It’s the biggest week of the quarter for earnings this week with plenty of big names set to report. This week we have Tesla (TSLA), Microsoft (MSFT), Apple (AAPL), Meta Platforms (META), UnitedHealth Group (UNH), Exxon Mobil (XOM), Visa (V), Mastercard (MA), Chevron (CVX) and Caterpillar (CAT) all reporting in what shapes as a busy and pivotal week for stocks. Before a company reports earnings, implied volatility is usually high because the market is unsure about the outcome of the report. Speculators an ...

Core Viewpoint - Meta Platforms, TikTok, and YouTube are facing legal scrutiny regarding their role in contributing to a youth mental health crisis, amidst a national discussion on children's screen time [1] Group 1: Legal Scrutiny - The companies will be in court this week to address allegations related to their platforms' impact on youth mental health [1] - The scrutiny reflects growing concerns about the effects of social media on children and adolescents [1] Group 2: National Debate - There is an ongoing national debate about the appropriate amount of screen time for children [1] - This debate is intensifying as more evidence emerges linking excessive screen time to mental health issues among youth [1]

Group 1 - The article highlights the rapid development of artificial intelligence technology, presenting significant opportunities in the market [3] - Apple has initiated its largest promotion in history for the newly launched iPhone Air, reducing its price by 2500 yuan to attract consumers [5] - Baidu's Wenxin Assistant is launching a cash red envelope campaign for the Spring Festival, offering a total of 500 million yuan in cash rewards [6] Group 2 - Shanghai AI unicorn Jiyue Xingchen has completed a B+ round financing, raising 5 billion yuan, setting a record for single financing in the large model sector over the past year [7] - Tencent's AI assistant Yuanbao has begun internal testing of a new social AI feature called "Yuanbao Club," allowing users to create or join groups for collaborative activities [9] - Tesla has suspended its basic Autopilot system in the US and Canada to promote its more advanced Full Self-Driving technology [11] Group 3 - Intel's latest financial report disappointed the market, leading to a 17% drop in its stock price, with analysts expressing concerns over supply constraints and profit margin pressures [12] - Apple has experienced an eight-week consecutive decline in stock price, the longest streak since May 2022, attributed to rising storage chip prices impacting profit margins [14] - Meta Platforms is facing a lawsuit for patent infringement related to smart glasses technology, which could disrupt the sales of its Ray-Ban products [15]

Core Viewpoint - Deutsche Bank forecasts Meta's Q4 revenue to reach $59 billion, representing a 22% year-over-year growth, exceeding the previous estimate of $58.5 billion [1] Group 1: Revenue Projections - Q4 total revenue is expected to be $59 billion, up from $48.36 billion in the same quarter last year [1] - For Q1 2026, revenue is projected to grow by 23% year-over-year to $51.9 billion, compared to the market consensus of $51.2 billion [1] Group 2: Expense Estimates - Q4 total expenses are anticipated to be $34.4 billion, positioning the annual total expenses at the midpoint of the company's guidance range of $116 billion to $118 billion [1] - For Q1 2026, total expenses are expected to increase by 32% year-over-year to $32.6 billion, slightly below the market consensus of $33.1 billion [1] Group 3: Investment Rating - Deutsche Bank maintains a "Buy" rating on Meta, with a target price of $880, indicating approximately 34% upside potential from the stock's closing price last Friday [1]

美股大型科技股盘前涨跌互现，Meta涨0.4%，微软涨0.2%，苹果涨0.1%，谷歌A持平，亚马逊跌 0.2%，英伟达跌0.3%，特斯拉跌0.6%。 ...

智通财经APP获悉，Meta Platforms(META.US)将于1月28日(周三)美股盘后公布2025年第四季度业绩。德意志银行发布报告称，预计Meta Q4营收将达 到590亿美元(同比增长22%)，高于此前预计的585亿美元;预计Q4总支出为344亿美元，这将使全年总支出处于该公司给出的1160-1180亿美元预测区间 的中点。对于2026年第一季度，德银预计，营收将同比增长23%至519亿美元，市场共识预期为512亿美元;预计总支出将同比增长32%至326亿美元，市 场共识预期为331亿美元。德银在报告中予Meta"买入"评级，目标价为880美元，这一目标价较该股上周五收盘价有约34%的上涨空间。 | 4Q25E - Actuals Versus Estimates | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | (In Millions, | Actual | DB Est. | Actual | Street | Actual | | y/y | | d/q | | Unle ...

Group 1 - The capital expenditure (Capex) of the top eight cloud service providers is projected to grow from $145.1 billion in 2021 to $602 billion by 2026, representing an increase of over four times [1][4] - This investment surge is driven not by market speculation but by the fundamental need for computational power, particularly due to the demands of generative artificial intelligence (AI) [1][5] - The current trend is characterized as a "structural transformation" in the semiconductor market rather than a bubble, as the demand for computing resources is fundamentally changing [10][14] Group 2 - The growth in cloud investment is accelerating, with a notable increase following the release of ChatGPT by OpenAI [4][5] - Generative AI requires significantly more computational resources compared to traditional search engines, with processing demands being 10,000 to 100,000 times greater [6][7] - The competition among cloud providers is fierce, as failure to invest in generative AI capabilities could lead to losing market relevance [8][17] Group 3 - The semiconductor market, particularly the data center logic chip sector, is expected to expand significantly, with the GPU market projected to grow from $100 billion to $230 billion and the AI ASIC market from $9 billion to $84 billion by 2030 [19] - The memory market is also anticipated to experience a shift, with DRAM and HBM prices expected to rise due to increased demand from AI applications [22][24] - The transition in TSMC's primary products from N5 to N3 nodes indicates a shift towards advanced technology driven by AI demands, with NVIDIA and Broadcom expected to surpass Apple in chip investments [28][33] Group 4 - The bottleneck in AI semiconductor development is primarily due to the limited capacity of 2.5D packaging technologies like CoWoS, which are essential for integrating high-bandwidth memory with AI chips [37][39] - Once the CoWoS capacity constraints are resolved, it is expected that investment in AI infrastructure will surge, leading to further competition among cloud service providers [39][42] - The ongoing trend signifies a profound and irreversible change in the semiconductor industry, driven by the structural demands of generative AI [42]

来源：滚动播报 比特币在隔夜触及五周低点后仅小幅回升，投资者正关注周三的美联储政策决定和本周大型科技公司的 财报。美联储预计将维持利率不变，但市场将寻找有关未来可能降息的任何线索。美国总统特朗普也预 计将在未来几天宣布下一任美联储主席的人选。科技公司财报方面，Telsa、微软和Meta将于周三公 布，苹果公司将于周四公布。与此同时，美国还面临政府再度关门的风险，并且有猜测称美国和日本当 局可能会出手干预以支撑日圆。伦敦证券交易所集团的数据显示，比特币上涨1.7%，报87,946美元，此 前隔夜曾触及86,021美元的低点。 ...

Market Overview - The U.S. stock market is experiencing volatility due to President Trump's tariff threats, the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, and earnings reports from major tech companies [1][2][11] - The S&P 500 index had a 2% increase before a drop of over 2% following tariff announcements [1] Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision - The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is expected to maintain the federal funds rate at 3.5% to 3.75% during its meeting on January 28 [3] - The likelihood of a 25-basis-point cut is only 4% according to CME Group's FedWatch tool [3] - Recent economic data suggests a resilient jobs market, with the unemployment rate improving to 4.4% in December from 4.5% in November [4][5] Earnings Reports from "Magnificent Seven" - Four companies from the "Magnificent Seven" will report earnings this week: Tesla, Microsoft, Meta Platforms, and Apple [6][11] Tesla - Expected revenue for Tesla in Q4 is $24.9 billion, a 3% decrease, with non-GAAP earnings projected to drop 45% to $0.40 per diluted share [6] - Focus will be on CEO Elon Musk's comments regarding physical AI initiatives [7] Microsoft - Anticipated revenue increase of 15% to $80.3 billion, with non-GAAP earnings expected to rise 20% to $3.86 per diluted share [8] - Investors will pay attention to Azure's revenue growth and generative AI adoption [8] Meta Platforms - Expected revenue growth of 21% to $58 billion, with non-GAAP earnings projected to increase 3% to $8.23 per diluted share [9] - Investors are looking for continued trends in engagement and advertising conversion rates due to AI investments [9] Apple - Expected revenue increase of 11% to $138 billion, with GAAP earnings also projected to rise 11% to $2.67 per diluted share [10] - Market focus will be on iPhone sales and updates regarding AI innovation [10]

此外，该公司还表示，预计2025年全年支出将在1160亿至1180亿美元之间，较此前1140亿至1180亿美元的预期有所 上调，同比增长率为22%至24%。其中，2025年资本支出(包括融资租赁本金支付)将在700亿至720亿美元之间，高于 此前预计的660亿至720亿美元。 上一季度亮点 2025年第三季度(Q3)，Meta营收达到512.4亿美元，超出预期的494.1亿美元;调整后每股收益(EPS)为7.25美元，高于 预期的6.67美元，该调整排除了一次性非现金税项支出。需要注意的是，由于美国新税法(《美丽大法案》)变化导致 的159.3亿美元非经常性税项支出，按照公认会计原则(GAAP)计算的每股收益大幅降至1.05美元。 该公司报告了2025年第三季度的以下运营亮点： 营收：达512.4亿美元，同比增长26% Meta Platforms(META.US)定于2026年1月28日(星期三)股市收盘后公布其2025年第四季度(Q4)业绩。在第三季度财报 中，Meta表示，预计2025年第四季度的营收将在560亿至590亿美元之间，伦敦证券交易所集团(LSEG)的普遍预测为 565.9亿美元，这将意味着 ...