1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The penetration rate of China's new energy vehicle market exceeded 30% in 2023 and 50% in 2024. In 2025, high - competitiveness new models continue to be launched, and price wars are gradually ending. - Overseas markets face risks from trade protectionism in Europe and the US, so new growth points such as the Belt and Road countries and the Middle East should be focused on. - In the competitive landscape, the market share of domestic brands continues to expand. Attention should be paid to companies with strong product strength, smooth overseas expansion, and stable supply [5][121]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 Financial Market Tracking - The weekly price changes of relevant sectors and listed companies are presented. Among listed companies, some vehicle manufacturers like BYD, Great Wall Motor, and SAIC Motor had price drops, while GAC Group and Chang'an Automobile had price increases. In the battery and materials sector, companies such as Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited (CATL) and EVE Energy Co., Ltd. had price drops, and Do - fluoride New Materials Co., Ltd. had a price increase [13][16]. 3.2产业链数据跟踪 3.2.1 China New Energy Vehicle Market Tracking - **Sales and Exports in the Chinese Market**: In September, China's new energy vehicle sales were 1.604 million, a year - on - year increase of 24.6%. From January to September, cumulative sales were 11.228 million, a year - on - year increase of 34.9%. In September, exports were 222,000, a year - on - year doubling, and from January to September, cumulative exports were 1.758 million, a year - on - year increase of 89.4%. From October 1 - 12, new energy vehicle retail sales decreased by 1% year - on - year, and cumulative retail sales this year increased by 23% year - on - year [3][110][111][112][113]. - **Inventory Changes in the Chinese Market**: Relevant data on new energy vehicle inventory changes are presented, including channel inventory and manufacturer inventory [26]. - **Delivery Volume of Chinese New Energy Vehicle Manufacturers**: Data on the monthly delivery volumes of various new energy vehicle manufacturers such as Leapmotor, Li Auto, XPeng, and NIO are presented [29]. 3.2.2 Global and Overseas New Energy Vehicle Market Tracking - **Global Market**: From January to August, global new energy vehicle sales increased by 30.6% year - on - year to 13.257 million. Europe and other regions had strong growth. Europe's cumulative sales were 2.442 million, with a year - on - year growth rate of 30.8%, and other regions' cumulative sales were 665,000, with a year - on - year growth rate of 50.6%. The North American market's cumulative sales were 1.205 million, with a year - on - year growth rate of 4.8% (from January to September, cumulative sales were 1.399 million, with a year - on - year growth rate of 8.3%). The US had record - high new energy vehicle sales and penetration rates in August and September due to the expiration of the federal electric vehicle tax credit on September 30 [4][119]. - **European Market**: Europe's new energy vehicle market had a relatively strong growth, with cumulative sales of 2.442 million from January to August, a year - on - year growth rate of 30.8% [4][119]. - **North American Market**: The North American market had relatively slow growth in the early stage, with a cumulative sales of 1.205 million from January to August, a year - on - year growth rate of 4.8% (from January to September, cumulative sales were 1.399 million, with a year - on - year growth rate of 8.3%). The US had record - high sales and penetration rates in August and September [4][119]. - **Other Regions**: Other regions had a relatively high growth rate, with cumulative sales of 665,000 from January to August, a year - on - year growth rate of 50.6% [4][119]. 3.2.3 Power Battery Industry Chain - Data on power battery installation volume, export volume, weekly average price of battery cells, material cost, and the operating rates and prices of various battery materials are presented [79]. 3.2.4 Other Upstream Raw Materials - Data on the daily prices of raw materials such as rubber, glass, steel, and aluminum are presented [100]. 3.3 Hot News Summary 3.3.1 China: Policy Dynamics - The National Development and Reform Commission and other departments issued the "Three - Year Doubling Action Plan for the Service Capacity of Electric Vehicle Charging Facilities (2025 - 2027)", aiming to build 28 million charging facilities nationwide by the end of 2027, providing over 300 million kilowatts of public charging capacity to meet the charging needs of over 80 million electric vehicles. - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology organized the formulation and revision of relevant regulations to improve the access requirements for vehicle production enterprises and products, promote the improvement of product quality and safety, and adapt to the development trend of the automotive industry [108][109]. 3.3.2 China: Industry Dynamics - In September, China's automobile sales were 3.226 million, a year - on - year increase of 14.9%, and new energy vehicle sales were 1.604 million, a year - on - year increase of 24.6%. From January to September, automobile production and sales were 24.333 million and 24.363 million respectively, with year - on - year increases of 13.3% and 12.9%. New energy vehicle production and sales were 11.243 million and 11.228 million respectively, with year - on - year increases of 35.2% and 34.9%. - In September, automobile exports were 652,000, a year - on - year increase of 21%, and new energy vehicle exports were 222,000, a year - on - year doubling. From January to September, automobile exports were 4.95 million, a year - on - year increase of 14.8%, and new energy vehicle exports were 1.758 million, a year - on - year increase of 89.4%. - From October 1 - 12, new energy vehicle retail sales decreased by 1% year - on - year, and cumulative retail sales this year increased by 23% year - on - year. - In September, China's power battery installation volume was 76 GWh, a year - on - year increase of 39.5%. From January to September, the cumulative installation volume was 493.9 GWh, a year - on - year increase of 42.5% [110][111][112][113][114]. 3.3.3 Overseas: Policy Dynamics - Germany extended the electric vehicle tax exemption period from the end of 2030 to the end of 2035 and will launch a new pure - electric vehicle subsidy plan in 2026, with a maximum subsidy of 4,000 euros. This is a resumption of support for electric vehicle purchases since the end of the previous subsidy policy in December 2023 [4][120]. 3.4 Industry Views - In the domestic market, from October 1 - 12, new energy vehicle retail sales decreased by 1% year - on - year, and cumulative retail sales this year increased by 23% year - on - year. In September, new energy vehicle sales were 1.604 million, a year - on - year increase of 24.6%, and cumulative sales were 11.228 million, a year - on - year increase of 34.9%. - Policy - wise, the goal is to build 28 million charging facilities nationwide by the end of 2027. - In the global market, from January to August, new energy vehicle sales increased by 30.6% year - on - year. Europe and other regions had strong growth, while the North American market had relatively slow growth. Germany extended the tax exemption period and will restart the subsidy policy [3][4][118][119][120]. 3.5 Investment Suggestions - China's new energy vehicle market penetration rate has reached a high level. In 2025, high - competitiveness new models are continuously launched, and price wars are ending. - Overseas markets face trade protectionism risks, so attention should be paid to new growth points such as the Belt and Road countries and the Middle East. - In the competitive landscape, domestic brands' market share is expanding, and attention should be paid to companies with strong product strength, smooth overseas expansion, and stable supply [5][121].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the lithium battery industry is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The price of lithium hexafluorophosphate continues to rise, with a current price of 75,500 yuan/ton, up 12,200 yuan/ton from the end of September and 26,000 yuan/ton from the mid-July low, representing an increase of over 50% [4][13] - The demand for lithium hexafluorophosphate is increasing, while supply is relatively tight, leading to sustained price increases [4] - The Ministry of Commerce and the General Administration of Customs have implemented export controls on lithium batteries and certain materials, which will affect the availability of overseas production capacity [4][13] - The National Development and Reform Commission has launched an action plan to double the service capacity of charging facilities by 2027, aiming to establish 28 million charging facilities nationwide [4][10] Industry Dynamics - The domestic sales of new energy vehicles in September reached 1.604 million units, a year-on-year increase of 25% and a month-on-month increase of 15% [4] - In Europe, new energy vehicle sales in September reached 311,200 units, up 34% year-on-year and 74% month-on-month [4] - The lithium battery supply chain production in October is expected to continue to rise, with domestic battery production increasing by 10% month-on-month [13] Company Recommendations - Recommended companies to focus on include leading enterprises in the lithium battery industry such as CATL, Yiwei Lithium Energy, and others, as well as companies in the low-altitude economy and robotics sectors [2]

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese power battery industry has transitioned from being a component supplier to a key player in the trillion-yuan energy sector, marking a significant opportunity and necessity for sustained development [1]. Group 1 - China is currently leading the global power battery development and should avoid low-level competition in the future [1]. - The industry must promote progress through higher standards, focusing on long-life technology and battery swapping decoupling models to address user pain points [1]. - Engaging the younger generation's talent is essential for continuously delivering better products, ensuring China's long-term leadership in this industry [1].

Core Insights - The lithium-ion cell industry is experiencing robust growth driven by the "dual carbon" strategy, with annual growth rates exceeding 30% for new energy vehicles from 2021 to 2024, and a 37% year-on-year increase in production and sales in the first eight months of 2025 [1][6] - The total production of lithium batteries in China is projected to rise from 750 GWh in 2022 to 1,170 GWh in 2024, with a staggering 68% year-on-year increase in the first four months of 2025 [1][8] - Despite fluctuations in raw material prices leading to a decrease in industry total output value to 1.2 trillion yuan in 2024, the energy storage sector continues to drive growth, indicating strong future demand [1][11] Industry Overview - Lithium-ion cells are the core energy units of lithium-ion battery systems, consisting of four key materials: cathode, anode, electrolyte, and separator [2] - The industry is categorized into three segments: power batteries, energy storage batteries, and consumer batteries, with power batteries being the primary driver and energy storage systems emerging as the fastest-growing segment [6][8] Market Dynamics - The new energy vehicle market is the main growth driver for lithium-ion batteries, with production and sales maintaining an average annual growth rate of over 30% from 2021 to 2024 [6][8] - The energy storage sector is also experiencing explosive growth, with installed capacity expected to reach over 40% of the global total by the end of 2024, and a 29% increase in the first half of 2025 compared to the end of 2024 [1][6] Production Trends - The production of lithium batteries in China is expected to grow significantly, with a compound annual growth rate of 24.9% from 2022 to 2024, and a 68% year-on-year increase in early 2025 [1][8] - The market structure is evolving from being driven by consumer electronics to a dual-driven model of new energy vehicles and energy storage [8] Future Development Trends - The lithium-ion cell industry is expected to transition towards high-quality development driven by technology, with a focus on material breakthroughs and the industrialization of solid-state batteries [12][13] - The market will see a shift from price competition to a comprehensive competition involving technology, supply chains, and business models, leading to increased market concentration [12][14] - The industry is moving towards a more concentrated and ecological model, with leading companies leveraging their advantages to outcompete smaller firms and establish a closed-loop recycling system [14]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the resurgence of the low-altitude economy with Didi's entry, indicating that the industry is maturing as policies become more detailed, and companies involved in the related supply chain will benefit first, showcasing significant investment value [1] - The eVTOL (electric Vertical Take-Off and Landing) sector is gaining traction as a new carrier for the low-altitude economy, with numerous listed companies increasing their investments in this area. As of October 10, 2025, 33 listed companies have seen their stock prices double this year, with notable increases from companies like Beifang Changlong (301357.SZ) and Shanghai Xiba (603200.SH) [2][3] - The A-share low-altitude economy concept includes 434 listed companies, categorized into four core segments: complete machine manufacturing, core components, operational services, and air traffic management and support [3] Group 2 - In the complete machine manufacturing sector, leading companies like Wanfeng Aowei have over 260 aircraft orders, including a significant order of 100 units from Puyin Jinzu. The company plans to achieve mass production of flying cars by 2025 [4] - The core components of eVTOL are crucial for performance and safety, including power systems, avionics, and fuselage components. Companies like Zongshen Power are making strides with their CA500 aviation piston engine, which is set to be the first domestic aviation power product to gain airworthiness approval [5] - The battery sector is highly active, with companies like EVE Energy and CATL making significant advancements in battery technology for eVTOL applications. EVE Energy has showcased high-performance battery systems for electric airships and is developing solid-state batteries with a target energy density of 400Wh/kg by 2028 [7][12] Group 3 - The air traffic management system is dominated by companies like Lais Information, which holds a 90% market share and has secured over 2 billion in orders for air traffic information systems by 2025 [6] - The solid-state battery market is projected to grow significantly, with eVTOL expected to drive a demand increase of 30GWh for lithium batteries by 2030, creating a billion-dollar market for solid-state batteries [12][13] - The industry is supported by government policies aimed at promoting the production of high-performance aviation lithium batteries, with plans to achieve mass production of 400Wh/kg batteries by 2026 [12][13]

Market Overview - The battery sector experienced a decline of 3.68% on the previous trading day, with Xiongtao Co. leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3839.76, down 1.95%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12688.94, down 3.04% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Tianji Co. saw a significant increase of 5.96%, closing at 24.16, with a trading volume of 1.5971 million shares [1] - Xiongtao Co. reported a notable decline of 9.98%, closing at 19.39, with a trading volume of 304,200 shares and a transaction value of 609 million [2] - Other notable declines included Yiwai Lithium Energy at -8.91% and Pioneering Technology at -8.00% [2] Capital Flow Analysis - The battery sector experienced a net outflow of 6.753 billion yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 5.664 billion yuan [2][3] - The top stocks by net inflow from institutional investors included Tianji Co. with 198 million yuan, while Zhuhaiguan Yu experienced a net outflow of 36.98 million yuan from retail investors [3]

Market Overview - The A-share market continues to adjust, with the Shanghai Composite Index falling by 1.95%, dropping below 3900 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index decreased by 3.04% and 3.36% respectively [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 1.95 trillion yuan, marking the second consecutive trading day below 2 trillion yuan [1] Sector Performance - The Hainan sector experienced a brief surge in the afternoon, with Haixia Co. hitting the daily limit, Hainan Airport rising over 5%, and Hainan Highway and Hainan Shipping Group also seeing significant gains [1] - The Ministry of Finance and other departments announced adjustments to the duty-free shopping policy for travelers in Hainan, set to take effect on November 1 [1] New Energy Sector - The new energy sector faced a significant pullback, with solar energy, charging piles, and energy storage experiencing collective declines. Notable stocks such as Igor, Kelu Electronics, and Tongrun Equipment hit the daily limit down, while Sunshine Power dropped by 10% and EVE Energy fell by nearly 9% [1] - Popular concepts in consumer electronics, HBM, liquid cooling, and copper-clad boards also saw substantial adjustments, with multiple stocks including ZTE Communications, Deep Technology, Huazheng New Materials, and Invec hitting the daily limit down [1] - A total of 4783 stocks in the market experienced declines [1]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report The report analyzes the lithium carbonate futures market, including market data changes, supply - demand and inventory in the industrial chain, and provides price trend judgments. It notes that there are both bullish and bearish factors in the market, with supply increasing while demand is strong. The price is expected to maintain a range - bound oscillation in the next one to two weeks, and attention should be paid to inventory changes and downstream acceptance [31][32]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Daily Market Summary - **Carbonate Lithium Futures Market Data Changes**: On October 16, the price of the main lithium carbonate contract rose 3.05% to 74,940 yuan/ton, and the basis weakened by 2,220 yuan/ton to - 2,040 yuan/ton. The main contract's open interest decreased by 5.61% to 178,000 lots, while trading volume increased by 19.38% to 269,000 lots [1]. - **Supply - Demand and Inventory Changes in the Industrial Chain**: On the supply side, the prices of spodumene and lepidolite concentrates remained stable, and new production capacity was released, with the total lithium carbonate output expected to continue growing in October. On the demand side, the prices of ternary materials and lithium hexafluorophosphate increased, and the cost transfer pressure grew. The retail sales of new energy vehicles from October 1 - 12 showed a slight year - on - year decline but a month - on - month increase. Lithium carbonate inventory decreased for four consecutive weeks, and the spot market trading was inactive [2]. - **Market Summary**: Attention should be paid to whether the new energy market can form a positive influence under the rumor of the establishment of a polysilicon platform company. The supply - side capacity release and the demand - side peak - season stocking offset each other. Although the price increase of ternary materials and energy - storage demand drive the demand for lithium carbonate, the downstream's acceptance of high prices is decreasing, and electrolyte enterprises have not fully transferred the cost pressure [3]. 3.2 Industrial Chain Price Monitoring - On October 16, the price of the main lithium carbonate contract was 74,940 yuan/ton, up 3.05% from the previous day; the basis was - 2,040 yuan/ton, down 1,233.33%. The open interest of the main contract was 177,951 lots, down 5.61%, and the trading volume was 268,890 lots, up 19.38%. The market price of battery - grade lithium carbonate remained unchanged at 72,900 yuan/ton, and the prices of spodumene and lepidolite concentrates also remained unchanged. The price of lithium hexafluorophosphate rose 1.35% to 75,000 yuan/ton, and the price of power ternary materials rose 2.33% to 131,500 yuan/ton [5]. 3.3 Industry Dynamics and Interpretations - **Spot Market Quotes**: On October 16, the SMM battery - grade lithium carbonate index price was 73,064 yuan/ton, up 27 yuan/ton from the previous day. The price of battery - grade lithium carbonate was 72,400 - 73,600 yuan/ton, and the average price was 73,000 yuan/ton, remaining unchanged. The price of industrial - grade lithium carbonate was 70,150 - 71,350 yuan/ton, and the average price was 70,750 yuan/ton, remaining unchanged. The lithium carbonate futures price fluctuated sharply, and the main contract was in the range of 72,800 - 75,000 yuan/ton. The downstream material factories were cautious, and the overall market trading was inactive. In October, the supply is expected to grow steadily, but the strong demand in the power and energy - storage fields will drive the market into a significant de - stocking stage, forming a stage of tight supply [6]. - **Downstream Consumption**: From October 1 - 12, the retail sales of new energy passenger vehicles nationwide were 367,000 units, a year - on - year decrease of 1% but a month - on - month increase of 1%. The retail penetration rate of new energy passenger vehicles was 53.5%, and the cumulative retail sales this year were 9.236 million units, a year - on - year increase of 23%. The wholesale volume of new energy passenger vehicles from October 1 - 12 was 328,000 units, a year - on - year increase of 1% but a month - on - month decrease of 11%. The wholesale penetration rate of new energy passenger vehicles was 60.2%, and the cumulative wholesale volume this year was 10.775 million units, a year - on - year increase of 31% [7]. - **Industry News**: On October 16, the actual settlement discounts between precursor manufacturers and cathode material enterprises for quarterly orders or large - scale single orders increased significantly. On September 20, the electromechanical equipment of EVE Energy's Hungary base entered the site, marking the project's civil engineering entering a critical stage. The base is expected to be completed in 2026 and will create about 1,000 jobs. On September 25, Tianqi Lithium's 30,000 - ton battery - grade lithium hydroxide project in Zhangjiagang was completed and put into operation [8][9]. 3.4 Industrial Chain Data Charts The report provides multiple data charts, including those on the main lithium carbonate futures and basis, battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium carbonate prices, lithium concentrate prices, lithium hexafluorophosphate and electrolyte prices, ternary precursor prices, ternary material prices, lithium iron phosphate prices, lithium carbonate operating rate, lithium carbonate inventory, and cell selling prices [10][12][14][15][17][18][22][24].

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the automotive and auto parts industry, particularly for new energy vehicles (NEVs) with a retail sales forecast of 1.4 million units for 2025 [5]. Core Insights - In September, retail sales of passenger cars reached a record high of 2.241 million units, marking a year-on-year increase of 6.3% and a month-on-month increase of 11.0% [3]. - The penetration rate of new energy vehicles in retail sales rose to 57.8%, up 5 percentage points year-on-year [3]. - The total sales of power and energy storage batteries in September reached 146.5 GWh, a year-on-year increase of 42.2% [4]. - The average battery capacity for new energy vehicles was 55.0 KWh, reflecting a month-on-month growth of 2.0% [4]. Summary by Sections Passenger Vehicle Sales - In September, retail sales of passenger vehicles were 2.241 million units, with wholesale sales at 2.803 million units, showing year-on-year growth of 6.3% and 12.4% respectively [3]. - Cumulative retail sales for the first nine months of 2025 reached 17.005 million units, a 9.2% increase year-on-year [3]. New Energy Vehicle Performance - Retail sales of new energy vehicles in September were 1.296 million units, with a year-on-year increase of 15.4% [3]. - Cumulative retail sales for new energy vehicles in the first nine months of 2025 reached 8.866 million units, a 24.4% increase year-on-year [3]. Battery Market Insights - The power battery installation volume in September was 76.0 GWh, a year-on-year increase of 39.5% [4]. - The sales volume of power batteries was 110.5 GWh, reflecting a significant year-on-year growth of 75.5% [4]. Market Trends - The promotional intensity for new energy vehicles in September was maintained at a high level of 10.2%, an increase of 2.6 percentage points compared to the same period last year [5]. - The report highlights a shift in the market towards reduced price competition and stable promotions, with 23 models experiencing price cuts in September [5].

Group 1 - The consumer electronics sector has seen a decline, with stocks such as EVE Energy falling over 7%, Luxshare Precision down over 4%, and others like SMIC, Lattice Semiconductor, and GoerTek dropping more than 3% [1] - The ETFs tracking the CSI Consumer Electronics Theme Index have also experienced a drop of over 3% due to adjustments in heavyweight stocks [1] - The CSI Consumer Electronics Theme Index includes 50 listed companies involved in component production and brand design in the consumer electronics sector, reflecting the overall performance of these securities [2] Group 2 - Despite the recent downturn, institutional analysis suggests that the long-term growth logic of the consumer electronics sector remains solid, with clear trends in AI innovation [2] - Leading companies in the domestic supply chain, characterized by strong R&D capabilities and a robust engineering talent pool, are expected to benefit significantly from the wave of AI terminal innovations [2]