镁合金："镁"启轻量化新纪元，汽车与机器人共拓蓝海 20251121 摘要 镁合金因其成本优势（较铝价低 3,000 元/吨）和技术进步（如半固态压 铸提升性能并延长模具寿命）在汽车轻量化领域具有广阔的应用前景， 预计到 2030 年单车用量可达 80 公斤以上，一体压铸技术普及后可能 突破 100 公斤。 新能源汽车市场是镁合金需求增长的关键驱动力。假设 2030 年新能源 汽车占比 70%，且 35%的零部件采用镁合金，市场总用量将达 74 万吨， 市场规模接近 400 亿元人民币，复合增长率超过 50%。 机器人行业对轻量化需求明确，镁合金在减震散热、比强度及电子电热 性能方面的优势使其在膝关节、结构件和支撑件等应用中潜力巨大，远 期来看，机器人领域对镁合金的需求将显著提升。 目前镁合金市场规模约为 667 亿元，未来市场达到 1 亿台的规模，整体 市场空间可能会扩展到 2000 多亿元。因此，远期来看，机器人领域对 镁合金的需求将显著提升。 目前镁合金市场规模约为 667 亿元。如果未来市场达到 1 亿台的规模，并且假 设加工费大幅下降，整体市场空间可能会扩展到 2000 多亿元。因此，远期来 看，机 ...

评级调低方面，11月17日至11月23日，券商调低上市公司评级达到7家次，最新数据包括了华创证券对太阳能的评 级从"强推"调低至"推荐"，西部证券对源杰科技的评级从"买入"调低至"增持"，华创证券对泰坦科技的评级从"强 推"调低至"推荐"。 | | | | 7家最新被调低评级的公司 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 证券代码 | 证券名称 | 机构 | 此前评级 | 最新评级 | 行业 | | 000591 | 太阳能 | 华创证券 | 强推 | 推荐 | 电力 | | 688498 | 源杰科技 | 西部证券 | 采入 | 増持 | 半导体 | | 688133 | 泰坦科技 | 华创证券 | 强推 | 推荐 | 化学制品 | | 000938 | 紫光股份 | 西部证券 | 买人 | 増持 | IT服务 | | 688232 | 新点软件 | 中泰证券 | 买人 | 増持 | 软件开发 | | 688056 | 菜伯泰科 | 华创证券 | 賀推 | 推荐 | 通用设备 | | 002541 | 鸿路钢构 | 华创证券 | 賀推 | 推荐 | 专业工 ...

南财投研通数据显示，11月17日至11月23日，券商给予上市公司目标价共118次，按最新收盘价计算，目标价涨幅 排名居前的公司有万丰奥威、光迅科技、太辰光，目标价涨幅分别为89.64%、81.99%、71.51%，分别属于汽车零 部件、通信设备、通信设备行业。 评级调低方面，11月17日至11月23日，券商调低上市公司评级达到7家次，最新数据包括了华创证券对太阳能的评 级从"强推"调低至"推荐"，西部证券对源杰科技的评级从"买入"调低至"增持"，华创证券对泰坦科技的评级从"强 推"调低至"推荐"。 | | | | 7家最新被调低评级的公司 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 证券代码 | 证券名称 | 机构 | 此前评级 | 最新评级 | 行业 | | 000591 | 太阳能 | 华创证券 | 强推 | 推荐 | 电力 | | 688498 | 源杰科技 | 西部证券 | 采入 | 増持 | 半导体 | | 688133 | 泰坦科技 | 华创证券 | 强推 | 推荐 | 化学制品 | | 000938 | 紫光股份 | 西部证券 | 买人 | 増持 ...

（原标题：万丰奥威目标价涨幅近90%；太阳能等7家公司评级被调低｜券商评级观察） 评级调高方面，11月17日至11月23日，券商调高上市公司评级达到3家次，最新数据包括了财信证券对 华东重机的评级从"持有"调高至"增持"，华泰证券对中国石化的评级从"增持"调高至"买入"，中信证券 对鸿远电子的评级从"增持"调高至"买入"。 评级调低方面，11月17日至11月23日，券商调低上市公司评级达到7家次，最新数据包括了华创证券对 太阳能的评级从"强推"调低至"推荐"，西部证券对源杰科技的评级从"买入"调低至"增持"，华创证券对 泰坦科技的评级从"强推"调低至"推荐"。 首次覆盖方面，11月17日至11月23日券商共给出了77次首次覆盖，其中德力佳获得国信证券给予"优于 大市"评级，圆通速递、延江股份获得中泰证券分别给予"增持""买入"评级，远东股份获得天风证券给 予"买入"评级，蓝思科技获得华金证券给予"买入"评级。 免责声明：文中涉及的观点、数据、个股等要素仅供参考，不构成投资建议，操作风险自担，投资有风 险，入市需谨慎。 南财投研通数据显示，11月17日至11月23日，券商给予上市公司目标价共118次，按最新收盘 ...

Core Insights - The low-altitude economy is experiencing significant progress in stimulating investment and enhancing local safety regulation, with the State Council issuing measures to encourage private capital participation in infrastructure development [1] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" includes low-altitude economy as part of strategic emerging industries, emphasizing innovation and large-scale application of new technologies [1] - Guotai Junan Securities anticipates that WanFeng Aviation (002085.SZ) will benefit from ongoing policies supporting the low-altitude economy [1] Company Overview - WanFeng Aviation has established four major aircraft design and R&D centers in Austria, Canada, Czech Republic, and Germany, along with a provincial engineering research center in China [2] - The company holds intellectual property for 18 aircraft models, with a strong customer base across Europe, North America, Asia-Pacific, and the Middle East [2] - WanFeng is focusing on the development of fixed-wing electric aircraft, eVTOL, and drones, aiming to create efficient and sustainable vertical take-off and landing vehicles for the global low-altitude market [2] Product Development - The company is set to acquire core assets of Volocopter by March 2025, aiming to provide eVTOL solutions for various scenarios, including passenger and cargo transport within 300 kilometers [3] - The Volo XPro and Volo City models are in development, with the former targeting the private leisure market and expected to complete certification by 2026 [3] - The low-altitude economy market in China is projected to reach 1.5 trillion yuan by 2025 and 3.5 trillion yuan by 2035, indicating substantial growth potential [3] Future Outlook - Guoyuan Securities believes that as the low-altitude economy develops, WanFeng Aviation will enhance its aircraft model offerings to cater to domestic private flights, short-distance transport, and special purposes [4] - The company aims to integrate aircraft manufacturing with intelligent systems and take-off/landing facilities to create a cohesive urban air traffic system [4]

Core Viewpoint - The company is positioned in the "big transportation" sector, focusing on dual-engine development strategy, aiming to become a global leader in automotive lightweight components and general aviation manufacturing [17][19]. Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a net profit of 229 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 38% [8]. - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported revenue of 11.416 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.40%, and a net profit of 729 million yuan, up 29.38% year-on-year [2][8]. - The company's Q3 2025 revenue was 3.922 billion yuan, down 1.93% year-on-year and 0.14% quarter-on-quarter [2][8]. - The gross profit margin for Q3 2025 was 15.3%, a decrease of 0.4 percentage points year-on-year and 3.5 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [3][9]. Business Segments Automotive Lightweight Components - The automotive lightweight components segment generated revenue of 9.385 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, a slight increase of 0.02% year-on-year [19]. - The company is enhancing customer structure and focusing on the development of aluminum and magnesium alloy lightweight applications, aiming to improve production efficiency and reduce costs [19][22]. - The company is also working on the localization of magnesium alloy large die-casting applications to meet the rising demand for lightweight materials in the automotive sector [19][22]. General Aviation and eVTOL - The general aviation manufacturing segment achieved revenue of 2.031 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 2.20% [20]. - The company is focusing on an innovative manufacturing model that integrates R&D, technology transfer, manufacturing, and after-sales service [20][26]. - The acquisition of Volocopter's core assets in March 2025 is aimed at establishing a business ecosystem for urban air mobility solutions [20][25]. - The company is actively developing new aircraft models, including eVTOL and drones, to capture opportunities in the emerging low-altitude economy [20][25]. Market Trends - The company is strategically positioned to leverage the growth of the low-altitude economy and the increasing demand for electric aircraft and eVTOL solutions [20][25]. - The automotive lightweight sector is expected to benefit from the transition to electric vehicles, with the company enhancing its collaboration with key new energy customers [21][22].

Group 1 - The company reported a year-on-year increase in net profit attributable to shareholders in its Q3 2025 report, with a net profit of 730 million yuan, up 29.4% year-on-year [2] - The company achieved a revenue of 11.42 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting a 0.4% year-on-year growth [2] - The gross margin for Q3 2025 was 15.3%, a decrease of 0.4 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin improved to 6.6%, an increase of 1.2 percentage points year-on-year [2] Group 2 - The "14th Five-Year Plan" includes low-altitude economy as a "strategic emerging industry cluster," aiming to foster new and future industries [3] - The plan emphasizes the development of strategic emerging industries such as new energy, new materials, aerospace, and low-altitude economy, which is expected to benefit the company's general aviation aircraft business [3] Group 3 - The company is actively integrating resources from Volocopter, with the TC certification for its manned eVTOL products expected soon [4] - The company aims to provide eVTOL solutions for both passenger and cargo transport within a range of 300 kilometers, with the Volocopter 2X and VoloCity models leading the certification process [4] - The VoloCity model is designed to meet stringent EASA standards and is currently undergoing TC certification [4]

Core Insights - Insurance capital continues to increase its allocation to equity assets, with the proportion of equity assets reaching near historical highs in Q3 2025 [1] - The allocation structure shows a significant increase in technology and a reduction in high-end manufacturing sectors [5][6] - Insurance capital has accelerated its stake acquisitions in listed companies, particularly in Hong Kong stocks, with a notable increase in the number of acquisitions compared to previous years [9] Allocation Trends - In Q3 2025, the allocation of insurance capital to various asset classes is as follows: bank deposits (7.9%), bonds (50.3%), stocks (10.0%), funds (5.5%), long-term equity investments (7.9%), and other assets (18.4%) [1] - The investment proportions in bank deposits and bonds decreased by 0.7 percentage points and 0.8 percentage points, respectively, while the investment in stocks and funds surged to 15.5%, approaching the historical peak of 16.1% in H1 2015 [1] Sector and Stock Preferences - Insurance capital has significantly increased its allocation to banks, steel, and textile sectors, while reducing holdings in high-end manufacturing sectors such as new energy and military [5] - Key stocks that saw increased investment include Agricultural Bank of China, Postal Savings Bank, Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, and Hikvision, while reductions were noted in stocks like Goldwind Technology and Aviation Industry Corporation of China [6][8] Shareholding Activities - In 2025, insurance capital has made 30 stake acquisitions in listed companies, surpassing the total for the entire years of 2020 and 2024, with 25 of these acquisitions in Hong Kong stocks [9] - The trend indicates a shift towards acquiring dividend-yielding assets in Hong Kong due to declining bond yields and rising traditional dividend assets [9]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6][3]. Core Insights - The company has achieved a net profit of 229 million yuan in Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 38%. For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 11.416 billion yuan, up 0.40% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 729 million yuan, up 29.38% year-on-year [1][9]. - The automotive lightweight components business continues to optimize customer structure and enhance R&D efforts in aluminum and magnesium alloy applications. The company is also expanding its collaboration with key new energy customers [2][25]. - The general aviation aircraft manufacturing business is focused on innovation, with a strong order book and ongoing development of new aircraft models, including eVTOL and drones. The acquisition of Volocopter's core assets aims to create a commercial ecosystem for urban air mobility solutions [2][26]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company reported a revenue of 3.922 billion yuan, down 1.93% year-on-year, and a net profit of 229 million yuan, up 38.14% year-on-year. The gross margin for Q3 was 15.3%, a decrease of 0.4 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin improved by 1.3 percentage points to 6.6% [1][18]. - For the first three quarters of 2025, the automotive lightweight components revenue was 9.385 billion yuan, a slight increase of 0.02% year-on-year, while the general aviation aircraft revenue was 2.031 billion yuan, up 2.20% year-on-year [9][26]. Business Segments - The automotive lightweight components segment focuses on aluminum and magnesium alloys, with ongoing efforts to enhance production efficiency and optimize product structure for new energy vehicles [25][29]. - The general aviation segment is expanding its market presence with a robust order book and continuous innovation in aircraft manufacturing, including the development of eVTOL and other new aircraft models [2][26]. Future Outlook - The company maintains its revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 at 17.843 billion yuan, 19.328 billion yuan, and 21.098 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits projected at 1.001 billion yuan, 1.201 billion yuan, and 1.405 billion yuan [3][35].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6][3][35] Core Insights - The company reported a net profit of 229 million yuan in Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 38%. For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 11.416 billion yuan, up 0.40% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 729 million yuan, up 29.38% year-on-year [1][9] - The company focuses on lightweight automotive components and general aviation aircraft manufacturing, positioning itself as a leader in the low-altitude economy through its eVTOL and other aviation innovations [2][25][28] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 3.922 billion yuan, down 1.93% year-on-year and 0.14% quarter-on-quarter. The net profit for the same quarter was 229 million yuan, up 38.14% year-on-year and 1.35% quarter-on-quarter [1][9] - The gross margin for Q3 2025 was 15.3%, a decrease of 0.4 percentage points year-on-year and 3.5 percentage points quarter-on-quarter. The net margin improved by 1.3 percentage points year-on-year to 6.6% [1][18] Business Segments - The automotive lightweight components segment generated revenue of 9.385 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, a slight increase of 0.02% year-on-year. The general aviation aircraft manufacturing segment achieved revenue of 2.031 billion yuan, up 2.20% year-on-year [1][26] - The company is enhancing its customer structure and focusing on the development of aluminum and magnesium alloy lightweight applications, while also expanding its collaboration with core new energy customers [2][25] Future Outlook - The company maintains its revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 at 17.843 billion yuan, 19.328 billion yuan, and 21.098 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits projected at 1.001 billion yuan, 1.201 billion yuan, and 1.405 billion yuan [3][35] - The company is actively pursuing opportunities in the low-altitude economy, particularly through the development of eVTOL aircraft and expanding its market presence in urban air mobility solutions [2][28]