For more, let's bring in Beimo head of healthc care research, Evan David Seagerman. Evan, great to have you with us. How do you think about this in terms of the impact on on other vaccines as Angelica had pointed out.Well, I think this general antivaccine rhetoric is not great for public health. Um, you know, as Angelica said, the COVID vaccine for kids is such a small portion of the current sales. I don't even model it out in my Fiser and Biontech models for what it's worth.um really the bulk of my sales a ...

Core Viewpoint - Shares of Pfizer and Moderna experienced declines of 3.9% and 7.4%, respectively, following reports that the Trump administration intends to link the deaths of 25 children to COVID vaccines, which may influence vaccine access and costs [1][8]. Group 1: Impact on Vaccine Companies - The planned presentation by Trump health officials could affect the perception and market performance of Pfizer and Moderna, as it may lead to changes in vaccine recommendations and insurance coverage [1][8]. - The report indicates that the deaths were sourced from the Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System (VAERS), which is known for containing unverified reports of vaccine side effects [2][3]. Group 2: Regulatory and Advisory Context - The upcoming meeting of the vaccine advisory panel is critical, as it will determine whether insurers are required to cover the vaccines and the willingness of pharmacies and doctors to administer them [8]. - Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has made significant changes to the vaccine panel, replacing its members with his own selections, which may influence future vaccine policy [8][13]. Group 3: Public Health Recommendations - The American Academy of Pediatrics continues to recommend annual COVID vaccinations for children aged 6 to 23 months and asserts that the vaccines are safe and effective [14]. - In contrast, Kennedy has directed health officials to cease recommending vaccinations for healthy children, suggesting that only high-risk individuals or those over 65 should receive them [9][13].

Core Viewpoint - Shares of Pfizer and Moderna declined following a report linking COVID-19 vaccines to the deaths of 25 children, which is set to be presented to a key vaccine advisory panel [1][2][3] Group 1: Stock Performance - Pfizer's stock fell more than 3% and Moderna's shares dropped over 7% after the report [3] - Novavax, another company involved in COVID-19 vaccine development, saw its stock slide more than 4% [3] Group 2: Regulatory Context - The report is part of a presentation to a vaccine panel that advises the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), which plays a crucial role in vaccine access and recommendations [2] - Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is moving to change U.S. vaccine policy, including dropping recommendations for healthy children and pregnant women [4] Group 3: Safety Monitoring - Moderna stated that the safety of its vaccine is rigorously monitored by the company, the FDA, and regulators in over 90 countries, with no new safety concerns identified in children or pregnant women [5] - The claim linking vaccines to deaths is based on unverified reports submitted to the federal Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System [6] Group 4: Scientific Perspective - The CDC emphasizes that only thorough investigations by scientists and public health officials can determine if a vaccine caused or contributed to reported side effects [7] - During a recent Senate hearing, Kennedy supported claims that mRNA vaccines pose a dangerous risk [7]

Group 1 - Pfizer's stock price experienced a decline of 3.6% on September 12 [1] - BioNTech's American Depositary Receipts (ADR) fell by 8.4% [1]

Core Viewpoint - Moderna, Pfizer, and BioNTech experienced a short-term decline in stock prices, reaching intraday lows, following reports linking the deaths of 25 children to COVID-19 vaccines by officials in the Trump administration [1] Group 1: Company Impact - Moderna (MRNA.US), Pfizer (PFE.US), and BioNTech SE (BNTX.US) stocks fell sharply in response to the news [1] - The report from the Washington Post has raised concerns regarding the safety of COVID-19 vaccines, potentially affecting public perception and demand for these vaccines [1] Group 2: Industry Implications - The linkage of child deaths to COVID-19 vaccines could lead to increased scrutiny and regulatory challenges for vaccine manufacturers [1] - This incident may impact the overall vaccination campaign and public trust in vaccines, which is critical for the ongoing efforts to combat the pandemic [1]

Core Viewpoint - Moderna, Pfizer, and BioNTech SE experienced a short-term decline, reaching intraday lows on September 12 [1]. Company Summary - Moderna's stock price fell alongside its competitors, indicating a potential market trend affecting these biotech firms [1]. - Pfizer and BioNTech SE also saw similar declines, suggesting a broader impact on the industry [1]. Industry Summary - The decline in stock prices for these companies may reflect investor sentiment and market conditions within the biotech sector, particularly related to vaccine developments and sales [1].

Core Insights - Pfizer has strengthened its R&D pipeline through mergers and acquisitions (M&A) and successful clinical trials over the past decade [1] - The company expects to have eight or more blockbuster oncology medicines in its portfolio by 2030 [4][10] Oncology Pipeline - Pfizer has advanced its oncology pipeline with several candidates in late-stage development, including vepdegestrant, atirmociclib, and sigvotatug vedotin [2][10] - Sasanlimab is under review for high-risk non-muscle invasive bladder cancer, and Pfizer has exclusive rights to develop SSGJ-707, a dual PD-1 and VEGF inhibitor [3] Recent Approvals and Growth - In 2023, Pfizer achieved a record with nine new medicine/vaccine approvals, and in 2024, it gained approval for a gene therapy for hemophilia [5][10] - New products are contributing to top-line growth, and the company maintains a robust R&D pipeline with potential blockbuster drugs [6] Competitive Landscape - Major competitors in the oncology space include AstraZeneca, Merck, Johnson & Johnson, and Bristol-Myers, each with significant oncology sales contributing to their overall revenues [8][9][11] Financial Performance - Pfizer's stock has declined 1.2% in 2023, while the industry has seen a 1.5% increase [12] - The company's shares are trading at a price/earnings ratio of 8.01, lower than the industry average of 14.75 and its own 5-year mean of 10.71 [13] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 earnings has increased from $3.05 to $3.13 per share, while the estimate for 2026 remains stable at $3.09 [14]

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. government, led by President Trump, is pressuring major pharmaceutical companies to lower drug prices in the U.S. by adhering to the "most-favored-nation" (MFN) pricing policy, which aims to align U.S. drug prices with the lowest prices in other developed countries [1][2][3] Group 1: Government Actions - President Trump has set a deadline of September 29 for pharmaceutical companies to comply with the MFN policy [2] - Multiple federal departments are being mobilized to support this initiative, indicating a coordinated effort to enforce the price reductions [2][3] Group 2: Pharmaceutical Companies Involved - Major pharmaceutical companies receiving Trump's letter include Eli Lilly (LLY.US), Pfizer (PFE.US), Merck (MRK.US), Gilead (GILD.US), Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY.US), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ.US), Regeneron (REGN.US), Amgen (AMGN.US), AbbVie (ABBV.US), and several European firms such as Merck KGaA, Sanofi (SNY.US), GlaxoSmithKline (GSK.US), AstraZeneca (AZN.US), Novo Nordisk (NVO.US), Roche (RHHBY.US), and Novartis (NVS.US) [1] Group 3: Implications of High Drug Prices - The long-term high drug prices in the U.S. create significant pressure on both public welfare and government finances, making the MFN policy a direct and quantifiable approach to reduce costs [3] - The lack of price regulation in the U.S. compared to other countries contributes to higher drug prices, as U.S. pharmaceutical companies can raise prices without negotiation [3]

Core Viewpoint - The Trump administration is preparing a new executive order targeting the Chinese pharmaceutical industry, particularly focusing on the licensing-out (BD) of innovative drugs, which may restrict U.S. pharmaceutical companies from importing new drugs from China and impose stricter reviews on drug licensing transactions and clinical data from China [1][3]. Group 1: Impact on the Market - Following the news, shares of innovative drug companies in both A-shares and H-shares fell, with companies like BeiGene and Rongchang Bio experiencing declines, while the Hang Seng Biotechnology Index saw a significant drop [1]. - Despite initial declines, the innovative drug sector showed signs of recovery, with a partial rebound observed on September 12 [1]. Group 2: Details of the Proposed Executive Order - The draft executive order includes four main points: limiting U.S. pharmaceutical companies from importing in-development drugs from China, requiring licensing transactions to undergo mandatory review by the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States (CFIUS), enhancing FDA scrutiny on projects using Chinese clinical data, and promoting domestic drug production in the U.S. [3][5]. - The proposed restrictions are seen as a response to the increasing trend of U.S. pharmaceutical companies acquiring Chinese innovative drug pipelines, which has raised concerns among some U.S. investors [3][4]. Group 3: Industry Reactions and Feasibility - Industry insiders express skepticism about the feasibility of the executive order due to the complex interests involved, suggesting that even if the order is implemented, it may only affect the most sensitive areas like cell therapy and human genetic resources, while allowing other transactions to proceed normally [2][6]. - The potential impact of the order on U.S. pharmaceutical companies is significant, as it could limit their access to innovative drugs and hinder their development capabilities [6][7]. Group 4: Economic Implications - The executive order is perceived as a move that could harm both U.S. and Chinese companies, as it may restrict BD transactions that are crucial for innovation and collaboration in the pharmaceutical sector [2][6]. - The financial stakes in BD transactions are substantial, with the potential for significant profits for multinational companies, as evidenced by BioNTech's recent acquisition and subsequent sale of a Chinese innovative drug [7].

Core Viewpoint - BridgeBio Pharma is competing with Pfizer and Alnylam Pharmaceuticals in the heart disease treatment market, claiming its drug is more effective and cost-efficient while accusing competitors of using "controversial strategies" [1][2]. Group 1: Competition Overview - The competition centers around the treatment of ATTR cardiomyopathy, which has significant market potential, attracting both large pharmaceutical companies and innovative startups [2]. - Pfizer's drug Vyndamax, approved in 2019, is projected to generate approximately $6.6 billion in revenue this year [2]. - BridgeBio's drug Attruby is expected to surpass $300 million in sales this year, with projections of reaching $2.1 billion by 2030 [3]. Group 2: Claims and Counterclaims - BridgeBio's CEO Neil Kumar criticized Pfizer's presentation of data as unfair, comparing it to contrasting the best performance of one runner with the worst of another [1][2]. - Pfizer responded to accusations regarding misleading information, claiming the video in question was a "misplay" and asserting that their data presentation is accurate [2][3]. Group 3: Regulatory and Market Dynamics - The FDA's Office of Prescription Drug Promotion (OPDP) oversees drug advertising, but it often only becomes aware of issues through complaints from competitors or doctors [5]. - There are concerns about OPDP's capacity to handle complaints due to significant staff reductions earlier this year [5]. Group 4: Research and Data Presentation - Kumar expressed dissatisfaction with a study published in the New England Journal of Medicine regarding Alnylam's drug Amvuttra, arguing that the data presented was adjusted in a misleading way [6]. - Alnylam's research head defended the adjustments made to the data, stating they were intended to clarify drug efficacy [7].