Over multiple decades, legendary investor Warren Buffett has helped produce incredible returns for conglomerate Berkshire Hathaway Inc BRK BRK, often times outperforming the S&P 500.With news that Buffett is stepping down as Berkshire CEO at the end of the year, here's a look at the top 10 stock holdings of the Berkshire Hathaway portfolio.Buffett Builds Berkshire Hathaway: Buffett has shaped Berkshire Hathaway from the early days of a textile maker into a conglomerate that owns companies like Duracell, Dai ...

Occidental Petroleum (OXY) is expected to report a year-over-year increase in its top and bottom lines when it reports first-quarter 2025 results on May 7, after market close. (See the Zacks Earnings Calendar to stay ahead of market-making news.)The Zacks Consensus Estimate for OXY’s first-quarter revenues is pegged at $7.15 billion, indicating an increase of 18.93% from the year-ago reported figure.The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings is pegged at 73 cents per share. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for O ...

西方石油(OXY.N)首席执行官：相信特朗普政府将为美国石油和天然气行业扫除障碍。 ...

Group 1 - The core message from Buffett's recent shareholder meeting emphasizes the potential devaluation of the US dollar and its impact on global asset prices, suggesting caution for high-valuation stocks in the A-share market [3] - Buffett's cash reserve has increased to $348 billion, indicating a strategy of waiting for investment opportunities over the next five years, which aligns with the current volatility in the A-share market [3] - A notable reduction in Buffett's stake in Apple by 13% reflects a strategy to maintain clarity during market exuberance, raising questions about the sustainability of recent gains in A-share technology stocks [3] Group 2 - Buffett's increasing investment in energy stocks, such as Occidental Petroleum and Chevron, suggests a strategy to hedge against inflation and geopolitical risks, indicating that traditional energy sectors may be undervalued compared to high-growth sectors [3] - Buffett expressed regret for not investing $100 billion in Japanese trading companies, highlighting the potential for high dividend yields in sectors like banking and insurance, which could be considered for long-term investment strategies in the A-share market [4] - Abel, Buffett's successor, noted the strong performance of Chinese stocks, indicating a potential internal strategy at Berkshire Hathaway to focus on the Chinese market, particularly in consumption and new energy sectors [4]

Core Viewpoint - Analysts forecast Occidental Petroleum (OXY) will report quarterly earnings of $0.73 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 12.3%, with anticipated revenues of $7.15 billion, an increase of 18.9% compared to the previous year [1]. Earnings Estimates - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 29.6% lower over the last 30 days, indicating a collective reevaluation by analysts [2]. - Changes in earnings estimates are crucial for predicting investor reactions, with empirical studies showing a strong relationship between earnings estimate revisions and short-term stock performance [3]. Revenue Forecasts - Analysts estimate 'Net sales - Oil and gas' at $5.71 billion, a year-over-year change of +16.3% [5]. - 'Net sales - Chemical' is forecasted to reach $1.24 billion, indicating a +4.5% change year-over-year [5]. - 'Net sales - Midstream & marketing' is expected to be $429.84 million, suggesting a significant change of +334.2% year-over-year [5]. Income and Revenue Breakdown - 'Interest, dividends and other income' is estimated at $38.00 million, reflecting a +5.6% change from the prior year [6]. - 'Revenue - Oil - United States' is projected to reach $3.92 billion, indicating a +17.1% year-over-year change [6]. - 'Revenue - NGL - United States' is expected to be $545.18 million, a +31.1% change from the previous year [7]. - 'Revenue - GAS - United States' is forecasted at $376.86 million, reflecting a substantial +101.5% year-over-year change [7]. - The average prediction for 'Revenue - Oil & Gas - United States' stands at $4.84 billion, indicating a +22.4% change from the prior year [7]. Production Estimates - Analysts project 'Worldwide Sales - Total Continuing Operations Production Per Day' to reach 1,395.28 million barrels of oil equivalent, compared to 1,172 million barrels of oil equivalent a year ago [8]. - 'Net Production Volumes Per Day By Commodity - Natural Gas - Total Worldwide' is expected to be 2,237.96 million cubic feet, up from 1,796 million cubic feet in the same quarter last year [9]. - 'Net Production Volumes Per Day By Commodity - Oil - Total Worldwide' is estimated at 706.54 million barrels of oil, compared to 593 million barrels in the same quarter of the previous year [10]. - The 'Average Realized Prices - NGLs - Total Worldwide' is projected to reach $24.09 per barrel of oil equivalent, up from $22.14 per barrel a year ago [10].

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In 2024, the company generated $11.7 billion in operating cash flow and $4.9 billion in free cash flow before working capital [6] - The company achieved a record year-end proved oil and gas reserves of 4.6 billion BOE, a 15% increase from 2023 [5] - The company paid approximately $800 million in combined dividends and approved a 22% dividend increase in early 2024, followed by an additional 9% increase early this year [6] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported record US oil production of 571,000 barrels per day from its Permian, Rockies, and Gulf of America assets [5] - Combined production from ongoing operations reached 1.3 million BOE per day, with significant contributions from both US and international assets [5] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company noted that ongoing negotiations and macroeconomic factors, including tariffs and geopolitical events, have impacted commodity prices and created volatility in financial markets [29][32] - The company is focused on managing its operations efficiently in any price environment, with a strategy to strengthen its balance sheet through deleveraging [30] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company closed a strategic acquisition of Crown Rock, enhancing its access to high-quality unconventional domestic oil assets [4] - The company is advancing major projects, including the commissioning of its first commercial-scale direct air capture facility, Stratos, expected to start in 2025 [4][7] - The company aims to integrate sustainability throughout its operations and has set emission reduction targets [36] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's strategic focus and operational performance, positioning it well to deliver long-term value despite near-term pressures from commodity prices [32] - The company is optimistic about the growth prospects for global oil demand beyond 2030, which is seen as positive for its operations [40] Other Important Information - The company achieved its best-ever safety performance record in 2024, reflecting a commitment to safety across all segments [6] - The board is committed to ongoing refreshment of its membership to align with the evolving needs of the company [19] Q&A Session Summary Question: Are there any plans for board refreshment? - The board has committed to ongoing refreshment, with almost half of the independent directors beginning their service within the past five years [19] Question: How does the executive compensation program align with pay for performance? - A substantial portion of named executive officer compensation is performance-based, with significant at-risk pay for executives [24] Question: What is the potential impact of tariffs and the macro environment on Oxy? - The company is focused on what it can control, with ongoing assessments of the impact of tariffs and geopolitical events on operations and financial performance [29] Question: How does Oxy approach diversity and inclusion? - Oxy maintains a culture of inclusion and belonging, which is essential for recruiting and retaining talented employees [33] Question: What are Oxy's sustainability efforts? - Oxy has implemented key emission reduction targets and has sustained zero routine flaring in its US operations [36] Question: What are the growth prospects for the different commodities produced? - Oxy is well-positioned with a diversified portfolio and expects growth in oil and gas operations, particularly in the Permian Basin [40]

Industry Overview - The oil and gas industry is crucial for the global economy, providing primary energy sources for various sectors including transportation and manufacturing [1] - Despite the shift towards renewable energy, oil and gas remain essential due to their high energy density and established infrastructure [1] Devon Energy Corporation (DVN) - Devon Energy is a leading independent oil and natural gas exploration and production company in the U.S., focusing on high-quality assets and strategic acquisitions to enhance production [2] - The company has been managing costs effectively by selling higher-cost assets and bringing lower-cost production assets online [2] - Devon's earnings estimates indicate a year-over-year decline of 5.81% for 2025, with a slight growth of 1.1% expected in 2026 [5] - Current dividend yield for Devon Energy is 3.07%, with 11 dividend increases in the past five years [20] - Devon Energy's debt to capital ratio is 36.35%, indicating a lower reliance on debt compared to its peers [14] - The company plans to invest between $3.8 billion and $4 billion in 2025, following a $3.64 billion investment in 2024 [18] Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) - Occidental Petroleum operates across upstream exploration, midstream logistics, and chemical manufacturing, focusing on strong hydrocarbon volumes [3] - The company's earnings estimates suggest a significant year-over-year decline of 26.01% for 2025, with a recovery of 19.42% expected in 2026 [9] - Current dividend yield for Occidental Petroleum is 2.38%, with five dividend increases in the past five years [20] - Occidental's debt to capital ratio stands at 42.01%, indicating a higher reliance on debt compared to Devon [14] - The company plans to invest between $7.4 billion and $7.6 billion in 2025, following over $7 billion in investments to strengthen operations [19] Comparative Analysis - Devon Energy has a higher return on equity (ROE) of 22.52% compared to Occidental's 16.33%, both exceeding the sector average of 15.44% [11] - Devon Energy is trading at a lower EV/EBITDA ratio of 3.76X compared to Occidental's 5.09X, while the sector average is 4.38X [15] - In the past three months, Devon Energy shares declined by 11.1%, while Occidental's shares fell by 15.8% [22] - Devon Energy's strategic focus on multi-basin domestic assets provides a competitive edge, helping to mitigate geopolitical and regulatory risks faced by Occidental [24][25]

Core Insights - Occidental Petroleum is diversifying its business beyond traditional oil and gas, focusing on carbon capture and chemical production [2][10] - The company is the largest driller in the Permian Basin, which is a significant asset in the energy sector [1] Group 1: Carbon Capture Initiatives - Occidental's 1PointFive initiative aims to operate 100 direct air capture (DAC) plants by 2035, targeting the removal of 500,000 tons of carbon annually [2][3] - Major carbon credit agreements have been established with Microsoft and Amazon, indicating strong market interest and potential revenue streams [2] Group 2: Chemical Division Performance - OxyChem, Occidental's chemical division, generated $270 million in Q4 2024 and $1.12 billion for the full year, showcasing its profitability [4] - The division produces essential chemicals, including caustic potash, chlorinated organics, sodium silicates, and calcium chloride, which are critical for various industries [5] Group 3: Future Growth and Upgrades - OxyChem is undergoing significant upgrades, including the modernization of the Battleground plant in Texas, expected to enhance margins and reduce emissions by mid-2026 [6][9] - These upgrades are projected to add approximately $300 million in annualized EBITDA starting in late 2026, indicating strong future cash flow potential [9] Group 4: Market Position and Analyst Sentiment - Occidental is positioned as the fourth-largest chloralkali producer and the second-largest merchant caustic seller globally, with significant cash flow sensitivity to price changes in chlorine and caustic soda [8] - Despite a current "Hold" rating from analysts, the company is seen as a blend of stability and future upside, making it a noteworthy investment option [10][11]

自特朗普上台以来，全球金融市场的风险显著增加，美股大幅波动，已成为今年以来表现最差的主要股 市。道琼斯工业平均指数（DJI.US）累跌5.71%，反映科技股表现的纳斯达克指数（IXIC.US）更累跌 9.98%，远逊于其他地区的股市。 重仓美股的巴菲特，在此之前，似乎已为全世界的投资者作出了风险提示——大幅减持股权投资，而囤 积现金渡过寒冬。 藉着股神;即将出席又一届投资者盛会——伯克希尔（BRK.B.US）之际，我们不妨来总结一下他的防御 之道，在当前大幅波动的市况中，能提供哪些启示。 善用金融工具 伯克希尔主要投资于美股，但是近年也开始对日股感兴趣。其投资日股的方式，不是简单地用美元兑换 成日元，而是直接发行日元债来融资。 这里有几个技术优势： 1）日元长期处于零利率，甚至负利率，伯克希尔发日元债的利息成本极低。 2）巴菲特投资的日本五大商社，业务遍布全球，以出口为主，可得益于日元汇价较低所带来的贸易优 势；另一方面，这五大商社均有较大的矿石和勘探业务，这些一次性的资源就是五大商社最大的价值优 势，即使日元汇价跌得再低，这些资产依然值钱。 3）以债养股：伯克希尔买入日股之后，日股大涨，而日元债的利息偏低， ...

Daniel Sereda is chief investment analyst at a family office whose investments span continents and diverse asset classes. This requires him to navigate through a plethora of information on a daily basis. His expertise is in filtering this wealth of data to extract the most critical ideas. He runs the investing group Beyond the Wall Investing in which he provides access to the same information that institutional market participants prioritize in their analysis. Learn more Now you can get access to the latest ...