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MercadoLibre: Don't Wait Till It Enters Beast Mode
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-30 19:54
JR Research is an opportunistic investor. He was recognized by TipRanks as a Top Analyst. He was also recognized by Seeking Alpha as a "Top Analyst To Follow" for Technology, Software, and Internet, as well as for Growth and GARP. He identifies attractive risk/reward opportunities supported by robust price action to potentially generate alpha well above the S&P 500. He has also demonstrated outperformance with his picks. He focuses on identifying growth investing opportunities that present the most attracti ...
What Makes MercadoLibre (MELI) an Attractive Financial Model?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-30 12:08
Core Insights - Loomis Sayles Global Growth Fund achieved a return of 16.61% in Q2 2025, outperforming the MSCI ACWI Index Net which returned 11.53% [1] - The fund focuses on investing in high-quality businesses with sustainable competitive advantages, particularly those trading at significant discounts to intrinsic value [1] Company Overview: MercadoLibre, Inc. - MercadoLibre, Inc. is the largest online commerce platform in Latin America, offering a comprehensive ecosystem of six integrated e-commerce services [3] - The company reported that commerce and related services accounted for approximately 59% of net revenue, while payments and fintech solutions made up about 41% [3] - As of September 29, 2025, MercadoLibre's stock closed at $2,501.31 per share, with a market capitalization of $126.81 billion [2] Market Position and Growth Potential - MercadoLibre operates in 18 countries, covering a significant portion of Latin American GDP, and has 218 million active users, representing over 45% of the region's estimated 480 million total internet users [3] - The company is well-positioned for sustained growth over the next decade, driven by increasing internet access, credit availability, and ongoing investments to enhance online transaction convenience [3]
MercadoLibre Launches B2B Unit to Capture Expanding Latin American Market
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-29 23:18
Core Insights - MercadoLibre, Inc. (NASDAQ:MELI) is recognized as one of the 12 stocks with consistent growth potential, launching a new B2B unit following strong Q2 results [1][2]. Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, MercadoLibre reported a 30% year-over-year revenue increase, totaling $825 million in income from operations [2]. - The company successfully attracted new users and increased engagement by lowering the free shipping threshold in Brazil [2]. Business Expansion - The launch of a new business-to-business (B2B) unit on September 22, 2025, aims to capture the expanding Latin American market, covering key countries such as Brazil, Argentina, Mexico, and Chile [3]. - The B2B e-commerce market is significantly larger, being four times the size of the global B2C e-commerce market in terms of volume sold [3]. Market Position - MercadoLibre has demonstrated dominant growth in Latin American e-commerce and fintech, achieving an impressive 10-year performance increase of 2269.18% [4]. - Founded in 1999, the company operates a comprehensive ecosystem that includes a marketplace, logistics network, and financial services platform through Mercado Envios and Mercado Pago [4].
MercadoLibre (MELI) Exceeds Market Returns: Some Facts to Consider
ZACKS· 2025-09-29 22:50
Company Performance - MercadoLibre's stock closed at $2,501.31, reflecting a +1.33% change from the previous day's closing price, outperforming the S&P 500's daily gain of 0.26% [1] - Over the past month, shares of MercadoLibre have decreased by 0.18%, underperforming the Retail-Wholesale sector's gain of 0.76% and the S&P 500's gain of 2.87% [2] Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is anticipated to show an EPS of $9.88, representing a 26.18% increase from the same quarter last year, with projected net sales of $7.17 billion, up 35.05% year-over-year [3] - For the full year, earnings are expected to be $44.43 per share and revenue is projected at $27.78 billion, indicating increases of +17.88% and +33.72% respectively from the previous year [4] Analyst Sentiment - Recent revisions to analyst forecasts for MercadoLibre are crucial as they reflect changing business trends, with upward revisions indicating positive sentiment towards the company's operations and profit generation capabilities [5] - The Zacks Rank system currently rates MercadoLibre at 4 (Sell), with no changes in the consensus EPS estimate over the past month [7] Valuation Metrics - MercadoLibre's Forward P/E ratio stands at 55.56, which is significantly higher than the industry average of 22.36, while its PEG ratio is 1.61 compared to the Internet - Commerce industry's average PEG ratio of 1.47 [8] Industry Context - The Internet - Commerce industry, part of the Retail-Wholesale sector, holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 71, placing it in the top 29% of over 250 industries, indicating strong performance potential [9]
3 Emerging Stocks You Haven’t Heard Much From This Cycle
Investing· 2025-09-29 15:29
Core Insights - The article provides a market analysis focusing on major indices such as Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500, as well as specific companies like MercadoLibre Inc and Telecom Argentina SA ADR [1] Group 1: Market Indices - Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 are highlighted as key indicators of market performance, reflecting overall investor sentiment and economic conditions [1] Group 2: Company Analysis - MercadoLibre Inc is discussed in terms of its growth potential and market position within the e-commerce sector, indicating strong performance metrics [1] - Telecom Argentina SA ADR is analyzed regarding its operational challenges and market dynamics, which may impact its future performance [1]
Baron FinTech Fund Q2 2025 Shareholder Letter
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-29 15:18
Performance Overview - Baron FinTech Fund rose 9.26% in the quarter ended June 30, 2025, underperforming the FactSet Global FinTech Index which gained 13.82% [3][4] - Since inception, the Fund has achieved a 12.53% annualized return compared to 4.55% for the Benchmark [3][4] Market Conditions - U.S. equity markets experienced gains amid volatility, influenced by President Trump's tariff announcements and subsequent negotiations [5] - The "Magnificent Seven" stocks led the S&P 500 Index gains, appreciating over 20% during the quarter [6] Fund Performance Analysis - Underperformance against the Benchmark was attributed to stock selection in Information Services, Payments, and Tech-Enabled Financials [7] - The Fund's high exposure to Financials, which lagged the broader Index by over 5%, also contributed to underperformance [7] Sector Performance - Information Services faced widespread weakness, particularly from Fair Isaac Corporation and Verisk Analytics due to regulatory pressures and market rotation [8] - Payments sector was negatively impacted by Fiserv's weaker-than-expected earnings and slowing payment volumes [9] - Tech-Enabled Financials saw declines in insurance holdings, reflecting a market shift away from defensive sectors [10] Top Contributors - Robinhood Markets was the largest contributor, benefiting from increased trading activity and new crypto-related products [11][13] - MercadoLibre reported strong results with revenue up 37% and total payment volume up 72% [12][14] - Intuit's shares rose after better-than-expected quarterly results, with revenue growing 15% [15] Top Detractors - Fiserv detracted from performance due to concerns over Clover's payment volume growth [16] - The Progressive Corporation faced investor concerns about premium growth moderation despite strong performance metrics [17] - Clearwater Analytics saw a decline in shares despite solid earnings, as investors sought assurance on integration of recent acquisitions [18] Portfolio Structure - As of June 30, 2025, the Fund held 46 positions, with the top 10 holdings representing 40.9% of net assets [20] - The Fund's investments are segmented into seven themes, with Tech-Enabled Financials at 28.0% and Information Services at 20.9% [21] Recent Activity - The Fund made a new investment in Ategrity Specialty Insurance, focusing on the less competitive E&S market [26][28] - Increased positions in The Charles Schwab Corporation and CME Group were noted due to improving fundamentals and market conditions [29][30] Outlook - The economic outlook has improved, with positive trade developments and stable consumer finance trends supporting the Fund's holdings [33] - The Fund remains focused on investing in competitively advantaged growth companies within the fintech sector [34]
3 Emerging Stocks You Haven't Heard Much From This Cycle
MarketBeat· 2025-09-29 13:14
Core Perspective - Investors are increasingly interested in overseas stocks, particularly as the S&P 500 and NASDAQ 100 are near all-time high valuations [1] Group 1: Emerging Market Opportunities - Analysts at Goldman Sachs maintain a bullish outlook on emerging equities, anticipating continued outperformance as global central banks may enter a multi-year easing cycle [2] - A declining dollar index is expected to support overseas valuations [2] - Investors are encouraged to create a watchlist of strong technology companies in emerging markets, such as NIO Inc., MercadoLibre Inc., and Telecom Argentina, which are currently under the radar of major players [3] Group 2: NIO Inc. Analysis - NIO reported a 25% increase in vehicle deliveries, rising from 57,373 units in Q2 2024 to 72,056 units in Q2 2025, indicating growing consumer demand [5] - Despite not yet achieving net profitability, the momentum in deliveries suggests potential for future profitability [6] - NIO's price-to-book (P/B) ratio stands at 18.6x, significantly higher than the auto sector's average of 2.9x, reflecting investor confidence in its future potential [7] Group 3: MercadoLibre Insights - MercadoLibre is the leading e-commerce platform in South America, benefiting from a growing middle class and increasing disposable income in countries like Brazil and Argentina [8][9] - The company is projected to deliver an EPS of $13.79 for Q4 2025, representing a 34% increase from the current EPS of $10.31 [10] - Analysts have set a price target of $2,900 for MercadoLibre, indicating a potential upside of 16% compared to the current consensus price of $2,828.33 [11] Group 4: Telecom Argentina Overview - Telecom Argentina serves 34.6 million active users, covering 74% of the country's population, positioning it as a near-monopoly in the telecommunications sector [14] - The company is expected to benefit from the growth of 5G and fiber technology, which will enhance productivity and profits [13] - Analysts have set a target price of $10.23 for Telecom Argentina, suggesting a 36.2% upside from current levels [16]
Here’s What Boosted MercadoLibre (MELI) in Q2
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-26 14:00
Group 1 - Lakehouse Global Growth Fund achieved a net return of 33.4% for the year, outperforming its benchmark which returned 18.4% [1] - Since its inception in December 2017, the Fund has delivered a total return of 254.4%, significantly higher than the benchmark's 139.9% [1] Group 2 - MercadoLibre, Inc. (NASDAQ:MELI) is highlighted as a key holding in the Lakehouse Global Growth Fund, with a one-month return of 0.81% and a 52-week gain of 20.71% [2] - As of September 25, 2025, MercadoLibre's stock closed at $2,492.25, with a market capitalization of $126.351 billion [2] Group 3 - MercadoLibre reported a 38% year-on-year growth in net revenues, reaching US$22.4 billion, with operating margins at 12.9% [3] - The company gained market share in key regions including Brazil, Argentina, and Mexico, with unique active buyers increasing by 25% year-on-year to 67 million [3] - The growth rate in active buyers has accelerated, reaching its highest level since early 2021 [3]
Is MercadoLibre's Rapid Loan Growth Becoming a Profitability Headwind?
ZACKS· 2025-09-26 13:46
Core Insights - MercadoLibre (MELI) is facing challenges in sustaining its aggressive credit expansion strategy, with signs that rapid lending growth may negatively impact profitability in upcoming quarters [1][4] Group 1: Credit Portfolio and Profitability - The total credit portfolio increased by 91% year over year to $9.3 billion in Q2 2025, but the Net Interest Margin After Losses decreased to 23% from 31.1% a year ago, indicating potential erosion of returns [1][8] - The credit card segment grew 118% year over year to $4 billion, now representing 43% of the total portfolio, up from 37% last year; however, credit cards have lower margins and only recently reached breakeven [2][4] - Provisions for doubtful accounts rose by 57% year over year to $690 million, suggesting that underwriting discipline will be tested as the company expands in volatile markets [2][3] Group 2: Earnings and Economic Environment - Net income for Q2 slipped 1.6% year over year to $523 million, as credit costs offset growth in commerce and payments [3] - Economic uncertainty in Argentina, following corruption charges against President Javier Milei, and Brazil's history of delayed credit card payments add to the challenges for MELI [3][4] Group 3: Competitive Landscape - Regional fintech competition is intensifying, with Sea Limited and Nu Holdings navigating margin pressures; Nu Holdings has maintained stronger credit discipline compared to MELI's aggressive credit card growth strategy [5] - Sustainable lending growth is suggested to depend on balanced risk management, highlighting vulnerabilities in MELI's current approach [5] Group 4: Stock Performance and Valuation - MELI shares have increased by 46.5% year-to-date, outperforming the Zacks Internet–Commerce industry and the Zacks Retail-Wholesale sector, which rose by 12.2% and 8.6%, respectively [6] - The stock is currently trading at a forward 12-month Price/Sales ratio of 3.8X, compared to the industry's 2.26X, indicating a higher valuation [10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 earnings is $44.43 per share, reflecting a 17.88% year-over-year growth, with a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) [13]
Does MercadoLibre (MELI) have a Long Runway for Growth?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-26 12:50
Core Insights - Brown Capital Management's second quarter 2025 investor letter highlights a significant rally in international stocks, particularly following a 90-day tariff reprieve, with the MSCI ACWI ex US index up 12.30% and the MSCI EAFE index up 12.07% [1] - The strategy outperformed both international equity indexes during this quarter [1] Company Highlights - MercadoLibre, Inc. (NASDAQ:MELI) is identified as a key stock, with a one-month return of 0.81% and a 52-week gain of 20.71%, closing at $2,492.25 per share on September 25, 2025, with a market capitalization of $126.351 billion [2] - MercadoLibre operates as a leading e-commerce platform in Latin America, akin to Amazon, and offers payment and credit services similar to PayPal [3] - The company has a significant market presence in Brazil, Mexico, and Argentina, with about half of its business in Brazil and just under a quarter in each of Mexico and Argentina [3] - MercadoLibre benefits from low e-commerce penetration in Latin America, presenting growth opportunities [3] - The company ships approximately half of its orders with same-day or next-day delivery to over 67 million unique active buyers, creating substantial barriers to entry for competitors [3] - MercadoLibre's fintech services are also highlighted, with 64 million monthly active users utilizing its payment-processing services, credit cards, loans, and savings accounts [3]