Core Viewpoint - The China Convertible Bond Index remained flat at 491.85 points on December 31, with notable fluctuations in individual convertible bonds [1]. Group 1: Performance Highlights - Tianzhun Convertible Bond, Tianchuang Convertible Bond, Maolai Convertible Bond, Guanglian Convertible Bond, and Zai22 Convertible Bond had the highest gains, increasing by 30.00%, 20.00%, 8.04%, 7.71%, and 7.50% respectively [1]. - Conversely, Jiamei Convertible Bond, Ruida Convertible Bond, Shenyu Convertible Bond, Fuli Convertible Bond, and Yingtai Convertible Bond experienced the largest declines, with decreases of 10.50%, 4.67%, 3.50%, 3.36%, and 3.16% respectively [1].

发行端逐渐放量 12月10日，科创板公司茂莱光学发行的茂莱转债正式登陆市场，首日开盘即大涨30%，触发临时停牌机制，复牌后尾盘三分钟再度飙升，最高触及157.3元。随后的 交易日中，该转债的价格继续攀升，并在12月15日盘中一度上涨至187.65元，单签收益超过800元。 临近年末，可转债市场迎来一波发行小高峰，投资者打新热情高涨。 Wind数据显示，今年12月以来，普联转债、神宇转债、澳弘转债、天准转债、鼎捷转债5只新券陆续启动网上申购，涵盖智能制造、电子科技、能源软件等多个前 沿领域。与今年11月相比，可转债发行数量和规模均有所攀升。 值得一提的是，尽管新券发行提速，但市场供需失衡格局未改。在此背景下，新券上市后普遍实现大涨。比如12月10日上市的茂莱转债，上市首日上涨57.30%，并 在随后的交易日继续上涨，累计涨幅超过80%。 在二级市场火热的同时，一级市场发行也在逐渐放量。12月以来，普联转债等5只新券陆续网上发行，合计规模30.23亿元，较11月4只新券募资28.63亿元，发行数量 和规模均有所增加。 拉长时间看，Wind数据显示，今年以来，市场合计发行了47只可转债，合计发行规模为623.12亿 ...

Group 1 - The convertible bond market is experiencing a surge in new issuances, with five new bonds set to be offered for online subscription, indicating a strong demand despite a shrinking market size [1][4] - The newly listed Maolai Convertible Bond saw a significant increase of nearly 70% in its first two days of trading, highlighting the market's enthusiasm for new offerings [1][2] - The overall market for convertible bonds has contracted significantly, with a reduction of over 170 billion yuan since 2025, leading to a current market size of 560.6 billion yuan, down from 733.7 billion yuan at the beginning of the year [7][8] Group 2 - The Maolai Convertible Bond, issued by Maolai Optics, has a total issuance size of 562.5 million yuan and is part of the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, which has attracted considerable market interest [3][6] - Upcoming convertible bonds include those from Pulin, Shenyu, Aohong, Tianzhun, and Dingjie, with a focus on technology and digital solutions [5][6] - The scarcity of new convertible bonds is evident, with only three companies currently approved for issuance by the China Securities Regulatory Commission, indicating a tight supply in the market [7][8]

每经AI快讯，12月10日，茂莱转债(118061)今日上市。 ...

Group 1 - Shareholders of Oujing Technology plan to reduce their holdings by no more than 3% of the company's shares [1] - Shareholders of Mingxin Xuteng also intend to collectively reduce their holdings by no more than 3% of the company's shares [1] - The actual controller of Guolian Aviation has lifted the lien on the company [1] Group 2 - Daotong Technology has received a warning letter due to undisclosed related party fund occupation and undisclosed concerted action among the top ten shareholders [1] - The company failed to disclose changes in related transactions, related party fund occupation, and the concerted action relationship between shareholder Li Hong and Xuan Yuan Ke Xin No. 46 Private Securities Investment Fund [1] - The shareholder meeting documents did not record the deliberation process and key points of discussion [1] Group 3 - Huamao Convertible Bonds will not be forcibly redeemed [2] - Le Pu Convertible Bonds 2 and Changhong Convertible Bonds will not undergo a downward adjustment [2] - Maolai Convertible Bonds are set to be listed on December 10 [2] Group 4 - Various convertible bonds have been listed with their current prices, strong redemption prices, last trading days, last conversion days, conversion values, remaining scales, and the proportion of convertible bonds to the underlying stocks [4] - For example, Hongfa Convertible Bonds have a current price of 127.959, a strong redemption price of 100.222, and a remaining scale of 1.922 billion [4] Group 5 - Several convertible bonds are approaching their strong redemption dates, with specific days remaining and their respective current prices and conversion values listed [7] - For instance, Hu Gong Convertible Bonds have 2 days remaining until strong redemption, with a current price of 139.840 and a conversion value of 141.02 [7]

Macro Strategy - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that the main theme of China's economy in 2025 is to respond to changes, influenced by external factors such as fluctuating tariffs and internal factors like asset revaluation and investment growth turning negative [1][4] - For 2026, the focus will shift to maintaining continuity, with reduced uncertainty in macro changes and increased visibility in economic policies. Five key areas of focus include policy continuity, AI-driven supply, consumption upgrades, asset-liability repair, and anti-involution price strategies [1][4] - The expected economic growth rate for 2026 is around 4.9%, with consumption and export growth slightly declining while investment growth is anticipated to improve [1][4] Company Analysis - The report highlights the company "联德股份" as a leading player in the precision casting industry, benefiting from AI-driven demand in cooling and power supply sectors. The company has established long-term partnerships with major global clients [7][8] - The projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for the company's revenue and net profit from 2016 to 2024 is 12.7% and 13.3%, respectively, indicating a strong growth trend [7][8] - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 2.2 billion, 3.0 billion, and 4.1 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 38, 28, and 20 times [7][8] Industry Insights - The report emphasizes the high growth in demand for cooling and backup power driven by AIDC (Artificial Intelligence Data Center) needs, with the U.S. AIDC cooling component market expected to exceed 10 billion yuan by 2028 [8] - The engineering machinery sector is also projected to recover, with the company positioned to benefit from increased demand starting in 2025 [8] - The company's integrated casting and machining capabilities provide a competitive edge, allowing it to participate deeply in client R&D and design, leading to higher product value and profitability [8]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In the week from November 17 - 21, 2025, the stock market oscillated downward due to factors like geopolitical tensions, concerns about overseas AI bubbles, and weakening interest - rate cut expectations. The bond market had a narrow - range oscillation. The convertible bond market mostly declined, with the CSI Convertible Bond Index down 1.78% for the week, the price median down 1.89%, and the arithmetic average parity down 6.70%. The overall market conversion premium rate increased by 7.72% compared to the previous week [1][8][9]. - During the period from November 24 - 28, 2025, the convertible bond market showed strong resilience during the A - share adjustment. Fed officials' dovish signals may improve market sentiment, and the convertible bond asset prices have strong bottom support. Attention should be paid to sectors such as energy storage, power, semiconductor equipment and materials, photovoltaic, and chemical industries, and high - volatility underlying stocks in balanced convertible bonds or low - premium equity - biased individual bonds should be selected [2][18]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market Trends - **Stock Market**: In the week from November 17 - 21, 2025, the market oscillated downward. All Shenwan primary industries closed down. Banks (-0.89%), media (-1.25%), food and beverage (-1.44%), national defense and military industry (-1.72%), and household appliances (-2.30%) performed relatively well, while power equipment (-10.54%), comprehensive (-9.18%), basic chemicals (-7.47%), and commercial retail (-7.24%) performed poorly [8][9]. - **Bond Market**: At the beginning of the week, the capital was tight, and it became balanced and loose in the second half of the week. The bond market had a narrow - range oscillation, and the 10 - year Treasury bond rate closed at 1.82% on Friday, up 0.26bp from the previous week [1][9]. - **Convertible Bond Market**: Most convertible bond individual bonds declined. The CSI Convertible Bond Index was down 1.78% for the week, the price median was down 1.89%, and the arithmetic average parity was down 6.70%. The overall market conversion premium rate increased by 7.72% compared to the previous week. The total trading volume of the convertible bond market last week was 318.036 billion yuan, with an average daily trading volume of 63.607 billion yuan, a decrease from the previous week [1][9][16]. Valuation Overview - As of November 21, 2025, for equity - biased convertible bonds, the average conversion premium rates in different price ranges are at relatively high percentile values. For debt - biased convertible bonds, the average YTM of those with a parity below 70 yuan is -4.27%, at the 1%/4% percentile since 2010/2021. The average implied volatility of all convertible bonds is 46.1%, at the 93%/99% percentile since 2010/2021 [19]. Primary Market Tracking - **Last Week (November 17 - 21, 2025)**: Maolai Convertible Bond was announced for issuance, and Qizhong Convertible Bond was listed. Maolai Convertible Bond has a scale of 563 million yuan, and Qizhong Convertible Bond has a scale of 850 million yuan [27][28]. - **Next Week (November 24 - 28, 2025)**: Zhuomei Convertible Bond is expected to be listed, with a scale of 450 million yuan [29][30]. - **Approval Progress**: Last week, 2 companies including Aohong Electronics and Pulian Software got registration approval, 1 company including Chunfeng Power passed the listing committee review, 4 companies including Haoneng Co., Ltd. passed the general meeting of shareholders, and 1 company including Zhaomin Technology had a board of directors' plan. As of now, there are 95 convertible bonds to be issued, with a total scale of 143.93 billion yuan [31].

Group 1 - The article discusses the stock issuance of China Axis Industry, with an issuance price of 17.89 yuan and a subscription limit of 52,000 shares [1] - The industry price-earnings ratio is noted as 27.06, while the company's price-earnings ratio is 27.57, indicating a competitive valuation within the sector [1] - The article also mentions the convertible bond of Maolai Optical, with a conversion price set at 364.43 yuan and a bond rating of A+ [1]

Macro Strategy - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that the main theme of China's economy in 2025 is to respond to changes, influenced by external factors such as fluctuating tariffs and internal factors like asset revaluation and investment trends [1][4] - For 2026, the focus will be on continuity and adaptation, with five key areas of transition: policy support, AI-driven supply, consumption upgrades, wealth recovery, and price stability [1][4] - Economic growth is projected at around 4.9%, with consumption and export growth slightly declining while investment growth is expected to improve [1][4] Fixed Income and Equity Analysis - The report discusses the issuance of Maolai Convertible Bonds, with a total issuance scale of 563 million yuan, aimed at funding precision optical production and R&D projects [5][6] - The expected listing price range for Maolai Convertible Bonds is between 129.60 and 143.56 yuan, with a low conversion premium of approximately 4.04% [5][6] - The financial performance of Maolai Optical shows a compound annual growth rate of 17.78% from 2019 to 2024, with revenue fluctuations and a projected revenue of 503 million yuan in 2024 [6] Company-Specific Insights - Hengyin Technology is highlighted as a leader in banking smart terminals, with a focus on blockchain technology to empower digital currency [7][8] - The company is expected to see revenue growth from 500 million yuan in 2025 to 800 million yuan in 2027, with a target price of 14.4 yuan for 2026 based on a 12x price-to-sales ratio [7][8] - The report emphasizes the importance of digital RMB and blockchain technology as key drivers for future growth, with a significant increase in overseas revenue expected [7][8]