建筑装饰行业周报 中央经济会议定调"双宽松" ，增量政策 及重点工程有望推进 2025 年 12 月 16 日 【投资要点】 【配置建议】 挖掘价值 投资成长 强于大市（维持） 东方财富证券研究所 证券分析师：王翩翩 证书编号：S1160524060001 证券分析师：郁晾 证书编号：S1160524100004 相对指数表现 -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 2024/12 2025/6 2025/12 建筑装饰 沪深300 相关研究 《六部门联合发布促进消费方案，推荐机 器人转型企业》 2025.12.01 《美方就结束俄乌冲突提出 28 点新计划， 继续关注"一带一路"周边地区出海》 2025.11.24 《10 月固投延续下滑，适度宽松的货币政 策持续发力，看好战略工程推进》 《沉潜与时近，古韵焕新声》 2025.11.16 《武桐树再签战略合作协议，继续看好新 质生产力转型方向》 2025.11.10 行 业 研 究 / 建 筑 装 饰 / 证 券 研 究 报 告 2025.11.20 板块行情回顾：上周建筑装饰（SW）指数下跌 1.59%，其中园林工程 （+1.74%）、基建市政工 ...

展望未来，中国化学将进一步加强上市公司市值管理，系统推进价值创造与价值传播体系建设， 努力提升上市公司投资 价值，切实维护广大投资者利益，让全体投资者共享企业发展成果。 "中国上市公司价值评选"由证券时报主办，迄今已成功举办多届，是中国资本市场最具公信力和影响力的权威奖项之 一，旨在表彰治理规范、业绩稳健、积极回报股东的优秀上市公司，受到业界广泛认可。此次再度入选"主板价值100 强"，不仅是对中国化学成绩的肯定，也反映出资本市场对企业未来发展前景的持续看好。 近年来，中国化学始终保持高质量发展态势，经营业绩连年增长，新签合同额屡创新高，科技创新和管理创新成效显 著。在市值管理方面，公司积极落实国务院国资委要求，坚持"以投资者为本"，以高质量增长为基础，运用分红、增 持、股权激励等多种方式，努力实现公司内在价值与市场价值之间的协同统一。 上班公司价值体通 ALL CHILLE CALLER OF 100 d min 40117 ...

格隆汇12月15日丨东华科技(002140.SZ)公布，公司拟与中国化学工程集团有限公司（简称"中国化学工 程"）、中国化学工程巴西有限责任公司（简称"巴西公司"）三方签订《托管经营合同》，由本公司对 巴西公司进行托管经营，全面负责巴西公司的生产、经营、管理。 ...

格隆汇12月15日丨东华科技(002140.SZ)公布，公司拟与中国化学工程集团有限公司（简称"中国化学工 程"）、中国化学工程巴西有限责任公司（简称"巴西公司"）三方签订《托管经营合同》，由本公司对 巴西公司进行托管经营，全面负责巴西公司的生产、经营、管理。 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" [2][25]. Core Insights - Fixed asset investment in China showed a cumulative year-on-year decline of 2.6% from January to November 2025, with manufacturing investment increasing by 1.9% [2][3]. - Traditional infrastructure investment has seen a widening decline, necessitating a stabilization of investment. Infrastructure investment (including all categories) grew by only 0.1% year-on-year, a decrease of 1.4 percentage points compared to the previous month [4][3]. - Real estate investment remains low, with a year-on-year decline of 15.9% from January to November 2025, indicating a weak recovery trajectory [11][3]. Summary by Sections Fixed Asset Investment - The cumulative year-on-year decline in fixed asset investment is 2.6%, with a decrease of 0.9 percentage points from the previous month [3]. - Manufacturing investment has increased by 1.9%, but this is still a decline of 0.8 percentage points compared to the previous month [2]. Infrastructure Investment - Infrastructure investment (excluding electricity) has a year-on-year decline of 1.1%, with a decrease of 1.0 percentage points from the previous month [4]. - Specific sectors such as transportation, storage, and postal services saw a decline of 0.1%, while water, environment, and public facilities management experienced a decline of 6.3% [4]. Regional Investment Trends - Eastern regions reported a year-on-year decline of 6.6%, while central and western regions saw declines of 1.7% and 0.2%, respectively. The northeastern region faced a significant decline of 14.0% [4]. Real Estate Investment - Real estate investment has decreased by 15.9% year-on-year, with construction starts down by 20.5% and completions down by 18.0% [11]. - The current cycle is characterized by excessive clearing of supply entities and difficulties in inventory replenishment, leading to a slow recovery in investment [11]. Investment Recommendations - For 2026, the industry is expected to stabilize, with emerging sectors likely to benefit from major national strategies. Key companies to watch include Sichuan Road and Bridge, China Chemical, and others in new infrastructure and overseas markets [16].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the industry, indicating a positive outlook for investment opportunities in the sector [1]. Core Insights - Fixed asset investment growth in China has further declined, with a cumulative year-on-year decrease of 2.6% for January to November 2025, a drop of 0.9 percentage points compared to the previous period [2][3]. - Traditional infrastructure investment has seen an expanded decline, necessitating measures to stabilize investment. Infrastructure investment (including all categories) grew by only 0.1% year-on-year, down 1.4 percentage points from the previous month [4]. - Real estate investment remains low, with a year-on-year decrease of 15.9% for January to November 2025, indicating a weak recovery trajectory [11]. Summary by Sections Fixed Asset Investment - The cumulative year-on-year growth rate for fixed asset investment is -2.6%, with manufacturing investment showing a slight increase of 1.9% [2][3]. - The decline in traditional infrastructure investment has intensified, with significant drops in various sectors, including transportation and public facilities [4]. Infrastructure Investment - Infrastructure investment (excluding electricity) has decreased by 1.1% year-on-year, with notable declines in transportation and environmental management sectors [4]. - Regional investment disparities are evident, with the eastern region experiencing a 6.6% decline year-on-year [4]. Real Estate Investment - Real estate investment has decreased by 15.9% year-on-year, with construction starts down by 20.5% and completions down by 18.0% [11]. - The report anticipates a slow recovery in real estate investment due to challenges in inventory replenishment and supply chain issues [11]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that in 2026, industry investment is expected to stabilize, with emerging sectors likely to benefit from national strategic initiatives [15]. - Specific companies are highlighted for potential investment, including Sichuan Road and Bridge, China Chemical, and others in the new infrastructure and overseas markets [15].

12月15日，上交所发布关于中国化学工程集团有限公司2025年面向专业投资者公开发行科技创新可续期 公司债券（第二期）上市的公告。 依据《上海证券交易所公司债券上市规则》等规定，上交所同意中国化学工程集团有限公司2025年面向 专业投资者公开发行科技创新可续期公司债券（第二期）于2025年12月16日起在上交所上市，并采取匹 配成交、点击成交、询价成交、竞买成交、协商成交交易方式。该债券证券简称为"化学YK05"，证券 代码为"244317"。根据中国结算规则，可参与质押式回购。 来源：市场资讯 ...

Investment Rating - The report rates the construction engineering industry as "Overweight" [1] Core Insights - The central economic work conference emphasizes the need to stabilize investment and implement major projects to support economic growth [3][4] - The State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission (SASAC) urges central enterprises to actively promote the implementation of significant projects to ensure stable supply and prices of essential products [5][6] - The Ministry of Finance highlights the importance of government investment in driving economic recovery and encourages the issuance of long-term special bonds to support major construction projects [6] Summary by Sections Recent Key Reports - The report discusses the need for high-demand, high-barrier, and high-profit leading companies in the construction sector, recommending sectors such as AI, controlled nuclear fusion, and low-altitude economy [11][13] - It notes that the construction industry has seen a decline in net profit, with a 10% year-on-year decrease in the first three quarters [15][16] Key Company Recommendations - Recommended companies include China State Construction (dividend yield 5.25%), China Railway (dividend yield 4.80%), and China Communications Construction (dividend yield 1.92%) [9][29] - The report suggests focusing on companies with strong dividend yields and stable growth, particularly in the context of debt reduction and anti-competitive policies [12][29] Macro/Meso/Micro Data - The report indicates a projected increase in broad infrastructure funding by 7.3% in 2025, driven by government bonds and domestic loans [32][34] - It highlights the importance of private capital participation in infrastructure projects to enhance funding and project execution [28]

Core Insights - The report emphasizes the acceleration of bidding for nuclear fusion projects and the operational launch of the Liebherr Nantong base, focusing on nuclear power and marine engineering modules [6][15][28] - The report highlights the structural recovery of infrastructure investment, particularly in Sichuan and Xinjiang, and recommends investments in low-valuation central state-owned enterprises [6][34] - The report tracks the development of cleanroom technology and the increasing capital expenditure of Taiwanese electronics companies in the U.S., indicating a trend of the Taiwanese supply chain moving to the U.S. [6][34] Group 1: Nuclear Fusion and Power Projects - The signing of a joint statement between China and France on December 4, 2025, promotes the development of nuclear power, recognizing nuclear fusion energy as a significant direction for future energy development [6][15] - The Liebherr Nantong base is expected to achieve an annual output value of CNY 560 million for nuclear modules and CNY 640 million for oil and gas energy modules, addressing the decline in traditional chemical business demand [6][28] - The report notes that the modular construction method in nuclear power can significantly shorten construction periods, with the Liebherr Nantong base now operational [6][28] Group 2: Cleanroom and Coal Chemical Industry - The report tracks the cleanroom sector, noting that TSMC plans to invest USD 165 billion in capital expenditures in the U.S., with Foxconn and Wistron also planning significant investments [6][34] - In the coal chemical sector, projects are progressing steadily, with Xinjiang remaining a primary investment area, including a 1.5 million tons/year coal-to-ethylene project [6][34] - The average price of medium and heavy plates in 13 regions decreased by 0.9%, while rebar prices fell by 1.0%, indicating a slight decline in steel prices [6][34] Group 3: Financial Tracking and Investment Recommendations - The report indicates that special bonds issued for refinancing have reached CNY 2.01 trillion, with a cumulative issuance of CNY 4.5 trillion in special bonds for the year, reflecting a 13.8% year-on-year increase [6][34] - The report recommends focusing on four main investment lines: infrastructure recovery, safety resources, technology in high-end manufacturing, and overseas business opportunities [6][34] - The funding availability rate for construction sites is reported at 59.74%, showing a slight increase from the previous week [6][34]

数据来源：国家统计局，智研咨询整理 知前沿，问智研。智研咨询是中国一流产业咨询机构，十数年持续深耕产业研究领域，提供深度产业研 究报告、商业计划书、可行性研究报告及定制服务等一站式产业咨询服务。专业的角度、品质化的服 务、敏锐的市场洞察力，专注于提供完善的产业解决方案，为您的投资决策赋能。 根据国家统计局数据显示：2025年10月中国化学纤维产量为750万吨，同比增长4.1%；2025年1-10月中 国化学纤维累计产量为7233.2万吨，累计增长5.4%。 2020-2025年1-10月中国化学纤维产量统计图 上市企业：新乡化纤（000949）,恒力石化（600346）,华峰超纤（300180）,荣盛石化（002493）,吉林化 纤（000420）,桐昆股份（601233）,中泰化学（002092）,南京化纤（600889）,泰和新材（002254）,澳 洋健康（002172） 相关报告：智研咨询发布的《2026-2032年中国化学纤维行业市场运行现状及投资前景分析报告》 ...