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Core Viewpoint - Netflix is expected to report record revenue and earnings for the second quarter, driven by price increases and the growth of its advertising tier, despite a slowdown in subscriber growth following its password-sharing crackdown [1][2][3]. Revenue and Earnings Expectations - Wall Street anticipates Netflix will achieve $11.1 billion in revenue and $7.08 in earnings per share for the second quarter, an increase from $10.5 billion and $6.61 in the first quarter [1]. Growth Drivers - The primary growth drivers for Netflix this quarter are the price hikes implemented earlier in the year and the burgeoning advertising tier, which accounted for nearly half of the subscriber growth in the US during the first five months of 2025 [2][3]. - The advertising tier is on a strong trajectory and may eventually generate more revenue per user than the ad-free tier [2]. Subscriber Growth Trends - Netflix experienced significant subscriber growth in 2024 due to the password-sharing crackdown, with 41 million net sign-ups, including 18.9 million in the fourth quarter [3]. - However, the company has likely exhausted most of the immediate growth potential, as gross monthly additions in the US have leveled off, and the resubscribe rate has rebounded, indicating fewer first-time sign-ups [4]. Future Growth Potential - Analysts remain confident in Netflix's ability to sustain growth despite the diminishing effects of the password-sharing crackdown, citing the company's unmatched scale in streaming and opportunities in advertising and live sports [6][11]. - A strong content slate for the second half of the year, including new seasons of popular shows and live NFL games, is expected to bolster viewership and engagement [12]. - Netflix's viewership share remains strong compared to its paid competitors, despite losing some ground to YouTube [12]. Additional Growth Opportunities - Gaming is identified as a potential growth lever for Netflix, with analysts suggesting that the company is well-positioned to capitalize on this market, as many rivals have not yet made significant strides in streaming gaming [13].

Netflix is scheduled to report earnings after the bell Thursday, with traders expecting shares could swing after the results. https://t.co/zZ5aXnbRN6 ...

Netflix is scheduled to report second-quarter results after the closing bell Thursday, with analysts largely bullish on the streaming giant’s continued growth potential. https://t.co/FzTjqh9EbZ ...

Financial Performance - Netflix is expected to see mid-teens revenue growth [5] - Netflix is expecting 30% earnings growth this year [5] - Elevated earnings growth is expected to continue over the next few years [6] Advertising Strategy & Monetization - Netflix has significant room to grow in monetizing engagement [2] - Advertising growth is a key area of focus for understanding future growth [3] - Netflix's early stage advertising monetization allows revenue to flow to the bottom line [5] - Building in-house technology and partnering with third-party platforms like The Trade Desk allows for different ways to monetize inventory [8] - Netflix is in the early stages of advertising monetization compared to other streamers [8] Strategic Initiatives & Competitive Landscape - Netflix is leaning into advantages of the traditional ecosystem, like sporting events [10] - Disrupting traditional ecosystems with events like sports puts pressure on competitors [10]

Heat. Heat. Heat. Heat. ...

Core Insights - Netflix is expected to report second-quarter earnings soon, with anticipation of stock price movement based on these results [1] Financial Performance - In Q1, Netflix generated $10.5 billion in revenue, a 13% increase year-over-year, with an EPS of $6.61, reflecting a 25% rise [2] - For Q2, Netflix projects revenues of $11.04 billion, a 15.4% increase from the previous year, and an EPS of $7.03, up 44.1% year-over-year [3][7] - The company's operating margins are expected to rise from 27.2% to 33.3% in Q2 2024 [3] Market Position and Valuation - Netflix's trailing four-quarter earnings surprise averages a positive 6.9%, indicating potential for stock price growth [4] - The stock trades at a P/E ratio of 49.62, significantly higher than the industry average of 35.79, suggesting limited potential for post-earnings growth [6][7] Business Strategy and Growth Opportunities - Nearly half of Netflix's new signups come from its ad-supported tier, which is driving ad sales and long-term revenue growth [7][9] - The streaming industry presents a $650 billion revenue growth opportunity, with Netflix positioned to capitalize on this due to its strong content offerings [10] - Netflix's management is optimistic about reaching a valuation of $1 trillion by 2030, joining the ranks of major tech companies [11] Profitability - Netflix boasts a net profit margin of 23.1%, significantly outperforming the industry's negative 15.9%, indicating room for further growth [12] Investment Outlook - Investors are encouraged to focus on Netflix's long-term growth potential rather than short-term price fluctuations following earnings releases [15]

About this content About Emily Jarvie Emily began her career as a political journalist for Australian Community Media in Hobart, Tasmania. After she relocated to Toronto, Canada, she reported on business, legal, and scientific developments in the emerging psychedelics sector before joining Proactive in 2022. She brings a strong journalism background with her work featured in newspapers, magazines, and digital publications across Australia, Europe, and North America, including The Examiner, The Advocate, ...

Core Insights - Netflix is expected to report second-quarter 2025 results on July 17, forecasting a revenue increase of 15.4% to $11.035 billion, driven by price changes, membership growth, and advertising revenue [1][6][20] - The consensus revenue estimate is $11.05 billion, indicating a year-over-year growth of 15.63% [2] - Projected earnings per share are $7.03, slightly below the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $7.06, which has increased by 0.1% over the past month [2] Revenue Growth Expectations - Total revenues for Q2 2025 are anticipated to be $11.035 billion, reflecting a 15% year-over-year growth [2][14] - Specific regional revenue estimates include $1.31 billion for Asia-Pacific (25.1% growth), $1.36 billion for Latin America (13% growth), $3.46 billion for EMEA (15.3% growth), and $4.91 billion for UCAN (14.4% growth) [14][15] Earnings Performance - In the last quarter, Netflix achieved an earnings surprise of 16.17%, consistently beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate over the past four quarters with an average surprise of 6.94% [4][6] - Current earnings estimates for Q2 2025 show a slight upward trend, with the latest estimate at $7.07 per share [4] Content and Subscriber Growth - The release of high-profile content, including the finale of "Squid Game," is expected to drive significant subscriber growth and engagement [9][10] - Netflix's strategic investments in content and platform enhancements are likely to attract new subscribers while retaining existing ones [11][12] Advertising Revenue Expansion - The advertising business is experiencing accelerated growth, with the Netflix Ads Suite fully rolled out across all 12 ad-supported countries by June [10] - Management anticipates doubling advertising revenues in 2025, supported by the successful expansion of its advertising platform [10][20] Competitive Positioning - Despite increasing competition from companies like Apple, Amazon, and Disney, Netflix's strong content slate and platform innovations position it favorably in the market [13][20] - The company's stock has outperformed peers, gaining 41.1% year-to-date compared to the sector average [16] Valuation Metrics - Netflix is currently trading at 44.38X forward 12-month earnings, above its five-year median of 33.79X, indicating a premium valuation compared to the industry average of 31.1X [17][20] Investment Outlook - The combination of strong first-quarter performance, compelling content for Q2, and multiple growth drivers suggests that Netflix is well-positioned for continued success [21][23] - Investors are encouraged to consider Netflix as a strong investment opportunity ahead of the upcoming earnings report [20][23]

Foundation Model Strategy - Netflix is leveraging foundation models for personalized recommendations [1] - The strategy is based on work by Yesu Feng, a staff research scientist/engineer at Netflix, focused on generative foundation models [1] - Prior to Netflix, Feng worked on feed and marketplace optimization at LinkedIn and Uber, respectively [1] Industry Focus - The application of foundation models aims to improve personalized recommendations [1] - The discussion took place at the AI Engineer World's Fair in San Francisco [1]