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开源证券2026年度投资策略丨电新-锂电:动储需求旺盛,产业链供需拐点已至
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-02 00:47
Group 1 - The lithium battery industry is experiencing a supply-demand turning point driven by strong demand in power storage, consumer electronics, and electric vehicles [3][5][44] - The European electric vehicle market is recovering significantly, with new models and subsidy policies expected to accelerate growth in Q4 2025 and early 2026 [6][51][60] - The charging pile industry is seeing a rebound, with a "three-year doubling" action plan launched in October 2025, likely initiating a new investment cycle [7][49] Group 2 - Lithium battery installation volume in China reached 76.0 GWh in September 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 39.5%, and lithium iron phosphate batteries accounted for 81.8% of the total [11][21] - The demand for energy storage batteries is robust, with a total shipment of 165 GWh in Q3 2025, representing a 65% year-on-year growth [22][23] - The export of heat pumps to Europe is expected to bottom out in Q4 2024, with a significant recovery anticipated in 2025 [4][8] Group 3 - The European electric vehicle market saw a strong recovery in the first three quarters of 2025, with a total of 2.03 million units sold, a year-on-year increase of 30.2% [50][53] - Major automakers like Volkswagen, BMW, and Mercedes-Benz are set to enter the production and delivery phase of new electric vehicle platforms in late 2025 [51][60] - The charging pile industry is projected to grow significantly due to supportive government policies and increasing infrastructure investments [7][49]
28.02亿元市值限售股今日解禁
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-12-01 23:57
格隆汇12月2日|Wind数据显示,周二(12月2日),共有4家公司限售股解禁,合计解禁量为6366.45万 股,按最新收盘价计算,合计解禁市值为28.02亿元。从解禁量来看,三未信安、亿纬锂能(维权)、 航天晨光解禁量居前,解禁股数分别为6277.03万股、75.59万股、12.2万股。从解禁市值来看,三未信 安、亿纬锂能、惠泰医疗解禁市值居前,解禁市值分别为27.41亿元、5471.47万元、392.4万元。从解禁 股数占总股本比例来看,三未信安、亿纬锂能、航天晨光解禁比例居前,解禁比例分别为54.48%、 0.04%、0.03%。 ...
A股限售股解禁一览:28.02亿元市值限售股今日解禁
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-01 23:36
Wind数据显示,周二(12月2日),共有4家公司限售股解禁,合计解禁量为6366.45万股,按最新收盘 价计算,合计解禁市值为28.02亿元。从解禁量来看,1家公司解禁股数超千万股。三未信安、亿纬锂 能、航天晨光解禁量居前,解禁股数分别为6277.03万股、75.59万股、12.2万股。从解禁市值来看,1家 公司解禁股数超亿元。三未信安、亿纬锂能、惠泰医疗解禁市值居前,解禁市值分别为27.41亿元、 5471.47万元、392.4万元。从解禁股数占总股本比例来看,1家公司解禁比例超10%。三未信安、亿纬锂 能、航天晨光解禁比例居前,解禁比例分别为54.48%、0.04%、0.03%。 ...
锂电产业“淡季爆单” 头部企业订单排至2026年
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Wang· 2025-12-01 13:19
Core Insights - The lithium battery industry is experiencing a significant increase in production plans for December 2025 and 2026, driven by surging demand in both power and energy storage battery markets [1][2] - The industry is currently in a state of robust supply and demand, with many leading companies operating at full capacity and extending order schedules into 2026 [1][2] Production and Demand - According to data from Dazhong Times, the production capacity for China's battery manufacturers in December 2025 is projected to reach 195.3 GWh for power and energy storage batteries, with a total production of 220 GWh across all battery types, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 5.3% [1] - The energy storage battery market is identified as the core engine driving the current lithium battery industry boom, with a rapid shift from "overcapacity" to "cell shortages" [2][3] - Major companies like CATL and EVE Energy have reported full order books, with some energy storage cell production capacities reaching 100% utilization [2] Market Trends - The overall trend for the lithium battery sector is expected to improve in 2026, with global lithium battery demand anticipated to maintain growth [2][3] - The storage battery segment is projected to continue its high growth trajectory, while the power battery market may see renewed growth driven by new vehicle models and clearer consumer policies [3][4] Pricing and Production Capacity - The prices of key upstream materials such as battery-grade lithium carbonate and electrolyte have rebounded since the second half of 2025, contributing to increased production capacity utilization [4] - The production of storage batteries is expected to see double-digit month-on-month growth in December, indicating a thriving market despite seasonal trends [4][5] Export and Domestic Demand - The explosive growth in the global storage market, particularly in Europe and the U.S., is driving a surge in domestic energy storage cell export orders [5] - The peak of new energy power station grid connections in China has created rigid demand, with large-scale storage projects being launched since the fourth quarter of 2025 [5]
AI浪潮开启智造新周期:机械行业2026年度投资策略
Huachuang Securities· 2025-12-01 10:47
Group 1: Core Insights - The report emphasizes that the AI wave is initiating a new cycle in intelligent manufacturing, shifting the investment focus from cyclical fluctuations to "new hard-core" assets that can define the future and support the AI trend [8][9]. - Human-shaped robots are highlighted as the ultimate embodiment of AI intelligence, expected to revolutionize labor liberation and serve as a universal platform for AI interaction with the physical world [9][10]. - The report identifies solid-state batteries as a key technology that will unlock performance ceilings for human-shaped robots and electric vehicles due to their high energy density and safety [9][10]. Group 2: Human-Shaped Robots - The human-shaped robot industry is transitioning from concept validation to commercialization, with companies that have developed product capabilities in key components likely to experience significant valuation increases [13][17]. - The investment strategy focuses on essential hardware components rather than single manufacturers due to the uncertainty in design solutions, creating unique investment opportunities [25][28]. - Key companies to watch in this sector include Xinjie Electric, Huichuan Technology, and Weichuang Electric, which are positioned to benefit from the growth in human-shaped robots [17][30]. Group 3: AI Equipment and Materials - The demand for AI-related infrastructure is surging, leading to significant growth in high-performance servers, GPUs, and advanced PCB requirements [32][36]. - The PCB specialized equipment market is expected to grow from $3.306 billion in 2020 to $4.111 billion in 2024, with a CAGR of 5.60% in China [32][34]. - Key players in the equipment sector include Dazhu CNC and Chip Quik, which are well-positioned to capitalize on the increasing demand for advanced PCB manufacturing [36][40]. Group 4: Solid-State Batteries - The solid-state battery industry is accelerating towards commercialization, with major manufacturers like CATL and Zhongxin Innovation targeting 2027 for small-scale production [9][10]. - The global solid-state battery equipment market is projected to reach ¥107.94 billion by 2030, indicating a significant capital expenditure cycle ahead [9][10]. - Companies such as Lead Intelligent and Hai Moxing are recommended for their potential to benefit from this new capital expenditure cycle [9][10]. Group 5: Controlled Nuclear Fusion - Controlled nuclear fusion is transitioning from experimental phases to industrialization, with significant advancements in research and increased capital investment driving the industry forward [9][10]. - The report suggests focusing on companies involved in nuclear fusion projects, such as Hangyang Co. and Shanghai Electric, which are positioned to gain from this emerging sector [9][10]. - The demand for energy solutions is expected to grow, making nuclear fusion a critical area for investment as it promises to provide sustainable energy sources [9][10]. Group 6: Engineering Machinery - The domestic engineering machinery market is recovering, with excavator sales showing a positive trend, while overseas demand is also increasing due to factors like housing construction and manufacturing sector recovery [6][9]. - Major projects in China, such as the Yaxi Water Conservancy Project and the Xinjiang-Tibet Railway, are expected to boost domestic machinery demand [6][9]. - Key companies in this sector include Sany Heavy Industry, XCMG, and Zoomlion, which are anticipated to benefit from both domestic recovery and international expansion [6][9].
邀请函丨2025(第十届)起点锂电行业年会暨锂电金鼎奖颁奖典礼&起点研究十周年庆典12月18-19日,深圳举办!
起点锂电· 2025-12-01 10:22
2025(第十届)起点锂电行业年会暨锂电金鼎奖颁奖典礼&起点研究十周年庆典 2025起点用户侧储能及电池技术论坛 时间: 2025年12月18-19日 地点:深圳 活动背景及意义 一 起点锂电行业年会是起点锂电平台旗下的重磅活动和标杆年会,活动每年举办一届,已经连续举办9届,规模每年超过1000+参会嘉宾,汇聚锂电 材料、设备、电芯及下游应用全产业链相关企业嘉宾,2025年起点锂电行业年会是第十届,同时今年也是起点锂电&起点研究十周年庆典活动,本 次活动主题是: 新周期 新技术 新生态 ,围绕行业新周期,新材料、新工艺、新技术、新的产业格局和生态等热门话题进行深度讨论和发散。 2025(第十届)起点锂电行业年会暨锂电金鼎奖颁奖典礼&起点研究十周年庆典、2025起点用户侧储能及电池技术论坛 必将是行业盛会,希望以 此次活动为起点,总结过去锂电行业十年,展望未来新十年的发展周期,为行业提供交流探讨、聚势共融、共谋发展的机会,欢迎行业同仁和新老 朋友踊跃参与! 活动主题及架构 二 活动名称: 2025(第十届)起点锂电行业年会暨锂电金鼎奖颁奖典礼&起点研究十周年庆典 、2025起点用户侧储能及电池技术论坛 活动主题 ...
工信部开会整治电池行业“内卷” 比亚迪王传福等参会
Xin Lang Ke Ji· 2025-12-01 05:01
12月1日消息,工业和信息化部近日组织召开动力和储能电池行业制造业企业座谈会。座谈会围绕规范 动力和储能电池产业竞争秩序、推动产业高质量发展,听取相关企业情况介绍及意见建议。工业和信息 化部党组书记、部长李乐成出席会议并讲话。12家动力和储能电池产业链企业负责人围绕企业生产经 营、技术研发、市场竞争、知识产权保护等深入交流,介绍企业基本情况和当前面临的困难问题,提出 意见建议。 《能见派》获悉,当天参会的企业代表包括:比亚迪董事长王传福,宁德时代副董事长李平,中创新航 董事长刘静瑜,亿纬锂能董事长刘金成,欣旺达集团创始人王明旺,天赐材料董事长徐金富,贝特瑞常 务副董事长、总经理黄友元,天合储能总裁杨豹,国轩高科中国业务板块副总裁陈炜,海辰储能执行董 事兼总经理王鹏程,容百科技董事长、总经理白厚善,恩捷股份副董事长、总经理李晓华。 工业和信息化部党组书记、部长李乐成指出,要全面客观认识产业发展形势,认真落实党中央关于综合 整治"内卷式"竞争的决策部署,加快推出针对性政策举措,依法依规治理动力和储能电池产业非理性竞 争,加强产能监测、预警和调控,加大生产一致性和产品质量监督检查力度,打击知识产权违法行为, 引导企 ...
中国银河证券:电芯价格持续上涨 动储需求有望持续上行
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-12-01 02:37
与碳酸锂价格由于政策、监管等带来供给侧扰动而驱动的涨价传导不同,本次产业链价格上涨主要系下 游动储需求持续向好:1)动力方面,25年前三季度中国新能源汽车销量1123万辆,同比高增35%,Q3 增速平稳,电动化率持续提升至49.7%,相应动力电池装车同比高增43%:2)储能方面,136号文后储 能表现超预期,25H2各地容量电价政策出台、套利空间增厚等因素下国内储能经济性显现,海外市场 爆发同频共振,储能成为需求重要支撑,电芯供应出现阶段性紧张局面。 排产持续提升,产能利用率高位带动龙头盈利回升 据则言咨询,样本企业中11月电芯排产环比+7%,材料环节排产环比+2~3%,需求景气度驱动涨价同时 带动排产持续提升。当前电芯、电解液等环节龙头企业产能利用率维持高位,25Q3业绩表现亮眼,盈 利能力企稳回升,25Q3电芯/正极材料/负极材料/电解液/隔膜/集流体/结构件净利率环比 +1.9/+0.4/1.1/+0.8/+2.0/+0.1/+0.6pcts。展望后续,该行认为行业将加速回归平衡,部分环节已经历较长 时间调整,随需求启动有望实现量利齐升,业绩放量可期。 电芯价格持续上涨 则言咨询统计25H1、Q3、Q4 ...
剑指“反内卷”!工信部召开储能电池企业座谈会,行业重磅公司悉数到场
Xuan Gu Bao· 2025-12-01 00:32
公司方面,据上市公司互动平台表示, 工业和信息化部11月28日组织召开动力和储能电池行业制造业企业座谈会,围绕规范动力和储能电池产 业竞争秩序、推动产业高质量发展,听取相关企业情况介绍及意见建议。 工信部部长李乐成指出,要认真落实党中央关于综合整治"内卷式"竞争的决策部署,加快推出针对性政 策举措,依法依规治理动力和储能电池产业非理性竞争,加强产能监测、预警和调控,加大生产一致性 和产品质量监督检查力度,打击知识产权违法行为,引导企业科学布局产能、合理有序"出海"。 工业和信息化部将科学编制"十五五"产业发展规划,加大技术创新支持,强化标准支撑引领,提升产业 治理现代化水平,为产业高质量发展创造良好环境。 本次与会企业和高管包括:比亚迪董事长王传福、宁德副董事长李平、亿纬锂能董事长刘金成、欣旺达 创始人王明旺、中创新航董事长刘静瑜、海辰储能总经理王鹏程、天赐材料董事长徐金富、恩捷股份董 事长李晓明、容百科技董事长白厚善、贝特瑞总经理黄友元。出席规格之高,意味着后续相关行动决策 和推进力度可能较强。 华福证券指出,当前正极、隔膜、铜箔、铝箔等多环节均出现"头部企业微利二线亏钱"、"即时盈利但 回收期长"等问题, ...
锂电产业链双周评(11月第3期):工信部座谈指出规范行业竞争,国内企业持续斩获全球储能订单
Guoxin Securities· 2025-11-30 13:57
证券研究报告 | 2025年11月30日 锂电产业链双周评(11月第3期) 工信部座谈指出规范行业竞争,国内企业持续斩获全球储能订单 行业研究 · 行业周报 电力设备新能源 · 锂电池 投资评级:优于大市(维持) 证券分析师:王蔚祺 010-88005313 wangweiqi2@guosen.com.cn S0980520080003 证券分析师:徐文辉 021-60375426 xuwenhui@guosen.com.cn S0980524030001 证券分析师:李全 021-60375434 liquan2@guosen.com.cn S0980524070002 联系人:王喆萱 wangzhexuan@guosen.com.cn 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明及其项下所有内容 投资建议 【行业动态】 【新能源车产业链数据】 【锂电材料及锂电池价格】 • 锂盐价格走高,电芯报价上行。本周末碳酸锂价格为9.38万元/吨,较两周前上涨0.86万元/吨。相较两周前,三元正极、磷酸铁锂正极、六氟磷酸锂、电解液、湿法隔膜报价均上涨,负 极报价稳定。本周方形三元动力电芯/铁锂动力电芯/储能用100Ah电芯/储能用2 ...