Core Viewpoint - The new trade-in policy, supported by a 300 billion subsidy, is reshaping three major industries: home appliances, automobiles, and consumer electronics, presenting investment opportunities for medium to long-term investors [1] Group 1: Home Appliances - The home appliance sector receives the largest subsidy, with up to 20% off for 12 product categories, capped at 2000 yuan per item. Sales surged by 23% year-on-year in the first four months of this year, with leading companies like Midea and Gree operating at full capacity [3] - High-end smart products, such as the Casarte series, have seen sales double post-subsidy, indicating a long-term trend of consumption upgrading [3] Group 2: Automotive Sector - The new energy vehicle segment is the biggest beneficiary, with a 20,000 yuan trade-in subsidy boosting sales. BYD's Han series orders exceeded 80,000 units in April [3] - The battery supply chain, including companies like CATL and Purtai, is also benefiting from this trend. The automotive aftermarket is highlighted as a promising area, with Tianqi's dismantling equipment orders extending to Q4 and Gree's battery recycling business achieving a gross margin of 28% [3] Group 3: Consumer Electronics - Although the subsidies in consumer electronics are smaller, they cover a wide range of products, including mobile phones and tablets. The Honor 90 series has over 40% of its sales through trade-in channels, and the inventory turnover days for core distributor Aishide have decreased to 15 days [3] - VR device manufacturer GoerTek has secured new orders from Meta, with expectations for Q3 performance to exceed forecasts [3] Group 4: Investment Strategy - Investment should focus on three dimensions: core leaders, supporting supply chains, and regional leaders. Recommended stocks include Midea Group and Haier Smart Home in home appliances, BYD and Top Group in new energy vehicles, and Luxshare Precision and Shenzhen South Circuit in consumer electronics [4] - Key timelines for investment include the release of home appliance energy-saving subsidy details in June, the launch of new energy vehicles in August, and the consumer electronics exhibition in November. Early positioning can capture policy-driven benefits [4] Group 5: Market Trends - The policy is expected to accelerate the concentration of the three industries. The market share of the top five companies in the home appliance sector has increased from 68% in 2019 to 79% currently, while the top ten automotive companies now hold over 92% market share [4] - The focus should be on companies with stable cash flow and a dividend yield exceeding 3% to seize structural opportunities [4]

点击招商研究小程序查看PDF报告原文 公司公告2025年一季报，结合季报表现和公司业绩说明会内容，我们点评如下： 25Q1业绩稳健增长，业务结构持续优化，盈利能力有所改善。 公司25Q1实现总营收47.83亿元同比+20.75%环比-1.54%；归母净利润4.91亿元 同比+29.47%环比+26.17%；扣非归母净利4.85亿元同比+44.64%环比+33.40%。毛利率 24.74%同比-0.45pct环比+2.79pct，净利率10.29%同比 +0.71pct环比+2.25pct，毛利率同比下滑主因源于广芯ABF载板产能仍处于爬坡期，折旧同比增加，且上游金属及基材成本受涨价影响有所上 升。公司Q1整体稼动率保持相对满产水平，业务结构进一步优化，PCB及载板业务中AI相关的订单占比持续提升。 25Q2展望积极：订单饱满，业务结构继续优化，高端载板放量在即。 目前公司下游PCB订单能见度较长，国内产能利用率延续Q1较高的水平， 且与 AI相关的订单占比持续提升。载板方面，BT 在存储领域的订单旺盛推动结构优化带动毛利改善，FC-GBA载板量产项目持续增多，呈现放 量趋势，亏损有望得以收窄。 今明年，受益国 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a steady growth in Q1 2025, with a total revenue of 4.783 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 20.75% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 1.54% [1] - The company is optimistic about Q2 2025, expecting continued order fulfillment and further optimization of its business structure, particularly in high-end substrates [1][2] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of 491 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 29.47% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 26.17% [1] - The company's gross margin was 24.74%, down 0.45 percentage points year-on-year but up 2.79 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, while the net profit margin was 10.29%, up 0.71 percentage points year-on-year and 2.25 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [1] - The company expects revenue for 2025-2027 to be 21.53 billion, 25.44 billion, and 29.28 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits of 2.49 billion, 3.07 billion, and 3.63 billion yuan, leading to EPS of 4.85, 5.98, and 7.07 yuan [2] Business Outlook - The company is positioned to benefit from the increasing domestic demand for computing power and the acceleration of advanced packaging substrates for domestic chips [2] - The company is actively expanding its high-end capacity and has a strong order visibility for PCB, particularly with AI-related orders continuing to rise [1][2] - The company is also seeing a positive trend in the ramp-up of its FC-BGA high-end substrate production line, which is expected to reduce losses [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2] Core Insights - The company reported a significant year-on-year increase in net profit of 84% for Q1 2024, indicating a strong recovery in profitability [5] - The growth in revenue is driven by increasing demand in high-speed network communication, computing power, and server-related needs, with a notable performance in the PCB business [7] - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the domestic growth in computing power and the demand for optical communication and automotive electronics [7] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue for 2024 is projected at 17,907 million, with a year-on-year growth rate of 32.4% [6] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to reach 2,357 million in 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 25.5% [6] - The company anticipates a steady increase in revenue and net profit over the next few years, with projections of 20,485 million in revenue and 2,357 million in net profit for 2025 [9] Business Segments Performance - PCB business revenue reached 10,494 million in 2024, with a year-on-year increase of 29.99%, driven by demand in communication devices and data centers [7] - The packaging substrate segment reported revenue of 3,171 million, showing a year-on-year growth of 37.49% despite a decline in gross margin due to rising raw material costs [7] - The electronic assembly business generated revenue of 2,823 million, with a year-on-year increase of 33.20% [7] Capacity Expansion and Strategic Developments - The company is progressing with the construction of its factories in Thailand and Nantong, aiming to enhance production capacity [7] - The second phase of the Wuxi factory has achieved monthly breakeven, and the Guangzhou packaging substrate project is receiving bulk orders [7] - The company maintains its profit forecast, expecting continued growth driven by breakthroughs in computing power, optical communication, and automotive orders [7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][5] Core Views - The company reported steady revenue growth in Q1 2025, with improvements in gross margin, net profit attributable to shareholders, and non-recurring net profit, indicating strong profitability [3][8] - The growth is driven by domestic demand for computing power and advancements in AI and automotive electronics [5][8] Financial Summary - The company is projected to achieve revenues of RMB 21.33 billion, RMB 24.96 billion, and RMB 29.04 billion for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding net profits of RMB 2.73 billion, RMB 3.20 billion, and RMB 3.58 billion [7][5] - The expected EPS for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are RMB 5.33, RMB 6.23, and RMB 6.97 respectively, with PE ratios of 20.8, 17.8, and 15.9 [5][7] - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of RMB 4.783 billion, a year-on-year increase of 20.75%, and a net profit of RMB 491 million, up 29.47% year-on-year [8][3] Market Performance - The company's stock price is currently at RMB 110.69, with a market capitalization of RMB 56.77 billion [1][3] - The stock has shown a relative performance of -7.4% over the past month compared to the Shenzhen Composite Index [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-A" investment rating for the company with a six-month target price of 139.06 CNY [4][7]. Core Views - The company benefited from high demand in AI and automotive electronics, leading to significant revenue and profit growth in Q1 2025, with revenue reaching 4.783 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 20.75%, and net profit of 491 million CNY, up 29.47% year-on-year [1][2]. - The company is strategically positioned to capture opportunities in the computing power and automotive electronics markets, with a notable increase in orders for high-speed switches and optical modules driven by cloud service providers' demand for AI computing infrastructure [2]. - The company has increased its R&D investment, which accounted for 7.10% of revenue, focusing on next-generation communication, data center, and automotive electronics technologies, leading to advancements in product capabilities and the acquisition of new patents [3]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2025 to 2027 are 21.346 billion CNY, 25.103 billion CNY, and 29.370 billion CNY, respectively, with net profits expected to be 2.378 billion CNY, 2.893 billion CNY, and 3.591 billion CNY [4][11]. - The company is expected to maintain a net profit margin of approximately 11.1% in 2025, increasing to 12.2% by 2027 [12].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [4]. Core Insights - The company reported a significant increase in revenue and net profit for both the full year of 2024 and the first quarter of 2025, driven by strong demand in the PCB and automotive sectors [1][2]. - The PCB business achieved a revenue of 10.49 billion yuan in 2024, marking a year-on-year growth of 29.99%, and accounted for 58.60% of total revenue [3]. - The packaging substrate business also saw a revenue increase of 37.49% year-on-year, reaching 3.17 billion yuan in 2024 [4]. - The electronic assembly business reported a revenue of 2.82 billion yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 33.20% [4]. - The company is expected to continue its growth trajectory, with projected revenues of 20.68 billion yuan and 23.90 billion yuan for 2025 and 2026, respectively, reflecting a growth rate of 15.5% [8]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved total revenue of 17.91 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 32.39%, and a net profit of 1.88 billion yuan, up 34.29% [1]. - For Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 4.78 billion yuan, a 20.75% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 491 million yuan, up 29.47% [1][2]. Business Segments - The PCB segment is benefiting from the growth in AI server demand and the recovery of the industry cycle, with a notable increase in orders from data centers [3]. - The automotive electronics segment continues to grow, driven by the trends in electrification and intelligent driving, with order growth exceeding 50% for the third consecutive year [3]. Profitability and Valuation - The gross margin for the PCB business improved by 5.07 percentage points to 31.62% in 2024 [3]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 5.04 yuan and 6.15 yuan for 2025 and 2026, respectively, with a corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 21.97 for 2025 [8][10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a relative performance increase of over 15% against the benchmark index within the next 6 to 12 months [4][15]. Core Views - The company is positioned to benefit significantly from the AI cycle, particularly in the PCB sector, with strong demand from computing and automotive electronics markets [6][8]. - The first quarter of 2025 showed a revenue of 4.783 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 20.75%, and a net profit of 491 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 29.47% [5][6]. - The company is expected to achieve substantial growth in net profit, with projections of 2.538 billion yuan for 2025, 3.081 billion yuan for 2026, and 3.637 billion yuan for 2027 [11]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: 13.526 billion yuan in 2023, 17.907 billion yuan in 2024, 21.547 billion yuan in 2025, 24.863 billion yuan in 2026, and 29.425 billion yuan in 2027, with respective growth rates of -3%, 32%, 20%, 15%, and 18% [4][11]. - The company's gross margin for Q1 2025 was 24.74%, with a slight year-on-year decrease of 0.45 percentage points, but an increase of 2.79 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [5][6]. - The net profit margin for Q1 2025 was 10.29%, showing a year-on-year increase of 0.71 percentage points and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 2.25 percentage points [5][6]. Business Segment Insights - The PCB business is expected to leverage opportunities in computing power and automotive electronics, maintaining high operational rates and benefiting from improved product structure [6][8]. - The company has made advancements in packaging substrates, with successful new product introductions and enhanced manufacturing capabilities, particularly in high-end DRAM and processor chip products [9][10].

Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of CNY 4.783 billion, a year-on-year increase of 20.75% [2] - Net profit attributable to shareholders reached CNY 491 million, up 29.47% year-on-year [2] - Deducting non-recurring gains, net profit was CNY 485 million, reflecting a 44.64% increase [2] PCB Business Development - The PCB business focuses on communication equipment, particularly in data centers and automotive electronics, with a slight recovery in wireless orders and sustained growth in wired demand [3] - Orders in the data center sector continued to grow, driven by demand for AI accelerator cards and servers [3] - The automotive electronics sector is experiencing stable growth, particularly in new energy and ADAS directions [3] Packaging Substrate Business - The company offers a wide range of packaging substrate products, with improved demand in Q1 2025, particularly for storage products [4] - The FC-BGA packaging substrate has achieved mass production capability for products with 20 layers or fewer, while R&D for products with more than 20 layers is progressing on schedule [5] Investment and Expansion - The total investment for the Thailand factory is CNY 1.274 billion, with construction progressing on schedule [6] - The company is expanding PCB production capacity in Shenzhen, Wuxi, Nantong, and Thailand, focusing on technology upgrades and new project developments [7] Capacity Utilization - The overall capacity utilization remains high, with PCB business benefiting from sustained demand in computing power and automotive electronics [8] - The packaging substrate business has seen improved capacity utilization due to increased demand in the storage sector [8] Market Impact and Raw Material Prices - Direct sales to the U.S. accounted for a low percentage of total revenue, minimizing the impact of U.S. tariff policies [9] - Raw material prices, including copper foil and gold salt, have increased due to commodity price fluctuations, affecting production costs [10]

金种子酒公告，公司于近期收到阜阳市国资委批复，阜阳市国资委原则同意公司公开转让控股子公司 安徽金太阳生化药业有限公司（简称"金太阳药业"）92%股权。 2025.04. 23 4月23日晚间，沪深两市多家上市公司发布公告，以下是第一财经对一些重要公告的汇总，供投资者 参考。 【品大事】 金种子酒：转让金太阳药业92%股权获阜阳市国资委同意批复 复星医药：高级副总裁李东久辞任 复星医药公告，公司董事会收到李东久的书面辞职函。因到龄退休，李东久向董事会申请辞去高级副 总裁职务。 岳阳林纸：全资子公司诚通碳汇中标林业碳汇合作开发项目 岳阳林纸公告，公司全资子公司诚通碳汇经营管理(湖南)有限责任公司（简称"诚通碳汇"）2025年4 月22日收到《关于百色市乐业县林业碳汇合作开发项目招商结果的函》，成为该项目招商中选单 位。如以上项目合同签订并顺利实施，将对公司实施项目年度的经营业绩产生积极的影响。 【观业绩】 天齐锂业：预计2025年第一季度净利润为8200万元—1.23亿元 天齐锂业公告，预计2025年第一季度归属于上市公司股东的净利润为8200万元—1.23亿元，上年同 期为亏损38.97亿元。 吉比特：一季度净 ...