伯恩斯坦：将IBM(IBM.N)目标股价从280美元上调至330美元。 本文源自：金融界AI电报 ...

Market Overview - U.S. stock markets are expected to open lower due to a tech-led sell-off and ongoing corporate earnings digestion [1] - Nasdaq 100 futures declined 1.06%, S&P 500 futures fell 0.86%, and Dow futures slipped 0.81% [2] - Precious metals, including gold, saw significant declines, with gold's price dropping 2.8% to $5,205 per ounce [2] - Oil prices have also retreated amid easing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East [2] Major Market Indexes - On January 29, 2026, the S&P 500 closed down 0.1% at 6,969.01 after nearing its all-time high [3] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 55.96 points, or 0.1%, finishing at 49,071.56 [3] - The Nasdaq Composite fell 0.7% (172.33 points) to 23,685.12, indicating a shift towards defensive sectors [3] Economic Data and Events - Key economic data releases today include the January jobs report, focusing on payroll growth, unemployment rates, and average hourly earnings [4] - Upcoming data includes the January ISM manufacturing index, December job openings, and housing starts [4] - Japan's Tokyo CPI is also being monitored as a leading indicator for national inflation trends [4] Federal Reserve Appointment - Anticipation surrounds President Trump's nomination of Kevin Warsh as the next Federal Reserve chair, which could lead to rising U.S. Treasury yields [5] - Warsh is known for his inflation hawk stance and criticism of the Fed, potentially signaling a shift in monetary policy [5] Corporate Earnings and Stock Movements - Major companies reporting earnings include Exxon Mobil, Chevron, American Express, Verizon, and Regeneron Pharmaceuticals [6] - Microsoft experienced a 10% drop despite strong quarterly results, as investors focused on future growth and investments [7] - Tesla's stock fell 3.5% despite exceeding profit expectations, with CEO Elon Musk redirecting focus to future ventures [11] - Sandisk Corporation surged over 19% in premarket trading after reporting exceptional earnings driven by AI demand [11] - Apple reported a 16% year-over-year revenue increase but saw flat premarket trading [11] - Southwest Airlines stock rose 18.7% despite missing profit forecasts, buoyed by an optimistic earnings outlook [11] - IBM's stock climbed 5.1% after surpassing profit and revenue expectations [11] - ServiceNow dropped 9.9% despite reporting stronger-than-expected profits [11] - Texas Instruments saw a market surge of over 7% following a favorable capital return strategy [11] - Other notable premarket movers include Deckers Outdoor Corporation up 12.71% and ResMed Inc. up 3.95% [11]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that AI is disrupting traditional software businesses, with infrastructure software companies like IBM standing out positively [1] - Melius Research's Ben Reitz maintains a "buy" rating for IBM with a target price of $390, citing the company's organic growth in software business accelerating quarter-over-quarter [1] - Reitz emphasizes that infrastructure software companies will outperform traditional software vendors, which are threatened by generative AI tools [1] Group 2 - IBM's disciplined capital allocation is highlighted, demonstrating its ability to utilize free cash flow for acquisitions that enhance its infrastructure software business [2] - The company's efforts in quantum computing are noted as a long-term catalyst that has not yet been reflected in its stock price [2] - Reitz concludes that IBM is one of the few attractive options in the software sector, which lacks configurable assets outside of IBM and a few other companies [2]

US weekly initial unemployment claims fell -1,000 to 209,000, showing a slightly weaker labor market than expectations of 205,000. However, continuing claims fell -38,000 to a 6-month low of 1.827 million, showing a stronger labor market than expectations of 1.850 million.WTI crude oil (CLH26) prices jumped more than +3% to a 4.25-month high on Thursday to lift energy producers after President Trump on Wednesday said that he wants Iran to come to the table and negotiate a nuclear deal that is “a fair and eq ...

Company Performance - Microsoft shares dropped by 10.0 percent, reaching their lowest closing level in nine months due to slowing cloud computing growth and disappointing third quarter operating margin guidance [2][3] - Meta Platforms saw a significant increase of 10.4 percent after reporting better than expected fourth quarter results and forecasting first quarter revenues above analyst estimates [5] - IBM Corp. shares surged after exceeding expectations on both top and bottom lines in its fourth quarter results [5] Sector Performance - The Dow Jones U.S. Software Index fell by 7.7 percent, marking a nine-month closing low, largely influenced by Microsoft’s decline and a 9.9 percent drop in ServiceNow shares despite its better than expected fourth quarter earnings [5][6] - Airline stocks increased significantly, with the NYSE Arca Airline Index rising by 2.3 percent, contributing to the overall market recovery [7] - Gold stocks experienced continued weakness, as indicated by a 3.8 percent slump in the NYSE Arca Gold Bugs Index, despite a recovery in gold prices [6] Market Overview - The major averages showed a recovery attempt after an early nosedive, with the Dow ending up 55.96 points or 0.1 percent at 49,071.56, while the S&P 500 closed down just 9.02 points or 0.1 percent at 6,969.01 [1] - The tech-heavy Nasdaq ended the day down 172.33 points or 0.7 percent at 23,685.12, having previously tumbled by as much as 2.6 percent [2] - Stock markets in the Asia-Pacific region mostly moved higher, with Japan's Nikkei 225 Index closing marginally higher and China's Shanghai Composite Index edging up by 0.2 percent [8] Economic Indicators - The yield on the benchmark ten-year note fell by 2.4 basis points to 4.227 percent, indicating a recovery in the bond market following previous pullbacks [9] - Upcoming earnings news from Apple may influence trading, with the tech giant set to report its fiscal first quarter results [10]

IBM is poised to borrow nearly $7.5 billion in the corporate bond market, kicking off what is expected to be a flood of borrowing from the tech sector in 2026. Bloomberg's Ronan Martin and Robert Schiffman from Bloomberg Intelligence discuss the story on "Bloomberg Markets" with Scarlet Fu. ...

IBM发现，随着客户将人工智能（AI）融入其业务的更多角落，他们正面临一个新的挑战：如何追踪这 些AI。 IBM首席财务官吉姆·卡瓦诺表示，成本作为部署AI最大障碍的日子已经一去不复返了。他说，现在， 随着公司开始使用更多的AI技术，它们面临的主要挑战是组织和保护正在进入其运营的数以十亿计的 新应用和AI智能体。 卡瓦诺说："我认为过去的挑战是成本曲线。但目前最大的挑战是复杂性和专业知识。" 卡瓦诺说，当公司将AI添加到其运营中时，每个工作流程步骤都变成了自己的应用程序。其中许多应 用程序还需要多个AI智能体。企业仍在探索管理这些庞大运营系统的最佳方式。 他说："当你有数以十亿计的新应用程序以及在其上运行的大量AI智能体时，企业需要一种方法来管 理、治理和协调这一切。" IBM认为自己正好可以满足这一需求。IBM并非与英伟达或博通等AI提供商直接竞争，而是充当中间 人，帮助公司实施、扩展并最终管理AI系统。 这家总部位于纽约州阿蒙克的公司提供咨询、软件和基础设施服务。这意味着它可以为客户提供管理 AI系统所需的工具，并教他们如何最好地使用这些工具。 IBM首席财务官吉姆·卡瓦诺表示，成本作为部署AI最大障碍的 ...

Core Insights - IBM has recently outperformed market expectations, reporting a revenue of $19.69 billion in the fourth quarter, which is a 12.1% increase year-over-year and surpasses the anticipated $19.21 billion [2][5] - The company's stock surged by 9% to $321, driven by impressive financial results and strong growth in its software segment [2][5] - Despite strong current performance, IBM's guidance for 2026 forecasts only a 5% sales growth, raising concerns about future growth prospects [3][5] Financial Performance - IBM reported adjusted earnings per share of $4.52 on sales of $19.69 billion, exceeding Wall Street's expectations of $4.30 EPS on $19.22 billion in sales [3] - The strong growth in the software segment was a key contributor to the positive financial outcome [3] Strategic Developments - IBM's GenAI order book is valued at $12.5 billion, primarily consisting of consulting services, which have seen a growth of just 1% [4] - The recent $11 billion acquisition of Confluent has raised concerns, particularly as the growth of Red Hat is slowing [4] - Despite challenges, the demand for AI cloud services remains high, providing potential growth opportunities for IBM [4] Market Position - Daniel Ives from Wedbush set a new price target for IBM at $340, indicating a 15.58% increase from its current trading price of $294.16 [1] - IBM competes with other tech giants like Microsoft and Amazon in the cloud and AI sectors [1]

Core Viewpoint - IBM is positioned as a significant player in the technology and consulting sector, with a focus on cloud computing and artificial intelligence, despite facing challenges in its growth outlook [1][3][6] Group 1: Stock Performance and Analyst Ratings - Wedbush has maintained an "Outperform" rating for IBM and raised its price target from $325 to $340, indicating confidence in the company's potential for stock growth [2][6] - On the day of the announcement, IBM's stock price increased by 0.10%, or $0.30, with fluctuations between $291.26 and $295.90 [5] Group 2: Financial Performance and Growth Projections - IBM reported solid fourth-quarter results but projected only a 5% sales growth for 2026, raising concerns among investors [3][6] - The company recently completed an $11 billion acquisition of Confluent, which adds to the uncertainty regarding its growth trajectory, especially as growth from the previous acquisition, Red Hat, is slowing [3][6] Group 3: AI and Consulting Services - IBM has a strong GenAI order book valued at $12.5 billion, although most of this revenue is derived from consulting services, which only grew by 1% [4][6] - The demand for AI cloud services remains high, which could positively impact IBM's future performance [4]

Group 1 - IBM is recognized as one of the 12 Best Dow Jones Dividend Stocks to buy according to hedge funds [1] - JPMorgan raised IBM's price target to $312 from $290, citing expected solid fourth-quarter results driven by software growth [2] - IBM has secured $9.5 billion in AI-related business, primarily in consulting, positioning itself well as AI adoption increases [3] Group 2 - IBM is focused on long-term goals in quantum computing, aiming to demonstrate quantum advantage this year and develop a fault-tolerant quantum computer by 2029 [4] - The company provides global hybrid cloud and AI capabilities along with consulting services for enterprises [5]