Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the volatile market conditions in 2025, highlighting the performance of top stock picks and the impact of tariffs and geopolitical events on market dynamics [7][9][19]. Market Overview - The US equity market experienced significant fluctuations due to tariff announcements, leading to a major correction in April 2025, with the S&P 500 dropping approximately 15% from its 52-week high [9][10]. - A barbell investment approach was recommended to diversify portfolios during market corrections, focusing on stocks with strong fundamentals and good dividend yields [10][13]. Stock Performance - The top 10 stocks recommended at the beginning of 2025 saw a performance swing from over 20% gains to below 20%, reflecting a nearly 40% change during the volatile period [15][16]. - By mid-2025, many of these stocks rebounded as fear subsided and investors returned to fundamentals [16]. Economic Indicators - Inflation rates showed a surprising decrease, with core CPI at 0.1% for May, and there is speculation about potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in September [22][23]. - The recession risk appears less severe than previously anticipated, with GDP growth projected to exceed 2% annualized after a decline in Q1 [23][31]. Top Stock Picks - **Barclays (NYSE: BCS)**: A diversified bank with a market cap of $62 billion, ranked 12 out of 691 in financial institutions, offering a dividend yield of 2.47% and a forward EPS growth rate of 28% [80][81]. - **Prudential (NYSE: PUK)**: Based in Hong Kong, this insurance company ranks 1 out of 19 in its industry, with a forward dividend yield of 1.89% and a long-term EPS growth rate of 17% [86][89]. - **FinVolution (NYSE: FINV)**: A fintech company with a market cap of $2.2 billion, ranking 7 out of 691 in financials, showing a 255% operating cash flow growth rate [93][94]. - **Power Solutions International (NASDAQ: PSIX)**: A small-cap company with a market cap of $1.23 billion, ranked number one in the industrials sector, with a one-year return of 835% [97][99]. - **New Gold (NYSE: NGD)**: Focused on gold, silver, and copper exploration, with an operating cash flow growth rate of 56% [107][110]. - **Gold Fields Limited (NYSE: GFI)**: A diversified mining company with a 37% EPS forward long-term growth rate, ranking 5 in the materials sector [111][113]. Investment Strategies - The article emphasizes a data-driven approach to stock selection, utilizing a GARP (Growth at a Reasonable Price) strategy that combines growth, value, profitability, and momentum metrics [40][42]. - The new PRO Quant Portfolio offers a higher frequency of stock ideas, designed for active investors, with a focus on global stocks across various market caps [59][64].

Group 1 - New Gold Inc. has announced the redemption of the remaining $111 million aggregate principal amount of its 7.50% Senior Notes due 2027, scheduled for July 15, 2025 [1] - The redemption will be financed through the remaining proceeds from the Company's March 2025 senior notes offering and cash on hand [1] Group 2 - New Gold is a Canadian-focused intermediate mining company with two core producing assets: the New Afton copper-gold mine and the Rainy River gold mine [2] - The Company's vision is to be the most valued intermediate gold and copper producer through profitable and responsible mining for shareholders and stakeholders [2]

Core Viewpoint - New Gold (NGD) has shown significant monthly gains, outperforming both the Basic Materials sector and the S&P 500, while upcoming earnings are anticipated to reflect substantial year-over-year growth in earnings and revenue [1][2]. Company Performance - New Gold's stock closed at $4.76, reflecting a decrease of -2.06% from the previous day, while the S&P 500 gained 0.55% [1]. - Over the past month, New Gold's shares increased by 27.56%, outperforming the Basic Materials sector's gain of 4.58% and the S&P 500's gain of 6.29% [1]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is expected to show an EPS of $0.08, representing a 300% increase from the same quarter last year [2]. - For the full year, analysts project earnings of $0.39 per share and revenue of $1.31 billion, indicating increases of +95% and +41.21% respectively compared to the previous year [2]. Analyst Estimates - Recent changes to analyst estimates for New Gold suggest a positive outlook, reflecting optimism about the company's business trends [3]. - The Zacks Consensus EPS estimate has increased by 1.96% over the last 30 days, indicating a favorable adjustment in expectations [5]. Valuation Metrics - New Gold has a Forward P/E ratio of 12.46, which is lower than the industry average of 12.99, suggesting that the company is trading at a discount compared to its peers [6]. - The Mining - Gold industry, which includes New Gold, ranks in the top 16% of over 250 industries according to the Zacks Industry Rank [6][7].

Core Viewpoint - Investors are increasingly seeking growth stocks that demonstrate above-average growth potential, particularly in the financial sector, to achieve exceptional returns. However, identifying such stocks can be challenging due to inherent volatility and risks associated with growth stocks [1]. Group 1: Growth Stock Identification - The Zacks Growth Style Score system simplifies the process of identifying promising growth stocks by analyzing a company's actual growth prospects beyond traditional metrics. New Gold (NGD) is currently highlighted as a recommended stock due to its favorable Growth Score and top Zacks Rank [2]. - Research indicates that stocks with strong growth features consistently outperform the market, especially those with a Growth Score of A or B and a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) or 2 (Buy) [3]. Group 2: Earnings Growth - Earnings growth is a critical factor for growth investors, with double-digit growth being particularly attractive as it signals strong future prospects and potential stock price increases [4]. - New Gold has a historical EPS growth rate of 12.3%, but the projected EPS growth for this year is significantly higher at 103.8%, surpassing the industry average of 39.1% [5]. Group 3: Asset Utilization and Sales Growth - The asset utilization ratio, or sales-to-total-assets (S/TA) ratio, is an important metric for assessing a company's efficiency in generating sales from its assets. New Gold's S/TA ratio is 0.39, indicating it generates $0.39 in sales for every dollar in assets, which is better than the industry average of 0.33 [6]. - In terms of sales growth, New Gold is expected to achieve a 41.2% increase this year, compared to the industry average of 23.3% [7]. Group 4: Earnings Estimate Revisions - Trends in earnings estimate revisions are crucial for validating a stock's performance potential. A positive trend in revisions correlates strongly with near-term stock price movements [8]. - New Gold's current-year earnings estimates have been revised upward, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate increasing by 5.2% over the past month [9]. Group 5: Overall Positioning - New Gold has achieved a Zacks Rank of 2 and a Growth Score of B, based on various favorable metrics discussed. This positioning suggests that New Gold is well-placed for potential outperformance, making it an attractive option for growth investors [11].

Group 1 - The rally in gold prices over the past year has increased investor interest in gold mining companies [1] - New Gold, a Canadian mid-tier producer, has seen its shares rise by 74% year-to-date [1] - Mountain Valley Value Investments focuses on identifying undervalued companies with strong growth potential across various sectors [1] Group 2 - The investment philosophy of Mountain Valley Value Investments emphasizes long-term value and disciplined research [1] - The company aims to uncover opportunities that can deliver strong returns through rigorous analysis [1] - The commitment to highlighting risks that may impact investment theses is a key aspect of their approach [1]

Company Performance - New Gold (NGD) shares have increased by 23.9% over the past month and reached a 52-week high of $4.31, with a year-to-date gain of 71.4% compared to 5.9% for the Zacks Basic Materials sector and 45.5% for the Zacks Mining - Gold industry [1] - The company has consistently exceeded earnings expectations, reporting an EPS of $0.02 against a consensus estimate of $0.01 in its last earnings report [2] - For the current fiscal year, New Gold is projected to achieve earnings of $0.41 per share on revenues of $1.31 billion, reflecting a 105% increase in EPS and a 41.21% increase in revenues [3] Valuation Metrics - New Gold has a Value Score of B, a Growth Score of B, and a Momentum Score of C, resulting in a combined VGM Score of B [6] - The stock trades at 10.4X current fiscal year EPS estimates, below the peer industry average of 12.8X, and at 8.4X trailing cash flow compared to the peer group's average of 11X [6] Zacks Rank - New Gold holds a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), supported by favorable earnings estimate revisions from analysts, indicating potential for future growth [7] Industry Comparison - The Mining - Gold industry ranks in the top 6% of all industries, suggesting favorable conditions for both New Gold and its peers [10] - B2Gold Corp (BTG), a competitor, also has a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) and strong earnings projections, indicating a competitive landscape [8][9]

Industry Overview - Gold has gained approximately 26% year to date, currently trading near $3,030 per ounce, driven by geopolitical risks and a weaker U.S. dollar [1] - The Zacks Mining - Gold industry has increased by 39.1% year to date, outperforming the Zacks Basic Materials sector's 6.4% and the S&P 500's 0.7% [2] - Robust gold demand is anticipated to continue, with central banks expected to maintain a buying streak of over 1,000 tons [8] Demand and Supply Dynamics - Gold demand reached 1,206 tons in Q1 2025, the highest quarterly total since 2016, with central banks acquiring around 244 tons [4] - Investment demand surged 170% year over year to 552 tons, marking the strongest quarter since Q1 2022, driven largely by China [5] - Global gold ETFs saw inflows of 226.5 tons, with April marking the fifth consecutive monthly increase [6] Company Highlights Newmont - Newmont solidified its position as the world's largest gold producer after integrating Newcrest assets and is focusing on Tier 1 assets [10] - The company has a strong liquidity position and is pursuing several growth projects, including Tanami Expansion 2 and Ahafo North [11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Newmont's 2025 earnings indicates a year-over-year growth of 12.6% [12] Agnico Eagle Mines - Agnico Eagle maintains a strong liquidity position and is advancing several projects expected to enhance production and cash flows [13] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Agnico Eagle's 2025 earnings suggests a year-over-year growth of 42.2% [14] Barrick Mining - Barrick Mining is well-positioned to benefit from key growth projects, including Goldrush and Pueblo Viejo plant expansion [15] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Barrick Mining's 2025 earnings indicates a year-over-year growth of 34.7% [17] Kinross Gold - Kinross Gold has a strong production profile and is advancing key development projects, including Great Bear and Round Mountain Phase X [19] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Kinross Gold's 2025 earnings suggests a year-over-year growth of 52.2% [21] New Gold - New Gold consolidated its interest in the New Afton mine to 100%, projecting a 37% increase in gold production between 2024 and 2027 [22] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for New Gold's 2025 earnings indicates a year-over-year growth of 91.25% [24]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights New Gold (NGD) as a promising growth stock, supported by its favorable Growth Score and Zacks Rank, indicating strong potential for outperformance in the market [2][10]. Earnings Growth - New Gold has a historical EPS growth rate of 12.3%, but the projected EPS growth for this year is significantly higher at 91.2%, surpassing the industry average of 34.6% [4]. Cash Flow Growth - The year-over-year cash flow growth for New Gold stands at 41.6%, which is substantially above the industry average of 8.4%. The company's historical annualized cash flow growth rate over the past 3-5 years is 15.6%, compared to the industry average of 15.5% [5][6]. Earnings Estimate Revisions - The current-year earnings estimates for New Gold have been revised upward, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate increasing by 3.4% over the past month, indicating a positive trend in earnings estimate revisions [8][7]. Overall Positioning - New Gold has achieved a Growth Score of B and a Zacks Rank of 2 due to positive earnings estimate revisions, positioning it well for potential outperformance in the growth investment space [10].

Group 1 - Alluvial Gold Research provides detailed analysis on undervalued mining companies, focusing on those with upcoming catalysts that could enhance portfolio performance [1] - Subscribers receive access to current portfolios and real-time buy/sell alerts, indicating a proactive investment strategy [1] Group 2 - The article emphasizes the importance of position sizing in the volatile precious metals sector, recommending that investments in small-cap precious metals stocks should be limited to 5% or less of an investor's portfolio [2]

Company Performance - New Gold (NGD) shares have increased by 9.9% over the past month and reached a 52-week high of $3.98, with a year-to-date gain of 60.5% compared to 4.2% for the Zacks Basic Materials sector and 46.8% for the Zacks Mining - Gold industry [1] - The company has consistently exceeded earnings expectations, reporting an EPS of $0.02 against a consensus estimate of $0.01 in its last earnings report [2] - For the current fiscal year, New Gold is projected to achieve earnings of $0.39 per share on revenues of $1.24 billion, reflecting a 95% increase in EPS and a 33.59% increase in revenues [3] Valuation Metrics - New Gold has a Value Score of B, a Growth Score of B, and a Momentum Score of C, resulting in a VGM Score of A [6] - The stock trades at 10.3X current fiscal year EPS estimates, below the peer industry average of 14.1X, and at 7.8X trailing cash flow compared to the peer group's average of 10.9X [7] Zacks Rank - New Gold holds a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) due to rising earnings estimates, indicating potential for further price appreciation [8] Industry Comparison - The Mining - Gold industry is performing well, ranking in the top 18% of all industries, providing favorable conditions for both New Gold and its peer Agnico Eagle Mines Limited (AEM) [11] - AEM also has a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) and is expected to post earnings of $6.11 per share on revenues of $9.99 billion for the current fiscal year [10]