QUALCOMM TodayQCOMQUALCOMM$155.71 +2.57 (+1.68%) 52-Week Range$120.80▼$211.09Dividend Yield2.29%P/E Ratio15.86Price Target$186.96Add to WatchlistAs we head into the final week of June, Qualcomm Inc. NASDAQ: QCOM continues to test investors’ patience. Even with a fundamentally solid earnings report in April and a tidy 25% gains since then, the tech giant is failing to ignite the kind of sustained uptrend seen in bigger peers like NVIDIA Corp NASDAQ: NVDA or Broadcom Inc NASDAQ: AVGO. Shares have been drifti ...

根据集邦咨询的数据，2024年第四季度，台积电占据了半导体代工市场约三分之二的份额。 Counterpoint研究总监Brady Wang表示，随着芯片行业继续更加关注先进节点，鉴于其强大的技术实 力，预计台积电将保持强势地位。 Counterpoint Research表示，苹果(AAPL.US)、高通(QCOM.US)和联发科可能会在2026年下半年推出2nm 系统级芯片(SoC)，新处理器可能由台积电(TSM.US)制造。 根据Counterpoint的报告，随着各公司在设备中集成更多人工智能(AI)功能，3nm和2nm节点的采用正在 加速，部分归功于其更强的性能与能效。该机构还表示，苹果将成为这一技术升级的主要推动者，其今 年超过80%的产品线将采用3nm制程技术。 Counterpoint高级分析师Parv Sharma在一份声明中表示："当前对复杂设备端人工智能功能的需求，极大 地推动了向更小、更强大、更高效的节点转型。由于晶圆价格上涨和智能手机系统级芯片中半导体含量 的增加，系统级芯片的整体成本上升。3nm和2nm节点将迎来一个重要里程碑，预计到2026年，三分之 一的智能手机系统级芯片将采用这 ...

Qualcomm (NDAQ: QCOM ) is no longer just a smartphone chipmaker, it’s becoming a silent backbone of embedded intelligence. In early April 2025, the curtain seemed to be slowly falling on Qualcomm’s dominance in mobile connectivity. Apple finally announced its long-awaited proprietary 5GI'm a passionate investor from the Netherlands with 12 years of stock market experience. My articles usually contain a good overview of important investment criteria. A stock for my portfolio is of interest to me if the compa ...

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve has maintained the federal funds rate target range at 4.25% to 4.50% for the fourth consecutive time, raising questions about the impact on the U.S. stock market in the second half of the year [1] Group 1: Market Resilience and Economic Indicators - The market showed unexpected resilience following the tariff announcement in April, with the S&P 500 rebounding 15% from its April low, and the Nasdaq 100 recovering its year-to-date losses [4] - The unemployment rate dropped to 3.8% in June, the lowest in 2023, providing a "safety net" for consumer spending, as historical data indicates that when unemployment is below 4%, the S&P consumer sector outperforms the market by 4% annually [5] - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) for June was reported at 3.3%, slightly down from 3.5% in April, but the core PCE remains at 2.8%, indicating that inflation concerns persist [6] Group 2: Legislative Factors Impacting Corporate Earnings - The Senate has a 60% chance of passing a tax reduction bill, which could lower the corporate tax rate from 21% to 18%, potentially releasing $120 billion in cash flow based on last year's net profits [7] Group 3: Sector Allocation Strategies - Technology stocks are allocated 50% of the portfolio, with a focus on companies with actual AI computing capabilities, such as Nvidia and Microsoft, while avoiding speculative "AI concept stocks" [8] - Consumer stocks are allocated 30%, shifting focus from "essential" to "discretionary" spending, as evidenced by a 5.2% month-over-month growth in discretionary consumption in June [9] - Defense stocks are allocated 20%, capitalizing on government defense spending, particularly in satellite communication, which has shown historical outperformance following similar policy initiatives [10] Group 4: Risk Management Practices - A maximum position size of 15% per stock is established to mitigate risks, following a significant loss from a concentrated position in Apple during the tariff announcement [11] - Weekly "stress tests" are conducted to assess portfolio performance under extreme scenarios, leading to an increase in cash allocation from 5% to 10% [12] - Key policy dates are marked for monitoring, particularly regarding tariffs and tax votes, to stay informed on potential market-moving events [13]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the electronic industry, indicating a positive outlook compared to the broader market [7]. Core Insights - The ASIC market is experiencing strong demand, with Marvell projecting data center capital expenditures to reach $94 billion by 2028, a 25% increase from previous estimates [3]. - Custom computing, including XPU and its accessories, is the largest and fastest-growing segment, with an expected market size of approximately $40 billion and a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 47% [3]. - Major cloud providers are accelerating their ASIC chip development, with combined capital expenditures expected to exceed $320 billion by 2025, reflecting a 30% year-on-year growth [4]. - The demand for supporting components such as PCB, CCL, and optical modules is anticipated to see structural growth due to the ASIC chip demand [4]. Summary by Sections Industry Investment Rating - The electronic industry is rated as "Outperform" [7]. ASIC Market Demand - ASIC demand is robust, with Marvell forecasting a 25% increase in data center capital expenditures to $94 billion by 2028 [3]. - The custom computing segment, particularly XPU, is projected to grow at a CAGR of 47%, reaching a market size of $40 billion [3]. Cloud Providers' ASIC Development - Major cloud providers are rapidly advancing their ASIC projects, with significant capital expenditures expected to exceed $320 billion by 2025, marking a 30% increase year-on-year [4]. - Marvell is a key player in providing foundational computing support for major cloud companies [4]. Supporting Components Growth - The demand for components like PCB is expected to grow structurally due to the stringent requirements of ASIC chips [4]. - The global HDI PCB market is projected to exceed $14.34 billion by 2025, achieving an 8.7% year-on-year growth [4]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on opportunities within the ASIC chip-related hardware supply chain, including companies like Shenghong Technology, Huitian Technology, and others [5].

Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in mergers and acquisitions within the global semiconductor industry, involving major players like Qualcomm, AMD, Infineon, and NXP, indicates a strategic shift towards technology integration and market expansion, potentially leading to a transformation in the semiconductor landscape [1] Group 1: AI - AMD has made significant moves in the AI chip market by acquiring three AI companies, including Untether AI, Brium, and Enosemi, to enhance its competitive position against Nvidia [3][4][5] - The acquisition of Untether AI allows AMD to strengthen its capabilities in memory computing architecture, targeting efficiency in AI inference tasks [4][5] - Brium's acquisition is aimed at optimizing AI compiler technology, which is expected to improve AMD's MI300 series GPU performance by approximately 30% in AI tasks [6][7] - Enosemi's acquisition focuses on addressing interconnect bottlenecks in AI computing, enhancing AMD's product development capabilities in optical interconnect technology [8][9] Group 2: MCU and AI - The semiconductor industry is witnessing a shift towards edge AI computing, with companies like ST and NXP making strategic acquisitions to enhance their capabilities in this area [23][24] - ST's acquisition of Deeplite aims to optimize deep learning models for edge devices, addressing the challenges of power consumption and processing efficiency [24][25] - NXP's acquisition of Kinara is intended to provide a complete AI platform from TinyML to generative AI, catering to the growing demand in industrial and automotive markets [26] Group 3: Automotive Electronics - Qualcomm's acquisition of Autotalks enhances its V2X communication capabilities, crucial for the development of smart vehicles and improving road safety [32][33] - Infineon's acquisition of Marvell's automotive Ethernet business aims to solidify its position in the automotive MCU sector and support the transition to software-defined vehicles [34][35] - NXP's acquisition of TTTech Auto focuses on developing safety-critical systems for software-defined vehicles, marking a significant step towards comprehensive automotive solutions [36][38] Group 4: EDA and IP - Siemens has been actively acquiring EDA companies to strengthen its capabilities in the design and verification processes, with the recent acquisition of Excellicon enhancing its timing constraint management [44][45] - Cadence's acquisition of Arm's Artisan IP business is a strategic move to build a comprehensive IP portfolio, enabling end-to-end solutions in chip design [47][48] - The trend in the EDA sector reflects a shift from tool provision to ecosystem building, emphasizing the importance of integrated capabilities in semiconductor design [51]

Core Insights - The article discusses the author's investment portfolio and insights into various stocks, aiming to provide a contrasting view for other investors [1] Group 1 - The author holds long positions in shares of Qualcomm (QCOM), NVIDIA (NVDA), Broadcom (AVGO), and Marvell Technology (MRVL) through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives [2] - The analysis is intended for informational purposes and emphasizes the importance of conducting personal research before making investment decisions [3] - The article clarifies that past performance does not guarantee future results and that the views expressed may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole [4]

Core Insights - Qualcomm Technologies Inc. and Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. are leading competitors in the semiconductor industry, focusing on mobile, PC, and data center markets with an emphasis on AI and advanced chip technologies [1][3] - Qualcomm is transitioning from a mobile communications firm to a connected processor company, leveraging its 5G technology and expanding its product offerings in AI PCs [4][5] - Advanced Micro has evolved from a consumer-PC chip provider to an enterprise-focused company, enhancing its portfolio with acquisitions and new product lines aimed at the AI market [2][7] Qualcomm Analysis - Qualcomm is positioned for long-term revenue growth driven by strong 5G adoption and a diversified revenue stream, with recent product launches enhancing its market presence [4][5] - The company faces significant competition from Intel in the AI PC market and from Samsung and MediaTek in the smartphone sector, which may impact its near-term growth [6] - Qualcomm's stock trades at a lower forward P/E ratio of 12.95 compared to AMD's 26.72, indicating a more attractive valuation despite recent performance challenges [8][16] Advanced Micro Analysis - Advanced Micro is expanding its AI market presence with the MI300 series accelerators, which support large language model training and generative AI workloads [7] - The company's projected sales growth for 2025 is 23.1%, significantly outpacing Qualcomm's expected growth of 11.8% [8][12] - AMD's competitive position is bolstered by its 7-nanometer-based processors and strong enterprise adoption, although it faces challenges from Intel and NVIDIA in traditional computing and GPU markets [10][11] Comparative Performance - Over the past year, Qualcomm's stock has declined by 27.7%, while Advanced Micro has lost 21.5%, reflecting broader market challenges [14] - Advanced Micro has demonstrated consistent revenue and EPS growth, with long-term earnings growth expectations of 24.5%, compared to Qualcomm's 8.2% [18] - Both companies are ranked 3 (Hold) by Zacks, but Advanced Micro is viewed as a better investment option due to its stronger growth prospects despite higher valuation [17][18]

智通财经APP获悉，美国银行发表研报，将高通(QCOM.US)目标价从245美元下调至200美元，称智能 手机市场增长放缓将为这家半导体巨头带来短期挑战。不过，高通在物联网(IoT)、汽车和人工智能(AI) 等新兴领域的布局为其长期增长奠定了基础，因此仍维持其"买入"评级。 智能手机市场见顶，短期增长面临挑战 美银指出，高通的核心业务——智能手机芯片(占QCT部门营收的73%)正面临增长压力。该行认为，智 能手机市场已接近峰值，短期内缺乏显著增长催化剂。中国市场的产品发布和渠道填充效应减弱、三星 (SSNLF.US)市场份额增长放缓，以及苹果(AAPL.US)开始在非Pro机型中使用自研调制解调器，都将对 高通的智能手机业务产生不利影响。 美银预计，2025年至2027年，苹果对高通QCT手机业务的贡献将从13%降至6%，这一缺口可能难以填 补。此外，三星的增长也可能减速，尽管2025年三星业务增长显著，但高通在三星Galaxy系列中的份额 已达100%，未来增长空间有限。中国市场的风险也在上升，预计未来两年中国智能手机厂商在高通 QCT营收中的占比将从68%升至72%，三年后接近80%。华为可能恢复高端市场 ...

Tina Lu强调："5G以37%同比增速成为本季度增长最快的技术，主要得益于路由器、CPE设备以及中国市场的汽车板块。与此同时， 4G Cat 1 bis正成为大众物联网部署的实质标准，出货量同比增长35%，其核心优势在于性能与成本的绝佳平衡。该技术以实惠的价格、 广泛的网络支持以及精简的设计精简，颠覆资产追踪、计量等海量低复杂度应用场景的传统物联网策略。" 2025年Q1全球各厂商蜂窝物联网模组出货量份额 智通财经APP获悉，根据Counterpoint Research最新的《2025年Q1全球蜂窝物联网模组与芯片应用追踪报告》，2025年Q1全球蜂窝物联 网模组出货量延续涨势，同比增长16%。出货增长主要得益于印度、中国及拉美市场在智能电表电表、POS终端和资产资产追踪方面的 强劲需求。多数地区呈现稳健增长，其中印度以32%同比增速领先。北美及部分亚太市场因为需求疲软与宏观经济逆风出现下滑。5G 成为本季度增长最快的技术，同比增长37%，Cat 1 bis紧随其后保持强劲增势。 Counterpoint Research首席分析师Tina Lu在解读市场动态时指出："中国凭借5G与Cat 1 bis技 ...