证券研究报告 聚四海星火，淬国之重器——全面为国产算力生产配套 -2026年机械行业年度投资策略 西部证券研发中心 2025年12月8日 张恒晅 | 分析师 S0800525020001 zhanghengxuan@research.xbmail.com.cn 核心结论 AI驱动全球半导体大周期，中国大陆半导体产业同样受惠于此，叠加政策引导，国内集成电路有望实现全产 业链自主可控。 AI发展方兴未艾，IDC预计全球生成式AI市场五年复合增长率或达56.3%，而芯片是AI产业链的核心上游环 节之一，SEMI预测AI驱动下2030年全球半导体市场规模将突破1万亿美元，其中，服务器、数据中心和存储 领域的市场规模复合增速达到18%，领先下游其他领域。而半导体设备作为芯片产业链上游同步受益，LAM 预计未来5年全球数据中心累计2.5万亿美元的资本开支将催生2000亿美元的半导体设备需求。 国内AI产业链投资同样旺盛，同时，算力、存储芯片仍然面临较高的海外依赖度，进口受限叠加国内政策引 导，国内芯片产业链有望实现从上游设备到下游设计环节的全链条自主可控。 先进逻辑方面，国产算力突破，带动国内先进逻辑代工需求。与非网指出 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights a strong performance in the semiconductor sector, particularly with the Shanghai Stock Exchange's Sci-Tech Innovation Board Semiconductor Materials and Equipment Theme Index rising by 2.44% [1] - Key stocks such as Jingyi Equipment, Tuojing Technology, and Xinyuan Microelectronics saw significant increases, with gains of 5.77%, 5.68%, and 4.8% respectively [1] - The Sci-Tech Semiconductor ETF (588170) also experienced a rise of 2.43%, surpassing both the 5-day and 10-day moving averages, indicating a bullish trend [1] Group 2 - The trading volume for the Sci-Tech Semiconductor ETF was notably active, with a turnover rate of 14.39% and a transaction value of 476 million yuan [1] - Over the past month, the average daily trading volume for the Sci-Tech Semiconductor ETF reached 409 million yuan, outperforming similar funds [1] - Amazon AWS launched its new self-developed AI chip, Trainium3, at the Re:Invent conference, marking its first chip product using a 3nm process [1] Group 3 - The Sci-Tech Semiconductor ETF and its linked funds focus on semiconductor equipment (61%) and semiconductor materials (23%), representing a significant portion of the index [1] - The semiconductor equipment and materials industry is identified as a crucial area for domestic substitution, characterized by low domestic replacement rates and high potential for growth [1] - The sector is expected to benefit from the AI revolution, ongoing semiconductor demand, expansion, technology restructuring, mergers and acquisitions, and advancements in lithography technology [1]

Core Viewpoint - The semiconductor equipment ETF (561980) has shown significant growth, with a year-to-date increase of 54%, outperforming other major semiconductor indices. This growth is attributed to strong investments in advanced technologies, particularly in AI computing and high-end logic chips [1]. Group 1: ETF Performance - The semiconductor equipment ETF (561980) rose by 3.53%, with a trading volume exceeding 150 million yuan [1]. - Key constituent stocks such as Jin Hai Tong surged by 8.58%, Chang Chuan Technology increased by over 7%, and several others including Tuo Jing Technology and Xin Yuan Wei rose by over 6% [1]. - The ETF's index performance is the best among mainstream semiconductor indices, including the China Securities Semiconductor Index and the National Chip Index [1]. Group 2: Market Trends - According to SEMI, global semiconductor equipment sales are projected to grow by 11% year-on-year in Q3 2025, reaching $33.66 billion, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 2% [1]. - The growth in sales is primarily driven by robust investments in advanced technology sectors, especially in AI computing, DRAM, and advanced packaging solutions [1]. - Guojin Securities indicates that the global semiconductor market has exited the destocking phase and is entering a strong recovery cycle, maintaining high demand in the equipment market [1]. Group 3: Future Projections - DIGITIMES forecasts that the global semiconductor market size may grow by 18.3% in 2026, reaching $880 billion, with the wafer foundry output expected to hit $233.1 billion, reflecting a 17% increase [1].

Group 1 - Semiconductor equipment and materials stocks have strengthened, with Changchuan Technology rising over 6%, Tuojing Technology up over 5%, and Zhongwei Company, Zhongke Feimeng, and Xinyuan Micro rising over 4% [1] - Related semiconductor equipment and materials ETFs have increased by over 2% [1] Group 2 - The global semiconductor market size estimate for 2025 has been raised by approximately $45 billion to $772 billion, with a year-on-year growth rate expanded to 22% [2] - The semiconductor market size for 2026 is projected to reach $975 billion, achieving over 25% year-on-year growth, approaching the $1 trillion mark [2] - Analysts indicate that the long-term development logic supporting the semiconductor sector remains unchanged, emphasizing supply chain security and self-sufficiency as long-term trends [2]

Group 1 - The Shanghai Stock Exchange Sci-Tech Innovation Board 100 Index rose by 0.90%, with notable increases in constituent stocks such as Green Harmony (+7.08%), Yirui Technology (+4.23%), and others [1] - The Sci-Tech 100 ETF (588800) experienced a trading volume of 2.10 billion yuan with a turnover rate of 8.34%, indicating strong market interest [1] - The Semiconductor Materials and Equipment Theme Index on the Sci-Tech Board increased by 1.55%, with key stocks like Zhongke Feimeng (+4.39%) and Chip Source Micro (+4.08%) showing significant gains [1] Group 2 - China Galaxy Securities highlighted the long-term growth potential of analog chips in the context of smart and electric trends, emphasizing the importance of companies with technological advantages in AI and automotive sectors [2] - The Sci-Tech 100 ETF (588800) is the first and only mid-cap index tracking high-growth tech companies, focusing on semiconductor, pharmaceutical, and new energy sectors [2] - The Semiconductor ETF (588170) tracks the Semiconductor Materials and Equipment Theme Index, which includes companies in semiconductor equipment (61%) and materials (23%), benefiting from domestic substitution and AI-driven demand [2]

Group 1: Investment Recommendations - Monthly stock recommendations include: XJ Electric (000400.SZ) in power equipment, Zai Jian Pharmaceutical (688266.SH) in pharmaceuticals, Chip Source Microelectronics (688037.SH) in electronics, Hehe Information (688615.SH) in computers, Changying Precision (300115.SZ) in robotics & electronics, China Life (601628.SH) in non-banking, Shentong Express (002468.SZ) in transportation, Yahua Group (002497.SZ) in new metal materials, Global New Material International (06616.HK) in building materials, and Haidar (920699.BJ) on the Beijing Stock Exchange [3] Group 2: Power Equipment - XJ Electric (000400.SZ) is recommended due to: (1) Price reductions in secondary equipment, electric meters, and distribution network equipment may have bottomed out, indicating a potential rebound in the core business; (2) Severe challenges in renewable energy consumption with expectations for significant growth in ultra-high voltage direct current projects; (3) The offshore wind sector is expected to experience high prosperity during the 14th Five-Year Plan, which may open up opportunities in the direct current equipment industry [4] Group 3: Pharmaceuticals - Zai Jian Pharmaceutical (688266.SH) is recommended because: The existing core business has four products on the market, with future products expected to accelerate growth; the III phase pipeline DLL3 is expected to solidify the core business and has high overseas potential; the II phase pipeline PD1/TIGIT may provide significant growth flexibility; future dual-antibody/multi-antibody platform products are anticipated to open up growth space [6] Group 4: Electronics - Chip Source Microelectronics (688037.SH) is recommended due to: Rapid growth in demand driven by AI for advanced processes and storage, leading to accelerated expansion of wafer fabs; as a leading domestic supplier of large wet processing equipment, it continues to make breakthroughs in coating and developing equipment, with successful industrialization of chemical cleaning equipment; the market for domestic substitutes in coating and cleaning equipment is expected to grow significantly [8] Group 5: Computers - Hehe Information (688615.SH) is recommended because: In Q3 2025, revenue grew by 27.5% year-on-year, and profit increased by 34.9% year-on-year; AI products are continuously iterated, and the TextIn xParse platform provides general document parsing services for LLM downstream tasks, which may open up B-end market space; as a global leader in OCR, the company has 189 million monthly active users for its main C-end products, and the upcoming listing in Hong Kong is expected to further expand overseas markets and release growth potential [10] Group 6: Robotics & Electronics - Changying Precision (300115.SZ) is recommended due to: The robotics business supplies leading domestic and international robot manufacturers, with significant valuation elasticity; the consumer electronics business is deeply tied to Apple, and new projects like AI glasses are expected to bring revenue growth [12] Group 7: Non-Banking - China Life (601628.SH) is recommended because: The asset-liability matching is excellent, with a focus on annuities with an actual duration of about 10 years, leading to a narrowing duration gap; the early transformation to dividend insurance sales has resulted in a 51.72% share of new single premium in Q1 2025, outperforming most peers; future dividend payment capabilities have room for growth due to the reclassification of assets [13] Group 8: Transportation - Shentong Express (002468.SZ) is recommended due to: The "anti-involution" trend in the express delivery industry is expected to strengthen, with a potential recovery in prices by 2026; as one of the leading companies in the express delivery sector, it has significant profit elasticity and may have entered a period of sustained validation [16] Group 9: New Metal Materials - Yahua Group (002497.SZ) is recommended because: The dual main businesses of lithium hydroxide and civil explosives are running concurrently, with stable contributions from the explosives business and potential rebound in lithium business; the lithium segment is expanding production in partnership with Tesla, and the African K mine is expected to contribute to performance during the lithium price bottoming period [18] Group 10: Building Materials - Global New Material International (06616.HK) is recommended due to: The pearlescent pigment industry has strong consumer attributes, with a history of double-digit growth and annual price increases; upstream high-quality natural materials are depleting, leading to a concentration of core resources in leading companies; the acquisition of Germany's Merck SUSONITY has positioned the company as an industry leader and opened up high-end market opportunities [20] Group 11: Beijing Stock Exchange - Haidar (920699.BJ) is recommended because: It is a leading domestic supplier of server slide rails, breaking industry monopolies and leading self-replacement; the company has successfully entered the higher technical barrier server market and is a qualified supplier for major server manufacturers; the focus on high-value new products in AI server liquid cooling is expected to enhance profitability [22]

Industry Overview - The Chinese bonding machine industry is experiencing rapid development and transformation, playing an irreplaceable role in the manufacturing of integrated circuits, power devices, and optoelectronic devices [1][15] - The industry is driven by continuous national policy support, expanding downstream application markets, and ongoing technological innovation [1][15] Import and Market Trends - In 2024, China's import volume of wire bonding machines is projected to be 10,873 units, a year-on-year increase of 22.78%, with an import value of 4.403 billion yuan, up 22.56% [1][15] - However, in the first three quarters of 2025, the import volume is expected to decline to 7,124 units, a decrease of 13.68%, with an import value of 2.963 billion yuan, down 7.97% [1][15] Domestic Market and Competition - Domestic companies have achieved a certain level of substitution in the mid-to-low-end bonding machine market, but still rely heavily on imports for high-precision and high-efficiency high-end wire bonding machines [1][15] - The industry is characterized by high technical barriers and significant market concentration, with international giants dominating the market while domestic companies strive to catch up [16][17] Key Companies - Major domestic companies include Maiwei Technology, Aotwei, and Tuojing Technology, which are focusing on high-end semiconductor equipment and have shown significant revenue growth [16][18][19] - For instance, Maiwei Technology reported a revenue of 127 million yuan in the semiconductor and display industry for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 496.9% [18] Industry Development Stages - The bonding machine industry in China has gone through five stages, from complete reliance on imports to achieving breakthroughs in high-end bonding technology [6][7] - The current phase is marked by increasing domestic market share for bonding machines, particularly in the mid-to-high-end market, driven by national policies and market demand [7][15] Policy Support - The industry has received multiple policy supports aimed at accelerating high-end and domestic development, including guidelines for equipment updates and technology upgrades [7][8] Future Trends - The future of the bonding machine industry will focus on technological advancements, including ultra-high precision and smart manufacturing [20][21] - There will be a shift towards integrated solutions that combine multiple functions, moving from standalone bonding processes to comprehensive micro-assembly platforms [22]

Group 1 - The semiconductor sector showed strength on November 28, 2025, with the Shanghai Stock Exchange Sci-Tech Innovation Board Chip Index rising by 1.22% [1] - Key stocks such as Jinghe Integrated rose by 11.32%, Tuojing Technology by 6.55%, and Tianyue Advanced by 6.13% [1] - The Chinese semiconductor industry is expected to see the chip design sector exceed 1 trillion yuan by 2030, indicating strong long-term growth potential [1] Group 2 - Dongguan Securities forecasts that artificial intelligence will remain the main innovation line in the technology sector through 2026, benefiting multiple segments including computing power, storage, equipment, and advanced packaging [1] - The top ten weighted stocks in the Sci-Tech Innovation Board Chip Index account for 60.55% of the index, with major companies including Haiguang Information, Cambricon, and SMIC [1] Group 3 - The Sci-Tech Chip ETF (588200) tracks the Shanghai Stock Exchange Sci-Tech Innovation Board Chip Index, providing a convenient tool for investing in the chip sector [2] - Investors without stock accounts can access domestic chip investment opportunities through the Sci-Tech Chip ETF Linked Fund (017470) [3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that ChipSource Microelectronics has shown a positive stock performance, with a 5.04% increase in share price, reaching 125.97 CNY per share, and a total market capitalization of 25.399 billion CNY [1] - ChipSource Microelectronics, established on December 17, 2002, specializes in the research, production, and sales of semiconductor equipment, with its main revenue sources being photoresist coating and developing equipment (59.86%) and single-wafer wet processing equipment (36.76%) [1] - The company has a total trading volume of 2.72 million CNY and a turnover rate of 1.10% [1] Group 2 - From the perspective of fund holdings, the China Post Fund has a significant position in ChipSource Microelectronics, with its core technology innovation flexible allocation mixed fund (000966) holding 12,100 shares, accounting for 2.07% of the fund's net value [2] - The fund has reduced its holdings by 2,000 shares in the third quarter, and the estimated floating profit from this investment is approximately 72,800 CNY [2] - The fund has achieved a year-to-date return of 21.39%, ranking 3,648 out of 8,127 in its category [2]

第二条 公司系依照《公司法》《证券法》及其他法律法规的规定成立的股 份有限公司。 沈阳芯源微电子设备股份有限公司 章 程 2025年11月 | | | | | | 沈阳芯源微电子设备股份有限公司 章 程 第一章 总 则 第一条 为维护沈阳芯源微电子设备股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）、 股东、职工和债权人的合法权益，规范公司的组织和行为，根据《中华人民共和 国公司法》（以下简称《公司法》）、《中华人民共和国证券法》（以下简称《证 券法》）、《科创板上市公司持续监管办法（试行）》《上海证券交易所科创板 股票上市规则》《上市公司章程指引》等法律法规和其他有关规定，制定本章程。 公司由沈阳芯源微电子设备有限公司整体变更设立，在沈阳市浑南区市场监 督管理局注册登记，取得营业执照，统一社会信用代码为：9121011274273568XC。 第三条 公司于 2019 年 11 月 15 日经中国证券监督管理委员会（以下简称 "中国证监会"）作出同意注册决定，首次向社会公众发行人民币普通股 2,100 万股，于 2019 年 12 月 16 日在上海证券交易所科创板上市。 第四条 公司注册名称 中文名称：沈阳芯源微电子设备 ...