证券研究报告 日耗偏低累库，关注高股息资产 ——煤炭行业周报（11月第4周） 行业评级：看好 2025年11月24日 分析师 樊金璐 邮箱 fanjinlu@stocke.com.cn 电话 13466717654 证书编号 S1230525030002 摘要 1.煤炭板块收跌，跑输沪深300指数：截止2025年11月21日，本周中信煤炭行业收跌5.67%，沪深300指数下跌3.77%，跑输沪深300指数1.9个百分点。全板块整周0只股价上涨，37只 下跌。中国神华涨幅最高，整周涨幅为-0.05%。 2.重点煤矿周度数据：中国煤炭运销协会数据，2025年11月14日-2025年11月20日，重点监测企业煤炭日均销量为753万吨，周环比增加1.2%，年同比减少2.7%。其中，动力煤周 日均销量较上周增加1%，炼焦煤销量较上周增加0.9%，无烟煤销量较上周增加3.3%。截至2025年11月20日，重点监测企业煤炭日均产量为758万吨，周环比增加0.8%，年同比减 少1.7%；重点监测企业煤炭库存总量（含港存）2461万吨，周环比增加1.3%，年同比减少19%。今年以来，供给端，重点监测企业煤炭累计销量226079 ...

Core Insights - The coke sector experienced a decline of 2.54% on November 20, with Antai Group leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3931.05, down 0.4%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12980.82, down 0.76% [1] Sector Performance - The following table summarizes the closing prices and percentage changes of key stocks in the coke sector: - Baotailong (601011): Closed at 3.87, up 0.52% - Shanxi Coking (600740): Closed at 4.17, down 1.18% - Yunwei Co. (600725): Closed at 3.75, down 1.32% - Shaanxi Black Cat (601015): Closed at 4.19, down 2.10% - Meijin Energy (000723): Closed at 5.37, down 2.54% - Yunmei Energy (600792): Closed at 4.55, down 3.81% - Antai Group (600408): Closed at 5.07, down 9.63% [1] Capital Flow - The coke sector saw a net outflow of 152 million yuan from main funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 166 million yuan [1] - The following table details the capital flow for individual stocks: - Antai Group (600408): Main funds net outflow of 3.38 million yuan, retail net inflow of 2.73 million yuan - Yunwei Co. (600725): Main funds net outflow of 2.05 million yuan, retail net outflow of 0.73 million yuan - Baotailong (601011): Main funds net outflow of 13.72 million yuan, retail net outflow of 20.12 million yuan - Shanxi Coking (600740): Main funds net outflow of 17.10 million yuan, retail net inflow of 13.75 million yuan - Shaanxi Black Cat (601015): Main funds net outflow of 18.61 million yuan, retail net inflow of 22.14 million yuan - Yunmei Energy (600792): Main funds net outflow of 20.40 million yuan, retail net inflow of 27.00 million yuan - Meijin Energy (000723): Main funds net outflow of 83.22 million yuan, retail net inflow of 56.04 million yuan [2]

Group 1 - The coal mining and processing sector continues to experience a downward trend, with significant declines in stock prices for companies such as Antai Group and Dayou Energy, which both hit the daily limit down [1] - Yunmei Energy saw a drop of over 6%, while other companies like Shaanxi Black Cat, Zhengzhou Coal Electricity, and Baotailong also experienced declines [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company, Shaanxi Black Cat (601015), confirmed that all its products are sold domestically and do not involve import or export trade [1] Group 1 - The company responded to investor inquiries on November 18 regarding its sales operations [1] - The company's focus is solely on the domestic market, indicating a lack of international trade activities [1]

Group 1 - The coal sector in the A-share market experienced a significant decline, with multiple stocks hitting their daily limit down [1] - Yunnan Coal Energy fell by 9.98%, while Baotailong dropped by 8.46%, indicating a broader trend of negative performance among coal stocks [2] - Other notable declines included Shaanxi Black Cat down 7.20%, Zhengzhou Coal Electricity down 7.04%, and Shanxi Coking Coal down 5.23% [1][2] Group 2 - The total market capitalization of Yunnan Coal Energy is 5.705 billion, and it has seen a year-to-date increase of 37.43% [2] - Baotailong's market cap stands at 8.084 billion, with a year-to-date increase of 40.20% [2] - Shaanxi Black Cat has a market cap of 9.477 billion and a year-to-date increase of 38.92% [2]

Group 1 - The coal sector experienced a downturn on November 18, with several companies, including Yunmei Energy, hitting the daily limit down [2] - An Tai Group, Shanxi Black Cat, Baotailong, Zhengzhou Coal Electricity, and Shanxi Coking Coal all saw declines exceeding 5% [2]

Group 1 - The coal mining and processing sector experienced a decline at the beginning of trading on November 18, with significant drops in stock prices for several companies [1] - Antai Group's stock fell over 9%, while Yunmei Energy's stock dropped more than 7% [1] - Other companies such as Baotailong, Shaanxi Heikang, Zhengzhou Coal Electricity, and Shanxi Coking also saw declines in their stock prices [1]

Group 1 - The coal sector is experiencing a downturn, with Yunmei Energy hitting the daily limit down, and companies such as Antai Group, Shanxi Black Cat, Baotailong, Zhengzhou Coal Electricity, and Shanxi Coking Coal all declining over 5% [1]

Core Viewpoint - The coking coal sector experienced a significant increase of 5.66% on November 17, with Antai Group leading the gains, while the overall stock indices showed a decline [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3972.03, down 0.46% - The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13202.0, down 0.11% [1] Group 2: Coking Coal Stocks Performance - Antai Group (600408) closed at 6.89, up 10.06% with a trading volume of 4.13 million shares and a turnover of 2.701 billion yuan - Meijin Energy (000723) closed at 5.85, up 9.96% with a trading volume of 3.76 million shares and a turnover of 2.131 billion yuan - Yunmei Energy (600792) closed at 5.71, up 6.53% with a trading volume of 1.58 million shares and a turnover of 883 million yuan - Shaanxi Black Cat (601015) closed at 5.00, up 3.31% with a trading volume of 1.47 million shares and a turnover of 722 million yuan - Baotailong (601011) closed at 4.61, up 1.99% with a trading volume of 2.65 million shares and a turnover of 1.205 billion yuan - Shanxi Coking Coal (600740) closed at 4.59, up 1.32% with a trading volume of 701,100 shares and a turnover of 319 million yuan - Yunwei Co. (600725) closed at 4.06, unchanged with a trading volume of 294,600 shares and a turnover of 118 million yuan [1] Group 3: Capital Flow Analysis - The coking coal sector saw a net inflow of 142 million yuan from main funds, while retail funds experienced a net outflow of 20.34 million yuan - The main funds' net inflow and outflow for key stocks are as follows: - Meijin Energy: 436 million yuan net inflow, 20.45% of total - Baotailong: 47.23 million yuan net inflow, 3.92% of total - Shanxi Coking Coal: 38.06 million yuan net inflow, 11.92% of total - Yunmei Energy: 31.12 million yuan net inflow, 3.53% of total - Shaanxi Black Cat: 27.09 million yuan net inflow, 3.75% of total - Yunwei Co.: 17.55 million yuan net outflow, -14.83% of total - Antai Group: 42 million yuan net outflow, -15.54% of total [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the coal mining industry, indicating a positive outlook for the sector based on fundamental conditions [5]. Core Views - The report highlights that while there has been a slight price correction in thermal coal, the fundamental supply-demand dynamics remain unchanged. Supply is slightly contracting due to safety inspections and maintenance in coal mines, while demand from non-electric sectors like metallurgy and chemicals remains stable. However, some traders are slowing their purchasing pace due to stable prices at northern ports [11][12]. - The report notes a year-on-year decline of 2.3% in China's raw coal production for October, with a significant increase in thermal power generation by 7.3% year-on-year. The upcoming cold weather is expected to increase coal consumption at power plants, potentially leading to a rise in market coal prices [11][16]. - The report also mentions that the coking coal market is experiencing weaker prices, with a shift towards on-demand purchasing as high-priced transactions show signs of fatigue. The overall sentiment in the coking coal market is subdued, with prices expected to remain stable in the short term [11]. Summary by Sections 1. Investment Views - The report indicates that the supply side is tightening, with a continued expectation of supply contraction. The demand side is also showing resilience, particularly with the anticipated increase in coal consumption due to colder weather [11][12]. 2. Coal Sector Performance and Stock Review - The coal mining index has shown a decline of 1.54%, with major coal companies experiencing mixed performance. Notable gainers include Antai Group (+57.29%) and Dayou Energy (+22.32%), while Huayang Co. (-6.17%) and Lu'an Environmental Energy (-5.39%) faced significant declines [12][13]. 3. Important Announcements and Industry News - National coal production data for October shows a total output of 40.675 million tons, marking a 2.3% year-on-year decrease. This is the fourth consecutive month of decline [16]. - A significant acquisition was finalized between Hengyuan Coal Power and Shaanxi Black Cat, involving the transfer of 100% equity in two coal companies for a total of 440 million yuan [17]. 4. Dynamic Data Tracking - As of November 14, the average price for thermal coal at Qinhuangdao Port was reported at 832.0 yuan/ton, reflecting a week-on-week increase. Meanwhile, the inventory levels at major ports are showing slight increases, indicating a mixed market sentiment [3][4][19]. 5. Key Company Valuations - The report provides detailed valuations for key companies in the coal sector, highlighting their market capitalizations and projected earnings. For instance, China Shenhua has a market cap of 822.8 billion yuan with a projected PE ratio of 14.0 for 2024 [43].