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建筑装饰行业周报(20260119-20260125):2025年基建增速下滑,企业新签订单仍较平稳-20260126
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2026-01-26 09:19
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the construction and decoration industry is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Views - Infrastructure investment is experiencing a short-term bottoming out, with cumulative year-on-year growth turning negative for the first time since 2004. In 2025, narrow infrastructure (excluding electricity) completed 18.08 trillion yuan, down 2.20% year-on-year, while broad infrastructure totaled 24.50 trillion yuan, down 1.48% year-on-year. December saw significant declines, with narrow and broad infrastructure down 12.22% and 15.95% year-on-year, respectively. Despite this, major strategic projects are expected to continue, and infrastructure investment is anticipated to stabilize and recover gradually [5][12][22]. Summary by Sections Infrastructure Investment - In 2025, narrow infrastructure investment completed 18.08 trillion yuan, down 2.20% year-on-year, while broad infrastructure totaled 24.50 trillion yuan, down 1.48% year-on-year. December saw a year-on-year decline of 12.22% for narrow infrastructure and 15.95% for broad infrastructure, with significant drops in water conservancy and public facilities management [5][12]. New Orders - New orders in 2025 showed a pattern of stability among central enterprises, with China State Construction, China Railway, China Electric Power, and China Energy achieving new orders of 4.15 trillion yuan, 2.75 trillion yuan, 1.33 trillion yuan, and 1.45 trillion yuan, respectively. Local state-owned enterprises exhibited more significant differentiation, with Shanghai Construction, Shaanxi Construction, and Pudong Construction seeing declines of 35%, 25%, and 23% year-on-year, while Sichuan Road and Bridge saw a substantial increase of 47% year-on-year [6][17]. Market Performance - The construction and decoration index rose by 1.88% during the week, with chemical engineering, steel structure, and international engineering leading the gains at 10.70%, 7.71%, and 4.49%, respectively. A total of 123 stocks in the construction sector rose, with the top five performers being Huawi Design (+51.92%), Zhite New Materials (+49.21%), and others [8][28]. Company Dynamics - Several companies reported significant changes in their financial performance for 2025. For instance, China Metallurgical Group expects a net profit decline of 76.28% to 80.73% due to ongoing losses in the real estate sector and substantial asset impairment provisions. In contrast, companies like Xinjiang Jiaojian anticipate a net profit increase of 50.14% to 125.22% [24][25].
继续均衡配置顺周期和科技出海链
HTSC· 2026-01-26 02:45
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the construction and building materials sectors, with specific recommendations for several companies [9]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes a balanced allocation between traditional cyclical sectors and emerging growth industries, particularly in the context of improving real estate transaction data and liquidity in the market [12][19]. - The construction materials sector has shown resilience, with price increases observed in waterproofing materials, aluminum formwork, and engineering pipe materials since Q3 2025, indicating a strengthening self-repair capability within the sector [12][14]. - The report highlights the ongoing demand for high-end materials in commercial aerospace, including high-temperature fiber materials and perovskite materials in solar wing energy systems [12]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The construction materials sector has been leading the market, driven by improved real estate transaction data and expectations of a spring rally in cyclical sectors [12]. - The report notes that from January to December 2025, the new construction area in real estate decreased by 20.4% year-on-year, but there are signs of recovery in major cities [12][19]. Key Companies and Developments - Zhejiang Weixing New Materials announced plans to acquire an 88.26% stake in Beijing Songtian Cheng for approximately 111 million yuan, aiming to enhance its product chain in municipal pipeline systems [3]. - The report recommends several companies for investment, including Yaxiang Integration, Zhongcai International, China Chemical, Qibin Group, and others, with target prices and expected earnings per share provided [9][38]. Market Dynamics - The report indicates that the cement price remained stable at 353 yuan per ton, with a significant drop in the average shipment rate to 29.5% due to seasonal factors [29]. - The glass market has shown stability, with the average price of float glass holding steady at 61 yuan per weight box, despite a year-on-year decline of 18.5% [2][29]. Emerging Trends - The report identifies a potential recovery in investment in Q1 2026, supported by government policies aimed at stimulating the economy, which may benefit cyclical sectors [17]. - The demand for electronic fabrics and cleanroom materials is expected to remain high, driven by advancements in AI and increased PCB investments [13][27]. Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on waterproofing and engineering pipe materials as key opportunities in the construction sector, with a positive outlook for these segments due to expected price increases and improved market conditions [20][21].
中国化学工程股份有限公司 2025年半年度权益分派实施公告
证券代码:601117 证券简称:中国化学 公告编号:2026-005 中国化学工程股份有限公司 2025年半年度权益分派实施公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏,并对其内容 的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示: ● 相关日期 | 股份类别 | 股权登记日 | 最后交易日 | 除权(息)日 | 现金红利发放日 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | A股 | 2026/1/29 | - | 2026/1/30 | 2026/1/30 | ● 差异化分红送转: 否 一、通过分配方案的股东会届次和日期 本次利润分配方案经中国化学工程股份有限公司2025年12月24日的2025年第二次临时股东会审议通过。 二、分配方案 1.发放年度:2025年半年度 2.分派对象: ● 每股分配比例 A股每股现金红利0.1元(含税) 截至股权登记日下午上海证券交易所收市后,在中国证券登记结算有限责任公司上海分公司(以下简 称"中国结算上海分公司")登记在册的本公司全体股东。 3.分配方案: 本次利润分配以方案实施前的公司总股本6,10 ...
中国化学:2025年半年度权益分派实施公告
(编辑 丛可心) 证券日报网讯 1月25日,中国化学发布公告称,中国化学2025年半年度利润分配方案:A股每股派发现 金红利0.1元(含税),股权登记日2026年1月29日,除权除息日及红利发放日均为2026年1月30日,总 计派发约6.11亿元。 ...
建筑装饰行业周报:化工品涨价逻辑下,哪些建筑公司有望受益?
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2026-01-25 10:24
证券研究报告 | 行业周报 gszqdatemark 2026 01 25 年 月 日 中国化学:底部优质低估白马,现金流优异,受益化工反内卷。公司旗下 拥有己二腈产能 20 万吨,己内酰胺产能 20 万吨。后续随着反内卷推进, 相关产品价格有望底部反弹,有望给公司实业板块带来较大业绩弹性。去 年底己内酰胺行业连续召开两次行业自律性会议,反内卷措施支撑产品价 格开始出现明显反弹,当前价格约为 9400 元/吨,较 2025 年以来最低点已 上涨 16.8%。估算己内酰胺价格每上升 1000 元,预计增加利润约 2 亿元, 占 2024 年归母利润 3.5%。此前公司实业项目盈利低于预期是压制估值的 主要因素之一,后续随着盈利改善有望推动估值加快回升。公司报表质量 高,有息债务率低,2018-2024 年经营性现金流均为正,合计金额与归母 净利润之和比值为 1.33,现金流情况持续优异,2024 年公司分红率为 20%, 具备较大提升潜力。当前股价对应 PB 0.83 倍,处于历史最低区间,安全 边际充足。 增持(维持) 建筑装饰 化工品涨价逻辑下,哪些建筑公司有望受益? 供需格局改善,"反内卷"背景下,化工品 ...
建筑行业周报:“十五五”国家电网资本开支显著增长,关注电力工程公司、当前建议布局基本面优低估值标的-20260125
GF SECURITIES· 2026-01-25 09:28
Group 1 - The report highlights a significant increase in the State Grid's capital expenditure during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, with a projected investment of approximately 4 trillion yuan during the "15th Five-Year Plan," representing a 40% increase compared to the previous plan [15][18][21] - The report recommends focusing on power engineering companies, specifically China Electric Power Construction, China Huadian Engineering, and China Energy Engineering, which are well-positioned to benefit from the increased capital expenditure [21][22] - The report emphasizes the importance of selecting companies with strong fundamentals and low valuations based on ROE and valuation percentiles, recommending firms such as China Chemical, China National Materials, and Donghua Technology [23][24] Group 2 - Weekly tracking indicates steady progress in coal chemical projects, with significant contract awards for the coal-to-natural gas project in Xinjiang, totaling over 15 billion yuan [28][29] - The hydrogen energy sector is gaining momentum, with government initiatives promoting zero-carbon factory construction and the launch of major projects like the Baowu Green Hydrogen Industrial Park, which has a total investment of 110.9 billion yuan [31][32] - The report notes a slight decline in steel prices, with average prices for medium-thick plates and rebar decreasing by 0.5% and 0.8% respectively, indicating a stable but low price environment [31]
化工品涨价逻辑下,哪些建筑公司有望受益?
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2026-01-25 08:49
证券研究报告 | 行业周报 gszqdatemark 2026 01 25 年 月 日 建筑装饰 化工品涨价逻辑下,哪些建筑公司有望受益? 供需格局改善,"反内卷"背景下,化工品有望迎来涨价。从供给端看,化 学原料及化学制品制造业投资增速自 2022 年以来持续回落,2025 年 6 月 投资增速由正转负,申万基础化工板块在建工程/固定资产从 2022 年的峰 值 33.8%持续回落至 2025Q1-3 的 24.4%。考虑到化工行业产能建设周期 一般为 3 年左右,随着资本开支大幅下行,当前我国化工行业新增产能投 放已明显减少。除新增产能减少之外,受能耗双控、2025 年深化环保政策 影响,以及欧洲、日韩化工装置因成本劣势在 2025 年出现的大规模关停 (特别是乙烯、丙烯等基础化工原料),部分化工行业老旧产能在加速退出, 全球供给格局已有所改善。 从需求端看,当前虽然传统需求偏弱,但受制造业补库、春节前备货、出口 增多、以及新型制造需求增长影响,部分化工品需求具备较强支撑。从数 据上看,2025 年 12 月制造业 PMI 为 50.1%,自 2025 年 4 月份以来首次 回到扩张区间,其中生产与新订单 ...
中国化学:每股派0.1元,股权登记日为1月29日
南财智讯1月25日电,中国化学发布2025年半年度权益分派实施公告,每股派发现金红利0.1元(含 税),股权登记日为1月29日。 ...
中国化学(601117) - 中国化学2025年半年度权益分派实施公告
2026-01-25 08:00
中国化学工程股份有限公司 2025年半年度权益分派实施公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、 误导性陈述或者重大遗漏,并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承 担法律责任。 重要内容提示: 每股分配比例 A 股每股现金红利0.1元(含税) 相关日期 | 股份类别 | 股权登记日 | 最后交易日 | 除权(息)日 | 现金红利发放日 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | A股 | 2026/1/29 | - | 2026/1/30 | 2026/1/30 | 差异化分红送转: 否 证券代码:601117 证券简称:中国化学 公告编号:2026-005 一、通过分配方案的股东会届次和日期 本次利润分配方案经中国化学工程股份有限公司2025 年 12 月 24 日的2025年第二次临时股东会审议通过。 二、分配方案 1.发放年度:2025年半年度 2.分派对象: 截至股权登记日下午上海证券交易所收市后,在中国证券登 记结算有限责任公司上海分公司(以下简称"中国结算上海分公 1 司")登记在册的本公司全体股东。 3.分配方案: 除自行发放对象所持股份红利由公司直接 ...
国盛证券:化工品涨价逻辑下 哪些建筑公司有望受益?
智通财经网· 2026-01-25 07:52
1.化工品涨价逻辑下,哪些建筑公司有望受益? 供需格局改善,"反内卷"背景下,化工品有望迎来涨价。从供给端看,化学原料及化学制品制造业投资增速自2022年以来持续回落,2025年6月投资增速由 正转负,申万基础化工板块在建工程/固定资产从2022年的峰值33.8%持续回落至2025Q1-3的24.4%。考虑到化工行业产能建设周期一般为3年左右,随着资本 开支大幅下行,当前我国化工行业新增产能投放已明显减少。除新增产能减少之外,受能耗双控、2025年深化环保政策影响,以及欧洲、日韩化工装置因成 本劣势在2025年出现的大规模关停(特别是乙烯、丙烯等基础化工原料),部分化工行业老旧产能在加速退出,全球供给格局已有所改善。 从需求端看,当前虽然传统需求偏弱,但受制造业补库、春节前备货、出口增多、以及新型制造需求增长影响,部分化工品需求具备较强支撑。从数据上 看,2025年12月制造业PMI为50.1%,自2025年4月份以来首次回到扩张区间,其中生产与新订单分项同步回升,显示制造业需求正边际改善。 从库存周期看,化工行业可能正处于主动去库向被动去库切换的临界点。尽管2025H2受需求偏弱影响,化工原料及制品行业库存 ...