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雷赛智能(002979):运控领域领军企业,灵巧手方案迭代迅速
Xinda Securities· 2025-04-29 01:18
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is not explicitly stated in the provided documents, but the report indicates a positive outlook on the company's performance and growth potential [1]. Core Insights - The company is a leading player in the motion control field, with rapid iterations of its dexterous hand solutions [1]. - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 1.584 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 200 million yuan, up 45% year-on-year [3]. - The servo system business continues to break through, with sales revenue of 709 million yuan in 2024, representing a 33% year-on-year growth [3]. - The company is focusing on dexterous hand solutions in line with the trend of humanoid robots, establishing subsidiaries to enhance its product offerings [3]. - Profit forecasts indicate net profits of 268 million yuan, 345 million yuan, and 438 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with growth rates of 34%, 29%, and 27% [3]. Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to grow from 1.415 billion yuan in 2023 to 2.476 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 21.1% [2]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 139 million yuan in 2023 to 438 million yuan in 2027, reflecting a significant recovery and growth trajectory [2]. - The gross margin is expected to remain stable around 37.3% to 38.4% over the forecast period [2]. - The company's return on equity (ROE) is projected to rise from 10.5% in 2023 to 22.9% in 2027, indicating improved profitability [2]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to grow from 0.45 yuan in 2023 to 1.42 yuan in 2027 [2].
人形机器人:灵巧之“手”,解锁人形机器人黄金赛道(附59页PPT)
材料汇· 2025-04-28 15:16
点击 最 下方 "在看"和" "并分享,"关注"材料汇 添加 小编微信 ,遇见 志同道合 的你 业芬 Part1 灵巧手打开人形机器人应用上限,快速送代 Part2 混合机械方案是趋势,兼具高自由度和承载力 Part3 手部多维感知是方向,促进手脑协同 Part4 头部本体厂全栈自研,零部件提供整体解决方案 PART5 投资建议和风险提示 2 公众号·材料汇 目录 0 公众号 · 材料汇 备注:全文的"预计"如果没有特别说明,均为东吴证券研究所电新组预测 3 ◆ 灵巧手打开人形机器人应用上限,多方参与,2025年开启快速迭代。灵巧手要求具备运动能力、负载能力、 控制能力、感知能力、耐用能力、轻量化等,由驱动、传动、控制、感知四大模块构成。灵巧手是人形机器 人操作性能的核心,决定机器人功能的上限,是具身智能的核心。25年密集主机厂和零部件厂发布灵巧手方 案,且在未来2年灵巧手方案将快速迭代,并投入使用场景中,加速训练人形机器人手脑协同。 混合机械方案是趋势,兼具高自由度和承载力。驱动方案:若电机内置,首选空心杯,部分用步讲:腱绳方 案,电机集成于手臂,空间大,可选无刷有齿槽电机。传动方案:齿轮负责旋转运动调速, ...
雷赛智能: 加大人形机器人投入 坚持关键零部件国产化
Core Viewpoint - The company, 雷赛智能, reported a modest performance in 2023, attributing challenges to macroeconomic downturns and significant declines in the new energy sector, while planning to increase investments in humanoid robotics and focus on domestic key component production for high-quality business development [1][2]. Financial Performance - In 2023, 雷赛智能 achieved a revenue of 1.584 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of nearly 12%, and a net profit of approximately 200 million yuan, reflecting a growth of nearly 45%, with earnings per share at 0.65 yuan [1]. - In Q1 2024, the company reported a net profit of about 55.82 million yuan, a year-on-year growth of 2.25%, with expectations for accelerated growth in Q2 [2]. Business Strategy - 雷赛智能 is focusing on deepening its presence in traditional sectors such as 3C, electronics manufacturing, semiconductor equipment, and special machine tools, while also expanding into the packaging industry to offset declines in solar and lithium battery sales [1]. - The company has introduced over 200 new channel partners and is transitioning from single product sales to a combination of products and complete solution marketing to enhance value [2]. Product Development - The company is investing significantly in humanoid robotics, with substantial orders for core components like frameless torque motors and hollow cup motors, although current revenue from this segment is still small [2][3]. - 雷赛智能 is advancing its general robot motion control system products into the R&D phase, leveraging its extensive experience in motion control technology [2]. Market Expansion - The company aims to achieve a revenue growth of 20%-30% and a net profit growth of 30%-50% by 2025, focusing on humanoid robotics and overseas market expansion [3]. - The impact of U.S. tariffs on the company is minimal, as exports to the U.S. account for less than 1% of revenue, potentially accelerating domestic automation opportunities [3]. Supply Chain Management - 雷赛智能 emphasizes the localization of key components and maintains a strategy to ensure core material supply, with minimal impact from U.S. tariff policies on procurement costs [3].
人形机器人大规模量产在即,关注核心环节投资机会
ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2025-04-28 07:29
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is optimistic [1] Core Insights - The report highlights significant investment opportunities in the humanoid robot sector, particularly in key components such as lead screws, harmonic reducers, and motors, with a projected market size of approximately 288 billion yuan for equipment at a production scale of 1 million humanoid robots [3][10] - The report recommends companies involved in the production of lead screws and harmonic reducers, emphasizing their potential growth in the humanoid robot market [3][5] Summary by Sections 1. Lead Screws - Lead screws are critical components for linear motion in humanoid robots, with a market size of 14 billion yuan for 1 million units produced [15][39] - Recommended companies include Zhejiang Rongtai and Shuanglin Co., with a focus on high-precision grinding machines and automatic straightening machines [3][19] 2. Harmonic Reducers - Harmonic reducers are essential for converting high-speed input to low-speed output while increasing torque, with a market size of 14 billion yuan for 1 million units produced [37][39] - Companies to watch include Meihua Co., Longsheng Technology, and Haoneng Co., with a focus on high-precision grinding and balancing equipment [3][41] 3. Motors - The report discusses the application of hollow cup motors and frameless torque motors in humanoid robots, with market sizes of 280 billion yuan and 204 billion yuan, respectively, at a production scale of 1 million units [3][48] - The report emphasizes the importance of motor technology in enhancing the performance and efficiency of humanoid robots [48] 4. Equipment Market Potential - The total potential market for equipment required for the mass production of humanoid robots is estimated at 288 billion yuan, with significant contributions from high-precision grinding machines and balancing machines [10][44] - The report outlines the necessary equipment and their respective market sizes, highlighting the importance of domestic suppliers in meeting production demands [10][44]
东吴证券:灵巧手打开人形机器人应用上限 2025年开启快速迭代
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-04-28 06:38
头部本体厂商选择全栈自研,方案各异,如特斯拉(腱绳)、FigureAI(连杆)、智元(混合)、星动纪元(纯直 驱)等,是灵巧手的主力。独立第三方集成商,如因时机器人、强脑、傲意、灵心巧手、灵巧智能等进 展较快;此外零部件厂商延伸至整手集成,如兆威、雷赛、帕西尼等,同时兼售模组零部件。目前灵巧 手价格差异大,主流价格5-10万/只,中期价格预计降至0.5-3万/只,占本体成本比重20%左右。据东吴 证券测算,2030年人形机器人300万台+,市场空间约900亿,对应零部件市场空间较大的为触觉传感 器、空心杯电机、齿轮、丝杆。 手部多维感知是方向,促进手脑协同 灵巧手需通过触觉传感器、关节力控和编码器等将数据反馈至大脑,从而构建物体物性库和抓握数据库 等,并通过仿真平台,扩大数据集,从而优化大脑的运规的泛化性。触觉传感器追求高灵敏度、高集成 度、高延展性、成本低,目前多技术路线并行。压阻式力维度低(一维法向力)、灵敏性不足(阈值10g), 在低端先放量;而电容式及电磁式性能更优,感知三维力,力分辨<1g,抗干扰能力提升和体积缩小后, 放量潜力大;视触觉传感器理论上限高,但对数据和算法要求高。 头部本体厂全栈自研, ...
雷赛智能:公司受关税直接影响极小 看好工业自动化国产替代机会
news flash· 2025-04-28 03:55
Core Viewpoint - The company is minimally affected by the US tariffs, with less than 1% of its revenue coming from exports to the US, and sees opportunities for domestic substitution in industrial automation due to the tariffs [1] Group 1: Impact of Tariffs - The company's export business to the US accounts for less than 1% of its total revenue, indicating a minimal direct impact from the tariffs [1] - The US tariff policy may accelerate domestic substitution in industrial automation, providing more opportunities for the company and domestic competitors [1] Group 2: Business Opportunities - Hundreds of robot companies and module manufacturers are testing and using the company's products, indicating strong interest and potential market growth [1] - The company has received several large commercial orders for its frameless torque motors and hollow cup motors, with cumulative shipments exceeding 10,000 units [1]
雷赛智能2024年度及2025年第一季度网上业绩说明会问答实录
Quan Jing Wang· 2025-04-28 02:20
Core Viewpoint - The company is focused on enhancing its market value and investor returns through strategic initiatives, including a new value management system and ongoing investments in core technologies and market expansion [1][2][9]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 1.584 billion yuan, representing an increase of 11.93% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders reached 200.5 million yuan, up 44.67% year-on-year [3][10]. - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 3.20 yuan per 10 shares, totaling approximately 97 million yuan, which constitutes 63% of the net profit [5][11]. Market Position and Strategy - The company operates in the OEM automation market, which is valued at over 100 billion yuan, and aims to capture a larger market share despite current industry challenges [4][11]. - The human-shaped robot market is projected to grow significantly, with estimates of 2.76 billion yuan in 2024 and reaching 300 billion yuan by 2035, presenting substantial growth opportunities for the company [4][11]. Product Development and Innovation - The company has established subsidiaries focused on high-density motors and joint module solutions, enhancing its capabilities in the robotics sector [12][17]. - Ongoing research and development efforts are directed towards creating a general-purpose robot motion control system, referred to as the "brain" of robots, which is currently in the development phase [5][12]. Market Challenges - The company faces challenges from a declining market demand in the OEM automation sector, which saw a 5% year-on-year decrease, primarily due to external economic factors and competition [10][11]. - The solar and lithium battery sectors have also experienced significant downturns, impacting overall business growth [10][11]. Future Outlook - The company aims for a revenue growth target of 20%-30% and a net profit increase of 30%-50% for 2025, leveraging its strategic initiatives and market opportunities [11][12]. - The establishment of a new headquarters and R&D base in Dongguan is expected to enhance production capabilities and support long-term growth in the robotics sector [16][17].
为期3天的机器人全产业链接会闭幕 深圳上演“机器人总动员”
Shen Zhen Shang Bao· 2025-04-27 23:24
深圳机器人全产业链接会集结了一批机器人"顶流"企业。 深圳商报首席记者 陈小慧 这几天的深圳,集结了一批机器人"顶流"企业,上演了一场现实版的"机器人总动员"。4月26日,为期3 天的机器人全产业链接会(FAIR plus 2025)在深圳圆满闭幕。记者获悉,本次活动观展近3.5万人次, 成功打造了集新品发布、产品呈现、产业展览、技术交流、学术研讨、供需对接于一体的国际级机器人 合作交流盛会。 本次活动由深圳市工业和信息化局、中国科学院深圳先进技术研究院指导,深圳市机器人协会主办, 以"智启未来、链动全球"为主题。作为深圳市内举办的机器人产业规模最大、品类最多的最新成果展, 本次活动成为揭示深圳机器人产业"创新密码"的重要窗口,全方位展示了深圳良好的机器人产业发展生 态,引领具身智能机器人产业发展新浪潮。 此外,据不完全统计,本次链接会累计促成近50家揭榜单位与发榜单位达成意向合作,涉及金额6000余 万元,成功推动产业上下游交流合作和机器人产品在多个实际场景中的落地应用。 多家展商发布新品 "链"接产业上下游 200余家机器人"论剑" 记者了解到,本次活动吸引了机器人产业链上下游企业积极参展,共计200余家 ...
直击深圳机器人全产业链接会:企业“十八般武艺”秀肌肉,产业格局“硬强软不弱”
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2025-04-26 09:26
Industry Overview - The Shenzhen robot industry is rapidly forming a cluster effect, with a significant number of enterprises showcasing their innovations at the first Robot Industry Chain Conference (FAIR plus 2025) [1] - The total output value of Shenzhen's robot industry chain is projected to exceed 201.2 billion yuan in 2024, marking a year-on-year growth of 39.64% with 14,534 new robot companies established [5] Key Companies and Products - Notable participants at the conference included leading firms such as UBTECH, Yujin Robot, and others, showcasing advanced products like humanoid robots and collaborative robots [2] - Tencent's "Xiao Wu" robot features a hybrid design with wheels and legs, designed for complex environments, particularly in elder care scenarios [3] - UBTECH's "Tian Gong Xing Zhe" humanoid robot is the first research-grade full-size humanoid robot priced below 300,000 yuan, capable of navigating various terrains [3] Technological Innovations - The conference highlighted advancements in sensory technology, such as the high-resolution "visual tactile sensor" developed by Daimeng Robotics, which can accurately capture three-dimensional force distributions [5] - Shenzhen's companies are also innovating in robotic arms and mobility systems, with products designed for diverse applications, including security inspections and industrial automation [6][7] Ecosystem and Supply Chain - Shenzhen has established a complete ecosystem for robot manufacturing, encompassing core components like tactile sensors, laser radars, and servo electronics, facilitating efficient supply chain interactions [7] - The industry is characterized by a strong integration of hardware and software capabilities, with local firms excelling in both manufacturing and technological services [7]
雷赛智能:24年报及25年一季报点评:业绩基本符合预期,灵巧手方案积极对接客户-20250425
Soochow Securities· 2025-04-25 05:05
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's performance in 2024 and Q1 2025 is in line with market expectations, with 2024 revenue reaching 1.58 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12%, and net profit attributable to shareholders at 200 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 45% [8] - The company is experiencing steady growth in its motion control products, with significant contributions from the servo system and control technology segments [8] - The launch of the dexterous hand solution positions the company as a key player in the humanoid robot sector, with ongoing development of a general robot motion control system [8] Financial Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: 2023A at 1.415 billion yuan, 2024A at 1.584 billion yuan, 2025E at 2.071 billion yuan, 2026E at 2.599 billion yuan, and 2027E at 3.236 billion yuan, with respective year-on-year growth rates of 5.79%, 11.93%, 30.74%, 25.49%, and 24.48% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 138.57 million yuan in 2023A, 200.47 million yuan in 2024A, 281.52 million yuan in 2025E, 367.58 million yuan in 2026E, and 480.28 million yuan in 2027E, with year-on-year growth rates of -37.10%, 44.67%, 40.43%, 30.57%, and 30.66% respectively [1] - The latest diluted EPS is forecasted to be 0.45 yuan in 2023A, 0.65 yuan in 2024A, 0.92 yuan in 2025E, 1.20 yuan in 2026E, and 1.57 yuan in 2027E [1]