Summary of Minth (0425.HK) Analyst Briefing Company Overview - Minth is a leading global supplier of auto parts, particularly in body structural parts, trims, and decorative parts, with approximately 10% global market share in core products, producing over 30 million units annually [doc id='16'][doc id='17']. Industry Insights - The company is focusing on the electric vehicle (EV) market, particularly in battery housing, which is expected to be a major growth driver in the near term, alongside eVTOL (electric Vertical Take-Off and Landing) and robotics, which are anticipated to contribute from 2027 onwards [doc id='1'][doc id='4']. Key Financial Metrics - Target price raised from HK$32.0 to HK$38.0, reflecting a 21.5% expected share price return and a total expected return of 24.0% [doc id='1'][doc id='7']. - Revenue and net profit (NP) guidance for 2025 remains unchanged, with expectations of double-digit growth [doc id='2']. Battery Housing Growth - **Europe**: Projected battery housing revenue to grow at a 23% CAGR from Rmb3.2 billion in 2024 to Rmb11.2 billion by 2030, driven by strong EV sales. In 1H25, 8 out of the top 15 EVs in Europe were equipped with Minth's battery housing [doc id='3']. - **China**: Expected revenue growth of 20% CAGR from Rmb2.1 billion in 2024 to Rmb6.3 billion by 2030, supported by new orders amid stricter safety standards. Significant orders received from Changan (3 million units, Rmb1.2 billion) and BYD (500,000 units, Rmb300 million) [doc id='3']. eVTOL and Robotics - Minth has begun small-scale deliveries of eVTOL core parts and robotics products, with expectations for gradual scale contribution starting in 2027 [doc id='4']. Domestic Revenue Trends - Decline in domestic revenue attributed to market share loss from joint venture (JV) brands, with revenue mix from JV brands decreasing from 31% in 1H23 to 19% in 1H25. New battery housing orders from Chinese brands indicate a positive trend for future growth [doc id='5']. Earnings Summary - 2023A NP: Rmb1,903 million, with a diluted EPS of Rmb1.654, showing a 26.9% growth. Expected NP for 2025E is Rmb2,746 million with a diluted EPS of Rmb2.377 [doc id='6']. Operational Guidance - Operating expenses (Opex) as a percentage of revenue expected to remain flat or slightly decrease year-over-year. Capital expenditure (Capex) for 2025 is projected at Rmb2 billion, with improved cash flow anticipated [doc id='2']. Risks and Considerations - Key risks include potential RMB appreciation affecting gross profit margins, aluminum price hikes impacting production costs, and overall market conditions in the PV sector [doc id='19']. - Management indicated that Euro appreciation could improve gross margins by 0.1-0.3 percentage points for every 5-10% increase [doc id='9']. Conclusion - Minth is positioned for growth in the EV sector, particularly through battery housing, with a strong outlook for future revenue and profit growth. The company maintains a positive long-term view on its eVTOL and robotics segments, while managing risks associated with currency fluctuations and material costs [doc id='1'][doc id='17'].

Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong financial performance in the first half of 2025, driven by the growth of electric vehicle sales in Europe, with revenue and net profit showing significant year-on-year increases [1][2]. Financial Performance - In 1H25, the company achieved revenue of 12.3 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 11% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 1.9% [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company was 1.28 billion, up 20% year-on-year and 2.0% quarter-on-quarter [1] - The gross profit margin for 1H25 was 28.3%, a slight decrease of 0.2 percentage points year-on-year and 1.1 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [1] - The net profit margin was 10.4%, an increase of 0.8 percentage points year-on-year, remaining stable quarter-on-quarter [1] Business Segments - Revenue from traditional exterior parts was 8 billion, a year-on-year increase of 3.1% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 6.1% [1] - Battery box revenue reached 3.6 billion, showing a significant year-on-year increase of 50% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 22%, benefiting from the rise in European electric vehicle sales [1] - The company expects continued growth in its core business for 2025-2026, driven by the ongoing demand for electric vehicle battery boxes and stable traditional parts business [2] Strategic Initiatives - The company is actively exploring new business areas such as low-altitude and robotics, leveraging its expertise in metal forming, material processing, and complex component integration [2] - Recent collaborations include a development agreement with EHang for low-altitude aircraft components and a strategic partnership with Zhiyuan for smart exterior and robotic technologies [2] Future Outlook - The company anticipates a profit growth rate of 15-20% over the next two years, supported by the expected improvement in battery box gross margins and a slight reduction in overall expense ratios [2] - Projected net profits for 2025-2027 are estimated at 2.77 billion, 3.24 billion, and 3.66 billion, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 20%, 17%, and 13% respectively [2]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company has achieved steady revenue growth, with a total revenue of 12.287 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 10.8%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.277 billion yuan, up 19.6% year-on-year [7] - The company is accelerating its layout in the robotics and low-altitude fields, becoming a Tier 1 supplier in the robotics industry and providing innovative robotic components solutions [7] - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 to 2027 is 2.753 billion, 3.288 billion, and 3.878 billion yuan, corresponding to PE ratios of 13.93, 11.66, and 9.89 respectively [7] Financial Performance - Revenue for 2023 is projected at 20.524 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 18.59%, and net profit is expected to be 1.903 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 26.83% [6] - The company’s gross margin for the first half of 2025 is 28.3%, a slight decrease of 0.2 percentage points year-on-year [7] - The revenue from the battery box business unit has seen significant growth, with a year-on-year increase of 49.8% [7] Business Units Performance - Revenue from the metal and trim business unit increased by 4.6% to 2.660 billion yuan, while the plastic parts business unit saw a 0.8% increase to 2.867 billion yuan [7] - The aluminum parts business unit's revenue rose by 4.1% to 2.469 billion yuan, and other business units reported a 10.2% increase in revenue to 1.670 billion yuan [7] Future Outlook - The company is expected to continue its growth trajectory with a projected revenue of 29.180 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 26.07% [6] - The company is focusing on innovative solutions in the robotics sector, including components for robotic arms and electronic skin, as well as low-altitude systems such as eVTOL [7]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a solid performance in 1H25, with revenue and net profit growth, driven by international market expansion and strong battery box sales [1][2] Financial Performance - 1H25 revenue reached 12.29 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.8%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.28 billion yuan, up 19.5% year-on-year [1] - Revenue from international markets was 7.98 billion yuan, growing 21.6% year-on-year, while domestic revenue was 4.31 billion yuan, declining 4.9% year-on-year [1] - Battery box revenue was 3.58 billion yuan, showing a significant increase of 49.8% year-on-year [1] Business Segments - Revenue from aluminum parts, plastic parts, and metal trim was 2.47 billion yuan, 2.87 billion yuan, and 2.66 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 4.1%, 0.9%, and 4.7% [1] - The decline in plastic parts revenue growth was attributed to reduced order demand from downstream customers [1] Profitability Metrics - The overall gross margin for 1H25 was 28.3%, a slight decrease of 0.2 percentage points year-on-year [1] - The gross margins for battery boxes, aluminum parts, plastic parts, and metal trim were 23.0%, 32.6%, 26.1%, and 28.1%, respectively, with varying year-on-year changes [1] Cost Management - Sales, management, and R&D expenses were 510 million yuan, 800 million yuan, and 730 million yuan, with corresponding expense ratios of 4.2%, 6.5%, and 5.9%, showing a decrease compared to the previous year [1] - The decline in sales expenses by 3.6% was mainly due to the easing of the Red Sea incident's impact and a reduction in unit transportation costs [1] Capital Expenditure - Capital expenditure for 1H25 was approximately 900 million yuan, down 17.5% year-on-year [1] Strategic Outlook - The company has raised its annual business target to 16 billion yuan, with a backlog of over 260 billion yuan in orders as of June [2] - The company is focusing on emerging businesses, including collaborations with major robotics clients and the development of AI liquid cooling systems [2] Valuation and Forecast - The company maintains its profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026, with a target price increase of 26% to 38.5 HKD, reflecting a potential upside of 10.6% from the current stock price [2]

Core Viewpoint - 招银国际 projects that Minth Group (00425) will experience a slight decline in gross margin from 28.9% in 2024 to a range of 28.5% to 28.7% from this year to 2027 due to an increase in sales of lower-margin battery casing products [1] Financial Projections - The company is expected to see a year-on-year net profit increase of 15% to 19%, reaching RMB 2.7 billion, RMB 3.1 billion, and RMB 3.7 billion for the respective years [1] - The target price for Minth has been raised from HKD 26 to HKD 38, maintaining a "buy" rating [1] Operational Performance - Key operational indicators for Minth in the first half of the year, including new business orders, R&D, capital expenditure, localization, and cash flow, have shown robust performance, enhancing confidence in operational efficiency [1] - The company is positioned favorably compared to most peers in the global automotive parts industry [1] Revenue Growth Expectations - Based on increasing order backlogs, revenue is projected to grow by 12% and 13% year-on-year in the next two years [1] - Contributions from products related to robotics and electric vertical takeoff and landing vehicles are expected to be minimal, but any new business reaching a turning point could lead to higher revenue growth [1]

中金公司发布研报称，敏实集团(00425)上半年营业收入122.9亿元人民币(下同)，同比升10.8%，归母净 利润12.8亿元，同比升19.5%。公司上调敏实全年新业务承接目标额至160亿元，截至6月底，公司累计 在手订单超过了2,600亿元，该行认为有望支撑公司业绩稳健增长;目标价上调26%至38.5港元，予"跑赢 行业"评级。 ...

Core Viewpoint - CICC reports that Minth Group (00425) achieved a revenue of 12.29 billion RMB in the first half of the year, representing a year-on-year increase of 10.8%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.28 billion RMB, up 19.5% year-on-year [1] Group 1 - The company has raised its annual new business target to 16 billion RMB [1] - As of the end of June, the company has accumulated orders exceeding 260 billion RMB, which is expected to support stable growth in performance [1] - CICC has increased the target price by 26% to 38.5 HKD and assigned an "outperforming the industry" rating [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that due to new orders from Minth Group (00425), the net profit forecasts for the company have been raised by 1% and 2% for the current and next year, respectively, while the 2027 profit forecast has been lowered by 2% to reflect changes in gross margin expectations [1] - The target price for Minth Group has been increased from HKD 25 to HKD 36, maintaining an "outperform" rating, attributed to ongoing liquidity recovery and diversified performance expansion [1] - The gross margin for Minth Group in the first half of the year was 28.3%, a slight decrease of 0.2% year-on-year, but improvements are expected in the second half due to OEMs compensating for tariff losses and a stabilized product mix [1] Group 2 - Revenue from China for Minth Group decreased to 35% in the first half of the year, down from 40.8% in the same period last year, with expectations that this figure will further decline to 30% in the coming years [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that despite a slight increase in profit forecasts for the next two years, the long-term profit outlook for the company has been downgraded due to expected changes in gross margin [1] - The target price for the company has been raised from HKD 25 to HKD 36, maintaining an "outperform" rating [1] - The company's gross margin for the first half of the year was 28.3%, a decrease of 0.2% year-on-year, but improvements are expected in the second half due to compensation from OEMs for tariff losses and a stabilized product mix [1] Group 2 - The company's revenue from China decreased to 35% in the first half of the year, down from 40.8% in the same period last year, with expectations that this figure will further decline to 30% in the coming years [1]

Group 1 - Bank of America Securities has raised the earnings per share forecast for Minth Group (00425) for 2025 to 2027 by 0.4%, 3%, and 2% respectively, reflecting the performance in the first half of the year and new growth assumptions [1] - The target price has been increased from HKD 30 to HKD 36, primarily due to updated earnings forecasts and an increase in the target price-to-earnings ratio from 10 times to 12 times, as the bank is optimistic about stronger revenue growth prospects [1] - Minth Group's revenue for the first half of the year increased by 11% year-on-year, reaching RMB 12.3 billion, which aligns with Bank of America's expectations [1] Group 2 - The company is expected to achieve sustainable profit growth from 2025 to 2027, driven by optimism regarding new business opportunities [1] - Minth Group anticipates that its battery shell sales in Europe will reach RMB 11.2 billion by 2030 [1]