Macro Strategy - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that the main theme of China's economy in 2025 is to respond to changes, influenced by external factors such as fluctuating tariffs and internal factors like asset revaluation and investment growth turning negative [1][4] - For 2026, the focus will shift to maintaining continuity, with reduced uncertainty in macro changes and increased visibility in economic policies. Five key areas of focus include policy continuity, AI-driven supply, consumption upgrades, asset-liability repair, and anti-involution price strategies [1][4] - The expected economic growth rate for 2026 is around 4.9%, with consumption and export growth slightly declining while investment growth is anticipated to improve [1][4] Company Analysis - The report highlights the company "联德股份" as a leading player in the precision casting industry, benefiting from AI-driven demand in cooling and power supply sectors. The company has established long-term partnerships with major global clients [7][8] - The projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for the company's revenue and net profit from 2016 to 2024 is 12.7% and 13.3%, respectively, indicating a strong growth trend [7][8] - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 2.2 billion, 3.0 billion, and 4.1 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 38, 28, and 20 times [7][8] Industry Insights - The report emphasizes the high growth in demand for cooling and backup power driven by AIDC (Artificial Intelligence Data Center) needs, with the U.S. AIDC cooling component market expected to exceed 10 billion yuan by 2028 [8] - The engineering machinery sector is also projected to recover, with the company positioned to benefit from increased demand starting in 2025 [8] - The company's integrated casting and machining capabilities provide a competitive edge, allowing it to participate deeply in client R&D and design, leading to higher product value and profitability [8]

证券研究报告 | 2025年11月23日 转债市场周报 权益回调中展现"退可守"属性 核心观点 固定收益周报 上周市场焦点（11 月 17 日-11 月 21 日） 股市方面，上周市场震荡下跌，在地缘政治局势紧张、海外 AI 泡沫担 忧加剧、美国 9 月非农数据超预期导致降息预期走弱等因素影响下，市 场风险偏好明显下降，各行业板块出现普跌，具备防御属性的银行板块 跌幅较小。债市方面，上周初资金面总体偏紧，随着税期缴款结束、以 及央行持续净投放下，后半周资金转为均衡偏松；市场风险偏好走弱， 但股债跷跷板效应并不明显，债市全周窄幅震荡；周五 10 年期国债利 率收于 1.82%，较前周上行 0.26bp。 转债市场方面，上周转债个券多数收跌，中证转债指数全周-1.78%，价 格中位数-1.89%，我们计算的算术平均平价全周-6.70%，全市场转股溢 价率与上周相比+7.72%。个券层面，路维（掩膜版）、鼎龙（半导体）、 浩瀚（网络智能化）、恒锋（智慧城市信息服务）、家联（3D 打印）转 债涨幅靠前；中能（电网设备）、立中（铝合金锭&已公告强赎）、豫 光（贵金属&已公告强赎）、天赐（电解液&已公告强赎）、宏发（继电 ...

Group 1 - The article discusses the stock issuance of China Axis Industry, with an issuance price of 17.89 yuan and a subscription limit of 52,000 shares [1] - The industry price-earnings ratio is noted as 27.06, while the company's price-earnings ratio is 27.57, indicating a competitive valuation within the sector [1] - The article also mentions the convertible bond of Maolai Optical, with a conversion price set at 364.43 yuan and a bond rating of A+ [1]

Macro Strategy - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that the main theme of China's economy in 2025 is to respond to changes, influenced by external factors such as fluctuating tariffs and internal factors like asset revaluation and investment trends [1][4] - For 2026, the focus will be on continuity and adaptation, with five key areas of transition: policy support, AI-driven supply, consumption upgrades, wealth recovery, and price stability [1][4] - Economic growth is projected at around 4.9%, with consumption and export growth slightly declining while investment growth is expected to improve [1][4] Fixed Income and Equity Analysis - The report discusses the issuance of Maolai Convertible Bonds, with a total issuance scale of 563 million yuan, aimed at funding precision optical production and R&D projects [5][6] - The expected listing price range for Maolai Convertible Bonds is between 129.60 and 143.56 yuan, with a low conversion premium of approximately 4.04% [5][6] - The financial performance of Maolai Optical shows a compound annual growth rate of 17.78% from 2019 to 2024, with revenue fluctuations and a projected revenue of 503 million yuan in 2024 [6] Company-Specific Insights - Hengyin Technology is highlighted as a leader in banking smart terminals, with a focus on blockchain technology to empower digital currency [7][8] - The company is expected to see revenue growth from 500 million yuan in 2025 to 800 million yuan in 2027, with a target price of 14.4 yuan for 2026 based on a 12x price-to-sales ratio [7][8] - The report emphasizes the importance of digital RMB and blockchain technology as key drivers for future growth, with a significant increase in overseas revenue expected [7][8]