证券时报记者 叶玲珍 刚被广州国资"相中"，旭升集团（603305）又获重要客户定点。 1月5日晚间，旭升集团发布公告，公司收到某北美新能源汽车厂商的定点通知，将为该客户供应动力总成、车身 件、副车架、电池盒等零部件产品。根据规划，本次定点项目生命周期约为8年，生命周期总销售金额约78亿元， 预计2026年底开始量产。 据悉，前述项目生产地为旭升集团中国及墨西哥生产基地。公司表示，本次获得客户定点是双方长期合作的深 化，有助于进一步巩固领先优势，提升市场份额。 2025年6月，墨西哥基地正式投产运营，该基地覆盖从原材料采购到成品制造的全链条生产，实现了轻量化产品的 本地化闭环供应。旭升集团表示，从客户角度看，北美主要客户排产需求充足，订单执行顺利， 为产能释放提供 了稳定基础；从运营端看，良率和效率正在稳步提升，本地化采购比例也在逐步提高，有助于后续进一步降低成 本、改善交付周期。紧随其后，公司泰国基地于2025年7月正式破土动工，预计2026年下半年开始陆续投入使用， 重点服务东南亚新能源汽车及高端智造产业。 基于在新能源汽车行业的优势，旭升集团积极拓展业务范围，目前已逐步延伸至储能、机器人等新兴领域。 不 ...

证券研究报告 | 首次覆盖报告 gszqdatemark 2025 12 24 年 月 日 敏实集团（00425.HK） 电池盒放量驱动业绩高增，机器人等新兴赛道打开长期成长空间 全球汽车外饰与车身结构部件领先企业，业务布局兼具深度与广度。敏实 集团深耕行业三十余年，核心业务涵盖金属饰条、塑件、铝件及新能源汽 车电池盒四大产品线。作为全球化供应商，公司的业务布局广泛，服务宝 马、奔驰、特斯拉、比亚迪等 70 余家国内外头部车企，海外收入占比从 2021 年 41%提升至 2025H1 的 65%，全球化战略推进效果显著。业务结 构持续优化，电池盒业务作为重点发展的业务，2025H1 营收占比达 27%， 跃升为第一大收入来源；铝件产品受益于汽车轻量化趋势，2020 到 2024 年营收 CAGR 为 12%，毛利率维持 30%以上。同时受益于产能利用率提 升和成本管控，公司的营收和净利润均实现较快增长。 外饰件业务稳健贡献，电池盒与结构件已成增长引擎。敏实传统业务地位 稳固，金属饰条、塑件、铝件产品类别丰富，业绩持续增长。公司凭借轻 量化与智能化双重升级打开价值空间：铝合金外饰件渗透率持续提升，相 关产品逐步 ...

Macro Strategy - The report highlights that export control measures on key metals have become a crucial advantage for China in the context of major power competition, particularly against the US and EU [8][9] - China's leading position in key metals is attributed to its resource advantages and a complete industrial system, which is difficult for developed economies to replicate in the short term [8] Fixed Income - The bond market is expected to face challenges in 2026, with less likelihood of a one-sided decline in interest rates as seen from 2022 to 2024, suggesting a need for a more flexible trading strategy [10] - The report notes that the 10-year government bond yield increased slightly to 1.8425% during the week, reflecting market reactions to policy announcements [10] Industry Analysis Minshi Group (敏实集团) - Minshi Group is a leading global supplier of automotive exterior and structural parts, benefiting from the acceleration of electric vehicle adoption in Europe, particularly in the battery box business [22][24] - The company is expanding into humanoid robotics and liquid cooling for servers, which are expected to open new growth opportunities [22][24] - Profit forecasts for Minshi Group indicate net profits of 2.753 billion, 3.257 billion, and 3.878 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with corresponding EPS of 2.34, 2.76, and 3.29 yuan, and P/E ratios of 11.91, 10.07, and 8.46 respectively [22] Zhongwei Company (中微公司) - Zhongwei Company plans to acquire Hangzhou Zhonggui to enhance its capabilities in CMP equipment, which is crucial for semiconductor manufacturing [7] - The acquisition aims to strengthen Zhongwei's competitiveness in complete process solutions, complementing its existing dry process equipment [7] - Profit forecasts for Zhongwei Company remain at 2.44 billion, 3.41 billion, and 4.46 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with dynamic P/E ratios of 70, 50, and 38 respectively [7]

Core Viewpoint - Minth Group is a leading global supplier of automotive exterior and structural components, focusing on electric vehicle (EV) battery boxes and expanding into humanoid robotics and liquid cooling technologies, presenting new growth opportunities [1][3]. Group 1: Battery Box Business - The battery box is a critical component for the safety and protection of battery modules in electric vehicles, with the market size in China projected to reach 31.8 billion yuan in 2024 and 78.2 billion yuan by 2030 [2]. - In Europe, the battery box market for new energy passenger vehicles is expected to grow from 9.4 billion yuan in 2024 to 29.9 billion yuan by 2030 [2]. - Minth has established deep partnerships with various automotive manufacturers globally, leveraging its expertise in aluminum alloy materials and processes to penetrate the battery box market [2]. Group 2: Humanoid Robotics and Liquid Cooling - Minth is applying its manufacturing advantages from the automotive sector to the humanoid robotics field, focusing on integrated joint modules, robotic skin, smart masks, and structural components [3]. - The demand for server liquid cooling is driven by energy efficiency requirements and increased cabinet power density, with Minth leveraging its technology and global production capacity to enter this market [3]. - The company has secured orders from AI server manufacturers, with deliveries expected to start by the end of 2025 [3]. Group 3: Financial Projections - The projected net profits for Minth from 2025 to 2027 are 2.753 billion yuan, 3.257 billion yuan, and 3.878 billion yuan, with corresponding EPS of 2.34 yuan, 2.76 yuan, and 3.29 yuan [3]. - The expected price-to-earnings ratios for the same period are 11.91, 10.07, and 8.46, indicating a favorable investment outlook [3].

Core Viewpoint - Minth Group is a leading global supplier of automotive exterior and structural components, focusing on electric vehicle battery boxes and expanding into humanoid robots and AI liquid cooling technologies to drive growth [2][3][4]. Group 1: Company Overview - Minth Group has established a comprehensive product system for automotive exterior and structural components, integrating four major product lines: metal trims, plastic parts, aluminum parts, and battery boxes [2][13]. - The company has a global workforce of 22,331 employees, with operations in 14 countries across three continents, and has built strong partnerships with numerous well-known automotive brands [13][21]. Group 2: Battery Box Business Development - The battery box is a critical component for electric vehicles, with the market size expected to grow significantly, reaching 31.8 billion yuan in 2024 and 78.2 billion yuan by 2030 in China [3][42]. - Minth's battery box revenue has surged from 0.96 billion yuan in 2020 to 5.34 billion yuan in 2024, with a corresponding revenue share increase from 0.77% to 23.06% [28][49]. - The company has established over 100 battery box projects with major global automakers, including partnerships with leading European brands [50]. Group 3: New Growth Areas - Minth is leveraging its automotive manufacturing expertise to enter the humanoid robot sector, focusing on integrated joint modules and smart components, and has formed strategic partnerships with key players in the field [4][63]. - The AI liquid cooling market is also being targeted, with Minth's existing technology and global production capacity positioning it well to meet the growing demand from AI server manufacturers [4][65]. Group 4: Financial Performance and Forecast - The company's net profit is projected to grow from 2.75 billion yuan in 2025 to 3.88 billion yuan in 2027, with earnings per share (EPS) expected to rise from 2.34 yuan to 3.29 yuan during the same period [5]. - Minth's profitability has improved, with battery box gross profit rising from 0.06 billion yuan in 2020 to 1.14 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a gross margin increase from 4.29% to 21.43% [52].

Core Viewpoint - Dongwu Securities has initiated coverage on Minth Group (00425), highlighting it as a leading global supplier of automotive exterior and structural components, with a strong focus on electric vehicle (EV) battery boxes and structural components, and expanding into humanoid robotics and liquid cooling sectors for new growth opportunities [1] Group 1: Electric Vehicle Battery Box Business - The battery box is a critical component for the safety and protection of battery modules in electric vehicles, with the market size expected to grow significantly as EV penetration increases. The estimated market size for China's new energy passenger vehicle battery boxes is projected to reach 31.8 billion yuan in 2024, increasing to 78.2 billion yuan by 2030. In Europe, the market is expected to grow from 9.4 billion yuan in 2024 to 29.9 billion yuan by 2030 [2] - Minth Group has established deep partnerships with various automotive manufacturers, leveraging its expertise in aluminum alloy materials and processes to quickly enter the battery box market, benefiting from the rising electrification rates in Europe, which has led to continuous growth in revenue and profitability [2] Group 2: Humanoid Robotics and AI Liquid Cooling - Minth Group is applying its manufacturing advantages from the automotive sector to the humanoid robotics field, focusing on integrated joint modules, robotic electronic skin, smart masks, wireless charging, and structural components, while collaborating with major players in the humanoid robotics industry [3] - In the AI liquid cooling sector, driven by energy consumption requirements and increased cabinet power density, Minth Group is leveraging its technology reserves in battery boxes and liquid cooling plates, along with its global production capacity and long-term partnerships with leading server manufacturers, to quickly enter the market and has already secured orders from AI server manufacturers, with deliveries expected to start by the end of 2025 [3] Group 3: Profit Forecast - Dongwu Securities forecasts Minth Group's net profit attributable to shareholders to be 2.753 billion yuan in 2025, 3.257 billion yuan in 2026, and 3.878 billion yuan in 2027, with earnings per share (EPS) projected at 2.34 yuan, 2.76 yuan, and 3.29 yuan respectively. The price-to-earnings ratios are expected to be 11.91, 10.07, and 8.46 for the same years [4]

机器人方面，敏实将汽车行业精益生产制造的优势进一步发挥至人形机器人领域，聚焦于一体化关节模 组、机器人电子皮肤、智能面罩、机器人无线充电以及机器人肢体结构件等产品，并与国内人形机器人 主要玩家建立了合作关系。AI液冷方面，能耗要求+机柜功率密度提升驱动服务器液冷快速发展，敏实 凭借着电池盒/液冷板技术储备+全球产能布局+头部服务器厂商长期合作关系等优势快速切入服务器液 冷行业，已获得AI服务器厂商订单，2025年年末开始交付。 东吴证券发布研报称，敏实集团(00425)是全球领先的汽车外饰件、车身结构件供应商。目前，公司重 点投资布局汽车电动化领域，已成为全球最大的电池盒和车身结构件供应商；同时也在进一步着手布局 人形机器人、低空、液冷等领域，打开新的成长空间。公司在业务发展和经营中凭借优秀的产品品质和 稳定的配套能力，积累了大量的优质客户资源，与国内外众多知名整车品牌建立了良好的合作关系。首 次覆盖，给予"买入"评级。 东吴证券主要观点如下： 海外电动化加速公司电池盒业务发展 电池盒是新能源汽车电池模块的承载体，对电池模块的安全工作和防护起着关键作用，是底盘一体化的 重要部件。当前，电池盒市场规模随着新能源 ...

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company, Minth Group [1]. Core Views - The company is positioned as a global leader in automotive exterior and structural components, focusing on electric vehicle (EV) battery boxes and expanding into humanoid robotics and liquid cooling technologies, which are expected to drive future growth [8][13]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Minth Group is a globally recognized supplier of automotive exterior and structural components, with a product system based on various new materials and surface treatment technologies. The company has established four major product lines and is heavily investing in the electric vehicle sector, becoming the largest supplier of battery boxes and structural components [8][13]. Battery Box Business Development - The battery box is a critical component for electric vehicle battery modules, and its market is expected to grow significantly as EV penetration increases. The report estimates that the Chinese battery box market will reach 31.8 billion yuan in 2024 and 78.2 billion yuan by 2030, while the European market is projected to grow from 9.4 billion yuan in 2024 to 29.9 billion yuan by 2030 [8][45][47]. Robotics and Liquid Cooling - Minth is leveraging its automotive manufacturing expertise to enter the humanoid robotics sector, focusing on integrated joint modules and other robotic components. Additionally, the company is making strides in the AI liquid cooling market, driven by increasing energy efficiency requirements and partnerships with leading server manufacturers [8][18]. Financial Forecast and Valuation - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 2.75 billion yuan, 3.26 billion yuan, and 3.88 billion yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, respectively. The earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be 2.34 yuan, 2.76 yuan, and 3.29 yuan for the same period, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 11.91, 10.07, and 8.46 [1][8].

Summary of the Conference Call for Meishijituan Industry and Company Overview - The conference call discusses Meishijituan, a company that has successfully expanded from automotive exterior parts to emerging businesses such as robotics and liquid cooling, leveraging its technological accumulation and global layout advantages [2][4][5]. Key Points and Arguments Business Performance and Financials - Meishijituan is currently in a capacity harvesting phase, with improved operational efficiency and profitability. Capital expenditures are expected to decline significantly starting in 2024, with only 900 million yuan projected for the first half of 2025. Gross margin is anticipated to increase from 19% in 2023 to 23% in the first half of 2025, benefiting from strong domestic and international market performance [2][6]. - The company aims to optimize its core business while increasing investment and R&D in emerging sectors like robotics, liquid cooling, and low-altitude technologies to maintain a technological edge and diversify revenue sources [2][9]. Market Opportunities - The European new energy market positively impacts Meishijituan's battery box business, with a target penetration rate of 25.7% for new energy vehicles in 2025. The company holds approximately 30% market share in Europe and has a well-established production capacity, allowing it to benefit from market growth [2][7][8]. - In the domestic battery box market, Meishijituan's market share is around 11%. If it reaches 15% domestically and 40% and 30% in Europe and the U.S. respectively, profit margins are expected to significantly increase, potentially creating a company of equal scale [2][10]. Emerging Business Developments - Meishijituan has made significant progress in emerging businesses, including robotics, liquid cooling, and low-altitude products. The company maintains a high R&D expenditure of 6% to 7%, which is a key factor in its rapid transformation [2][11][12]. - In the liquid cooling sector, the company has achieved mass production capacity, with an expected output value of 455 million yuan. Collaborations with partners like San Ai and Fu Man are enhancing its production capabilities [4][13]. - The low-altitude market is projected to have trillion-level potential. The establishment of Meiyi Technology and a strategic partnership with Yihang Intelligent are expected to contribute revenue in the coming years [2][14]. Valuation and Future Profit Expectations - For 2025, Meishijituan anticipates profits of approximately 2.8 billion yuan, potentially rising to 3.3 billion yuan in 2026. The current valuation is around 10 times earnings, with new businesses expected to be valued at 20 to 30 times PE based on future revenue and profit margins [2][15]. - Historically, the company has maintained a dividend payout ratio of around 40%. If this ratio returns to 40% and core business growth accelerates, the main business could support a valuation of around 15 times, with emerging businesses providing additional valuation upside [2][15]. Other Important Insights - The company’s historical accumulation of technology in aluminum parts, battery boxes, and wireless charging has provided a solid foundation for entering robotics and liquid cooling sectors [5]. - The strategic layout and technological reserves in production and manufacturing have positioned Meishijituan favorably to seize industry development opportunities [4][5].

Core Viewpoint - The company is entering a capacity harvesting phase, with improving operational efficiency and profitability on an upward trajectory [1] Group 1: Capacity and Financial Performance - The company is in a capacity harvesting phase, with asset turnover improving and expected to recover to 1.5 in 2024 [1] - Capital expenditure peaked and is now declining, with a capital expenditure of 900 million yuan in the first half of 2025, down 17.5% year-on-year [1] - Operating cash flow reached 2.24 billion yuan, supporting an increase in future dividend rates [1] Group 2: Battery Box Business - The company is one of the largest battery box suppliers globally, benefiting from accelerated growth in Europe’s new energy sector [2] - In 2024, the penetration rate of new energy vehicles in Europe is expected to be approximately 19.6%, with a significant increase in sales of new energy light vehicles [2] - The company has actively laid out its battery box business since 2017, achieving a revenue of 3.58 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 49.8%, with a gross margin of 23.0% [2] Group 3: New Business Ventures - The company is strategically diversifying into new business areas, including robotics, liquid cooling, and low-altitude economy [3] - The robotics sector is expected to see significant advancements by 2025, with the company leveraging its automotive parts technology [3] - The liquid cooling market is growing due to increased power consumption in data centers, and the company is expanding its production capabilities in this area [3] Group 4: Investment Outlook - The automotive business is accelerating growth, driven by the battery box business and the rapid development of new energy in Europe [4] - The company is expected to see a continuous rise in its valuation, with projected net profits of 2.81 billion, 3.31 billion, and 4.06 billion yuan for 2025-2027, corresponding to PE ratios of 12.9X, 11.0X, and 8.9X [4] - The company maintains a positive outlook for future growth, anticipating a "Davis Double" effect as it enters a capacity harvesting phase [4]