Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the differences and similarities between two indices related to central enterprise technology: the China Securities National New Central Enterprise Technology Leading Index and the China Securities Chengtong Central Enterprise Technology Innovation Index, highlighting their performance and characteristics in the context of recent market movements. Group 1: Differences Between the Indices - The China Securities National New Central Enterprise Technology Leading Index is customized by Guoxin Investment Co., Ltd., while the China Securities Chengtong Central Enterprise Technology Innovation Index is customized by China Chengtong Group [2]. - The selection methods differ: the National New Index scores based on net profit growth, revenue growth, total market capitalization, and R&D expenditure as a percentage of revenue, whereas the Chengtong Index evaluates based on the number and quality of patents and the implementation of equity incentives [3]. - Industry distribution varies significantly; the National New Index focuses heavily on aerospace and defense, electronics, and semiconductors, with a combined weight of nearly 80%, while the Chengtong Index has a more balanced distribution across telecommunications, aerospace and defense, and electronics, with the top five industries also exceeding 80% [4][6]. Group 2: Key Holdings and Performance - The top ten holdings of the National New Index account for 52.63% of the total, with Hikvision and AVIC Optoelectronics each exceeding 7% [8]. - In contrast, the Chengtong Index's top ten holdings represent 60.34% of the total, with China Telecom, Hikvision, and China Mobile each exceeding 7% [12]. - Historical performance shows that while the one-year returns of both indices are similar, the Chengtong Index outperforms the National New Index over three and five years, with the National New Index exhibiting higher volatility across all time frames [14]. Group 3: Valuation and Commonalities - As of now, the National New Index's TTM price-to-earnings ratio has risen to the historical 100th percentile, indicating a high valuation position [15]. - The Chengtong Index's TTM price-to-earnings ratio is also above the historical 80th percentile, suggesting a similarly high valuation, although its historical data is limited [17]. - Both indices select samples from listed companies under the State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission, aim to reflect the overall performance of central enterprises in technology innovation, and emphasize that R&D expenditure as a percentage of revenue should not be less than 3% [20].

Group 1 - The company ShenNan Circuit Co., Ltd. has applied for a patent related to a machine vision-based excavator loading counting method, device, terminal, and medium, with publication number CN119919925A and application date in December 2024 [1] - The patent aims to automate the identification of loading vehicles and the counting of excavator loads, thereby improving operational efficiency and reducing the workload of operators [1] - The method involves capturing current frame images at a preset frame rate, processing these images through a pre-trained target detection model, and utilizing an optical character recognition model to identify loading vehicle numbers for counting [1] Group 2 - ShenNan Circuit Co., Ltd. was established in 1984 and is located in Shenzhen, primarily engaged in the manufacturing of computers, communications, and other electronic devices [2] - The company has a registered capital of 51,287.7535 million RMB and has made investments in 10 enterprises, participated in 2,109 bidding projects, and holds 1,602 patent records [2] - Additionally, the company has 8 trademark records and 205 administrative licenses [2]

转自：前瞻产业研究院 行业主要上市公司：鹏鼎控股(002938.SZ)、东山精密(002384.SZ)、深南电路(002916.SZ)、景旺电子 (603228.SH)、沪电股份(002463.SZ)、兴森科技(002436.SZ)、世运电路(603920.SH)等 本文核心数据：印制电路板政策汇总;政策解读;发展目标汇总等 1、 政策历程图 印制电路板(PCB)是电子产品的关键电子互联件，被誉为"电子产品之母"。近年来我国印制电路板行业 在政策支持下有了较快的发展，从"十二五"规划中的提高基础专用材料自给保障能力和制备技术水平， 到"十三五"规划中的形成产业集群、加强印制电路板技术创新和成果应用，再到"十四五"规划中的发展 高性能印制电路板(PCB)产品，研发新型印刷电路板及覆铜板材料，印制电路板(PCB)行业朝着高端 化、规模化、绿色化方向不断发展。 2、 国家层面政策汇总及解读 ——国家层面印制电路板(PCB)行业政策汇总 近年来，国家发布一系列政策重点发展高性能、高频高速印制电路板(PCB)产品，同时鼓励行业创新发 展，研发新型印刷电路板及覆铜板材料。截至2025年2月，我国印制电路板行业相关政策汇总 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [7]. Core Views - The company reported a steady growth in Q1 2025, achieving operating revenue of 4.783 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 20.75%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 491 million yuan, up 29.47% year-on-year. The gross margin and net margin for Q1 2025 were 24.74% and 10.29%, reflecting a year-on-year change of -0.45 percentage points and +0.71 percentage points respectively [2][5]. - The growth in performance is attributed to the increasing demand in high-speed network communication, computing power, and server-related sectors, as well as the ongoing trends in electric and intelligent vehicles. The company is expected to benefit from structural opportunities in the downstream market, particularly in the PCB business, driven by AI and intelligent driving [11]. - The company is focusing on strategic customer development and product introduction in the PCB sector, particularly in data centers and automotive electronics, while also enhancing its capabilities in the packaging substrate business [11]. Financial Performance and Forecast - For the fiscal year 2025, the company is projected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.531 billion yuan, with expected profits of 3.034 billion yuan and 3.549 billion yuan in 2026 and 2027 respectively. The corresponding price-to-earnings ratios are estimated to be 21.89, 18.27, and 15.61 [11][18].

Core Viewpoint - The new trade-in policy, supported by a 300 billion subsidy, is reshaping three major industries: home appliances, automobiles, and consumer electronics, presenting investment opportunities for medium to long-term investors [1] Group 1: Home Appliances - The home appliance sector receives the largest subsidy, with up to 20% off for 12 product categories, capped at 2000 yuan per item. Sales surged by 23% year-on-year in the first four months of this year, with leading companies like Midea and Gree operating at full capacity [3] - High-end smart products, such as the Casarte series, have seen sales double post-subsidy, indicating a long-term trend of consumption upgrading [3] Group 2: Automotive Sector - The new energy vehicle segment is the biggest beneficiary, with a 20,000 yuan trade-in subsidy boosting sales. BYD's Han series orders exceeded 80,000 units in April [3] - The battery supply chain, including companies like CATL and Purtai, is also benefiting from this trend. The automotive aftermarket is highlighted as a promising area, with Tianqi's dismantling equipment orders extending to Q4 and Gree's battery recycling business achieving a gross margin of 28% [3] Group 3: Consumer Electronics - Although the subsidies in consumer electronics are smaller, they cover a wide range of products, including mobile phones and tablets. The Honor 90 series has over 40% of its sales through trade-in channels, and the inventory turnover days for core distributor Aishide have decreased to 15 days [3] - VR device manufacturer GoerTek has secured new orders from Meta, with expectations for Q3 performance to exceed forecasts [3] Group 4: Investment Strategy - Investment should focus on three dimensions: core leaders, supporting supply chains, and regional leaders. Recommended stocks include Midea Group and Haier Smart Home in home appliances, BYD and Top Group in new energy vehicles, and Luxshare Precision and Shenzhen South Circuit in consumer electronics [4] - Key timelines for investment include the release of home appliance energy-saving subsidy details in June, the launch of new energy vehicles in August, and the consumer electronics exhibition in November. Early positioning can capture policy-driven benefits [4] Group 5: Market Trends - The policy is expected to accelerate the concentration of the three industries. The market share of the top five companies in the home appliance sector has increased from 68% in 2019 to 79% currently, while the top ten automotive companies now hold over 92% market share [4] - The focus should be on companies with stable cash flow and a dividend yield exceeding 3% to seize structural opportunities [4]

点击招商研究小程序查看PDF报告原文 公司公告2025年一季报，结合季报表现和公司业绩说明会内容，我们点评如下： 25Q1业绩稳健增长，业务结构持续优化，盈利能力有所改善。 公司25Q1实现总营收47.83亿元同比+20.75%环比-1.54%；归母净利润4.91亿元 同比+29.47%环比+26.17%；扣非归母净利4.85亿元同比+44.64%环比+33.40%。毛利率 24.74%同比-0.45pct环比+2.79pct，净利率10.29%同比 +0.71pct环比+2.25pct，毛利率同比下滑主因源于广芯ABF载板产能仍处于爬坡期，折旧同比增加，且上游金属及基材成本受涨价影响有所上 升。公司Q1整体稼动率保持相对满产水平，业务结构进一步优化，PCB及载板业务中AI相关的订单占比持续提升。 25Q2展望积极：订单饱满，业务结构继续优化，高端载板放量在即。 目前公司下游PCB订单能见度较长，国内产能利用率延续Q1较高的水平， 且与 AI相关的订单占比持续提升。载板方面，BT 在存储领域的订单旺盛推动结构优化带动毛利改善，FC-GBA载板量产项目持续增多，呈现放 量趋势，亏损有望得以收窄。 今明年，受益国 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a steady growth in Q1 2025, with a total revenue of 4.783 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 20.75% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 1.54% [1] - The company is optimistic about Q2 2025, expecting continued order fulfillment and further optimization of its business structure, particularly in high-end substrates [1][2] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of 491 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 29.47% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 26.17% [1] - The company's gross margin was 24.74%, down 0.45 percentage points year-on-year but up 2.79 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, while the net profit margin was 10.29%, up 0.71 percentage points year-on-year and 2.25 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [1] - The company expects revenue for 2025-2027 to be 21.53 billion, 25.44 billion, and 29.28 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits of 2.49 billion, 3.07 billion, and 3.63 billion yuan, leading to EPS of 4.85, 5.98, and 7.07 yuan [2] Business Outlook - The company is positioned to benefit from the increasing domestic demand for computing power and the acceleration of advanced packaging substrates for domestic chips [2] - The company is actively expanding its high-end capacity and has a strong order visibility for PCB, particularly with AI-related orders continuing to rise [1][2] - The company is also seeing a positive trend in the ramp-up of its FC-BGA high-end substrate production line, which is expected to reduce losses [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2] Core Insights - The company reported a significant year-on-year increase in net profit of 84% for Q1 2024, indicating a strong recovery in profitability [5] - The growth in revenue is driven by increasing demand in high-speed network communication, computing power, and server-related needs, with a notable performance in the PCB business [7] - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the domestic growth in computing power and the demand for optical communication and automotive electronics [7] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue for 2024 is projected at 17,907 million, with a year-on-year growth rate of 32.4% [6] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to reach 2,357 million in 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 25.5% [6] - The company anticipates a steady increase in revenue and net profit over the next few years, with projections of 20,485 million in revenue and 2,357 million in net profit for 2025 [9] Business Segments Performance - PCB business revenue reached 10,494 million in 2024, with a year-on-year increase of 29.99%, driven by demand in communication devices and data centers [7] - The packaging substrate segment reported revenue of 3,171 million, showing a year-on-year growth of 37.49% despite a decline in gross margin due to rising raw material costs [7] - The electronic assembly business generated revenue of 2,823 million, with a year-on-year increase of 33.20% [7] Capacity Expansion and Strategic Developments - The company is progressing with the construction of its factories in Thailand and Nantong, aiming to enhance production capacity [7] - The second phase of the Wuxi factory has achieved monthly breakeven, and the Guangzhou packaging substrate project is receiving bulk orders [7] - The company maintains its profit forecast, expecting continued growth driven by breakthroughs in computing power, optical communication, and automotive orders [7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][5] Core Views - The company reported steady revenue growth in Q1 2025, with improvements in gross margin, net profit attributable to shareholders, and non-recurring net profit, indicating strong profitability [3][8] - The growth is driven by domestic demand for computing power and advancements in AI and automotive electronics [5][8] Financial Summary - The company is projected to achieve revenues of RMB 21.33 billion, RMB 24.96 billion, and RMB 29.04 billion for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding net profits of RMB 2.73 billion, RMB 3.20 billion, and RMB 3.58 billion [7][5] - The expected EPS for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are RMB 5.33, RMB 6.23, and RMB 6.97 respectively, with PE ratios of 20.8, 17.8, and 15.9 [5][7] - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of RMB 4.783 billion, a year-on-year increase of 20.75%, and a net profit of RMB 491 million, up 29.47% year-on-year [8][3] Market Performance - The company's stock price is currently at RMB 110.69, with a market capitalization of RMB 56.77 billion [1][3] - The stock has shown a relative performance of -7.4% over the past month compared to the Shenzhen Composite Index [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-A" investment rating for the company with a six-month target price of 139.06 CNY [4][7]. Core Views - The company benefited from high demand in AI and automotive electronics, leading to significant revenue and profit growth in Q1 2025, with revenue reaching 4.783 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 20.75%, and net profit of 491 million CNY, up 29.47% year-on-year [1][2]. - The company is strategically positioned to capture opportunities in the computing power and automotive electronics markets, with a notable increase in orders for high-speed switches and optical modules driven by cloud service providers' demand for AI computing infrastructure [2]. - The company has increased its R&D investment, which accounted for 7.10% of revenue, focusing on next-generation communication, data center, and automotive electronics technologies, leading to advancements in product capabilities and the acquisition of new patents [3]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2025 to 2027 are 21.346 billion CNY, 25.103 billion CNY, and 29.370 billion CNY, respectively, with net profits expected to be 2.378 billion CNY, 2.893 billion CNY, and 3.591 billion CNY [4][11]. - The company is expected to maintain a net profit margin of approximately 11.1% in 2025, increasing to 12.2% by 2027 [12].