitability of the Congo (DRC) hydropower projects, specifically the Kailangeng hydropower station and the Mami Cuo energy station, which are expected to significantly contribute to the company's profits [5][6] - The company is positioned to benefit from its strategic investments in clean energy and environmental protection, with a strong pipeline of projects and contracts [5][6] Financial Forecast Summary - **Revenue Forecast**: Projected revenues for 2024A, 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E are 10,019.42 million, 11,807.95 million, 13,221.30 million, and 14,701.36 million respectively, with a revenue growth rate of -8.69% in 2024, followed by 17.85%, 11.97%, and 11.19% in the subsequent years [6] - **Net Profit Forecast**: Expected net profits for the same years are 830.40 million, 1,163.96 million, 1,425.03 million, and 1,666.14 million, with profit growth rates of 63.15%, 40.17%, 22.43%, and 16.92% respectively [6] - **Key Ratios**: The projected PE ratios for 2024A, 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E are 20.08, 14.33, 11.70, and 10.01 respectively, indicating a decreasing trend in valuation multiples as earnings grow [6][7] Project Highlights - **Kailangeng Hydropower Project**: The project has a total investment of approximately 3.99 billion USD, with an expected annual generation of 714 million kWh and a high utilization rate of 5,100 hours per year. The electricity price for mining operations is around 0.16 USD/kWh [5] - **Mami Cuo Energy Station**: This project is expected to have a competitive electricity settlement price of 0.7 RMB/kWh and is projected to generate an average annual output of 761 million kWh [5] Strategic Positioning - The company is focusing on a dual strategy of environmental protection and new energy, with significant contracts in hand and a strong market position in the environmental sector [5][6] - The integration of energy production, storage, and consumption in remote areas is expected to enhance the stability and profitability of the company's projects [5]

Group 1 - The environmental equipment sector increased by 0.58% on September 15, with Longjing Environmental leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3860.5, down 0.26%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13005.77, up 0.63% [1] - Longjing Environmental's stock price rose by 7.39% to 14.10, with a trading volume of 506,900 shares and a transaction value of 709 million yuan [1] Group 2 - The environmental equipment sector experienced a net outflow of 113 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 64.21 million yuan [2] - The top gainers in the environmental equipment sector included Longjing Environmental and Juguang Technology, with respective increases of 7.39% and 2.64% [1][2] - The overall trading activity in the sector showed mixed results, with some stocks like Hengying Environmental and Qinda Huibao experiencing declines of 2.76% and 2.21% respectively [2] Group 3 - The net inflow from retail investors in Juguang Technology was 2.6 million yuan, while institutional investors had a net outflow of 25.96 million yuan [3] - The data indicates that while some stocks attracted retail interest, others faced significant selling pressure from institutional investors [3] - The overall sentiment in the environmental equipment sector appears cautious, with varying performances among individual stocks [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the utility industry [1] Core Insights - The first mechanism electricity price bidding results for renewable energy in Shandong have been released, indicating a significant market-oriented shift in policy [3][17] - Wind power mechanism electricity price is set at 319 CNY/MWh, which is a 20% premium over the 2024 average spot trading price, while solar power is at 225 CNY/MWh, a 33% premium [3][24] - The report emphasizes the importance of management and operational capabilities for renewable energy operators in a market-driven environment [4][30] Summary by Sections Electricity Sector - The Shandong province has become the first to implement a market-oriented mechanism for renewable energy pricing, with significant participation from over 3000 projects [18][21] - The mechanism electricity volume for wind power is 59.67 billion kWh, while for solar power it is only 12.48 billion kWh, reflecting a stronger policy support for wind energy [3][23] - The report suggests that the future of solar power installations in Shandong may see reduced investment enthusiasm due to current pricing pressures and non-technical cost reductions [4][29] Grid Sector - New pricing mechanisms for nearby consumption of green electricity have been established, which will protect grid interests and promote cost reductions for users [6][35] - The system operation costs will be charged based on the electricity delivered, allowing for potential savings in electricity costs for high-load enterprises [7][37] - The report highlights that the new pricing structure will benefit wind power and energy storage development, making them key components in the green electricity landscape [8][42] Renewable Energy Assets - The report discusses the acceleration of Real World Assets (RWA) in the distributed solar sector, with significant investments from companies like JinkoSolar and GCL-Poly [10][44] - The RWA framework is expected to enhance liquidity and value reassessment of quality distributed solar assets, benefiting original equity holders [11][47] - The collaboration between LinYuan Energy and Ant Group aims to digitize energy assets, further supporting the RWA initiative [12][48] Green Methanol - A major project for green methanol production has been announced by Goldwind, with a total investment of approximately 18.92 billion CNY, aiming to produce 600,000 tons of green methanol annually [13][49] - The report anticipates a surge in demand for green methanol as multiple projects are set to commence production in the coming years [13][49] - Key suppliers and equipment manufacturers in the green methanol sector are expected to see performance improvements as the market expands [13][49]

Core Viewpoint - The company is advancing its green energy business through significant investments in hydroelectric and integrated energy storage projects in Congo and Tibet, which are expected to enhance profitability and operational efficiency [1][2][3]. Investment Highlights - The company’s subsidiary, Zijin Longjin, has acquired an 80% stake in GML in Congo, securing the development rights for a 140MW hydroelectric project with a total investment of approximately $399 million [2]. - The company plans to invest in the Mali Cuo integrated energy storage project in Tibet, with a total investment of about 2.391 billion yuan [2]. Project Details - The Congo hydroelectric project will operate under a BOT model for 30 years, with a construction period of 3.5 years, and is expected to generate 714 million kWh annually, with 90% of the electricity supplied to Zijin Mining at a price of $0.16 per kWh [3]. - The Mali Cuo project will provide power for lithium-boron mining operations, utilizing a BOO model, and is expected to be operational by Q2 2026, with a competitive electricity price of 0.7 yuan per kWh [4]. Business Performance - The green energy segment is contributing positively to the company's performance, with ongoing projects and stable operations in the Lagocuo phase one [4]. - The company has secured a substantial order backlog in the environmental sector, with new contracts worth 5.37 billion yuan and a total of 19.971 billion yuan in hand [4].

Summary of Longking Environmental Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Longking Environmental - **Industry**: Environmental Protection and Renewable Energy Key Points and Arguments Financial Performance and Projections - **2024 Performance**: Expected revenue of 830 million CNY, with projections of 1.1 billion CNY in 2025 and 1.4 billion CNY in 2026, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 30% [2][6][22] - **Valuation**: Target valuation could reach 21 billion CNY by 2026 based on a 15x growth perspective [6] - **Q2 Growth**: Company reported a 12 percentage point growth in Q2, indicating a positive trend in financial performance [3][16] Green Energy Projects - **Key Projects**: - **Mami Cuo Photovoltaic Project**: Expected to contribute approximately 130 million CNY in net profit by 2026, with potential profits exceeding 180 million CNY if sold entirely to Zijin Mining [11] - **Democratic Republic of Congo Hydropower Project**: Anticipated to generate around 350 million CNY annually after its operation begins in 2029 [13] - **Overall Contribution**: Green energy projects are projected to add about 500 million CNY to the company's revenue, representing a 60% increase compared to the 2024 revenue [4] Market Position and Business Segments - **Market Share**: - Close to 20% market share in the power industry and approximately 50% in dust removal [5] - **Non-Electric Sector**: The company is leading technological advancements in the non-electric sector, with annual new orders around 10 billion CNY, 60% of which come from this sector [8] - **Waste Management**: The hazardous waste business is expected to improve marginally through a management operation model initiated on July 1 [9] Strategic Partnerships and Industry Trends - **Zijin Mining Collaboration**: The transition of Zijin Mining towards green mining increases the demand for Longking's high-quality green energy projects, enhancing profitability [7][15] - **Technological Advancements**: The company is setting ultra-low emission standards in the steel industry, aligning with power industry standards, which opens up new market opportunities [8] Future Outlook - **2025 Goals**: The company aims for a revenue target of 1.1 billion CNY, with significant contributions from air pollution control and waste incineration [18] - **Storage Business**: Expected to turn profitable in 2025, with projected earnings of 20-30 million CNY, marking a significant turnaround from previous losses [20] - **Long-term Growth**: The company is positioned for sustained growth with ongoing green energy projects, ensuring no issues with energy wastage [23] Risks and Challenges - **Debt and Goodwill**: The company maintains a low debt ratio of 15%, with minimal goodwill impairment risk, indicating a stable financial position [3][17] Additional Important Information - **New Projects**: Upcoming projects include wind and solar initiatives in Inner Mongolia and Heilongjiang, which are expected to further boost performance [14][19] - **Overall Market Conditions**: The company is well-positioned to capitalize on the increasing demand for clean energy and environmental solutions, making it a recommended investment target [23]

Core Viewpoint - Longjing Environmental Protection announced the investment in the integrated energy station project, indicating a strategic move towards renewable energy and storage solutions [2] Group 1: Project Details - The project involves the construction of the Mami Cuo source network load storage integrated energy station [2] - The total scale of the project includes 420MWp photovoltaic capacity, 412.5MW/1650MWh electrochemical energy storage, and 30MW of biomass power generation [2] - The total investment for the project is approximately 2.391 billion yuan, which will be funded by the company [2]