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瑞银:升洛阳钼业(03993)目标价至23.4港元 予“买入”评级 上调净利润预测
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-10-30 09:44
Core Viewpoint - UBS has raised the target price for Luoyang Molybdenum (03993) to HKD 23.4 and maintains a "Buy" rating, citing strong growth potential in copper production and improved profit forecasts [1] Group 1: Production and Growth - Luoyang Molybdenum's copper production is expected to exceed the guidance of 600,000 to 660,000 tons in 2025, with 543,000 tons already achieved in the first three quarters of this year [1] - The increase in production is attributed to technological upgrades in production lines and improvements in power supply [1] - Management is confident that production will continue to grow in 2026 and 2027, with sustainable contributions from new production [1] Group 2: Profit Forecasts - UBS has raised its net profit forecasts for Luoyang Molybdenum for 2025, 2026, and 2027 by 13%, 14%, and 14% respectively [1] - The upward revision in profit forecasts is primarily due to increased price expectations for cobalt and tungsten, as well as improved copper production outlook [1] Group 3: Target Price Adjustment - The target price for Luoyang Molybdenum's H-shares has been increased from HKD 20.5 to HKD 23.4 [1] - UBS continues to recommend a "Buy" rating based on the positive outlook for the company's production and profitability [1]
大行评级丨中银国际:上调洛阳钼业目标价至15.56港元 上调2025至27年盈利预测
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-30 07:41
Core Viewpoint - Zhongyin International reported that Luoyang Molybdenum's net profit for the third quarter reached 5.6 billion yuan, representing a quarter-on-quarter increase of 19%, and exceeding the bank's expectations by 62% due to higher-than-expected copper sales and a lower effective tax rate [1] Group 1 - The bank anticipates that Luoyang Molybdenum's earnings in the fourth quarter of 2025 will grow by 42% quarter-on-quarter, driven by recent copper price increases and one-time disposal gains [1] - The bank has raised its earnings forecasts for 2025 to 2027 by 4% to 19% following the earnings release [1] - Following the earnings announcement, the target price was adjusted from 13.91 HKD to 15.56 HKD, while maintaining a "Hold" rating due to the high marginal tax rate in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, which diminishes the benefits from strong copper prices [1]
洛阳钼业(603993):业绩超预期,KFM二期稳步推进
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2025-10-30 07:08
Investment Rating - The investment rating for Luoyang Molybdenum (603993.SH) is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report highlights that the company's performance exceeded expectations due to rising prices of key products and increased production and sales of copper products, leading to a significant profit increase [4][6] - The copper production is expected to exceed 700,000 tons annually, with the KFM Phase II project set to enhance production capacity significantly [6][7] - The forecasted net profit for the company is projected to be 18.6 billion, 24.4 billion, and 25.4 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting a strong growth trajectory [6][7] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 145.49 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 6.0%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 14.28 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 72.6% [4] - The third quarter of 2025 alone saw a revenue of 50.71 billion yuan, a decrease of 2.36% year-on-year, but a profit increase of 96.4% year-on-year [4] Production and Pricing - In the first three quarters of 2025, copper production reached 543,400 tons (up 14.14% year-on-year) and sales were 520,300 tons (up 10.56% year-on-year) [6] - The average price of copper on the LME was $9,589 per ton (up 3.66% year-on-year), while the average price on the SHFE was 78,300 yuan per ton (up 4.42% year-on-year) [6] Profitability - The copper segment achieved a gross profit of 20.88 billion yuan, with a gross margin increase from 52.34% to 54.07% [6] - The cobalt segment's gross profit rose to 3.92 billion yuan, with a gross margin increase from 36.49% to 63.46% [6] Future Outlook - The company aims to achieve an annual copper production target of 80,000 to 100,000 tons over the next five years, with significant investments planned for the KFM Phase II project [6][7] - The projected P/E ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 20, 15, and 15 respectively, indicating a favorable valuation as the company enters a capacity release phase [7]
洛阳钼业涨2.28%,成交额24.37亿元,主力资金净流入1860.16万元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-10-30 02:54
Core Viewpoint - Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. has shown significant stock price growth and strong financial performance, indicating potential investment opportunities in the company [1][2]. Financial Performance - As of September 30, 2025, Luoyang Molybdenum achieved a revenue of 145.49 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.99%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 72.61% to 14.28 billion yuan [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 21.56 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 10.58 billion yuan distributed in the last three years [2]. Stock Market Activity - On October 30, 2023, Luoyang Molybdenum's stock price rose by 2.28% to 17.95 yuan per share, with a trading volume of 2.44 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 0.79% [1]. - The stock has increased by 180.60% year-to-date, with a 12.89% rise in the last five trading days, 42.23% in the last 20 days, and 92.18% in the last 60 days [1]. Shareholder Structure - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders increased by 28.08% to 304,200, with an average of 0 shares per shareholder [2]. - The top ten circulating shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, which holds 695 million shares, an increase of 47.47 million shares from the previous period [3].
洛阳钼业(603993):25Q3业绩超预期,KFM二期拟于2027年投产
Investment Rating - The investment rating for Luoyang Molybdenum (603993) is maintained as "Buy" [2][6]. Core Insights - The company's Q3 2025 performance exceeded expectations, with total revenue of 145.5 billion yuan (down 6.0% year-on-year) and a net profit of 14.28 billion yuan (up 72.6% year-on-year) primarily due to rising copper prices and increased copper production and sales [6]. - The company plans to invest in the KFM Phase II project, expected to commence production in 2027, which will add an average of 100,000 tons of copper per year upon completion [6]. - The acquisition of Lumina Gold Company enhances the company's portfolio, adding a gold project with significant resources located in Ecuador [6]. - The profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been revised upwards due to rising copper prices and production exceeding initial plans, with projected net profits of 19.56 billion, 22.80 billion, and 25.90 billion yuan respectively [6]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue for 2025 is estimated at 216.1 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 1.4% [5]. - The projected net profit for 2025 is 19.56 billion yuan, reflecting a significant increase of 44.5% year-on-year [5]. - The company's gross margin is expected to be 19.8% in 2025, with a return on equity (ROE) of 22.6% [5].
10月29日洛阳钼业股票走强 涨超4.78%
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-10-29 08:36
Group 1 - The core point of the news is that Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. (603993) experienced a stock price increase of 4.78%, closing at 17.55 yuan on October 29, 2025, with a trading volume of 2.8384 million hands and a total transaction value of 4.911 billion yuan [1] - The stock opened at 16.98 yuan, reached a high of 17.56 yuan, and a low of 16.93 yuan during the trading session [1] - The net inflow of main funds was 466 million yuan, accounting for 9.49% of the total transaction value, while retail investors saw a net outflow of 305 million yuan, representing 6.22% of the total transaction value [1] Group 2 - The technical analysis indicates that Luoyang Molybdenum's stock is in a narrow consolidation pattern, with a clear resistance level at 16.92 yuan and a key support level at 16.53 yuan [3] - The stock price has tested the resistance level multiple times without success, while buying support remains near the support level [3] - Technical indicators are neutral to weak, with short-term moving averages intertwined, not providing a clear trend signal [3]
洛阳钼业涨4.78%,成交额49.11亿元,人气排名47位!后市是否有机会?附走势预测
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-10-29 07:28
Core Viewpoint - Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. has shown a significant increase in stock price and trading volume, indicating strong market interest and potential growth in its operations in the metals sector [1] Company Overview - Luoyang Molybdenum is the second-largest cobalt producer globally, with a comprehensive integrated supply chain in non-ferrous metal mining, including copper, molybdenum, tungsten, cobalt, niobium, and phosphorus [2][7] - The company has been expanding its precious metals business, with increasing revenue and profit contributions from gold and silver products [2] Recent Developments - The company signed a share transfer agreement to acquire 100% of Woyuan Holdings, indirectly increasing its stake in Huayue Nickel Cobalt to 30% [2] - In 2023, the company expects a 56% to 69% year-on-year increase in gold production from its NPM copper-gold mine in Australia, with a production guidance of 25,000 to 27,000 ounces [3] Financial Performance - For the first nine months of 2025, Luoyang Molybdenum reported a revenue of 145.49 billion yuan, a decrease of 5.99% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 72.61% to 14.28 billion yuan [8] - The company has distributed a total of 21.56 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 10.58 billion yuan in the last three years [9] Market Position - The company ranks 47th in market popularity within the A-share market, with a total market capitalization of 375.47 billion yuan [1] - The stock has a current average trading cost of 11.82 yuan, with a recent price approaching a resistance level of 18.00 yuan, indicating potential for upward movement if this level is surpassed [6]
洛阳钼业(603993):主营产品产量稳步增长,KFM二期将再扩产10万吨铜
Western Securities· 2025-10-29 06:29
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 145.485 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 5.99%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 72.61% to 14.280 billion yuan [1][5] - In Q3 2025, the revenue was 50.713 billion yuan, down 2.36% year-on-year but up 3.99% quarter-on-quarter, with a net profit of 5.608 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 96.40% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 18.69% [1][5] Production Summary - The company exceeded its production targets in the first three quarters, with copper production reaching 543,400 tons, a year-on-year increase of 14.14% [2] - The KFM Phase II project is expected to add an average annual capacity of 100,000 tons of copper, with an investment of 1.084 billion USD and projected completion in 2027 [2] Sales Summary - In Q3 2025, the company sold 197,700 tons of copper, reflecting a slight quarter-on-quarter decrease of 0.55% [3] - The sales volume for cobalt significantly dropped by 78.05% due to export bans from the Democratic Republic of the Congo [3] Profit Forecast - The company is projected to have EPS of 0.95, 1.03, and 1.15 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 18, 16, and 15 [3]
洛阳钼业涨2.75%,成交额4.95亿元,主力资金净流入934.50万元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-10-29 05:35
Core Insights - Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. has seen a significant stock price increase of 169.03% year-to-date, with a recent 10.75% rise over the last five trading days [2] - The company reported a revenue of 1454.85 billion yuan for the period from January to September 2025, a decrease of 5.99% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 72.61% to 142.80 billion yuan [3] Stock Performance - As of October 29, the stock price reached 17.21 yuan per share, with a trading volume of 4.95 billion yuan and a market capitalization of 3681.96 billion yuan [1] - The stock has experienced a 37.46% increase over the last 20 days and an 86.05% increase over the last 60 days [2] Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders increased to 304,200, up by 28.08% from the previous period [3] - The top ten circulating shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, which holds 695 million shares, an increase of 47.47 million shares [4] Business Overview - Luoyang Molybdenum primarily engages in the mining, selection, deep processing, and trading of rare metals such as molybdenum, tungsten, and gold [3] - The revenue composition includes refined metal product trading (48.56%), concentrate product trading (38.31%), and other metals such as copper (27.14%) and cobalt (6.04%) [3] Dividend Information - The company has distributed a total of 215.62 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 105.76 billion yuan distributed over the last three years [4]
洛阳钼业(603993):产量提升业绩高增,KFM二期推进
Ping An Securities· 2025-10-29 04:05
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for Luoyang Molybdenum (603993.SH) [1] Core Views - The company reported a significant increase in net profit for the third quarter of 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 96.4%, reaching 56.08 billion yuan, despite a slight decline in total revenue [5] - The production of copper and cobalt has shown a steady increase, with copper production reaching 543,000 tons, up 14.1% year-on-year, and cobalt production at 88,000 tons, up 3.8% [8] - The KFM Phase II project is expected to be completed and operational by 2027, with an investment of 1.084 billion USD, which will enhance the company's production capacity [8] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, total revenue was 50.713 billion yuan, a decrease of 2.36% year-on-year, while net profit for the first three quarters reached 142.8 billion yuan, an increase of 72.61% [5] - The company adjusted its net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 to 192.65 billion, 224.57 billion, and 247.08 billion yuan respectively, reflecting a positive outlook on performance [8] Production and Pricing - The average price of copper in Q3 was 79,500 yuan per ton, up 2.34% from the previous quarter, while cobalt prices rose by 11.42% to 266,800 yuan per ton [8] - The gross margin for cobalt reached 63.46%, an increase of 26.97 percentage points year-on-year, while copper's gross margin was 54.07%, up 1.73 percentage points [8] Future Outlook - The expansion of overseas copper and cobalt mining projects is expected to steadily increase production, enhancing the company's growth potential [8] - The company is positioned to benefit from higher metal prices due to its cost advantages, which may lead to greater earnings elasticity [8]