（原标题：美国政府停摆冲击需求 西南航空(LUV.US)下调盈利预期） 智通财经APP获悉，西南航空(LUV.US)周五发布业绩指引更新后股价走低。该公司表示，由于政府停摆 导致收入减少及燃油价格上涨的影响，目前预计2025年全年息税前利润约为5亿美元，低于此前6亿至8 亿美元的预期区间。提交给美国证券交易委员会的文件中未披露其他指引信息。 西南航空强调，在政府停摆引发的需求暂时下滑后，当前预订量已恢复至先前预期水平。 西南航空股价在盘前交易中下跌1.4%，报35.30美元，其52周交易区间为23.83-37.96美元。 本周早些时候，达美航空表示，政府停摆使其损失2亿美元，但进入2026年的需求前景看起来强劲。 此次政府停摆加剧了全国范围内空中交通管制员短缺问题，扰乱了航空出行。在这次长达40多天的停摆 期间，空管人员属于必须工作但无法按时获得薪水的联邦工作人员之列。 特朗普政府要求航空公司削减航班计划并取消航班，不过在停摆的最后几天，航班取消和延误情况比强 制削减的要求更为严重。 ...

Core Insights - Southwest Airlines has reduced its 2025 earnings forecast due to a demand dip caused by the federal government shutdown, which is the longest on record [1] - The revised earnings before interest and taxes for 2025 is now expected to be approximately $500 million, a decrease from the previous forecast range of $600 million to $800 million [1] - Contributing factors to the earnings revision include lower revenue during the shutdown and increased fuel prices [1] Company Performance - Following the temporary decline in demand due to the shutdown, Southwest Airlines reported that bookings have returned to previous expectations [2] - Delta Air Lines also reported a financial impact from the shutdown, estimating a loss of $200 million, but indicated that demand appears strong as they move into 2026 [2]

Core Viewpoint - The article summarizes key research rating adjustments from Wall Street that are likely to influence market trends, highlighting companies with upgraded, downgraded, and newly initiated ratings [1][6]. Upgraded Ratings - Toll Brothers (TOL): JPMorgan upgraded the rating from "Neutral" to "Overweight," raising the target price from $138 to $161, citing significantly higher gross and operating margins compared to industry averages [5]. - Toast (TOST): JPMorgan upgraded the rating from "Neutral" to "Overweight," maintaining the target price at $43, with expectations of improved performance if regulatory policies on transaction fees are implemented [5]. - Accelerant (ARX): Citizens JMP upgraded the rating from "Market Perform" to "Outperform," setting a target price of $20, indicating that market concerns over its related party business have been overstated [5]. - UMH Properties (UMH): Colliers upgraded the rating from "Neutral" to "Buy," increasing the target price from $16 to $17, highlighting the resilience of the manufactured housing sector [5]. - Descartes Systems (DSGX): Raymond James upgraded the rating from "Market Perform" to "Outperform," setting a target price of $118, noting that the current price-to-EBITDA ratio is near a 10-year low, positioning it well for a market recovery [5]. Downgraded Ratings - PayPal (PYPL): JPMorgan downgraded the rating from "Overweight" to "Neutral," lowering the target price from $85 to $70, indicating that 2026 will be a critical year for execution and investment [5]. - Sociedad Química y Minera (SQM): Goldman Sachs downgraded the rating from "Buy" to "Neutral," raising the target price from $45 to $63, as the stock has risen 80% this year, exceeding fundamental support [5]. - Lennar (LEN): JPMorgan downgraded the rating from "Neutral" to "Underweight," lowering the target price from $118 to $115, maintaining a cautious stance on the residential builders sector for 2026 [5]. - Halozyme (HALO): Goldman Sachs downgraded the rating from "Neutral" to "Sell," setting a target price of $56, expressing concerns over the ambitious revenue targets set for 2041 [5]. - Fidelity National Information Services (FISV): JPMorgan downgraded the rating from "Overweight" to "Neutral," maintaining the target price at $85, indicating that 2026 will be a year requiring proof of execution [5]. Newly Initiated Ratings - United Airlines (UAL): Citigroup initiated coverage with a "Buy" rating and a target price of $132, citing a positive outlook for the airline industry [10]. - General Electric Aviation (GE): Susquehanna initiated coverage with a "Positive" rating and a target price of $350, noting its dominant position in the commercial aviation engine market [10][12]. - Hershey (HSY): Jefferies resumed coverage with a "Hold" rating and a target price of $181, acknowledging the company's strategies to manage cocoa cost pressures while noting high current valuations [10][13]. - Monday.com (MNDY): Guggenheim initiated coverage with a "Buy" rating and a target price of $250, indicating a potential 64% upside from current levels [10][13]. - Cava Group (CAVA): Truist initiated coverage with a "Buy" rating and a target price of $66, highlighting its leadership in the Mediterranean fast-casual dining sector [10][13].

Core Viewpoint - The Illinois appellate court ruled that payments made by an insured following a cyberattack, which were reasonable but not contractually necessary, do not qualify as insured "extra expense" under the cyber insurance policy [1][5][12] Group 1: Case Background - The case involved Villa Financial Services, which suffered a cyberattack on Kronos Group in 2021, leading to payroll processing issues and resulting in overpayments of $1.2 million to employees [2][3] - Villa sought coverage from its cyber insurance carrier for these overpayments, claiming they were incurred as "extra expense" due to the cyber event [3][4] Group 2: Court Rulings - The trial court ruled in favor of the insurer, stating that Villa failed to demonstrate that the overpayments were "necessarily incurred" as required by the policy [4][5] - The appellate court affirmed this ruling, emphasizing that the policy's language did not support reimbursement for payments that were not contractually required [6][7] Group 3: Policy Interpretation - The cyber policy defined "extra expense" as reasonable sums necessarily incurred to mitigate business interruptions caused by cyber events [4] - The court highlighted that the term "necessarily incurred" implies that expenses must be essential and indispensable for business operations, which Villa could not prove [6][11] Group 4: Comparison with Other Cases - The Villa decision contrasts with the Fifth Circuit's ruling in Southwest Airlines, where the court found that the term "solely" in a different policy context allowed for a broader interpretation of coverage [11] - The Villa case serves as a reminder of the importance of precise language in insurance contracts and the courts' reluctance to create coverage where none exists [12]

Core Points - Southwest Airlines has announced a new partnership with Condor, a German airline, to offer transatlantic travel options starting January 19, 2026, connecting various U.S. cities with Condor's international destinations [1][2] - The partnership will allow Southwest to serve Condor passengers with domestic flights, enhancing connectivity and travel options for international travelers [2] - Southwest Airlines currently partners with five overseas carriers, expanding its transoceanic network and improving travel experiences for customers [2] Company Overview - Southwest Airlines operates at 117 airports across 11 countries and is known for its low-cost air travel, carrying more air travelers within the U.S. than any other airline [3] - The airline has a workforce of over 72,000 employees and served more than 140 million customers in 2024, emphasizing its commitment to hospitality and community [3] - Condor, established in 1956, serves around 70 destinations worldwide and carried nearly 10 million guests annually, operating a fleet of approximately 60 aircraft [4]

Core Viewpoint - Halper Sadeh LLC is investigating potential breaches of fiduciary duties by officers and directors of SolarEdge Technologies, Inc. which may affect shareholder rights [1][2]. Group 1: Legal Actions and Shareholder Rights - Long-term shareholders of SolarEdge may seek corporate governance reforms, financial incentives, or other benefits through legal action [2]. - Shareholder involvement is emphasized as a means to improve company policies and enhance shareholder value [3]. Group 2: Firm's Background and Services - Halper Sadeh LLC represents global investors affected by securities fraud and corporate misconduct, having recovered millions for defrauded investors [4].

Core Viewpoint - Halper Sadeh LLC is investigating potential breaches of fiduciary duties by certain officers and directors of Southwest Airlines Co., which may affect shareholder rights and corporate governance [1][2]. Group 1: Investigation Details - The law firm is looking into whether the actions of Southwest Airlines' management have harmed shareholder interests [1]. - Long-term shareholders may have options for seeking corporate governance reforms and financial recovery [2]. Group 2: Importance of Shareholder Participation - Shareholder involvement is crucial for enhancing company policies and oversight, which can lead to increased shareholder value [3]. Group 3: Legal Representation - Halper Sadeh LLC has a history of representing investors affected by securities fraud and corporate misconduct, recovering millions for defrauded investors [4].

Core Insights - Southwest Airlines has extended its booking schedule through September 2026, providing customers with more options in San Diego and new services at three airports in Greater Los Angeles [1][7] - The airline is set to achieve an all-time high of 139 scheduled departures on peak days in San Diego during August and September 2026, with new routes connecting to Santa Barbara [2][3] - Southwest is increasing its daily roundtrip flights between San Diego and key cities such as Portland, Salt Lake City, and Seattle, with these changes effective from August 4, 2026 [3][4] Service Expansion - New connections between California and Hawaii are being introduced, including peak-day service from Burbank to Honolulu starting August 4, 2026, and daily service from Ontario to Honolulu beginning June 4, 2026 [3][4] - The airline is also enhancing its service at Long Beach Airport, linking it with Portland and Seattle, with operations set to commence on August 4, 2026 [4] Customer Experience Enhancements - Southwest Airlines has launched a redesigned cabin experience and is implementing various customer experience enhancements, including assigned and premium seating, free Wi-Fi for Rapid Rewards members, and in-seat power for all Boeing 737-8 aircraft [5][6] - The airline's schedule now includes over 300 days of flights available for booking through September 30, 2026 [5] Company Overview - Southwest Airlines operates one of the most admired airlines globally, serving 117 airports across 11 countries and carrying more air travelers within the U.S. than any other airline [6] - The company emphasizes its commitment to providing low-cost air travel and has a loyal customer base, having carried over 140 million customers in 2024 [6]

Core Points - Southwest Airlines Co. declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.18 per share [1] - The dividend is for shareholders of record at the close of business on December 26, 2025 [1] - The payment date for the dividend is set for January 16, 2026 [1]

Core Viewpoint - Former Federal Reserve Governor Kugar's stock trading violations have been revealed, raising concerns about compliance with Federal Reserve regulations [1] Summary by Relevant Categories Violations and Regulations - Kugar reported multiple stock trades in her annual financial disclosure, violating Federal Reserve rules that prohibit senior officials and their spouses from trading individual stocks [1] - The trades involved companies such as Apple, Southwest Airlines, and Caterpillar, with two transactions occurring just days before a Federal Open Market Committee meeting [1] - This incident follows Kugar's previous admission of four violations a year ago, which she attributed to "accidental" trades executed by her husband without her knowledge [1] Timeline and Context - Kugar unexpectedly resigned in August without providing an explanation [1] - Federal Reserve regulations impose a "quiet period" of 10 days before interest rate meetings during which trading is prohibited [1]