AXA SA ( OTCQX:AXAHY ) ( OTCQX:AXAHF ) ( AXA:CA ) delivered a solid set of Q3 results; however, since our last update on the first-half figures, the share price has retreated by more than 10% (Fig. 1), which in ourBuy-side hedge professionals conducting fundamental, income oriented, long term analysis across sectors globally in developed markets. Please shoot us a message or leave a comment to discuss ideas.DISCLOSURE: All of our articles are a matter of opinion, informed as they might be, and must be treat ...

Core Insights - The focus is on constructing investment portfolios that generate additional income through dividends, emphasizing companies with competitive advantages and strong financials [1] - The strategy combines high Dividend Yield and Dividend Growth to reduce dependence on stock market fluctuations [1] - A well-diversified portfolio across various sectors is recommended to minimize volatility and mitigate risk [1] Investment Strategy - The investment portfolio typically includes a blend of ETFs and individual companies, prioritizing broad diversification and risk reduction [1] - Companies with a low Beta Factor are suggested to further lower the overall risk level of the investment portfolio [1] - The selection process for high dividend yield and growth companies is meticulously curated, focusing on total return, which includes both capital gains and dividends [1] Portfolio Management - The approach aims to maximize returns while considering a full spectrum of potential income sources [1] - The goal is to create a well-crafted investment portfolio that generates extra income through dividends while reducing risk through diversification [1]

Core Viewpoint - Moody's Ratings has upgraded AXA SA's insurance financial strength rating to Aa2 from Aa3, reflecting a stable outlook due to the company's reinforced business profile, improved profitability, and robust capital position [1][2]. Group Performance - AXA's debt ratings were raised by one notch across various categories, including junior subordinated debt, senior unsecured debt, and preferred stock, indicating an overall improvement in creditworthiness [2]. - The commercial paper rating was affirmed at P-1, and ratings for AXA's European operating subsidiaries and XL Bermuda Ltd were also upgraded to Aa2 with a stable outlook [3]. Financial Strength - AXA's Solvency II ratio stands at 220% as of Q2 2025, consistent with levels since 2021, showcasing strong capital adequacy [4]. - The company has shifted away from life underwriting and reduced market risk exposure, enhancing capital resilience while maintaining strong internal capital generation despite significant shareholder distributions [4]. Profitability and Earnings Stability - AXA's profitability has significantly improved, with returns on capital reaching approximately 9% in 2023 and 2024, compared to an average of 6% from 2019 to 2022 [5]. - Earnings stability has increased, with the property and casualty segment now contributing around two-thirds of underlying profits, while life and health segments continue to provide steady contributions [6]. Risk Exposure - AXA's exposure to French sovereign risk is moderate, with domestic government bonds accounting for about 5% of invested assets and French operations representing around 24% of group earnings, supporting resilience to potential market volatility [7]. Outlook - The outlook for AXA and its core operating entities is stable, with expectations to preserve business model strength, sustain profitability, and maintain solid capital adequacy [8].

Group 1 - AXA's performance has shown positive signals, with shares reaching an all-time high this summer despite a volatile market backdrop [2] - The discussion around AXA's targets from the previous year continues, particularly regarding the company's navigation of French political issues [1] - The upcoming conversation with AXA's CEO, Thomas Buberl, aims to address the future direction of the group [2]

Group 1 - Global financial markets are showing a cautious tone as investors consider monetary policy shifts, economic deceleration, and geopolitical dynamics [2][9] - The Dollar Index (DXY) is steady at 97.50, with expectations for potential interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve that could weaken the dollar [2][9] - China's economy experienced a greater-than-expected slowdown in August, impacting global commodity markets and leading to initial losses in iron ore prices, which later stabilized [3][9] Group 2 - Singapore's residential property market is rebounding, with new home sales reaching a nine-month high in August, driven by a strong pipeline of new projects [3][9] - European investors are increasingly favoring corporate debt from blue-chip companies like L'Oréal, Airbus, and AXA over French government bonds, as their yields have fallen below those of the state debt [4][9] - The cryptocurrency industry is opposing the UK's proposed framework for stablecoins, indicating ongoing tensions between innovative financial technologies and traditional regulatory bodies [5][9] Group 3 - Australia's Finance Union is challenging ANZ Group Holdings Limited over recent job cuts and a $240 million fine, highlighting scrutiny on labor practices in the banking sector [6] - Beijing's confirmation of joint military training exercises with Thailand may attract attention from regional and global powers, reflecting geopolitical dynamics [6]

Group 1 - The French government is facing significant political uncertainty as Prime Minister Borne announced a confidence vote in the National Assembly on September 8 to facilitate the 2026 budget process, amid ongoing opposition [1] - The French stock market reacted negatively, with the CAC 40 index opening down 1.51%, reflecting concerns over political and fiscal instability, particularly among major banking stocks [1] - Major banks such as BNP Paribas, Société Générale, and Crédit Agricole saw significant declines in their stock prices, with drops of 6.19%, 6.31%, and 4.51% respectively [1] Group 2 - The French Economy Minister, Eric Lombard, indicated that if the government fails to secure the confidence vote, there is a possibility of intervention from the International Monetary Fund regarding France's finances [2] - Lombard warned of a potential sharp rise in French government bond yields, suggesting that France could become the weakest among EU countries in terms of debt burden [2] - He expressed concern that within two weeks, France's debt load could surpass that of Italy, which would be alarming for the country [2]

Core Insights - Bank of Montreal (BMO) has outperformed the Finance sector with a year-to-date return of 14.2%, compared to the sector average of 7.6% [4] - BMO currently holds a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), indicating a positive outlook based on earnings estimates and revisions [3] - The consensus estimate for BMO's full-year earnings has increased by 3.5% over the past 90 days, reflecting improved analyst sentiment [3] Company Performance - BMO is part of the Finance group, which ranks 2 within the Zacks Sector Rank, consisting of 869 companies [2] - In the Banks - Foreign industry, BMO ranks 44 among 67 companies, slightly underperforming its industry which has gained an average of 26.7% this year [5] - Another Finance stock, Axa Sa (AXAHY), has significantly outperformed with a year-to-date return of 28.3% and a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) [4][5] Industry Context - The Finance sector is currently performing well, with BMO leading among its peers [4] - The Banks - Foreign industry is ranked 44, while the Insurance - Multi line industry, which includes Axa Sa, is ranked 85 and has seen a slight decline of -0.2% this year [5][6]

Group 1 - BNP Paribas has completed the acquisition of AXA Investment Managers, creating a new asset management giant in Europe [1][3] - The integration of AXA IM will enhance BNP Paribas's asset management platform under its Investment, Savings, and Protection (IPS) division, positioning it as a leading player in the European market [3] - Post-acquisition, BNP Paribas will manage approximately €850 billion in assets related to insurance and pension funds, aiming to become a leader in the private market asset management sector [3] Group 2 - The acquisition is part of a broader trend in the global asset management industry, which is facing challenges such as declining profit margins and the need for significant technology investments [4][5] - Other notable mergers and acquisitions in the asset management sector include Generali and Natixis Investment Managers planning to form a new company managing €1.9 trillion in assets, and BlackRock's acquisition of GIP and HPS to enhance its capabilities in the private market [5] - The ongoing trend of consolidation in the asset management industry is expected to continue as firms seek to expand scale to increase revenue amidst a downward trend in fee rates [5]

Core Viewpoint - BNP Paribas has completed the acquisition of AXA Investment Managers, creating a new asset management giant in Europe with over €1.5 trillion in assets under management [2][3]. Group 1: Acquisition Details - The acquisition was finalized on July 1, with BNP Paribas Cardif managing part of AXA Group's assets under a long-term cooperation agreement [2]. - Following the acquisition, BNP Paribas will integrate AXA Investment Managers into its Investment, Savings, and Protection (IPS) business segment [2]. - BNP Paribas is now positioned as the third-largest asset management firm in Europe and the second-largest in France, according to IPE rankings [2]. Group 2: Market Position and Strategy - Post-acquisition, BNP Paribas aims to lead in the management of insurance and pension fund assets, managing approximately €850 billion in related assets [3]. - The company is expected to become a key player in the non-public market asset management sector and among the major ETF providers in Europe [3]. - The leadership structure has been adjusted, with Sandro Pierri becoming CEO of both BNP Paribas Asset Management and AXA Investment Managers [3]. Group 3: Industry Context - The global asset management industry is facing significant challenges, including declining profit margins and outflows from high-fee products [4]. - Mergers and acquisitions are becoming a strategic choice for firms to enhance competitiveness and scale, as seen in other recent transactions in the industry [4]. - The trend of declining fees is unlikely to reverse, prompting asset management firms to pursue growth through expansion [4].

Group 1 - The Hong Kong government has implemented the "2024 Company (Amendment) (No. 2) Ordinance," allowing companies to relocate their registration to Hong Kong, benefiting from transitional tax arrangements and elimination of double taxation [1][3] - AXA announced its relocation of AXA Insurance (Bermuda) Ltd. to Hong Kong, reflecting its commitment to local customers and support for Hong Kong as a leading international financial center [1][5] - Manulife Insurance plans to relocate to Hong Kong starting November, indicating confidence in Hong Kong's status as an international financial hub [1][5] Group 2 - The relocation mechanism is designed to reduce legal and operational costs for insurance companies looking to expand in Hong Kong and mainland China [2][3] - The new mechanism simplifies the process for foreign companies to move their registration to Hong Kong, allowing them to retain their corporate identity and avoid operational disruptions [4][5] - The international context, including the OECD's implementation of a global minimum tax rate, has pressured offshore entities to consider relocating to jurisdictions like Hong Kong [5][6] Group 3 - The relocation to Hong Kong is seen as a strategic move to access the mainland Chinese market and enhance operational efficiency [7] - The long-term insurance business in Hong Kong saw a new premium income of HKD 219.8 billion in 2024, with a 21.4% year-on-year increase, driven by contributions from mainland policyholders [7] - The demand for cross-border retirement financial services is growing, particularly among the aging population in the Greater Bay Area [7][8]