证券研究报告 | 公司点评报告 2025 年 08 月 26 日 冰轮环境（000811.SZ） 传统下游资本开支下降，业绩略承压，AI 液冷有亮点 中游制造/机械 营收利润双降，业绩表现略低于预期。尽管如此，公司上半年毛利率仍实现同 比的小幅提升，表明公司产品和订单的结构仍显优质。公司上半年收入、利润 下降主要归因于传统下游的资本开支增速下滑，反映到行业螺杆压缩机销量数 据中亦有所体现。亮点在于烟台冰轮（香港）的收入小幅增长，而利润增幅更 大，表明 AIDC 方向的高价值量液冷机组显著贡献业绩。长期来看，传统业务 逐步企稳+AIDC 液冷机组持续贡献增量，公司业绩有望行稳致远。给予"强烈 推荐"评级。 强烈推荐（维持） 目标估值：NA 当前股价：14.23 元 基础数据 | 总股本（百万股） | 993 | | --- | --- | | 已上市流通股（百万股） | 970 | | 总市值（十亿元） | 14.1 | | 流通市值（十亿元） | 13.8 | | 每股净资产（MRQ） | 5.9 | | ROE（TTM） | 9.6 | | 资产负债率 | 46.1% | | 烟台国丰投资控股集团有限 主要 ...

Company Announcements - Gree Electric Appliances plans to distribute a cash dividend of 20 yuan (including tax) for every 10 shares, totaling 11.17 billion yuan [1][8] - Sinopec intends to repurchase A-shares worth between 500 million and 1 billion yuan and plans to distribute cash dividends of 10.67 billion yuan (including tax) for the first half of 2025 [1][8] - Feilu Co., Ltd. announced a suspension of trading due to the planned change of control by its major shareholder [1][9] - Long Spring High-tech's subsidiary Jin Sai Pharmaceutical's clinical trial application for GenSci143 has been accepted by the National Medical Products Administration [10] Industry Developments - The National Energy Administration reported that China's total electricity consumption in July reached 10,226 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 8.6% [2] - The Ministry of Commerce stated that China's foreign trade maintained a steady growth trend, with a cumulative import and export growth of 3.5% in the first seven months of the year [4] - The Anhui provincial government released a plan to accelerate the development of strategic emerging industries, aiming for an annual growth of over 11% in added value by 2027 [6] - The China Nonferrous Metals Industry Association reported stable silicon wafer prices, with a positive market sentiment despite weak terminal demand [5] Financial Performance - Te Yi Pharmaceutical reported a revenue of 491 million yuan for the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of 56.54%, with a net profit of 38.01 million yuan, up 1313.23% [6] - Sany Heavy Industry achieved a revenue of 44.534 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.96%, with a net profit of 5.216 billion yuan, up 46% [6] - Kuaishou's second-quarter revenue reached 35.05 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.1%, with an adjusted net profit of 5.62 billion yuan [7]

Core Insights - The report from China International Capital Corporation (CICC) indicates that the demand for computing power is increasing due to the iterative updates of AI large models and their application deployment [1] - The report highlights that chip power consumption and computing power density are continuously rising, with liquid cooling technology accelerating its replacement of air cooling to become the mainstream solution [1] - CICC forecasts that the global AI liquid cooling market size is expected to reach $8.6 billion by 2026, indicating a rapid market growth [1] - Cold plate liquid cooling is anticipated to be the first to achieve large-scale implementation [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the transformation of traditional manufacturing into intelligent mobility, with Zhongding Co. leveraging a 15.2 billion yuan air suspension order to expand into smart chassis and humanoid robotics [2][22] - Zhongding Co. has achieved a revenue of 18.8 billion yuan and holds a 23% global market share in air suspension systems, following its acquisition of German AMK in 2016 [3][22] - The company is positioned in a new battlefield where L3 penetration is expected to reach 85%, indicating a significant shift in the automotive industry towards intelligent driving systems [2] Group 2 - Key technological breakthroughs include a one-piece compressor that reduces noise, control algorithms that respond to road bumps in milliseconds (five times faster than traditional hydraulic systems), and localized production that lowers the air suspension system's price from 12,000 yuan to 8,000 yuan [4] - The air suspension system is evolving from a "comfort feature" to an "intelligent actuator," with the Ideal L6 achieving a 100% installation rate [4][6] - The air suspension business is projected to generate over 5 billion yuan in revenue by 2025, supported by contracts with 32 vehicle models including Mercedes EQE and XPeng G9 [6] Group 3 - Zhongding Co. is also focusing on lightweight and thermal management solutions, with a projected revenue of 2.518 billion yuan from its lightweight components in 2024, representing a 219% growth over four years [7] - The company is entering the AI liquid cooling market, with single vehicle value ranging from 1,000 to 1,500 yuan for new energy vehicles and 200,000 yuan per set for energy storage systems [8] - The thermal management business is expected to contribute 3.6 billion yuan in revenue in 2024, indicating a strong growth trajectory [8] Group 4 - Zhongding Co. is advancing its humanoid robotics strategy with a 1 billion yuan investment, aiming to establish a core component base and enhance its capabilities in motion control algorithms and harmonic reducer production [9][10] - The first batch of harmonic reducers has achieved a yield rate of over 92%, signaling a potential disruption in the industry cost structure [11] - The company reported a net profit of 403 million yuan in Q1 2025, a 101% increase quarter-on-quarter, reflecting the success of its transformation efforts [12][14] Group 5 - The company’s revenue structure for Q1 2025 shows that intelligent chassis contributes 42%, thermal management 31%, lightweight components 22%, and others 5% [15] - Zhongding Co. aims for a net profit exceeding 1.5 billion yuan by 2025, driven by the release of air suspension capacity and the ramp-up of humanoid robotics [15] - The integration of smart mobility and robotics technologies positions Zhongding Co. as a key player in the intelligent motion control sector, transcending traditional component manufacturing boundaries [17][19][22]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is Neutral [8] Core Insights - AI liquid cooling is transitioning from an optional to a necessary solution, with demand expected to drive rapid growth in market space and penetration rates [8] - The acceleration of ASIC layouts and the increase in domestic computing cluster scale will open new growth opportunities for the liquid cooling market [8] - The overseas supply gap in liquid cooling will provide opportunities for domestic suppliers to expand internationally, with expectations of moving from component supply to modular and integrated solutions [8] - The AI liquid cooling sector has high barriers to entry and significant value, suggesting a favorable competitive landscape and profitability in the medium to long term [8] Summary by Sections Liquid Cooling Market Dynamics - The demand for AI computing centers is driving the need for high-density GPU clusters, leading to a shift towards liquid cooling solutions [8] - Major cloud service providers are accelerating the development of customized ASICs and integrating liquid cooling solutions [8] Investment Recommendations - Suggested companies to watch include: - Yinvik (002837, Not Rated) - Yinlun (002126, Buy) - Feilong (002536, Not Rated) - Chuanhuan Technology (300547, Not Rated) - Xiangxin Technology (002965, Not Rated) - Sulian Technology (301397, Not Rated) - Zhongding (000887, Not Rated) [3]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company [6]. Core Insights - The company is positioned to enter a high growth cycle driven by its dual focus on polymer materials and thermal management systems, particularly in the booming sectors of new energy vehicles and data centers [1][4]. - The company has experienced a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 14.05% in revenue from 2017 to 2023, with a significant revenue increase of 72% year-over-year in 2024, primarily due to the rapid expansion in the new energy battery sector [1][29]. - The company is expected to achieve substantial revenue growth, with projections of 1.45 billion, 2.42 billion, and 3.37 billion yuan in revenue for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting year-over-year growth rates of 51.3%, 67.0%, and 39.2% [4][12]. Summary by Sections 1. Thermal Management System Business - The company has established a dual business model focusing on polymer materials and thermal management, serving major clients such as Huawei and CATL [18][19]. - In 2024, the company plans to invest 90 million yuan in a new project for large-area cooling liquid plates for new energy vehicles to meet the production demands of major clients [3]. 2. AI Liquid Cooling - The demand for AI-driven data centers is expected to surge, with the company aiming to penetrate the supply chain of leading server manufacturers by establishing a subsidiary focused on data center cooling solutions [2][40]. - The company plans to acquire a 51% stake in Dongguan Zhaoke, a thermal interface materials company, to enhance its product offerings and market reach [2][24]. 3. Vehicle Cooling Plates - The company is set to benefit from the increasing production of CATL's Kirin and Shenxing batteries, which will enhance the value of its liquid cooling plates used in electric vehicles [3][75]. - The new energy business is projected to generate significant revenue, with a forecasted increase of 361.36% year-over-year in 2024 [35]. 4. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to enter a rapid growth phase driven by its new energy battery and data center thermal management businesses, with a projected net profit of 0.92 billion, 1.57 billion, and 2.19 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4][12]. - The report anticipates a significant improvement in profitability, with net profit growth rates of 430.5%, 70.8%, and 39.6% for the same years [4].