Core Viewpoint - Netflix Inc. has experienced significant stock growth, rising nearly 94% over the past year and over 40% year to date, but there are signs of potential turbulence ahead of its upcoming earnings report [1][2]. Financial Expectations - The company is expected to report earnings per share of $7.06 on revenue of $11.04 billion, driven by password-sharing crackdowns, advertising expansion, and a strong content slate [2]. Technical Analysis - Netflix's stock is currently above its five-day, 20-day, and 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), indicating a bullish trend, but it is trading below its 8-day and 20-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs), suggesting potential near-term bearish pressure [3]. - The divergence in moving averages indicates that traders may be taking profits ahead of earnings, possibly anticipating a disappointment or simply cashing in on recent gains [4]. Momentum Indicators - The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is at 10.30, indicating strong bullish momentum, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 51.13, suggesting that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold, allowing for a sharp post-earnings move in either direction [5]. Price Action and Potential Outcomes - Investors are advised to maintain a tight stop as the stock approaches its all-time high of $1,341.15; a strong earnings report could lead to a breakout, while a minor miss might result in a pullback towards the 50-day SMA at $1,225.70 [6].

ROMAINE: DON'T WORRY, BLOOMBERG "OPEN INTEREST" STARTS RIGHT NOW. SONALI: COMING UP, RETAIL SALES SIZZLE AS AMERICANS KEEP SPENDING. AND NETFLIX IS GOING TO TAKE THE EARNINGS SPOTLIGHT AFTER THE BELL. A LOT RIDING ON THE COMPANY'S OUTLOOK FOR THE MONTHS AHEAD. AND A MULTIBILLION-DOLLAR DEAL. RUBBER IS TEAMING UP WITH LUCID TO LAUNCH A ROBOTAXI FLEET. FIRST WE HAVE SOME STOCKS TO WATCH BEFORE THE MARKET OPENS. ROMAINE: KEEP AN EYE ON THE CHIP STOCKS. TSMC RAISING ITS OUTLOOK AND THAT IS BOOSTING TECH STOCKS ...

Core Viewpoint - Netflix is expected to report strong second-quarter results, with analysts optimistic about its market position and financial performance, particularly in viewership gains and content monetization [1][2][4]. Group 1: Financial Performance Expectations - Analysts anticipate Q2 revenue around $11.04 billion, slightly above Netflix's guidance of $11.035 billion, with a consensus estimate for earnings per share (EPS) at $7.06 [4][5]. - Netflix shares have risen 41% in 2025 to date, starting Thursday's trading at $1,253, down from an all-time high of $1,341.15 in June [7]. - Several analysts have raised their price targets for Netflix, with Michael Morris of Guggenheim increasing his outlook to $1,400 from $1,150, citing the need for the company to prove its advertising business and programming strategy [8]. Group 2: Strategic Outlook and Market Position - Netflix has established a significant lead in the streaming industry, with no major global competitors currently [2]. - The company has shifted focus from reporting quarterly subscriber numbers to broader financial performance and strategic outlook, indicating a change in how investors should assess its value [3]. - Management's outlook includes a robust content slate for the second half of the year and expanded live content partnerships, which are expected to support long-term growth potential [9]. Group 3: Industry Context - The media industry is undergoing significant changes, with companies like Comcast, Warner Bros. Discovery, and Disney also set to report earnings, indicating a consolidating landscape [6]. - The advertising market has shown improvement, with more investment shifting towards connected TV (CTV), which could benefit Netflix's advertising strategy [9].

Stocks trying to hold on to this head of steam this morning. Dow's up 80 points. NASDAQ just hit another record high.Big tech of course joins the earnings fund tonight with Netflix after the bell after a strong start to the year. Joining us this morning is NEM analyst Laura Martin. A $1,500 price target and a buy rating on the stock.Laura, it's good to have you back. I've seen a lot of 1100s and 1200s, but is is that close to a street high. you know, it might be.But, you know, we're really looking forward t ...

Financial Performance - The company's estimated earnings growth year-over-year is 45% [1] - Last quarter, the company beat analyst estimates by 17% [2] Strategic Focus & Growth Drivers - Live events are considered a key leg to the company's growth, including sporting events, unscripted shows, and celebrity interviews [6] - The company had a big price increase in late January, and continued traction is being monitored [3] - The company's ad-supported tier is a big deal, and its traction is being monitored [3] - The company stopped reporting quarterly net subscription additions two quarters ago, shifting focus to other metrics [4] Competitive Landscape - The company has a content lead, enabling subscriber acquisition and further content investment, creating a virtuous cycle domestically and internationally [8] - AI is considered a greater threat to digital advertisers like Meta or Alphabet than to the company [11] Key Metrics - Viewership of the July 11th Taylor Serrano fight is a key metric for the current quarter [3][4] - The July 11th fight was part of a trilogy and an all-women's boxing card [4]

Core Viewpoint - Netflix is set to release its latest quarterly earnings report, with its stock price nearing a three-year high, raising significant interest in the company's future prospects [1] Group 1: Earnings Expectations - Analysts expect Netflix to report a second-quarter earnings per share of $6.70 and revenue of $11.3 billion, representing year-over-year growth of 24% and 15% respectively [1] - The market has high expectations for Netflix's upcoming slate of major sequels, including the highly anticipated "Stranger Things" [1] Group 2: Business Model Transformation - Netflix has diversified its growth drivers by optimizing its business model, which now includes advertising sales, subscription price increases, and live events such as sports and concerts [5] - The company has stopped reporting quarterly user data, shifting investor focus towards revenue and profit expectations [5] - Analysts from Bank of America believe Netflix is well-positioned due to its unmatched scale in the streaming sector, further user growth potential, and significant opportunities in advertising and live sports/events [5] Group 3: Valuation Concerns - Despite an optimistic outlook, high valuation levels have raised concerns among some analysts, with Seaport Research Partners downgrading Netflix's rating from buy to neutral [6] - Analysts caution that if Netflix fails to raise its full-year sales guidance of $43.5 billion to $44.5 billion, it may disappoint investors [6] - There are concerns about changing viewing habits, with YouTube potentially surpassing Netflix in the U.S. streaming market [6] Group 4: Analyst Ratings and Market Sentiment - Over two-thirds of analysts have given Netflix a buy or equivalent rating, with expected revenue growth rates for the next three quarters ranging from 14% to 16% [7] - Analysts generally view Netflix's high multiples as a reflection of market enthusiasm for its anticipated content, including new series like "Wednesday" and "Happy Gilmore 2" starring Adam Sandler [7]

Core Viewpoint - Netflix is approaching its highest valuation level since 2022, with significant market attention on its upcoming Q2 earnings report and future outlook, as analysts expect continued growth momentum [1] Financial Performance Expectations - Analysts predict that Netflix's Q3 earnings per share will reach $6.70, with revenue of $11.3 billion, representing year-over-year growth of 24% and 15% respectively [1] - The company has stopped disclosing quarterly subscriber numbers, shifting focus to revenue and profit performance [3] Market Sentiment and Analyst Opinions - If Netflix does not raise its full-year revenue forecast of $43.5 billion to $44.5 billion, it may lead to market disappointment [4] - The stock has doubled in value over the past year, adding approximately $250 billion in market capitalization, with a current P/E ratio of 43, significantly higher than the Nasdaq 100 average of 27 [4] - Analysts attribute the stock price increase to popular content such as "Stranger Things," "Wednesday," and "Happy Gilmore 2" [4] Competitive Landscape - There are indications of shifting consumer preferences that may challenge Netflix's market leadership, particularly from platforms under Google, despite Netflix not viewing YouTube as a direct competitor [4] - The Seaport research team downgraded Netflix's rating from "Buy" to "Neutral," suggesting that the current stock price has fully priced in expectations for advertising expansion and market share growth [4] - The options market indicates a projected stock price volatility of about 6.5% following the earnings report, lower than the average of 9.3% over the past three years, reflecting cautious market expectations [4] Growth Strategies - Netflix is diversifying its business model to seek breakthroughs, including advertising sales, subscription fee increases, and live sports and concert streaming [7] - Analysts from Bank of America highlight Netflix's unmatched scale advantage in the streaming sector, user growth potential, and improving profitability and free cash flow as key competitive strengths [7] - Over two-thirds of analysts maintain a "Buy" rating, forecasting revenue growth rates to remain between 14% and 16% over the next three quarters [7] - Netflix's business is noted to be less affected by tariff fluctuations or factors related to China, positioning it strategically advantageous compared to other tech giants [7]

With Netflix shares trading near its highest valuations going back to 2022, there’s a lot riding on the streaming giant’s upcoming earnings report and its outlook for the months ahead https://t.co/i9SpP9SfPF ...

智通财经7月17日电， 伯恩斯坦将奈飞（Netflix）目标价从1200美元上调至1390美元。 ...

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