Financial Projections - The estimated net profit for the period from January 1, 2025, to December 31, 2025, is projected to be a loss of between 24,000 and 29,000 million yuan, compared to a loss of 24,912.70 million yuan in the same period last year [3]. - The estimated net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses is projected to be a loss of between 25,800 and 30,800 million yuan, compared to a loss of 26,339.65 million yuan in the same period last year [3]. - The basic earnings per share is expected to be a loss of between 0.69 and 0.83 yuan per share, compared to a loss of 0.71 yuan per share in the same period last year [3]. Operational Challenges - The primary reason for the expected loss is the imbalance in supply and demand in the broiler chicken industry, with slow capacity reduction and low market prices for chicken products due to intensified competition and insufficient downstream purchasing power [5]. - The company’s main products, including broiler chicks and chicken products, are facing price pressure and low profitability, leading to operational losses [5]. Financial Reporting - The financial data presented is preliminary and has not been audited by the accounting firm, with no significant discrepancies reported between the company and the accounting firm regarding the earnings forecast [4]. - Investors are advised to make cautious decisions and be aware of investment risks due to the preliminary nature of the earnings forecast [6].

Core Viewpoint - The aquaculture sector experienced a rise of 1.85% on January 29, with Fu Cheng Co., Ltd. leading the gains, while the overall market showed mixed results with the Shanghai Composite Index up by 0.16% and the Shenzhen Component Index down by 0.3% [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The aquaculture sector's performance was highlighted by Fu Cheng Co., Ltd. closing at 6.46, up by 5.38% with a trading volume of 347,300 shares and a transaction value of 223 million yuan [1] - Other notable performers included Mu Yuan Co., Ltd. at 46.33, up by 2.64%, and Wen's Foodstuffs Group at 15.55, up by 1.97% [1] - The overall trading volume for the aquaculture sector was significant, with Mu Yuan Co., Ltd. alone accounting for a transaction value of 2.824 billion yuan [1] Group 2: Capital Flow - The aquaculture sector saw a net inflow of 253 million yuan from main funds, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 82.155 million yuan [2] - Main funds showed a positive net inflow in companies like Mu Yuan Co., Ltd. with 24.6 million yuan and Wen's Foodstuffs Group with 95.752 million yuan [3] - Conversely, retail investors showed significant outflows in companies such as Mu Yuan Co., Ltd. with 132 million yuan and Fu Cheng Co., Ltd. with 6.78 million yuan [3]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Buy" [2] Core Insights - The poultry industry is expected to see an improvement in the supply chain in 2026, driven by a rebound in prices and a gradual recovery in profitability for the breeding sector [5][91] - The integration trend within the industry is becoming more pronounced, with leading companies benefiting from their downstream channel advantages and collaborative efforts across the supply chain [5][24] - The domestic poultry sector is experiencing a shift towards self-breeding and the replacement of imported breeds due to disruptions caused by avian influenza outbreaks abroad [5][39] Summary by Sections 1. 2025 Poultry Industry Maintains Marginal Profitability, Clear Integration Trend - The poultry industry maintained marginal profitability in 2025, with upstream breeding segments performing better than downstream farming and processing sectors [5][14] - The average price of parent stock chicks in 2025 was 44.75 CNY/set, a slight decrease of 0.7% year-on-year, while the average price of commercial chicks was 2.51 CNY each, down 13% year-on-year [5][17] - The total slaughter volume of the top 10 companies reached 4.274 billion birds, accounting for 45.99% of the market, indicating a trend towards consolidation [5][24] 2. Avian Influenza Disrupts Imports, Accelerates Domestic Breed Replacement - In 2025, the cumulative update of grandparent stock chickens was 1.574 million sets, a year-on-year increase of 4.9%, with domestic breeds accounting for approximately 60% of the updates [5][39] - The outbreak of avian influenza in France in December 2025 led to a halt in overseas imports, increasing the uncertainty of supply from abroad [5][46] - Domestic breeds are showing improved performance, with the replacement rate of domestic breeds rising to 34% in 2025 [5][57] 3. 2026 Supply Chain Expected to Improve, Capacity Elasticity Remains a Concern - The inventory of grandparent stock chickens is expected to decline in early 2026, with estimates showing a year-on-year decrease of approximately 3.3% and 12% in March and April, respectively [5][69] - The overall supply of the poultry industry is anticipated to gradually improve in 2026, with profitability expected to return to the breeding sector [5][87] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring parent stock chick sales as a key indicator of supply trends [5][76] 4. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies such as Shengnong Development, Yisheng, Minhe, Xiantan, and Hefeng, which are well-positioned to benefit from the ongoing integration and recovery in the poultry industry [5][91]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Recommended" [4] Core Viewpoints - The report indicates that after a rise, the price of broiler chickens has slightly decreased, while the price of chick seedlings has stabilized at a high level [2][9] - The report highlights that the supply of broiler chickens is currently tight due to external weather factors and chicken diseases affecting survival rates, which initially supported price increases [9] - The report suggests that the recent outbreak of highly pathogenic avian influenza in France may lead to a supply gap, potentially improving industry conditions [45] Summary by Sections Market Overview - In December, the average transaction price of broiler chickens was 3.68 yuan per jin, showing a trend of rising first and then falling [9] - The average price of chick seedlings for December was 3.56 yuan per chick, with prices initially rising due to demand from large-scale farms [9][12] Production Capacity - As of December 2025, the average stock of parent broiler chickens was 21.3 million sets, down 2.7% year-on-year [3][33] - The average stock of grandparent broiler chickens was 1.3586 million sets, up 6.4% year-on-year [32][35] Financial Performance - In December, the profit from broiler chicken farming was -0.26 yuan per bird, while the profit from hatcheries was 0.77 yuan per bird [40][42] - The report notes that the sales volume of broiler meat for Shengnong was 147,600 tons, up 14.24% year-on-year, and for Xiantan, it was 55,100 tons, up 11.99% year-on-year [21][27] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies such as Shengnong Development, Yisheng Shares, and Hefeng Shares due to potential supply gaps and ongoing improvements in domestic breeding efficiency [45]

Core Viewpoint - The aquaculture sector experienced a decline of 2.68% on January 27, with Xiaoming Co. leading the drop [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4139.9, up 0.18%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14329.91, up 0.09% [1] - Key stocks in the aquaculture sector showed significant declines, with Xiaoming Co. down 6.27% to a closing price of 19.59 [1] - Other notable declines included ST Tianshan down 5.40%, Fucheng Co. down 5.01%, and Huaying Agriculture down 3.66% [1] Group 2: Trading Volume and Capital Flow - The aquaculture sector saw a net outflow of 456 million yuan from main funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 232 million yuan [1] - The trading volume for Xiaoming Co. was 125,200 shares, with a transaction value of 246 million yuan [1] - Lihua Co. had a net inflow of 14.20 million yuan from main funds, while retail investors had a net outflow of 30.52 million yuan [2]

Investment Rating - Investment rating: Positive (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The report highlights supply pressures in the poultry industry, particularly due to overseas avian influenza affecting domestic breeding, leading to a temporary halt in the introduction of grandparent stock, which supports white feather broiler prices in the short term [3][13][19] - The demand for yellow feather broilers is under pressure due to seasonal demand decline and reduced restocking, with prices expected to rebound slightly due to pre-festival demand but remain generally weak [4][28] - Egg prices continue to decline, with high inventory levels prompting accelerated culling of hens, which may provide some support for future egg prices [36] Summary by Sections White Feather Broilers - December 2025 national average sales price for white feather broilers was 7.44 yuan/kg, up by 0.31 yuan/kg month-on-month, with a loss of 0.26 yuan per bird, an increase of 0.75 yuan [3][13] - The total stock of white feather grandparent stock at the end of December was 2.3377 million sets, up by 11.3% month-on-month, with parent stock at 36.9395 million sets, up by 0.1% [15][19] Yellow Feather Broilers - December average sales price for medium-speed yellow feather broilers was 11.77 yuan/kg, down by 3.07% month-on-month, with parent stock sales down by 10.43% [4][28] - Total stock of yellow feather grandparent stock at the end of December was 2.7411 million sets, down by 1.03% month-on-month [4][28] Egg Production - December egg price was 2.89 yuan/kg, down by 0.79% month-on-month, with egg-laying hen profit at -26.60 yuan per bird, an increase of 1.80 yuan [36] - The total stock of laying hens at the end of December was 1.295 billion, down by 0.92% month-on-month, but up by 7.11% year-on-year [36] Sales Performance - December sales volume of white feather chick seedlings was 408 million, remaining stable month-on-month, with parent stock sales up by 17.56% [15][38] - December chicken meat sales varied, with Xiantan Co. reporting a sales volume of 51,200 tons, down by 3.08% month-on-month, but revenue increased by 9.56% [51] - December sales volume of yellow feather broilers varied, with Wens Foodstuffs reporting a sales volume of 109 million birds, down by 7.06% month-on-month [56]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive investment rating for the pig farming sector, recommending continued investment in this area due to low valuations and expected profitability [4]. Core Insights - The report highlights a rebound in pig prices to 13 CNY/kg, with self-breeding and self-raising operations achieving profitability for two consecutive weeks [4]. - The white feather breeding stock update for 2025 is projected at 1.5742 million sets, with a year-on-year increase of 4.9% [5]. - The pet food market in urban China is expected to reach 312.6 billion CNY in 2025, growing by 4.1% year-on-year [6]. Summary by Sections Pig Farming - Pig prices have rebounded to 13 CNY/kg, with a week-on-week increase of 0.7%. The average weight of pigs at slaughter has risen to 128.89 kg, with a decrease in the proportion of heavier pigs [4]. - The profitability of self-breeding and self-raising operations has reached 43.35 CNY per head, marking a significant recovery since December 2025 [4]. - The report forecasts a new wave of price declines post-Spring Festival, indicating potential capacity reduction in the pig farming industry [4]. Poultry Farming - The white feather breeding stock update for 2025 is 1.5742 million sets, with 55% from self-breeding and 45% from imports. The price of yellow feather chicken has increased by 2.6% week-on-week [5]. - The average price of chicken products is reported at 9,250 CNY/ton, with a slight year-on-year decrease of 0.5% [5]. Pet Industry - The urban pet market is projected to grow to 312.6 billion CNY in 2025, with dog and cat markets at 160.6 billion CNY and 152.0 billion CNY, respectively [6]. - The number of pet dogs and cats in urban areas is expected to reach 126.32 million, with a year-on-year growth of 1.8% [8]. - Pet food remains the primary consumption category, accounting for 53.7% of the market share, with a projected market size of approximately 167.9 billion CNY in 2025 [8].

Core Viewpoint - The aquaculture sector experienced a decline of 0.88% on January 21, with Fucheng Co. leading the drop, while the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.08% and the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.7% [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - The aquaculture sector's stocks showed mixed performance, with Jingji Zhino rising by 9.99% to a closing price of 18.50, while Fucheng Co. fell by 3.00% to 6.14 [1][2]. - The total trading volume for the aquaculture sector was significant, with Jingji Zhino recording a volume of 286,200 shares and a transaction value of 524 million yuan [1]. Group 2: Capital Flow - The aquaculture sector saw a net outflow of 242 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 214 million yuan [2]. - The capital flow data indicates that Jingji Zhino had a net inflow of 65.57 million yuan from institutional investors, while Fucheng Co. had a smaller net inflow of 1.85 million yuan [3].

证券日报网1月15日讯 ，民和股份在接受调研者提问时表示，当前公司大股东股份未进行质押。 （文章来源：证券日报） ...

证券日报网1月15日讯 ，民和股份在接受调研者提问时表示，公司当前还是以养殖肉鸡为主，围绕养鸡 运作，没有多元化发展计划。 （文章来源：证券日报） ...