Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, indicating an expectation of stock performance that exceeds market performance by 10% to 20% over the next six months [12]. Core Insights - The company achieved significant growth in 2024, with revenue reaching 17.907 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 32.39%, and a net profit of 1.878 billion yuan, up 34.29% year-on-year [4][5]. - The overall gross margin and net margin for 2024 were 24.83% (up 1.40 percentage points YoY) and 10.49% (up 0.16 percentage points YoY), respectively [5]. - The company is capitalizing on opportunities arising from the growth in AI technology, electric vehicle trends, and the recovery of the general server market [5]. - The company is focusing on digitalization and smart manufacturing to enhance competitiveness and control costs [5]. Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue Breakdown**: - PCB business: Revenue of 10.494 billion yuan, up 29.99% YoY, accounting for 58.60% of total revenue with a gross margin of 31.62% [5]. - IC substrate business: Revenue of 3.171 billion yuan, up 37.49% YoY, accounting for 17.71% of total revenue with a gross margin of 18.15% [5]. - Electronic assembly business: Revenue of 2.823 billion yuan, up 33.20% YoY, accounting for 15.76% of total revenue with a gross margin of 14.40% [5]. - **Cost Control**: The company maintained stable expense ratios across sales, management, R&D, and financial expenses, all within a 1 percentage point change [5]. - **Future Projections**: The company expects continued revenue growth, with projected revenues of 22.205 billion yuan in 2025, 27.534 billion yuan in 2026, and 34.143 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 24% [6][10]. Financial Ratios - **Profitability**: The projected gross margin is expected to improve to 25.5% in 2025 and 26.0% in 2026, with net margin reaching 11.7% and 12.5% respectively [10]. - **Return on Equity (ROE)**: Expected to increase from 12.8% in 2024 to 15.7% in 2025 and further to 18.8% by 2027 [10]. - **Valuation Metrics**: The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 37.9 in 2024 to 27.3 in 2025, indicating improving valuation as earnings grow [10].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with the rating maintained [1][10] Core Views - The company is expected to benefit from the ongoing demand in the AI-related industry for PCB products, and the strong domestic substitution demand for packaging substrates [8] - The company's PCB business achieved a revenue of 104.94 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 29.99% [6] - The packaging substrate business generated a revenue of 31.71 billion yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year increase of 37.49% [6] Financial Summary - The company's projected revenue for 2023A is 135.26 billion yuan, increasing to 179.07 billion yuan in 2024A, and expected to reach 215.05 billion yuan in 2025E [9] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to grow from 13.98 billion yuan in 2023A to 18.78 billion yuan in 2024A, and further to 27.01 billion yuan in 2025E [9] - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to rise from 2.73 yuan in 2023A to 3.66 yuan in 2024A, and to 5.27 yuan in 2025E [9] Business Performance - The company's PCB business is experiencing steady growth, driven by demand in the communication, data center, and automotive electronics sectors [6][7] - The gross margin for the PCB business in 2024 was 31.62%, an increase of 5.07 percentage points year-on-year [6] - The packaging substrate business is focusing on capability building and market development, with new product introductions ongoing [7]

%% %% %% %% research.95579.com 丨证券研究报告丨 公司研究丨点评报告丨深南电路（002916.SZ） [Table_Title] 深南电路 2024 年报点评：载板业务短期承压， PCB 业务稳健高增 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 深南电路发布 2024 年年报：2024 年，公司实现营业收入 179.07 亿元，同比+32.39%；实现 归母净利润 18.78 亿元，同比+34.29%；分别实现毛利率和净利率 24.83%和 10.49%，同比 +1.40pct 和 0.16pct。单四季度来看，公司实现营业收入 48.58 亿元，同比+19.51%、环比 +2.74%；实现归母净利润 3.90 亿元，同比-20.50%、环比-22.22%。从盈利能力来看，公司 24Q4 分别实现毛利率和净利率 21.95%和 8.04%，分别同比-2.23pct 和-4.00pct、环比-3.45pct 和-2.55pct。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 杨洋 SAC：S0490517070012 SFC：BUW100 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 1 深南电路（ ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Strongly Recommended" [1] Core Views - The company reported a total revenue of 17.91 billion with a year-on-year increase of 32.4%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.88 billion, up 34.3% year-on-year [1] - The company is expected to benefit from the increasing demand for AI computing power and advanced packaging substrates, leading to high growth in its business [5] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 15 yuan per 10 shares and increase capital by 3 shares for every 10 shares held [1] Financial Performance - The company's PCB business generated 10.49 billion, a year-on-year increase of 30%, accounting for 58.6% of total revenue, with a gross margin of 31.6% [5] - The substrate business achieved 3.17 billion, a year-on-year increase of 37.5%, accounting for 17.7% of total revenue, but experienced a decline in profitability due to rising raw material costs [5] - The PCBA business reported 2.82 billion, a year-on-year increase of 33.2%, accounting for 15.8% of total revenue [5] Quarterly Performance - In Q4, the company reported revenue of 4.86 billion, a year-on-year increase of 19.5%, but a net profit of 390 million, down 20.5% year-on-year [5] - The decline in Q4 net profit was primarily due to increased losses in the ABF substrate business and a shift in business structure [5] Future Outlook - The company is expected to see rapid growth in high-end capacity due to the rising domestic demand for computing power and advanced packaging substrates [5] - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are projected at 21.53 billion, 25.44 billion, and 29.28 billion respectively, with net profits of 2.49 billion, 3.07 billion, and 3.63 billion [5]

Group 1: Company Performance Overview - In 2024, the company achieved total revenue of 17.907 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 32.39% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders reached 1.878 billion CNY, up 34.29% year-on-year [1] - Non-recurring net profit was 1.740 billion CNY, showing a significant growth of 74.34% [1] Group 2: PCB Business Insights - PCB business revenue was 10.494 billion CNY, a growth of 29.99%, accounting for 58.60% of total revenue [1] - PCB gross margin improved to 31.62%, an increase of 5.07 percentage points [2] - Key growth drivers included demand from high-speed communication (400G and above), AI servers, and automotive electronics [2] Group 3: Packaging Substrate Business - The packaging substrate business generated revenue of 3.171 billion CNY, a 37.49% increase, representing 17.71% of total revenue [1] - Gross margin for this segment decreased to 18.15%, down 5.72 percentage points due to rising raw material costs and fluctuating market demand [3] Group 4: R&D and Capacity Utilization - R&D investment for 2024 was 1.272 billion CNY, constituting 7.10% of total revenue [7] - PCB business capacity utilization remains high due to sustained demand in computing and automotive electronics [8] - The company is expanding production capacity in Shenzhen, Wuxi, Nantong, and Thailand to meet market needs [9] Group 5: Product Development and Market Trends - The company has developed FC-BGA packaging substrates with production capabilities for up to 16 layers and sample production for 18 and 20 layers [4] - The Guangzhou packaging substrate project is in the early stages of ramp-up, focusing on capacity building [5] - PTFE materials are being explored for high-frequency PCB applications, with existing products in communication and automotive ADAS sectors [10]

—— 2024 年年报点评 维持评级 高峰 钱德胜 | 市场数据 | 2025-03-13 | | --- | --- | | 股票代码 | 002916.SZ | | A 股收盘价(元) | 128.00 | | 上证指数 | 3358.73 | | 总股本(万股) | 51,287.75 | | 实际流通 A 股(万股) | 51,155.43 | | 流通 A 股市值(亿元) | 655 | -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 300 ⚫ ⚫ ⚫ ⚫ ⚫ ⚫ · 电子行业 | | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入(百万元) | 17907.45 | 21921.86 | 26598.97 | 29835.03 | | 收入增长率% | 32.39 | 22.42 | 21.34 | 12.17 | | 归母净利润(百万元) | 1877.57 | 2372.82 | 2801.21 | 3232.48 | | 利润增速% | 34.29 | 26.38 | 18.05 | 1 ...

—— 2024 年年报点评 维持评级 高峰 钱德胜 | 市场数据 | 2025-03-13 | | --- | --- | | 股票代码 | 002916.SZ | | A 股收盘价(元) | 128.00 | | 上证指数 | 3358.73 | | 总股本(万股) | 51,287.75 | | 实际流通 A 股(万股) | 51,155.43 | | 流通 A 股市值(亿元) | 655 | -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 300 ⚫ ⚫ ⚫ ⚫ ⚫ ⚫ · 电子行业 | | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入(百万元) | 17907.45 | 21921.86 | 26598.97 | 29835.03 | | 收入增长率% | 32.39 | 22.42 | 21.34 | 12.17 | | 归母净利润(百万元) | 1877.57 | 2372.82 | 2801.21 | 3232.48 | | 利润增速% | 34.29 | 26.38 | 18.05 | 1 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company is projected to experience significant revenue growth, with expected revenues of 17,907.45 million in 2024, increasing to 29,835.03 million by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 21.34% from 2025 to 2027 [5][7] - Net profit is forecasted to grow from 1,877.57 million in 2024 to 3,232.48 million in 2027, indicating a strong profit growth trajectory [5][7] - The gross margin is expected to improve slightly from 24.83% in 2024 to 26.13% in 2027, suggesting enhanced operational efficiency [5][7] Financial Summary Income Statement - Revenue is projected to grow from 17,907.45 million in 2024 to 29,835.03 million in 2027, with a revenue growth rate of 32.39% in 2024, tapering to 12.17% by 2027 [5][7] - Operating profit is expected to increase from 2,028.25 million in 2024 to 3,499.67 million in 2027, with a notable operating profit margin improvement [7] - Net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to rise from 1,877.57 million in 2024 to 3,232.48 million in 2027, with a net profit margin of approximately 10.83% by 2027 [7] Balance Sheet - Total assets are projected to grow from 25,302.25 million in 2024 to 38,458.48 million in 2027, indicating a robust asset base expansion [6] - The company's equity attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from 14,617.02 million in 2024 to 23,055.74 million in 2027, reflecting strong retained earnings and capital growth [6] Cash Flow Statement - Operating cash flow is anticipated to rise from 2,982.22 million in 2024 to 4,560.58 million in 2027, indicating improved cash generation capabilities [6] - The net increase in cash is projected to be 700.63 million in 2024, growing significantly to 4,424.20 million by 2027, showcasing strong liquidity management [6]

电子/元件 | 日期 | 2025/3/14 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价(元) | 138.76 | | 一年最高最低(元) | 164.28/78.68 | | 总市值(亿元) | 711.67 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 709.83 | | 总股本(亿股) | 5.13 | | 流通股本(亿股) | 5.12 | | 近 3 个月换手率(%) | 110.62 | 股价走势图 数据来源：聚源 -30% 0% 30% 60% 90% 2024-03 2024-07 2024-11 深南电路 沪深300 相关研究报告 《2024Q3 业绩同比高增，两大主业协 同发力促成长—公司信息更新报告》 -2024.10.29 ——公司信息更新报告 2025 年 03 月 15 日 投资评级：买入（维持） 2024 业绩高增，2025 期待 PCB 结构持续优化+BT 载板修复 +ABF 载板放量 陈蓉芳（分析师） 刘琦（分析师） chenrongfang@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790524120002 liuqi1@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790525020001 2024 年业 ...

深南电路(002916) / 元件 / 公司点评 / 2025.03.14 产线爬坡短期承压，AI 驱动构筑长期成长动能 证券研究报告 投资评级:增持(维持) 核心观点 | 基本数据 | 2025-03-13 | | --- | --- | | 收盘价(元) | 128.00 | | 流通股本(亿股) | 5.12 | | 每股净资产(元) | 28.50 | | 总股本(亿股) | 5.13 | 最近 12 月市场表现 -11% 10% 31% 52% 73% 94% 深南电路 沪深300 元件 分析师 张益敏 SAC 证书编号：S0160522070002 zhangym02@ctsec.com ❖ 事件：2024 年，公司实现营收 179.07 亿元，同比+32.39%；实现归母净利润 18.78 亿元，同比 34.29%；扣非后净利润 17.40 亿元，同比+74.34%。 ❖ 由于新产线爬坡等因素短期业绩承压：公司 2024 第四季度实现收入 48.58 亿元，同比+19.51%，环比+2.74%；归母净利润 3.90 亿元，同比-20.50%，环 比-22.22%；扣非净利润 3.64 亿元，同比 ...