关于对会稽山绍兴酒股份有限公司 股票交易异常波动问询函的回复 会稽山绍兴酒股份有限公司: 你公司发来的《会稽山绍兴酒股份有限公司股票交易异常波动问 询函》已收悉,作为会稽山绍兴酒股份有限公司(以下简称会稽山或 公司)的实际控制人,经本人核实并回复如下: 会稽山股票异常波动期间,本人不存在买卖会稽山股票的行为。 本人将严格按照《上海证券交易所股票上市规则》等有关规定, 依法履行信息披露义务。 特此回复 实际控制人: 方朝阳 签署日期: 7026年 J 月 21日 截至本回复函签署之日,除会稽山已经披露公告的事项外,本人 不存在涉及会稽山应披露而未披露导致股价异常波动的事项,包括但 不限于筹划涉及上市公司的重大资产重组、股份发行、收购、债务重 组、业务重组、资产剥离、资产注入、股份回购、股权激励、重大业 务合作、引进战略投资者等重大事项。 ...

Group 1 - The beverage manufacturing sector is experiencing a rebound, with several companies seeing significant stock price increases [1] - Kweichow Moutai (601579) has reached its daily limit up, indicating strong market interest [1] - Other companies such as Bai Run Co. (002568), Jin Feng Wine Industry (600616), Gu Yue Long Shan (600059), and Zhang Yu A are also showing upward trends in their stock prices [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Kuaijishan (601579 CH) with a target price of 20.80 and for Guyuelongshan (600059 CH) with a target price of 10.87 [8]. Core Viewpoints - The yellow wine industry is experiencing a transformation with a focus on high-end products, driven by leading companies actively seeking change and enhancing brand value [3][4]. - The industry is witnessing a recovery opportunity after a prolonged period of decline, with significant changes in competition and supply dynamics [10][11]. - The overall revenue for the yellow wine industry in 2023 is approximately 21 billion, with a slight year-on-year growth of 2%, while the revenue from large-scale enterprises has decreased by 16% [15][20]. Summary by Sections Industry Investment Rating - The report recommends a "Buy" rating for Kuaijishan and Guyuelongshan, indicating confidence in their growth potential [8]. Current Industry Status - The yellow wine industry has faced challenges, with a decline in revenue and the number of large-scale enterprises dropping from 121 in 2017 to 81 in 2023 [20][21]. - Despite these challenges, the average profit margin for large-scale enterprises increased by 5 percentage points to 17.5% in 2023, indicating a potential bottoming out of the industry [20][21]. Positive Changes in the Industry - The competitive landscape has become clearer, with the concentration of market share among leading companies increasing significantly from 15% to 37% for the top two companies from 2017 to 2023 [22]. - Leading companies are focusing on high-end products, actively raising prices and launching new products to break through market constraints [11][12]. Future Development Outlook - The report predicts a restructuring of the volume-price logic in the yellow wine industry, with an expected revenue growth from approximately 8.5 billion in 2023 to 13-14 billion by 2027 [12][20]. - The demand for yellow wine is expected to expand beyond traditional regions, with a gradual penetration into younger consumer demographics and new consumption scenarios [42][45].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the food and beverage sector, indicating that leading companies in the sector have mid-term allocation value, with consumer staples showing stronger defensive characteristics and liquor exhibiting greater cyclical elasticity [5][9]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring new products and channel changes within the food and beverage industry, as overall demand remains subdued. It highlights the potential for recovery in the liquor sector if economic conditions improve in the second half of 2025, alongside necessary industry adjustments [5][9]. - Key recommendations include focusing on leading companies in the liquor sector such as Kweichow Moutai, Shanxi Fenjiu, and Wuliangye, as well as consumer staples like Yili and Qingdao Beer, which are expected to benefit from cost advantages and new retail trends [5][9][11]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Performance of Food and Beverage Sectors - The food and beverage sector underperformed the Shenwan A index by 0.16 percentage points during the period from May 12 to May 16, 2025. Sub-sectors such as food processing and beverage dairy outperformed the index, while liquor and other categories lagged behind [33]. 2. Liquor Sector Insights - The report notes that Kweichow Moutai's bottle price remains stable at 2080 RMB, with Wuliangye around 920-930 RMB. Despite a slight recovery in demand during the May holiday, overall consumption in the liquor sector is expected to remain flat, with pressures anticipated in the second quarter [10][11]. - Liquor companies reported positive revenue growth in Q1 2025, but the growth rate has slowed significantly compared to previous years, indicating a trend of increasing differentiation among brands [10]. 3. Consumer Staples Sector Insights - The report forecasts a flat demand outlook for consumer staples in the second quarter and second half of 2025, with a continued cost advantage expected to support profitability. The dairy sector is highlighted for its potential revenue and profit improvement due to supply-demand rebalancing and supportive policies [11]. - Specific companies such as Yili and Qingdao Beer are recommended for their strong performance and growth potential in the context of new product launches and channel innovations [11]. 4. Key Company Updates - Companies like Zhou Hei Ya are focusing on enhancing store quality and expanding distribution channels, while Huazhi Wine is targeting mid-to-high-end consumers through its retail strategies [14][15]. - Gu Yue Long Shan is concentrating on high-end and youthful product lines, with a focus on maintaining price stability and enhancing brand appeal [15].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" investment rating for the company [6] Core Views - The company has optimized its product structure, leading to an increase in gross margin and a focus on enhancing terminal expenses [5] - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 481 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 94 million yuan, up 2% year-on-year [4] - The company is focusing on high-end brand recognition through targeted marketing strategies and product innovation to attract younger consumers [5] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q1 2025 gross margin increased by 7 percentage points to 60.71%, driven by accelerated revenue growth in mid-to-high-end yellow wine [5] - The sales and management expense ratios changed year-on-year to 22.10% and 5.06%, respectively, reflecting increased promotional spending [5] - Revenue from mid-to-high-end yellow wine reached 336 million yuan, a 12% increase, while ordinary yellow wine revenue was 105 million yuan, up 1% [5] Market Strategy - The company is strengthening its base market while continuing to optimize its product structure [5] - In Q1 2025, revenue from Zhejiang province was 286 million yuan, a 17% increase, indicating successful market penetration and network expansion [5] Earnings Forecast - The company is expected to see steady growth in earnings per share (EPS), with projections of 0.50, 0.60, and 0.71 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [6] - The current stock price corresponds to price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 29, 24, and 21 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 [6] Revenue Projections - The company forecasts main business revenue of 1,884 million yuan for 2025, with a growth rate of 15.5% [9] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to reach 238 million yuan in 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 21.4% [9]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" investment rating for the company [6] Core Views - The company has optimized its product structure, leading to improved gross margins and increased investment in terminal expenses [5] - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 481 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 94 million yuan, up 2% year-on-year [4] - The company is focusing on high-end brand recognition through targeted marketing strategies and product innovation to attract younger consumers [5] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q1 2025 gross margin increased by 7 percentage points to 60.71%, driven by accelerated revenue growth in mid-to-high-end yellow wine [5] - Revenue from mid-to-high-end yellow wine reached 336 million yuan, a 12% increase, while ordinary yellow wine revenue was 105 million yuan, up 1% [5] - The company’s net profit margin decreased by 2 percentage points to 19.46% due to increased promotional expenses [5] Market Strategy - The company is enhancing its market presence in Zhejiang, with Q1 2025 revenue of 286 million yuan, a 17% increase, by strengthening its distribution network [5] - New product development includes lemon-flavored and canned yellow wine, aimed at cultivating consumer habits [5] Earnings Forecast - The company’s EPS for 2025-2027 is adjusted to 0.50, 0.60, and 0.71 yuan respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 29, 24, and 21 times [6] - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 1.884 billion, 2.141 billion, and 2.387 billion yuan, with growth rates of 15.5%, 13.6%, and 11.5% respectively [9]

Group 1: Market Developments - Jiang Jia led a team to investigate the UAE market, emphasizing the importance of the region for Wuliangye's strategic layout and future efforts in channel construction and brand promotion [1] - Xifeng Wine held a business meeting to deploy strategies for the Jiangsu market, highlighting its strong development foundation [1] - Yunmen Wine established a liaison office in Japan and an Osaka tasting center, marking a significant step in its internationalization strategy [1] Group 2: Financial Performance - Shanxi Fenjiu reported a revenue of 36.011 billion in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 12.79%, with a net profit of 12.243 billion, up 17.29% [1] - Yanghe Co. achieved a revenue of 28.876 billion in 2024, with a net profit of 6.673 billion [1] - Yingjia Gongjiu's revenue for 2024 was 7.344 billion, up 8.46%, with a net profit increase of 13.45% to 2.589 billion [1] - Kouzi Jiao reported a revenue of 6.015 billion in 2024, a slight increase of 0.89%, but a net profit decrease of 3.83% to 1.655 billion [1] - Yilite's revenue for 2024 was 2.203 billion, down 1.27%, with a net profit decline of 15.91% to 0.286 billion [1] - Jiugui Wine's revenue fell to 1.423 billion in 2024, a decrease of 49.70%, with a net profit drop of 97.72% to 0.012 billion [1][2] - Jinzongzi Wine reported a revenue of 0.925 billion in 2024, down 37.04%, resulting in a net loss of 0.258 billion [2] Group 3: Industry Standards and Sustainability - The national standard for "Rice Aroma Type Baijiu" was released, indicating regulatory developments in the industry [3] - New Zealand's wine industry reported significant sustainability achievements, with 68% of wineries implementing carbon reduction measures, reflecting a growing trend towards environmental responsibility [4]

| 二、销售渠道情况： | | | | | | 单位:万元 | 币种:人民币 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 按销售渠道 | 2025 | 年 1-3 | 月销售收入 | 2024 | 年 1-3 | 月销售收入 | 同比变动（%） | | 直销（含团购） | | | 9,438.45 | | | 5,071.25 | 86.12 | | 批发代理 | | | 36,556.44 | | | 37,525.45 | -2.58 | | 国际销售 | | | | 315.95 | | 281.28 | 12.33 | | 小计 | | | 46,310.84 | | | 42,877.98 | 8.01 | | 三、区域情况： | | | | | | 单位:万元 币种:人民币 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 按地区分部 | 2025 | 年 1-3 | 月销售收入 | 2024 年 | 1-3 月销售收入 | 同比变动（%） | | | 浙江大区 | | | ...

Financial Performance - The company's operating revenue for Q1 2025 was CNY 481,291,895.94, representing a 10.10% increase compared to CNY 437,144,435.35 in the same period last year[4] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was CNY 93,743,222.29, a slight increase of 1.70% from CNY 92,179,385.79 year-over-year[4] - The net profit attributable to shareholders after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was CNY 92,578,689.05, up 12.72% from CNY 82,132,175.02 in the previous year[4] - The net cash flow from operating activities was CNY 78,108,604.74, a significant recovery from a negative cash flow of CNY -62,517,540.59 in the same period last year[4] - Total operating revenue for Q1 2025 reached ¥481,291,895.94, an increase of 10.1% compared to ¥437,144,435.35 in Q1 2024[19] - Net profit for Q1 2025 was ¥93,646,703.99, slightly higher than ¥92,640,316.31 in Q1 2024, indicating a growth of 1.1%[21] - The net cash flow from operating activities for Q1 2025 was ¥78,108,604.74, a significant improvement from a net outflow of ¥62,517,540.59 in Q1 2024[24] Assets and Liabilities - Total assets at the end of the reporting period were CNY 4,656,677,662.62, reflecting a 2.05% increase from CNY 4,563,115,630.15 at the end of the previous year[5] - Total current assets increased to ¥2,324,701,886.28 from ¥2,209,583,173.30, reflecting a growth of approximately 5.2%[14] - Total current liabilities slightly decreased to ¥718,163,159.58 from ¥718,250,255.45[15] - The total liabilities amounted to ¥822,936,954.19, slightly down from ¥823,021,625.71 in the previous period[16] - The company reported a total of 42,532,597.42 in long-term equity investments, showing stability compared to the previous period[14] Shareholder Information - Total number of common shareholders at the end of the reporting period is 26,359[10] - The largest shareholder, Zhongjianxin (Zhejiang) Venture Capital Co., Ltd., holds 149,158,200 shares, accounting for 31.11% of total shares[10] - Shareholders' equity attributable to the parent company increased by 2.53% to CNY 3,803,726,183.51 from CNY 3,709,982,961.22 at the end of the previous year[5] - The total equity attributable to shareholders increased to ¥3,803,726,183.51 from ¥3,709,982,961.22, showing a growth of 2.5%[16] Expenses - Research and development expenses increased by 62.50% due to a rise in the number of R&D projects and increased investment in these projects[7] - Sales expenses rose by 58.43% driven by higher compensation for sales personnel and increased promotional expenses[7] - Research and development expenses increased to ¥16,296,978.14 in Q1 2025, compared to ¥10,028,964.81 in Q1 2024, marking a rise of 62.3%[19] - Sales expenses rose to ¥106,378,686.25 in Q1 2025, up from ¥67,145,716.22 in Q1 2024, reflecting a growth of 58.4%[19] Cash Flow - The net cash flow from investing activities was -1,094,739.33, a decrease from 20,235,673.53 in the previous period[25] - The net cash flow from financing activities was -1,001,833.34, a significant decline from -29,885,563.39 in the previous period[25] - The net increase in cash and cash equivalents was 76,012,032.07, contrasting with a decrease of -72,167,430.45 in the previous period[25] - The ending balance of cash and cash equivalents was 898,165,391.15, up from 647,434,932.44 previously[25] - The beginning balance of cash and cash equivalents was 822,153,359.08, indicating a strong liquidity position[25] Other Income and Tax - The company received government subsidies that contributed to an 84.84% increase in other income[7] - The company reported a 100% decrease in cash received from tax refunds compared to the previous year, indicating no tax refunds were received in the current period[7] Accounting Standards - The company plans to implement new accounting standards starting in 2025, which may affect financial reporting[25]

会稽山（601579）公告，2025年第一季度营收为4.81亿元，同比增长10.10%；净利润为9374.32万元， 同比增长1.70%。 ...