我国零售行业经历了传统零售、电商、新零售的发展过程，即时零售极大缩短履约时间、丰富消费者选 择。近年来我国即时零售规模迅速扩大，2025年外卖大战边际催化，行业有望在未来几年维持双位数增 长。具体到酒水领域，酒类即时零售最早发源于1919、酒小二等垂类平台，2015年前后加速，形成垂 类、平台型、仓店一体型、前置仓型4类渠道模式；与此同时酒企加大布局与合作，酒类即时零售渗透 率显著提升。 酒类即时零售的兴起主要有三方面原因 智通财经APP获悉，国泰海通发布研报称，近年来我国即时零售规模迅速扩大，2025年外卖大战边际催 化，行业有望在未来几年维持双位数增长。回顾历史，白酒周期更替通常伴随渠道变革，当前行业深度 调整，较弱的价格和动销、较高的库存冲击线下传统渠道利润和现金流，而线上渠道仍较为景气，拥抱 即时零售不失为一种应变方式。据美团闪购测算2027年我国酒类即时零售市场规模有望达1000亿元、复 合增速有望接近中双位数，白酒、啤酒等核心品类有望受益。 国泰海通主要观点如下： 即时零售：大盘景气，酒类积极参与 一是消费习惯改变，消费者愈发追求便捷，且临时需求激发后希望快速得到满足。二是契合性价比需 求，压缩流 ...

Core Viewpoint - Xinhua Jin (600735.SH) is facing significant financial challenges, including a large amount of non-operating fund occupation by its controlling shareholder, Xinhua Jin Group, totaling 406 million yuan [2][3]. Financial Situation - As of the latest report, Xinhua Jin's revenue for 2024 was 1.637 billion yuan, a decrease of 30.97% year-on-year, with a net profit of -134 million yuan, down 354.59% [7]. - In the first half of 2025, the company reported revenue of 669 million yuan, a decline of 24.92% year-on-year, and a net profit of 12.87 million yuan, down 39.45% [7]. Fund Occupation and Regulatory Actions - Xinhua Jin Group and its affiliates have not returned the occupied funds, leading to regulatory scrutiny and potential administrative measures, including stock suspension and delisting warnings if the funds are not recovered within six months [3][4]. - The company is actively pursuing the recovery of these funds and is urging Xinhua Jin Group to expedite the disposal of other assets to raise the necessary capital [4]. Shareholder Actions and Agreements - Qingdao Beer announced a share transfer agreement with Xinhua Jin Group and Lu Jin Group for 100% equity of Jimo Yellow Wine, with a total consideration of 665 million yuan [2][6]. - However, four months after the announcement, there has been no update on the progress of the share transfer [2][6]. Business Operations - Xinhua Jin's business primarily focuses on "new trade and new materials," including the export of hair products and textiles, as well as graphite processing [7]. - The company has faced challenges in its operations, particularly in the second-hand car segment, which was divested in late 2024, impacting revenue [7].

Core Viewpoint - Xinhua Jin (600735.SH) is facing significant financial challenges, including a non-operational fund occupation of 406 million yuan by its controlling shareholder, Xinhua Jin Group, which has not been repaid as of the announcement date [1][3][4]. Group 1: Financial Situation - As of the latest report, Xinhua Jin's non-operational fund occupation stands at 406 million yuan [1][3]. - In 2024, Xinhua Jin reported a revenue of 1.637 billion yuan, a decrease of 30.97% year-on-year, and a net loss of 134 million yuan, a decline of 354.59% [10]. - For the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 669 million yuan, down 24.92% year-on-year, with a net profit of 12.87 million yuan, a decrease of 39.45% [10]. Group 2: Regulatory Actions - The regulatory authority has mandated Xinhua Jin to rectify the fund occupation issue within six months, failing which the company's stock may face suspension and potential delisting [2][4]. - The company has been instructed to actively recover the occupied funds to protect the interests of the listed company and minority shareholders [3][4]. Group 3: Shareholder Actions and Agreements - Xinhua Jin Group is in the process of transferring 100% equity of Jimo Yellow Wine to Qingdao Beer for a total consideration of 665 million yuan, but no progress has been reported in the last four months [5][8]. - The Jimo Yellow Wine company, under Xinhua Jin Group, reported a revenue of 166 million yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 13.5% [6].

Investment Rating - The industry rating is maintained as "Outperform the Market" [7] Core Viewpoints - The pre-prepared food concept is driving short-term performance in the catering supply sector, with a focus on the upcoming double festival catalysis [5][16] - The overall food and beverage sector experienced a decline of 2.53% from September 15 to September 19, with specific segments like pre-processed foods and soft drinks showing positive performance [23][26] Summary by Sections Market Performance Review - From September 15 to September 19, the food and beverage sector declined by 2.53%, while the Shanghai Composite Index and CSI 300 Index fell by 1.30% and 0.44%, respectively [23] - Specific segment performances included: pre-processed foods (+0.32%), soft drinks (+0.07%), and health products (+0.05%), while snacks (-1.28%) and meat products (-3.64%) saw declines [23] Alcoholic Beverages - The liquor sector saw a decline of 2.95%, underperforming compared to the overall food and beverage sector and the CSI 300 [14] - Key brands like Jinhuijiu and Gujinggongjiu experienced significant drops, with the overall consumption environment remaining under pressure [14] - The current PE-TTM for the liquor index is 19X, indicating a relatively low valuation compared to the past decade [14] Beer Sector - The beer sector showed a slight increase of 0.03%, with brands like Qingdao Beer and Yanjing Beer performing well [15] - Cumulative beer production from January to August 2025 was 26.83 million kiloliters, a slight decrease of 0.2% year-on-year [15] Investment Recommendations - For the liquor sector, three main investment lines are recommended: strong beta stocks (e.g., Jiugui Jiu, Shui Jing Fang), value recovery stocks (e.g., Yingjia Gongjiu), and strong alpha stocks (e.g., Shanxi Fenjiu, Guizhou Moutai) [22] - In the beer sector, focus on companies with sustained growth potential and those benefiting from cost reductions [22] Key Data Tracking - The average price of fresh milk in major production areas was 3.03 yuan/kg as of September 18, 2025, with no year-on-year change [20] - The production capacity of Daizhou yellow wine increased from 18,000 tons to 130,000 tons over the past three years, with a reported output value of 263 million yuan in the first half of the year, up 14.3% year-on-year [14]

Group 1 - Qingdao Beer organized the sixth National Fan Conference at sea, bringing together over a hundred core fan representatives from various Chinese football clubs for a unique cultural exchange journey [1][8] - The event featured football activities on deck, discussions about football culture, and a visit to the Jeju United Football Club in South Korea, fostering a sense of community among fans [1][8] - Qingdao Beer 1903 was highlighted as the main product, praised for its rich malt aroma and smooth taste, becoming the most popular drink during the event [3][7] Group 2 - The newly launched club-themed cans for Beijing Guoan, Henan, Shanghai Port, and Yunnan Yukun were well-received by fans, combining the beer's classic quality with club spirit [5][8] - Various beer options were available on board, including Pure Draft and White Beer, catering to different tastes and preferences among fans [7][8] - Qingdao Beer is not only a sponsor of the 2025 Chinese Super League but also aims to innovate football consumption experiences through initiatives like the "Fan Gathering" mini-program and the creation of "Sports Parks" in multiple cities [10][12] Group 3 - The company emphasizes its role as an emotional connector, creating immersive experiences that resonate deeply with fans, blending football, passion, and storytelling [12]

Core Viewpoint - Qingdao Beer, a century-old brand, emphasizes the importance of quality management and innovation to drive high-quality development and enhance consumer experience [1][2]. Group 1: Quality Management and Innovation - Qingdao Beer has established the largest dedicated malt factory in the beer industry and created a "barley fingerprint database" to enhance the quality of its products [2]. - The company has received four national science and technology progress awards, being the only beer company to achieve this recognition [2]. - Qingdao Beer integrates traditional craftsmanship with advanced smart manufacturing and lean production to ensure consistent high-quality products [2]. Group 2: Product and Experience Innovation - The company has developed a product matrix with over 100 differentiated new products across nine series, leading the industry in new product launches and sales revenue [4]. - Qingdao Beer implements a "full lifecycle, full process coverage" quality data management system, allowing for transparent traceability of over 1,800 quality monitoring points [3]. - The company has created immersive experience venues such as TSINGTAO 1903 bars and craft beer gardens to enhance consumer engagement and experience [4]. Group 3: Market Presence and Brand Development - Qingdao Beer exports to over 120 countries, promoting the "Chinese quality" image on the international stage [4]. - The company has been recognized as the first "sustainable lighthouse factory" in the global food and beverage industry, showcasing its commitment to sustainability [2]. - Qingdao Beer has been featured prominently in national quality events, reinforcing its role as a representative of the beverage industry [1].

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese beer market is experiencing a significant shift, with domestic giants gaining ground against foreign competitors, particularly in the context of the "takeout war" that has revitalized the industry [4][6][30]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The competitive landscape of the Chinese beer market is changing, with domestic brands outperforming foreign giants in the first half of 2025 [4][6]. - In the first half of 2025, China’s beer market saw a decline in overall production by 0.3%, continuing a trend of stagnation [18]. - Despite the overall market decline, domestic giants like China Resources Beer, Qingdao Beer, and Yanjing Beer achieved over 2% growth in sales [19][20]. Group 2: Performance of Major Players - China Resources Beer surpassed Budweiser APAC to become the market leader, with a revenue of approximately 239.42 billion RMB, a 0.8% increase year-on-year [10][11]. - Budweiser APAC reported a revenue of 31.36 billion USD (approximately 224.5 billion RMB), a 5.6% decline year-on-year, marking the worst performance among the top five [9]. - Yanjing Beer and Chongqing Beer are in a tight race for the fourth position, with Yanjing Beer achieving a net profit growth of 45.45%, surpassing Chongqing Beer [13][14]. Group 3: Impact of Instant Retail - The "takeout war" has provided a new growth driver for the beer industry, with instant retail becoming a significant channel for sales [17][21]. - Qingdao Beer reported a nearly 60% increase in sales through instant retail platforms, significantly outperforming the industry average [26]. - China Resources Beer noted a nearly 40% growth in its online business and a 50% increase in its instant retail business [27]. Group 4: Foreign Brands' Struggles - Foreign brands, particularly Budweiser APAC and Chongqing Beer, are facing challenges, with Budweiser's sales in China declining by 8.2% [10][30]. - The high-end beer market, once dominated by Budweiser, is seeing its advantages eroded by the growth of domestic brands [30][33]. - Both Budweiser APAC and Chongqing Beer are shifting focus to non-immediate channels in response to declining performance in traditional immediate consumption venues [36][37].

青島啤酒股份有限公司 TSINGTAO BREWERY CO., LTD. (Stock Code 股份代號 : 168) 2025 中期報告 INTERIM REPORT 2025 INTERIM REPORT 中期報告 青島啤酒股份有限公司 TSINGTAO BREWERY CO., LTD. 2025 INTERIM REPORT 中期報告 掃一掃 關注官方微信 目錄 | | 頁碼 | | --- | --- | | 財務報告（未經審計） | 2 | | 管理層討論與分析 | 113 | | 重要事項 | 118 | | 股本變動及股東情況 | 120 | | 董事和員工情況 | 122 | | 購入、出售或贖回證券 | 123 | | 未經審核中期報告之審閱 | 123 | | 企業管治守則 | 123 | | 釋義 | 123 | | 公司資料 | 124 | 2025年中期報告 1 青島啤酒股份有限公司 合併及公司資產負債表 2025年6月30日 | | | | | | 人民幣元 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 2025年 | 2024年 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a recommendation for the food and beverage industry [4] Core Viewpoints - The A-share food and beverage industry has seen a decline of 1.48% over the past two weeks, underperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 1.68 percentage points and the Shenzhen Component Index by 5.29 percentage points [1][11] - In the sub-sectors, processed food (+0.71%) and soft drinks (+0.39%) have increased, while snacks (-5.82%), other alcoholic beverages (-3.70%), and baked goods (-3.23%) have experienced significant declines [1][11] - Key stocks such as Qianwei Yangchu (+21.28%), Richen Co. (+14.10%), and Weizhi Xiang (+10.87%) have shown notable gains, while Kweichow Moutai (-13.07%), Ziyan Food (-11.79%), and Jiahe Food (-11.54%) have faced substantial losses [1][11] Summary by Sections Market Review - The A-share food and beverage industry has declined by 3.37% year-to-date, underperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 17.35 percentage points and the Shenzhen Component Index by 28.88 percentage points [11] - The total retail sales in August reached 396.68 billion yuan, growing by 3.4% year-on-year, with a slight decrease of 0.3 percentage points compared to July [3][54] Key Data Tracking - The price of Feitian Moutai has decreased by 30 yuan for original boxes and 40 yuan for loose packaging compared to two weeks ago, with current prices at 1,830 yuan and 1,800 yuan respectively [2][26] - The average price of fresh milk in major production areas is 3.03 yuan per kilogram, down 3.5% year-on-year [34] Key Events Tracking - The national standard for sterilized milk has been revised, prohibiting the addition of reconstituted milk in long-term pure milk [3][54] - The snack brand Mingming Hen Mang has surpassed 20,000 stores, becoming the first in the domestic leisure food and beverage chain industry to achieve this milestone [3][54] Investment Recommendations - In the liquor sector, it is advised to closely monitor price trends and sales performance, focusing on high-end liquor companies with strong brand and channel capabilities such as Kweichow Moutai, Wuliangye, and Luzhou Laojiao [7][56] - For consumer goods, the beer industry remains stable, and there is high demand in segments like snacks and energy drinks [7][57]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Buy" [2] Core Insights - The food and beverage industry experienced a decline of 2.53% from September 14 to September 19, 2025, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 2.09 percentage points [5][10] - The overall valuation of the food and beverage industry is at a relatively low level, with a PE ratio of 22X, ranking 22nd among Shenwan's primary industries [5][15] - In August 2025, the total retail sales of consumer goods increased by 3.4% year-on-year, indicating a recovery in consumer demand [6][7] Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The food and beverage industry underperformed the market, with a relative return of -5.3% over one month, -12.5% over three months, and -20.0% over twelve months [4] - The industry saw an absolute return of 1.3% over one month, 4.6% over three months, and 20.8% over twelve months [4] Valuation Analysis - As of September 19, 2025, the food and beverage industry's PE ratio is 22X, with sub-industries like other alcoholic beverages at 57X, health products at 44X, and snacks at 35X, while white liquor is at 19X, pre-processed foods at 21X, and beer at 24X [5][15] Consumer Demand - The retail sales of beverages increased by 2.8% year-on-year in August, while tobacco and alcohol sales decreased by 2.3% [6] - The Ministry of Commerce and other departments have introduced measures to expand service consumption, which may positively impact the food and beverage sector [7] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies with stable demand and strong risk resistance, as well as those actively innovating in new products, channels, and consumption scenarios [8][43] - Key companies to watch include New Dairy, Shanxi Fenjiu, Guizhou Moutai, Andeli, Yanjinpuzi, and Qingdao Beer [8][43]