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Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the food and beverage industry, particularly on high-end liquor and leading consumer goods companies, indicating long-term investment value in stocks like Kweichow Moutai, Yili, and Qingdao Beer [6][8]. Core Viewpoints - Despite a recovery in liquor demand during the peak season, the industry is still undergoing adjustments, and patience is required for the fundamental recovery [6][7]. - The liquor sector is entering a destocking phase, but achieving a balance between volume and price will take time, with expected pressure on Q3 reports [6][7]. - The consumer goods sector is expected to benefit from cost advantages and new product opportunities driven by evolving consumer preferences [6][8]. Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Industry Insights - The food and beverage sector saw a decline of 2.49% last week, with liquor down 3.03%, underperforming the broader market [5][6]. - Key stocks showing significant gains include Yangyuan Beverage (up 32.49%) and Jinzi Ham (up 11.93%) [5]. 2. Liquor Sector Analysis - Kweichow Moutai's bottle price is 1800 RMB, up 45 RMB week-on-week, while the box price is 1830 RMB, up 60 RMB [7][10]. - The industry faces challenges such as high inventory, weak demand recovery, and price discrepancies leading to unprofitable channels [7][8]. 3. Consumer Goods Sector Analysis - The report highlights a favorable outlook for dairy products due to declining costs and improving supply-demand dynamics, recommending stocks like Yili and New Dairy [8]. - The beer industry remains stable, with recommendations for Yanjing Beer and Qingdao Beer [8]. 4. Market Performance - The food and beverage industry underperformed the Shenwan A index by 2.79 percentage points, with the liquor sector lagging by 3.33 percentage points [44].

Group 1: Industry Overview - The demand for liquor, particularly white liquor, has shown slight improvement as the Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day approach, indicating a potential seasonal boost in sales [1] - The beer industry, however, has not yet shown signs of recovery after a prolonged downturn since early 2020, with production in 2024 expected to decline by 0.6% year-on-year [2][4] - The beer sector's revenue for the first half of 2025 is projected at 41.534 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.75%, while net profit is expected to rise by 11.81% to 6.512 billion yuan [4] Group 2: Company Performance - Major beer companies are experiencing varied performance, with Qingdao Beer reporting a revenue of 20.491 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.11%, while Chongqing Beer saw a slight decline in revenue [6] - Budweiser APAC, once a leader in the domestic beer market, reported a 6.1% decline in total beer sales and a 5.6% drop in revenue for the first half of 2025, with net profit down 24.4% [7][8] - The competitive landscape is shifting, with Budweiser APAC's market share falling to around 40%, indicating a significant change in the rankings among domestic beer companies [8][9] Group 3: Market Trends - The beer market has transitioned from a phase of rapid growth to one of saturation, with a notable shift towards high-end products, which now account for 72.7% of Qingdao Beer's sales [12][14] - The average price of beer in China remains relatively low compared to global standards, suggesting potential for future price increases [19] - The rise of the Z generation as a key consumer group is driving demand for craft and low-alcohol beers, with expected consumption growth rates of 17% for craft beer by 2025 [20] Group 4: Strategic Developments - Beer companies are diversifying their product lines, with some entering the yellow wine market and others focusing on beverage innovations to capture new consumer segments [22][23] - The rise of instant retail channels has become a significant sales avenue for beer, with sales penetration reaching 6.5% and expected to grow rapidly [23][24] - The beer industry is expected to recover from its current low point through new product categories and channel expansions, with a projected market size in instant retail expected to exceed 1.2 trillion yuan by 2026 [26]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that the liquor industry, particularly the white liquor sector, is showing signs of recovery as demand improves, while the beer sector continues to struggle with declining sales and market challenges [1][2][3]. - The white liquor market is expected to see a gradual improvement in sales velocity as the peak season approaches [2]. - In contrast, the beer sector has not shown any signs of recovery, with production in 2024 expected to decline by 0.6% compared to the previous year, reaching 35.213 million kiloliters, which is only 70% of the peak production capacity seen a decade ago [6]. Group 2 - The beer industry's financial performance is under pressure, with total revenue for the beer sector in the first half of 2025 reaching 41.534 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.75%, while net profit rose by 11.81% to 6.512 billion yuan [8]. - Major beer companies are experiencing a divergence in performance, with Qingdao Beer reporting a revenue of 20.491 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.11%, while Chongqing Beer saw a slight decline in revenue [9]. - Budweiser APAC, once the leader in the domestic beer market, reported a total beer sales volume of 4.363 billion liters in the first half of 2025, a decline of 6.1%, with revenue dropping by 5.6% to 3.136 billion USD [10][11]. Group 3 - The beer market has shifted from a phase of rapid growth to one of stock competition, with the peak in beer sales occurring in 2013, leading to overcapacity issues [15]. - The high-end beer market has become increasingly competitive, with domestic brands struggling to maintain their market share against foreign brands [17][19]. - Despite the challenges, the average price of beer in China remains low compared to global standards, indicating potential for future price increases [29][31]. Group 4 - The rise of the Z generation as a key consumer group is driving demand for craft and low-alcohol beers, with expected consumption of craft beer reaching 230,000 kiloliters by 2025, growing at a compound annual growth rate of 17% [33][36]. - Beer companies are exploring new growth avenues, including diversifying into other alcoholic beverages like yellow wine and soft drinks [39][40]. - The instant retail channel is emerging as a significant sales avenue for beer, with sales in this channel expected to reach 780 billion yuan in 2024, growing at a compound annual growth rate of 23% [50][52]. Group 5 - The article concludes that after several years of valuation adjustments, some leading beer companies now present attractive investment opportunities due to their stable cash flows and generous dividends [56][58]. - The beer sector is showing signs of bottoming out, but a full recovery will depend on improvements in the overall consumption environment [59].

青岛啤酒礼盒堆头人气正旺 在济南北园大街的银座超市内青岛啤酒精心打造的"金桂飘香，欢聚正浓"礼盒堆头前人头攒动。经典 1903、鸿运当头、奥古特、青岛纯生听装、白啤组合装等中秋礼盒被整齐地码在堆头上。"中秋前后青 啤礼盒销量翻倍，每天基本上都要补货"超市促销员黄女士向记者介绍到。 据店员介绍，在众多选择中，青岛啤酒的几款主打礼盒凭借鲜明特色受到消费者欢迎。经典8+2礼盒以 实惠见长，内含8罐青岛啤酒经典和2罐青岛啤酒白啤，让消费者能以实惠的价格，在一箱中享受两种不 同风味的啤酒。 青岛啤酒白啤组合装礼盒则带来缤纷体验，集齐了青岛啤酒白啤、桂花味白啤和樱花味白啤三种口味。 其中青岛啤酒白啤100%甄选品质上乘的大麦芽、小麦芽为原料，采用上面发酵方式精酿而成，酒体不 经过滤，呈朦胧云雾状，散发着淡淡的花香和果香，入口细腻顺滑、清新怡人。桂花白啤在经典白啤中 融入天然桂花风味，清雅桂花香与原酿花果香协调融合；樱花味白啤以春日樱花为灵感，入口细腻顺 滑，伴有淡淡樱花香与白啤果香。老家在外地的李女士，一连选购了六箱青岛啤酒礼盒，"中秋要回老 家过节，青岛啤酒品质高口味好。现在还有第二箱半价的活动，这个白啤我平时就特别喜 ...

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.65% on September 26, with 10 industries experiencing gains, led by the petroleum and petrochemical sector, which rose by 1.17%, and the environmental protection sector, which increased by 0.38% [1] - The computer and electronics sectors saw the largest declines, with drops of 3.26% and 2.75%, respectively [1] - Overall, there was a net outflow of 83.579 billion yuan in the main funds across the two markets, with 5 industries seeing net inflows [1] Industry Performance - The automotive industry had the highest net inflow of funds at 0.882 billion yuan, despite a decline of 0.56% in its stock price [1] - The banking sector also saw a slight increase of 0.08% with a net inflow of 0.566 billion yuan [1] - A total of 26 industries experienced net outflows, with the electronics sector leading with a net outflow of 29.836 billion yuan, followed by the computer sector with a net outflow of 13.807 billion yuan [1] Food and Beverage Sector - The food and beverage industry declined by 0.15% but had a net inflow of 0.128 billion yuan, with 69 out of 124 stocks rising [2] - Guizhou Moutai led the inflow with 0.373 billion yuan, followed by Jinzi Ham and Wancheng Group with inflows of 0.115 billion yuan and 0.0429 billion yuan, respectively [2] - The sector also had 17 stocks with net outflows exceeding 10 million yuan, with Wuliangye, Yangyuan Beverage, and ST Juewei leading the outflows at 0.125 billion yuan, 0.0729 billion yuan, and 0.0409 billion yuan, respectively [2][4] Fund Flow in Food and Beverage Sector - Top inflow stocks included: - Guizhou Moutai: -0.28% change, 0.373 billion yuan inflow [2] - Jinzi Ham: +6.61% change, 0.115 billion yuan inflow [2] - Wancheng Group: +0.43% change, 0.0429 billion yuan inflow [2] - Top outflow stocks included: - Wuliangye: -1.11% change, -0.125 billion yuan outflow [4] - Yangyuan Beverage: +10.01% change, -0.0729 billion yuan outflow [4] - ST Juewei: -3.40% change, -0.0409 billion yuan outflow [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the food and beverage industry, expecting the industry index to outperform the market index by over 10% in the next six months [53]. Core Viewpoints - The report highlights the focus on liquor sales during the Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day, suggesting that consumer demand remains under pressure, particularly for high-end liquor brands like Kweichow Moutai [4][48]. - The report indicates a structural opportunity in mass-market products, with varying performance across different sub-sectors, emphasizing the importance of monitoring demand and cost indicators in the beer sector and consumption recovery in the condiment sector [4][48]. Summary by Sections Market Review - From September 12 to September 25, 2025, the SW food and beverage industry index fell by 5.76%, underperforming the CSI 300 index by approximately 6.76 percentage points [11]. - All sub-sectors underperformed the CSI 300 index during this period, with the baking sector experiencing the largest decline at -7.80% [13][14]. - Approximately 7% of stocks in the industry recorded positive returns, with notable gainers including Qianwei Yangchu (+21.90%) and Yangyuan Beverage (+16.80%) [15] . Industry Important Data Tracking Liquor Sector - As of September 25, 2025, the price of Feitian Moutai decreased to 1,765 RMB per bottle, while the price of Guojiao 1573 increased to 840 RMB per bottle [22]. Condiment Sector - As of September 25, 2025, the price of soybean meal was 2,988 RMB per ton, down 72 RMB from September 11, while the price of white sugar was 5,780 RMB per ton, down 110 RMB [25]. Beer Sector - As of September 25, 2025, the average price of barley was 2,230 RMB per ton, while the price of aluminum ingots was 20,710 RMB per ton, down 100 RMB [30]. Dairy Sector - The average price of fresh milk remained stable at 3.03 RMB per kilogram as of September 19, 2025 [37]. Meat Products Sector - The average wholesale price of pork was 19.44 RMB per kilogram as of September 25, 2025, down 0.49 RMB from September 11 [39]. Industry News - The report notes a slight decline in the national liquor price index in early September 2025, indicating ongoing market adjustments [41]. - The number of registered beer-related enterprises increased by 10.83% year-on-year from January to August 2025, reflecting a growing market [42]. Weekly Industry Perspective - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring liquor sales during the upcoming holidays and suggests focusing on high-certainty liquor brands and mass-market products that benefit from policy catalysts [48].

Core Insights - The upcoming Mid-Autumn and National Day festivals are driving a surge in consumer spending, with gift boxes becoming a prominent category due to their essential role in festive celebrations [1][2] - Consumers are shifting towards rational purchasing decisions, prioritizing "reliable quality, cost-effectiveness, and value alignment" in their buying choices [1][10] - The integration of national trends and traditional brands' innovation is enhancing the appeal of classic products, reflecting consumers' dual pursuit of quality and cultural significance [2][7] Company Strategies - Qingdao Beer and Beijing Daoxiangcun are leading the festive market with their strategic product offerings, showcasing a blend of quality and cultural elements [2][9] - Qingdao Beer has introduced various gift box combinations, such as the "8+2" mix, catering to diverse consumer preferences for family gatherings and social visits [4][6] - Beijing Daoxiangcun has launched themed gift boxes like "Jingyun Zhongxian" and "Jinya Yiyue," which incorporate cultural artistry and practical value, aligning with consumer expectations for meaningful gifts [6][7] Market Trends - The trend towards rational consumption is evident, with 72% of consumers preferring established brands or classic products, and 68% emphasizing the importance of quality matching price [10] - The focus on product quality and emotional value over luxury packaging is reshaping the festive consumption landscape, promoting healthier and more meaningful purchasing behaviors [9][10] - The market is transitioning from "concept marketing" to "value competition," indicating a return to the essence of product quality and consumer satisfaction [10]

TSINGTAO BREWERY COMPANY LIMITED 青島啤酒股份有限公司 (a Sino-foreign joint stock limited company established in the People's Republic of China) Should you have any queries relating to this letter, please contact the H Share Registrar at (852)2862 8688 during business hours from 9:00 a.m. to 6:00 p.m. (Hong Kong time), Mondays to Fridays, excluding Hong Kong public holidays. （於中華人民共和國註冊成立之中外合資股份有限公司） (Stock Code 股份代號: 168) 26 September 2025 Dear non-registered shareholder(s), Reminder letter regarding the Arrangement ...

TSINGTAO BREWERY COMPANY LIMITED 青島啤酒股份有限公司 (a Sino-foreign joint stock limited company established in the People's Republic of China) （於中華人民共和國註冊成立之中外合資股份有限公司） (Stock Code 股份代號: 168) 26 September 2025 With reference to the notification letter dated 5 September 2024 titled "Arrangement of Electronic Dissemination of Corporate Communications", Tsingtao Brewery Company Limited (the "Company") is writing to remind you that the Company has adopted electronic dissemination of corporate communications (the "Corpo ...