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Home Depot Stock Drops 12% in 3 Months: Should You Buy, Hold or Sell?
ZACKS· 2025-05-08 17:35
Core Viewpoint - Home Depot's stock has experienced a decline of 12.3% over the past three months, which is better than the broader industry's 14.7% drop but worse than the Retail-Wholesale sector and S&P 500 declines of 10.5% and 7.9%, respectively [1][6] Stock Performance - The current stock price of Home Depot is $362.75, representing a 17.4% discount from its 52-week high of $439.37 and a 12% premium from its 52-week low [5] - Home Depot's stock trades above its 200-day moving averages, indicating strong upward momentum and price stability [5] Growth Drivers - Home Depot has maintained consistent growth through its "One Home Depot" strategy, focusing on technology investments, supply-chain modernization, and digital transformation [8] - The company caters to both DIY customers and professional contractors, enhancing customer loyalty and market appeal [8][9] - A vast store network and a growing online presence position Home Depot well to meet evolving consumer demands [9] Operational Challenges - Home Depot faces challenges such as softened demand and pressure in high-ticket discretionary categories, affecting total and comparable sales [10] - For fiscal 2025, the company projects a 2.8% year-over-year increase in sales, a slowdown from the 4.5% growth in fiscal 2024, with comparable sales expected to rise just 1% [10] - The gross margin is forecast to remain flat at 33.4%, and the operating margin is projected at 13% [10] Profitability Pressures - Elevated interest rates are impacting consumer behavior and financing costs, with net interest expenses expected to rise to $2.2 billion in fiscal 2025 from $2.1 billion in the prior year [11] - Home Depot anticipates a 3% decline in GAAP earnings per share and a 2% year-over-year fall in adjusted EPS [12] Earnings Estimates - Home Depot's earnings estimates for fiscal 2025 have shown an uptrend, with a 0.2% increase in the Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings per share in the last seven days [13] - The consensus estimate for fiscal 2025 sales implies 2.7% year-over-year growth, while earnings per share suggest a decline of 1.5% [13] Valuation - Home Depot's stock is currently trading at a forward 12-month P/E multiple of 23.56X, higher than the industry average of 20.55X and the S&P 500's average of 20.65X [14][15] - Competitors like Lowe's, Williams-Sonoma, and Haverty Furniture have lower forward 12-month P/E ratios, indicating that Home Depot's valuation may seem expensive [15] Investment Outlook - Despite the premium valuation and cautious outlook, Home Depot's growth initiatives and strong Pro customer sales position it well for the long term [18] - The prevailing headwinds necessitate a thorough evaluation of recent developments before making investment decisions [19]
Why Home Depot (HD) Could Beat Earnings Estimates Again
ZACKS· 2025-05-08 17:10
Core Insights - Home Depot is well-positioned to continue its earnings-beat streak in the upcoming report, having surpassed earnings estimates consistently in the last two quarters [1][4]. Earnings Performance - For the last reported quarter, Home Depot achieved earnings of $3.13 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.04 per share by 2.96% [2]. - In the previous quarter, the company reported earnings of $3.78 per share against an expected $3.64 per share, resulting in a surprise of 3.85% [2]. Earnings Estimates - There has been a favorable change in earnings estimates for Home Depot, with a positive Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) indicating a strong likelihood of an earnings beat [4][7]. - The current Earnings ESP for Home Depot is +0.43%, suggesting analysts are optimistic about its near-term earnings potential [7]. Predictive Metrics - Stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) or better have a nearly 70% chance of producing a positive surprise [5]. - The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, reflecting the latest analyst revisions [6]. Upcoming Earnings Report - Home Depot's next earnings report is anticipated to be released on May 20, 2025 [7].
Dividend Hikes Offer Optimism Amid Tariff Turmoil
Seeking Alpha· 2025-05-08 04:45
Core Insights - Wall Street Horizon provides institutional traders and investors with accurate and comprehensive forward-looking event data [1] - The company covers 9,500 companies worldwide and offers more than 40 corporate event types [1] - The data includes earnings calendars, dividend dates, option expiration dates, splits, and investor conferences [1] - By keeping clients informed of critical market-moving events and revisions, the data helps financial professionals manage volatility [1]
The Home Depot Foundation invests more than $5.5 million to strengthen disaster preparedness, response and rebuilding efforts
Prnewswire· 2025-05-06 12:30
"During recent disaster response operations in Texas and the Los Angeles area, our teams would develop first responder kits while on-site. Our aim for this pilot program is to have them prepped and ready for future events. The 'Kid Care Kits' will include coloring books and snacks as well as a stuffed animal to help provide comfort to children who have faced the trauma of witnessing a natural disaster," said Diego Traverso, senior director of global disaster response for Operation Blessing. "With this renew ...
The Home Depot to Host First Quarter Conference Call on May 20
Prnewswire· 2025-05-06 12:00
ATLANTA, May 6, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- The Home Depot®, the world's largest home improvement retailer, announced today that it will hold its First Quarter Earnings Conference Call on Tuesday, May 20, at 9 a.m. ET. A webcast will be available by logging onto http://ir.homedepot.com/events-and-presentations and selecting the First Quarter Earnings Conference Call icon. The webcast will be archived, and the replay will be available beginning at approximately noon on May 20. The Home Depot is the world's largest ...
沃尔玛等企业通知中国供应商恢复供货;上海机场2024年归母净利润翻倍|消费早参
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-04-29 23:34
Group 1 - Walmart and other US retailers have notified Chinese suppliers to resume shipments, with the cost of tariffs being borne by the US buyers, indicating a resilience in the supply chain despite tariff barriers [1] - The ongoing trade dynamics reflect a strong demand in Sino-US economic relations, highlighting the importance of maintaining supply chain stability [1] Group 2 - Shanghai Airport reported a nearly 12% year-on-year increase in revenue for 2024, reaching approximately 12.4 billion yuan, with net profit doubling to nearly 2 billion yuan [2] - The growth in performance is attributed to a record passenger throughput of over 124 million at Shanghai's two major airports, surpassing pre-pandemic levels [2] - However, a decline in duty-free business revenue raises concerns about structural risks in non-aviation operations, linked to weakened consumer spending and cross-border channel shifts [2] Group 3 - Nike's After Dark Tour in Shanghai attracted over 12,000 registrations, with 3,500 female runners participating, emphasizing the brand's focus on the female sports market [3] - The initiative aligns with Nike's strategic shift under new CEO Elliott Hill, aiming to reinforce its professional sports image and capitalize on the growing trend of health-conscious female consumers [3] - To maintain competitive advantage, Nike must differentiate its products, such as through specialized women's running shoes, to avoid homogenization in the market [3] Group 4 - Hunan Mingming Hen Mang has submitted an application for listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, reporting revenues of 4.286 billion yuan, 10.295 billion yuan, and 39.344 billion yuan for 2022, 2023, and 2024 respectively [4] - The company has expanded to 14,394 stores across 28 provinces, with approximately 58% located in county and township areas, demonstrating significant growth in the affordable snack sector [4] - The rapid revenue growth of nearly tenfold over three years indicates the potential of the low-tier market, but challenges remain in supply chain management and competition in the industry [4]
无视145%关税,美三大零售巨头恢复从中国进口,关税由美国人承担
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-04-28 14:22
Group 1 - The CEOs of Walmart, Home Depot, and Target announced a resumption of all orders from Chinese suppliers, with the U.S. government fully absorbing the 145% tariffs, indicating a significant shift in the global supply chain dynamics [1][3] - Walmart's CEO warned that if tariffs remain unchanged, 30% of supermarket shelves in the U.S. could be empty within two weeks, highlighting the urgency of the situation [3] - The shipping volume from China to the U.S. has dropped by 33%, leading to a critical inventory shortage for products reliant on Chinese supply chains [3] Group 2 - Walmart placed emergency orders worth $23 billion to Chinese suppliers within 72 hours after the White House meeting, while Home Depot initiated a "Supply Chain Acceleration Plan" [5] - The CFO of Walmart revealed that the company has set aside $4.5 billion to cover tariffs, which represents 18% of its projected net profit for 2024, indicating a high-stakes gamble on tariff reductions [5] - FedEx's predictive system shows that 92% of supply chain experts believe tariffs will drop below 20% within 60 days, influencing retailers' decisions [5] Group 3 - The high tariffs have led to a 14% year-over-year increase in the U.S. import price index, with warnings of a 90% chance of economic recession by 2025 if the situation persists [7] - 58% of independent voters oppose the current administration due to rising prices, which poses a political risk for the Trump administration [7] - Trade partners like the EU and ASEAN are refusing to cooperate with U.S. pressure on China, with Mexico seizing the opportunity to increase its export share to the U.S. [7] Group 4 - The tariff conflict has exposed vulnerabilities in global supply chains, prompting a shift towards digitalization and regionalization [9] - Companies are investing in AI-driven supply chain management systems to enhance responsiveness and predict the impact of tariff changes [9] - Home Depot is investing $3 billion to build a "zero-carbon logistics network," aiming to reduce reliance on single supply chains and promote sustainability [9]
Between Costco and Home Depot, Which Is the Top Retail Stock to Buy Right Now?
The Motley Fool· 2025-04-25 12:45
Company Overview - Costco and Home Depot are two of the largest retailers globally, with a combined market cap of $770 billion as of April 21 [1] - Costco focuses on general merchandise, while Home Depot specializes in DIY and professional home improvement products [1] Costco Performance - In fiscal Q2 2025, Costco reported a 6.8% year-over-year increase in same-store sales, driven by increased foot traffic and strong growth in categories like home furnishings, gold and jewelry, and appliances [3] - Costco's membership model has resulted in a loyal customer base, with 78.4 million households contributing to $1.2 billion in membership fee income [4] - The company has a consistent profit generation capability, offering regular dividends and special one-time payouts, the latest being $15 per share in January 2024 [5] Home Depot Performance - Home Depot generated $159.5 billion in revenue in fiscal 2024, significantly outperforming competitors like Lowe's [6] - The company is facing challenges, with same-store sales expected to rise only 1% this fiscal year after a decline of 1.8% in fiscal 2024 [7] - Home Depot's long-term prospects are supported by the aging U.S. housing stock and significant untapped home equity for upgrades [8] Comparative Analysis - Costco is viewed as a more resilient business compared to Home Depot, as its demand is less sensitive to macroeconomic conditions, while Home Depot's performance is closely tied to the housing market [9] - Despite Costco's perceived strength, Home Depot is considered a better investment based on valuation, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 23.2 compared to Costco's 55.9 [10] - Some investors may prioritize owning high-quality businesses regardless of valuation, suggesting a dollar-cost averaging strategy for purchasing shares [11]
Home Depot (HD) Advances But Underperforms Market: Key Facts
ZACKS· 2025-04-23 22:50
Company Performance - Home Depot closed at $356.42, with a +0.56% change from the previous day, underperforming the S&P 500's gain of 1.67% [1] - Over the past month, Home Depot shares have decreased by 1.82%, which is better than the Retail-Wholesale sector's loss of 4.21% and the S&P 500's loss of 6.57% [1] Upcoming Earnings - Home Depot is set to release its earnings on May 20, 2025, with an expected EPS of $3.59, reflecting a 1.1% decline from the same quarter last year [2] - The revenue forecast for the upcoming quarter is $39.3 billion, indicating a 7.9% increase compared to the same quarter of the previous year [2] Annual Estimates - For the entire year, the Zacks Consensus Estimates predict earnings of $14.98 per share and revenue of $163.8 billion, representing changes of -1.71% and +2.69% respectively from the previous year [3] Analyst Estimates - Recent changes in analyst estimates for Home Depot are crucial as they reflect short-term business trends, with positive revisions indicating a favorable outlook on the company's health and profitability [4] Zacks Rank and Valuation - Home Depot currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), with the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate remaining unchanged over the past month [6] - The company is trading at a Forward P/E ratio of 23.67, which is higher than its industry's Forward P/E of 17.89, and has a PEG ratio of 3.35 compared to the industry average of 2.16 [7] Industry Context - The Retail - Home Furnishings industry, part of the Retail-Wholesale sector, has a Zacks Industry Rank of 197, placing it in the bottom 21% of over 250 industries [8] - Research indicates that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [8]
Why Shares of Amazon, Walmart, and Home Depot Are Rebounding Today
The Motley Fool· 2025-04-22 17:59
Group 1: Market Reactions - Stocks of big-box retailers and large e-commerce companies rebounded due to positive news regarding trade negotiations between the Trump administration and trade partners [1] - Amazon shares increased by approximately 3.3%, Walmart shares rose nearly 2%, and Home Depot shares were up about 1.3% [2] Group 2: Trade Relations and Impact - The U.S.-China trade tensions have negatively affected big-box retailers and e-commerce companies, as they source a significant portion of their products from China [3] - Approximately 30% of Amazon's first-party merchandise comes from China, while Walmart sources at least 70% of its products from Chinese suppliers [4] - The Trump administration is working on a deal with India to allow large retailers to access India's $125 billion e-commerce market [5] Group 3: Regulatory Environment - U.S. companies can currently only operate as online marketplaces for Indian companies, despite Walmart's acquisition of a controlling stake in Flipkart for $16 billion in 2018 [6] - The U.S. has been attempting to open India's domestic market since 2006, facing challenges in negotiations [7] Group 4: Future Outlook - The current situation with China is described as untenable, with expectations for eventual improvement [8] - A successful trade deal with India could potentially provide the Trump administration with leverage in negotiations with China [9] - Long-term prospects for Amazon, Walmart, and Home Depot remain positive, despite potential short-term challenges from tariff headlines or consumer weakness [11]