Core Viewpoint - Merck reported strong first-quarter 2025 results, exceeding earnings and sales estimates, driven by Keytruda and new product launches, despite challenges in the HPV vaccine sales in China [1][2][28]. Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings were $2.22 per share, a 12% increase year over year, while revenues reached $15.53 billion, up 1% year over year [1]. - Keytruda generated $7.21 billion in sales, a 6% increase year over year, while Gardasil sales declined by 40% due to lower demand in China [2][14]. - Merck maintained its sales guidance for 2025 in the range of $64.1 billion to $65.6 billion, expecting sales to accelerate in the second half of the year [2][25]. Margin and Guidance Adjustments - Adjusted gross margin guidance was lowered by 50 basis points to 80% due to tariff impacts, with an expected cost of $200 million from tariffs [3]. - Adjusted EPS guidance was revised down from $8.88-$9.03 to $8.82-$8.97, including a one-time charge of 6 cents related to an M&A transaction [3]. Key Products and Pipeline - Keytruda remains a significant driver, accounting for approximately 50% of pharmaceutical sales, with ongoing growth expected from early-stage lung cancer indications [4][5]. - Merck's pipeline has expanded significantly, with plans to launch around 20 new vaccines and drugs, including Capvaxive and Winrevair, which have strong revenue potential [9][10][28]. Strategic Initiatives - Merck is pursuing innovative strategies for Keytruda's growth, including combinations with other therapies and developing a personalized mRNA cancer vaccine in partnership with Moderna [6][12]. - The company has invested $12 billion in U.S. manufacturing since 2018, with an additional $9 billion planned through 2028 to enhance supply chain resilience [26]. Market Position and Challenges - Merck's stock has underperformed compared to the industry and S&P 500, with a 16.1% decline year-to-date [16][19]. - Concerns exist regarding the reliance on Keytruda, especially with its patent expiration in 2028 and increasing competition from other therapies [12][13][28].

Group 1 - The article highlights that April has created numerous dividend bargains, allowing investors to select high-quality stocks with strong long-term return potential [2] - The focus is on income-producing asset classes that provide sustainable portfolio income, diversification, and inflation hedging [1] - The service offered by iREIT+HOYA Capital is aimed at investors looking for income-focused portfolios [1] Group 2 - The article emphasizes a defensive investment strategy with a medium- to long-term horizon [2] - It mentions the importance of performing due diligence and drawing personal conclusions before making investment decisions [4] - The article does not provide specific investment recommendations or advice, indicating a focus on informational content [5]

以下文章来源于MedTrend医趋势 ，作者更多精彩资讯 MedTrend医趋势 . 关注我们，带你洞见医疗的未来！MedTrend医趋势——专注于医疗医药、生命科学、医院领域，为您 提供及时、实用的热点资讯、市场概况、行业趋势等精彩内容，旨在建设全面、周到、专业的信息分享 与交流平台。 作者 | MedTrend医趋势 来源 | MedTrend医趋势 导语 ：没有任何一个赛道能逃过中国的内卷。 默沙东应该急了。 4月24日，默沙东公布2025 Q1业绩，总体营收小幅下锉，主要原因是两大支柱产品全球药王K药和 HPV疫苗佳达修（Gardasil/Gardasil 9）都未及销售预期。 另外两个数字则惨烈得多——佳达修Q1销售额仅为13.27亿美元，同比大幅下滑41%；其中，默沙 东中国区收入同比下滑62%至6.68亿美元，在默沙东全球的业务份额降至不足5%，跌幅远超公司平 均水平。 | | 2025 | | | 2024 | | | % Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 10 | 10 | 20 | 3Q | 40 ...

本文约 2 5 0 0 字，推荐阅读时长 1 5 分钟，欢迎关注新财富公众号。 1 引言 4月14日，美国商务部宣布启动对进口药品的国家安全调查。这一调查覆盖了所有进口药品，包括成 品仿制药、原研药以及用于生产这些药品的关键药用成分。此举属于特朗普政府根据1962年《贸易扩 展法》第232条对多个行业进行的关税调查的一部分。虽然调查尚未结束，预计结果将在270天内公 布，但业内普遍认为，这将赋予特朗普政府对进口药品和原料药征收关税的权力。特别是对中国等主 要药品出口国的影响，可能会带来严重的供应链中断及成本上升。 事实上，美国每年从中国进口药品总额约60亿美元，其中大量为抗生素、抗病毒及心血管药物等基础 药物。一旦关税进一步扩大实施，这些进口药品的成本预计将明显上升，对美国本土药品生产商带来 直接冲击。为应对这种风险，特朗普政府提出多项措施推动产业本土化。 分析师预计，如果对来自中国的API征收10%的关税，仿制药企业的利润将下跌2%-3%，创新药利润 下跌可能更严重。 2 美国关税筑墙， 中概股 跌宕 自2025年特朗普重新执政以来，美国政府出台了一系列针对生物医药产业的重要政策，核心目标是强 化美国医药产 ...

Group 1: Market Overview - Many investors are withdrawing from the stock market, but long-term investors recognize the importance of holding through volatility [1] - It remains a favorable time to invest in companies with strong underlying businesses and attractive long-term prospects, particularly dividend payers [1] Group 2: Medtronic - Medtronic is a leader in medical devices and may be affected by tariffs imposed by the current administration, particularly due to its significant revenue from the U.S. and manufacturing in Mexico and China [3][4] - Despite near-term uncertainties, Medtronic is considered a solid long-term investment due to its historical resilience in challenging economic conditions [4] - The company operates in a defensive industry, which helps it maintain steady financial results even during economic downturns [5] - Medtronic has consistent revenue and earnings growth, with significant opportunities in diabetes care and robotic-assisted surgery [7] - The company has a strong dividend track record, having increased payouts for 47 consecutive years, with a forward yield of 3.4% [8] Group 3: Merck - Merck has faced challenges in the past year due to potential competition for its cancer drug Keytruda and an upcoming patent cliff [9] - Despite these challenges, Merck's long-term prospects remain strong, as pharmaceutical companies often recover by developing new and improved medicines [10] - Merck is working on a subcutaneous formulation of Keytruda and has a deep pipeline with several dozen programs in development [10] - The company is expanding into the weight loss market and bispecific antibodies, which could enhance its treatment offerings [11] - Merck has a solid dividend program, having increased payouts by 80% over the past 10 years, with a current forward yield of 3.4% [12]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported total revenues of $15.5 billion, reflecting a decrease of 2% year-over-year, or an increase of 1% when excluding foreign exchange impacts [23][12] - Earnings per share (EPS) were reported at $2.22, with a gross margin of 82.2%, an increase of one percentage point due to a favorable product mix [35][34] - The company maintained its full-year revenue guidance of between $64.1 billion and $65.6 billion, representing growth of 1% to 3% excluding foreign exchange impacts [35][36] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In oncology, sales of Keytruda grew 6% to $7.2 billion, driven by increased uptake in earlier-stage cancers and robust demand for metastatic indications [25] - GARDASIL sales decreased by 40% to $1.3 billion, primarily due to reduced demand in China, while global growth excluding China was strong at 16% [27] - The animal health business saw sales increase by 10%, reflecting higher demand across all species and contributions from the Aqua portfolio acquired from Elanco [32] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The decline in GARDASIL sales in China was approximately $1.1 billion, which reduced growth excluding foreign exchange by seven percentage points [24] - Outside of the US and China, GARDASIL experienced strong demand, particularly from a catch-up cohort in Japan [27] - The company noted that the ongoing launch of WinRevair generated global sales of $280 million, with significant uptake in both the US and international markets [30] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on balancing its manufacturing footprint and has invested $12 billion in US manufacturing since 2018, with an additional commitment of over $9 billion through 2028 [11][10] - The strategic direction emphasizes the advancement of a robust pipeline, with over 20 promising new products expected to launch in the coming years, potentially generating over $50 billion in commercial opportunities by the mid-2030s [16][19] - The company is committed to maintaining its dividend and prioritizing investments in business development to drive growth and returns for shareholders [42][44] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to navigate the current dynamic global environment and emphasized the importance of innovation in addressing health challenges [10][20] - The management team highlighted the ongoing efforts to mitigate potential impacts from tariffs and emphasized a strong inventory position to manage short-term challenges [13][75] - The company remains optimistic about its long-term growth prospects, particularly in light of its expanding late-phase pipeline and the potential for new product launches [18][19] Other Important Information - The company is actively evaluating opportunities for science-driven business development transactions, despite the complexities introduced by the current macroeconomic environment [92][94] - Management acknowledged the disconnect between market realities and seller expectations in the current business development landscape [94] - The company is open to working with the administration on pricing reforms to address the price differentials between the US and international markets [96][100] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you discuss Merck's mitigating strategies regarding tariffs? - Management highlighted ongoing changes to the supply chain strategy and investments in US manufacturing to mitigate tariff impacts, with a focus on optimizing supply chain operations [70][72] Question: What is the long-term guidance for KEYTRUDA given patent expiry concerns? - Management emphasized confidence in the long-term pipeline, with over 20 new products expected to launch, which could offset concerns related to KEYTRUDA's patent expiry [78][80] Question: Can you comment on the FDA's recent changes and their impact on vaccines? - Management noted that while there are active dialogues with the FDA regarding imminent PDUFA dates, the long-term impact of personnel transitions remains uncertain [85][86] Question: What is the environment for business development given macro volatility? - Management confirmed that the focus on business development remains unchanged, although the current environment presents complexities in executing deals [92][94] Question: What are the prospects for GARDASIL growth and pricing adjustments? - Management indicated that while GARDASIL growth is expected to slow, particularly in China, they remain committed to ensuring the vaccine's value is understood in pricing discussions [132][130]

Core Insights - Merck reported Q1 2025 adjusted EPS of $2.22, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.15, with a year-over-year earnings increase of 7% on a reported basis and 12% excluding foreign exchange impacts [1][2] - Revenues declined 2% year-over-year to $15.53 billion, but still surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $15.39 billion [2] Sales Performance - Keytruda, Merck's flagship product, generated sales of $7.21 billion, a 6% increase, but missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $7.55 billion due to timing issues in wholesaler purchases [3] - Alliance revenues from Lynparza and Lenvima contributed positively, with Lynparza sales increasing 8% to $312 million and Lenvima revenues totaling $258 million, up 2% [4] - Welireg sales surged 63% to $137 million, driven by higher demand in the U.S. [5] Vaccine Sales - Sales of HPV vaccines Gardasil and Gardasil 9 fell 40% to $1.33 billion, primarily due to lower demand in China [6] - Combined sales of Proquad, M-M-R II, and Varivax vaccines decreased 5% to $539 million, while sales of the pneumococcal 15-valent conjugate vaccine Vaxneuvance rose 7% to $230 million [7][8] Diabetes and Other Products - Sales of the Januvia/Janumet franchise rose 21% year-over-year to $796 million, benefiting from higher net pricing in the U.S. [9] - New PAH drug Winrevair generated $280 million in sales, up from $200 million in the previous quarter [9] Animal Health Segment - The Animal Health segment generated revenues of $1.59 billion, up 5% year-over-year, driven by higher demand for livestock products [11] Cost and Margin Analysis - Adjusted gross margin was 82.2%, up 100 basis points year-over-year, while adjusted selling, general and administrative expenses rose 3% to $2.53 billion [12] - Adjusted R&D spending decreased 9% to $3.61 billion, attributed to lower business development charges [13] 2025 Guidance - Merck maintained its sales guidance for 2025, expecting revenues between $64.1 billion and $65.6 billion, with a revised negative impact from foreign exchange of around 1% [14] - Adjusted EPS guidance was revised to a range of $8.82 to $8.97, accounting for a one-time charge related to a licensing agreement [16] Market Reaction and Future Outlook - Shares of Merck traded higher in pre-market following the earnings report, despite a 21% year-to-date decline compared to a 3% fall in the industry [19] - The company is aware of its reliance on Keytruda and is taking steps to diversify its portfolio, with a late-stage pipeline that has nearly tripled over the past three years [21]

Financial Performance - First-quarter worldwide sales reached $15.5 billion, a 2% decrease compared to the previous year, but increased 1% excluding exchange rate fluctuations[1,19] - Human Health sales were $13.6 billion, a 3% decrease, but increased 5% excluding GARDASIL sales in China[19] - Animal Health sales grew by 10% to $1.6 billion[20,36] - KEYTRUDA sales increased by 6% to $7.2 billion, driven by increased uptake in earlier-stage cancers and metastatic indications[21,22] - Non-GAAP EPS increased by 7% to $2.22[39] Product Performance - GARDASIL sales decreased by 40% to $1.3 billion, due to soft demand in China[27,28] - WINREVAIR global Q1 sales reached $280 million[33] - CAPVAXIVE sales were $107 million, driven by retail pharmacy demand[27] Pipeline and Regulatory Updates - The FDA accepted the BLA for subcutaneous pembrolizumab with berahyaluronidase alfa[10,76] - The FDA accepted the sBLA for KEYTRUDA in earlier-stage HNSCC[10,76] - The European Commission granted conditional approval for WELIREG for certain RCC and other tumors[52,76] - GARDASIL 9 was approved in China for males aged 16-26[49,73] Financial Outlook - The company maintained its revenue guidance of $64.1 billion to $65.6 billion for 2025[40] - Non-GAAP EPS guidance was updated to $8.82 to $8.97, including a ~$0.06 charge related to a license agreement with Hengrui Pharma[40]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported total revenues of $15.5 billion, reflecting a decrease of 2% year-over-year, or an increase of 1% when excluding foreign exchange impacts [23][12] - Earnings per share (EPS) were reported at $2.22, with a gross margin of 82.2%, an increase of one percentage point due to a favorable product mix [35][34] - The company maintained its full-year revenue guidance of between $64.1 billion and $65.6 billion, representing growth of 1% to 3% excluding foreign exchange impacts [36][35] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In oncology, sales of Keytruda grew 6% to $7.2 billion, driven by increased uptake in earlier-stage cancers and robust demand for metastatic indications [25] - GARDASIL sales decreased by 40% to $1.3 billion, primarily due to reduced demand in China, while global growth excluding China was strong at 16% [27][24] - The animal health business saw sales increase by 10%, reflecting higher demand across all species and contributions from the Aqua portfolio acquired from Elanco [32] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The decline in GARDASIL sales in China was approximately $1.1 billion, which reduced growth excluding foreign exchange by seven percentage points [24] - Outside of the US and China, GARDASIL experienced strong demand, particularly from a catch-up cohort in Japan [27] - The company noted that the ongoing launch of WinRevair generated global sales of $280 million, with significant uptake in both the US and international markets [30] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on balancing its manufacturing footprint and has invested $12 billion in US manufacturing since 2018, with an additional commitment of over $9 billion through 2028 [11][10] - The strategic direction emphasizes the advancement of a robust pipeline, with over 20 promising new products expected to launch in the coming years, potentially generating over $50 billion in commercial opportunities by the mid-2030s [16][19] - The company is committed to maintaining its dividend and prioritizing investments in business development to drive growth and returns for shareholders [42][44] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the outlook for improved growth in the second half of the year, despite challenges from tariffs and foreign exchange impacts [12][13] - The company is well-positioned to navigate the potential impacts of tariffs due to its global supply chain and inventory management strategies [13][70] - Management highlighted the importance of scientific leadership and innovation as key drivers for long-term value creation [20][19] Other Important Information - The company has nearly tripled its late-phase pipeline since 2021, with significant advancements in oncology, cardiometabolic diseases, and HIV treatments [16][14] - The FDA has set PDUFA dates for several key products, including subcutaneous pembrolizumab and doravirine-based regimens, indicating a strong pipeline of upcoming approvals [60][56] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you discuss Merck's strategies to mitigate tariffs? - Management highlighted ongoing efforts to rebalance the supply chain and invest in US manufacturing to mitigate the impact of existing tariffs, with a focus on optimizing supply chain strategies [70][72] Question: What is the long-term guidance for KEYTRUDA? - Management emphasized confidence in the long-term potential of the pipeline, with over 20 new products expected to drive significant revenue growth, but did not provide specific line-by-line guidance [78][79] Question: Can you comment on the FDA's recent changes and their impact on vaccines? - Management noted that while there are active dialogues with the FDA regarding imminent PDUFA dates, the long-term impact of personnel transitions remains uncertain [85][86] Question: What is the environment for business development given current macroeconomic conditions? - Management acknowledged the complexities in the current environment but reaffirmed their commitment to pursuing science-driven business development opportunities [92][94] Question: What are the expectations for GARDASIL growth moving forward? - Management indicated that while GARDASIL growth is expected to slow, strong growth is anticipated outside of China, and they are focused on maximizing opportunities in the market [132][131]

Core Insights - Merck reported revenue of $15.53 billion for Q1 2025, a decrease of 1.6% year-over-year, with an EPS of $2.22, up from $2.07 in the same quarter last year, exceeding both revenue and EPS consensus estimates [1][2] Financial Performance - Revenue of $15.53 billion compared to Zacks Consensus Estimate of $15.39 billion, resulting in a surprise of +0.93% [1] - EPS of $2.22 compared to consensus estimate of $2.15, leading to an EPS surprise of +3.26% [1] Key Metrics - Merck's stock has returned -10.6% over the past month, underperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's -5.1% change [3] - Current Zacks Rank for Merck is 3 (Hold), indicating potential performance in line with the broader market [3] Oncology Sales - Keytruda U.S. sales were $4.31 billion, below the average estimate of $4.47 billion, but up 4.6% year-over-year [4] - Keytruda International sales were $2.90 billion, compared to the $3.08 billion estimate, reflecting a 2.4% year-over-year increase [4] - Lynparza U.S. sales reached $145 million, exceeding the $121.96 million estimate, with a year-over-year increase of 7.4% [4] - Lynparza International sales were $168 million, below the $178.66 million estimate, but up 7% year-over-year [4] - Total Keytruda sales amounted to $7.21 billion, compared to the $7.55 billion estimate, marking a 3.7% year-over-year increase [4] Other Product Sales - Zerbaxa sales in Hospital Acute Care were $70 million, surpassing the $63.07 million estimate, with a 25% year-over-year increase [4] - Animal health sales were $1.59 billion, slightly below the $1.61 billion estimate, but up 5.1% year-over-year [4] - Prevymis sales were $208 million, exceeding the $190.69 million estimate, with a significant year-over-year increase of 19.5% [4] - Reblozyl sales reached $119 million, above the $101.77 million estimate, reflecting a substantial year-over-year increase of 67.6% [4]