| 证券代码：002958 | 证券简称：青农商行 | 公告编号：2025-051 | | --- | --- | --- | | 转债代码：128129 | 转债简称：青农转债 | | 青岛农村商业银行股份有限公司 第五届董事会第十三次临时会议决议公告 本议案已经董事会审计委员会审议通过。青岛农村商业银行股份有限公司 2025 年第三季度报告在巨潮资讯网（http://www.cninfo.com.cn）披露。 2.审议并通过《关于列支相关费用的议案》。 表决结果为：同意 12 票，反对 0 票，弃权 0 票。 特此公告。 青岛农村商业银行股份有限公司董事会 2025 年 10 月 30 日 本行及董事会全体成员保证公告内容的真实、准确和完整，没有虚假记载、误导 性陈述或者重大遗漏。 青岛农村商业银行股份有限公司于 2025 年 10 月 30 日以书面传签方式召开第五 届董事会第十三次临时会议。会议通知已于 2025 年 10 月 23 日以电子邮件及书面方 式发出。会议应参加表决董事 12 人，实际参加表决董事 12 人。会议的召开及表决程 序符合《中华人民共和国公司法》及《公司章程》的有关规定。 会议 ...

| 证券代码：002958 | 证券简称：青农商行 | 公告编号：2025-053 | | --- | --- | --- | | 转债代码：128129 | 转债简称：青农转债 | | 青岛农村商业银行股份有限公司 2025年第三季度报告 本行及董事会全体成员保证公告内容的真实、准确和完整，没有虚假记载、误导性 陈述或者重大遗漏。 重要内容提示： 1.本行董事会、监事会及董事、监事、高级管理人员保证季度报告内容的真实、准 确、完整，不存在虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并承担个别和连带的法律责任。 4.本报告所载财务数据及指标按照中国企业会计准则编制，除特别说明外，均为本 行及本行所属子公司的合并报表数据。 一、主要财务数据 （一）主要会计数据和财务指标 1 单位：千元 项目 2025 年 7-9 月 比上年同期增减 2025 年 1-9 月 比上年同期增减 营业收入 2,275,829 (11.91%) 8,027,500 (4.92%) 利润总额 1,344,294 7.15% 3,647,637 11.99% 净利润 1,189,993 0.18% 3,328,419 3.92% 归属于母公司股东的 ...

Core Insights - The rural commercial bank sector experienced a slight increase of 0.03% on October 30, with Changshu Bank leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3986.9, down 0.73%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13532.13, down 1.16% [1] Stock Performance - Changshu Bank (601128) closed at 7.04, up 1.73% with a trading volume of 1,123,500 shares and a transaction value of 800 million yuan [1] - Other notable performances include: - Yunnan Rural Commercial Bank (601077) at 6.88, up 0.29% [1] - Wuxi Bank (600908) at 6.06, up 0.17% [1] - Jiangyin Bank (002807) at 4.79, down 0.21% [1] - Shanghai Rural Commercial Bank (601825) at 8.49, down 0.35% [1] Capital Flow - The rural commercial bank sector saw a net outflow of 21.47 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 18.53 million yuan [1] - Specific capital flows for selected banks include: - Jiangyin Bank (002807) with a net outflow of 29.87 million yuan from institutional investors [2] - Yunnan Rural Commercial Bank (601077) with a net inflow of 19.57 million yuan from institutional investors [2] - Shanghai Rural Commercial Bank (601825) with a significant net outflow of 23.35 million yuan from institutional investors [2]

Core Viewpoint - The ongoing "return to the nest" reform of village banks, led by main initiating banks, aims to address risks and optimize the financial layout in rural areas, ensuring that financial services remain rooted in local communities and meet the needs of rural residents [1][7][11]. Summary by Sections Village Bank Mergers and Acquisitions - On October 29, three village banks in Shandong were approved for dissolution, with their assets and operations taken over by Qingdao Rural Commercial Bank, marking a significant step in the "village to branch" reform [1][2]. - The day before, six village banks in Sichuan were also absorbed by Chengdu Rural Commercial Bank, indicating a broader trend of consolidation in the sector [2][3]. Background and Rationale - Village banks were established to serve "three rural issues," small and micro enterprises, and county-level economies, filling gaps left by traditional financial institutions. However, many have strayed from their original mission due to weak capital, governance issues, and inadequate risk control [7][11]. - The "village to branch" reform involves the absorption of village banks into their main initiating banks, eliminating their independent legal status and allowing for unified management and operations [7][11]. Strategic Implications - The main initiating banks can leverage their risk management frameworks and capital allocation mechanisms to reduce potential risks associated with village banks, enhancing their overall risk resilience [4][10]. - The consolidation allows main banks to deepen their penetration into rural financial markets by utilizing existing customer bases and branch networks of the absorbed village banks [4][10]. Future Outlook - The reform is expected to continue, with more village banks likely to be integrated into main initiating bank systems, as highlighted by recent regulatory approvals and ongoing discussions in the financial sector [11][12]. - The central government's emphasis on rural financial reform and the need for differentiated strategies for different institutions will be crucial for the success of these reforms [11][12].

Core Viewpoint - The ongoing "return to the nest" reform of village banks, led by main initiating banks, aims to address risks and optimize the financial layout in rural areas, transitioning from scale expansion to quality improvement in financial services [1][8]. Summary by Sections Village Bank Dissolution and Integration - On October 29, three village banks in Shandong were approved for dissolution, with their assets and operations taken over by Qingdao Rural Commercial Bank [3][5]. - Similarly, six village banks in Sichuan were absorbed by Chengdu Rural Commercial Bank, marking a significant shift in the operational structure of these institutions [3][5]. Background and Purpose of Village Banks - Village banks were established to serve the "three rural issues" and small enterprises, filling gaps in financial services at the grassroots level [8][12]. - However, many have deviated from their original purpose due to weak capital, governance issues, and inadequate risk control, leading to a need for consolidation [8][12]. "Village to Branch" Reform Mechanism - The "village to branch" reform involves the absorption of village banks into their initiating banks, eliminating their independent legal status and consolidating operations [8][12]. - This process can occur through two main pathways: full acquisition of shares by the initiating bank or the integration of multiple village banks into a regional management branch [8][12]. Strategic Benefits of Consolidation - The consolidation allows initiating banks to leverage unified risk management frameworks and capital allocation mechanisms, enhancing the overall risk resilience of the absorbed village banks [6][11]. - It also facilitates the expansion of county-level financial services by utilizing existing customer bases and branch networks [6][11]. Future Outlook and Challenges - The reform is expected to continue, with more village banks likely to be integrated into main banks, as highlighted by recent regulatory approvals [12][13]. - However, there are concerns about potential drawbacks, such as longer decision-making processes and increased product homogeneity, which could hinder the unique advantages of village banks [12][13].

Core Points - The rural commercial bank sector experienced a decline of 1.59% on October 29, with Jiangyin Bank leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4016.33, up 0.7%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13691.38, up 1.95% [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Ruifeng Bank (601528) closed at 5.51 with no change in price [1] - Qingnong Commercial Bank (002958) closed at 3.21, down 0.93% [1] - Changshu Bank (601128) closed at 6.92, down 1.14% [1] - Sunong Bank (603323) closed at 5.17, down 1.34% [1] - Zijin Bank (601860) closed at 2.87, down 1.37% [1] - Yunnan Agricultural Commercial Bank (601077) closed at 6.86, down 1.44% [1] - Wuxi Bank (600908) closed at 6.05, down 1.47% [1] - Zhangjiagang Bank (002839) closed at 4.42, down 1.56% [1] - Shanghai Agricultural Commercial Bank (601825) closed at 8.52, down 2.07% [1] - Jiangyin Bank (002807) closed at 4.80, down 2.83% [1] Group 2: Capital Flow - The rural commercial bank sector saw a net inflow of 78.64 million yuan from main funds, while retail funds experienced a net outflow of 10.52 million yuan [2] - Speculative funds had a net outflow of 68.12 million yuan [2]

Market Overview - The rural commercial bank sector experienced a decline of 0.75% on October 28, with Jiangyin Bank leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3988.22, down 0.22%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13430.1, down 0.44% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Key stock performances in the rural commercial bank sector included: - Ruifeng Bank: Closed at 5.51, unchanged - Sunong Bank: Closed at 5.24, down 0.19% - Zijin Bank: Closed at 2.91, down 0.34% - Changshu Bank: Closed at 7.00, down 0.57% - Yuanxi Bank: Closed at 6.14, down 0.65% - Hunan Rural Commercial Bank: Closed at 8.70, down 0.68% - Qingnong Bank: Closed at 3.24, down 0.92% - Yunnan Rural Commercial Bank: Closed at 6.96, down 1.00% - Zhangjiagang Bank: Closed at 4.49, down 1.10% - Jiangyin Bank: Closed at 4.94, down 1.20% [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The rural commercial bank sector saw a net inflow of 16.51 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 25.96 million yuan [1] - Detailed capital flow for selected banks included: - Sunong Bank: Net inflow of 13.07 million yuan from institutional investors, with a net outflow of 9.25 million yuan from retail investors [2] - Hunan Rural Commercial Bank: Net inflow of 13.06 million yuan from institutional investors, with a net outflow of 16.03 million yuan from retail investors [2] - Qingnong Bank: Net inflow of 7.95 million yuan from institutional investors, with a net outflow of 7.73 million yuan from retail investors [2] - Jiangyin Bank: Net outflow of 5.93 million yuan from institutional investors, with a net inflow of 8.14 million yuan from retail investors [2]

Core Insights - The agricultural commercial bank sector experienced a slight decline of 0.13% on October 27, with the Shanghai Agricultural Commercial Bank leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3996.94, up 1.18%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13489.4, up 1.51% [1] Stock Performance - The closing prices and performance of key agricultural commercial banks are as follows: - Yunnan Agricultural Commercial Bank (601077) closed at 7.03, up 1.44% with a trading volume of 651,800 shares and a transaction value of 455 million [1] - Wuxi Bank (600908) closed at 6.18, up 0.32% with a trading volume of 176,600 shares and a transaction value of 109 million [1] - Zhangjiagang Bank (002839) closed at 4.54, up 0.22% with a trading volume of 373,600 shares and a transaction value of 170 million [1] - Other banks like Su Nong Bank (603323) and Zijin Bank (601860) saw declines of 0.19% and 0.34% respectively [1] Fund Flow Analysis - The agricultural commercial bank sector saw a net inflow of 24.73 million from institutional investors and 41.41 million from retail investors, while retail investors had a net outflow of 66.14 million [1] - Detailed fund flow for specific banks indicates: - Jiangyin Bank (002807) had a net inflow of 9.34 million from institutional investors and a net outflow of 18.65 million from retail investors [2] - Wuxi Bank (600908) had a net inflow of 8.72 million from institutional investors and a net outflow of 10.73 million from retail investors [2] - Other banks like Zijin Bank (601860) and Yunnan Agricultural Commercial Bank (601077) also experienced mixed fund flows with significant retail outflows [2]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The report highlights that retail non-performing loan (NPL) rates and generation rates are currently high, indicating ongoing pressure on bank profitability. Despite a low overall NPL rate, the retail sector shows signs of risk, with a marginal increase in the NPL rate to 1.28% [14][15] - The transition period for new risk regulations is nearing its end, with concerns about the impact on banks' provisioning levels. However, the report suggests that the actual impact may be less severe than market expectations [16] - The trend of de-collateralization in bank lending is evident, driven by both business characteristics and strategic choices made by banks to reduce reliance on collateralized loans [17] Summary by Sections 1. Retail NPL and Generation Rates - The retail NPL rate has increased to 1.28%, with a steepening curve indicating ongoing risk. The generation rate for retail loans remains high, with significant increases noted in certain banks [14][18] - The report indicates that while the overall NPL rate is low, the divergence between overdue and NPL indicators suggests underlying risks in the retail sector [19] 2. Impact of New Risk Regulations - The new risk regulations will require banks to classify impaired loans as NPLs, potentially increasing reported NPL rates. However, the report anticipates that the actual provisioning pressure may be manageable [16][17] 3. De-Collateralization in Lending - The report notes a significant decline in the proportion of collateralized loans, with banks shifting towards non-collateralized lending strategies. This shift is influenced by the need to manage risk more effectively [17][18] 4. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends certain state-owned banks due to their customer base advantages and manageable retail risk pressures. It also highlights specific banks such as CITIC Bank and Agricultural Bank of China as beneficiaries of this trend [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the banking sector, indicating a positive outlook despite challenges in the gold market in 2025 [1]. Core Insights - The gold market is expected to present both opportunities and challenges for banks, with a trend towards deepening precious metal business driven by central bank purchases [1][2]. - The demand for gold bars and coins has increased significantly, reflecting a growing need for gold as a hedge and store of value among residents [4]. - The establishment of a market-making system for gold trading is anticipated to enhance market liquidity and stability, positioning listed banks as key players [3][4]. Summary by Sections 1. Policy and Market Environment - As of September 2025, China's official gold reserves reached 74.06 million ounces, marking an increase for 11 consecutive months [2]. - In Q2 2025, global central banks added 166 tons of gold to their reserves, with 95% of surveyed central banks expecting further increases in the next 12 months [2]. - New policies allowing insurance funds to invest in gold are expected to create new opportunities for banks to provide services to insurance institutions, enhancing their intermediary income [2]. 2. Business Dynamics and Revenue Contribution - In the first half of 2025, China's gold consumption was 505.205 tons, a year-on-year decrease of 3.54%, with significant growth in gold bar and coin consumption by 23.69% [4]. - The decline in gold jewelry consumption is prompting banks to shift focus from traditional jewelry sales to investment-oriented precious metal businesses [4]. - The growth in investment demand for gold bars and coins is expected to stabilize income from investment-related businesses, enhancing the profitability of the precious metals segment for banks [4]. 3. Industry Trends - The report highlights a structural shift in gold consumption, with investment demand rising while jewelry demand declines, indicating a need for banks to adapt their business strategies [4]. - The performance of the banking sector is expected to benefit from expansionary policies aimed at stabilizing the economy, with specific banks like Ningbo Bank and Jiangsu Bank recommended for investment due to positive fundamental changes [8]. 4. Key Data Tracking - The report includes various financial metrics, such as average daily trading volume and margin financing balances, which are essential for assessing market conditions [9][10].