华见早安之声 金银反弹， 银铜齐创历史新高，黄金盘中转涨、靠近纪录高位；白银本周二度创新高，期银盘中涨近4%，连涨四周；伦铜时隔一周又收创新高，一周涨超 3%；原油盘中涨超1%，连续三日反弹、仍连跌两周。 亚洲时段，A股和港股股指数集体收涨，创业板冲高回落涨0.49%，可控核聚变、大消费领涨，商业航天延续强势，恒科指涨超1%，生物医药股大涨。 要闻 国常会：要 靠前发力抓落实， 确保"十五五"开好局、起好步。 网信办与证监会联合出手， 依法处置造谣及非法荐股账号。 外交部回应字节与TikTok同投资者签署协议成立在美合资公司消息： 中方在TikTok问题上的立场是一贯明确的。 《互联网平台价格行为规则》印发：不得以低于成本的价格销售商品或者提供服务，扰乱市场竞争秩序。 市场概述 上周五，科技股力挺， 美股无惧周五 创纪录"三巫日"动荡继续走高，三大股指 两连阳，纳指两日均涨超1%，和标普全周惊险转涨，但道指一个月来首度 周跌；TikTok协议消息后， 甲骨文大涨6.6%，带动AI股和芯片股走高，芯片指数涨3%，AMD涨超6%， 英伟达涨近4%；特斯拉逆市回落，但全周涨近 5%。欧央行上调经济预期后，泛欧股指两 ...

Group 1 - ByteDance announced the release of the Doubao large model 1.8 and the Seedance 1.5 Pro video generation model, entering the "multimodal agent" field, with enterprise users able to access it via Volcano Engine API starting December 23 [2] - Changan Automobile received the first L3-level autonomous driving license in China, marking the country's advancement in commercializing autonomous driving [2] - Moore Threads unveiled its new GPU architecture "Huagang" at the MUSA Developer Conference, boasting a 50% increase in computing power density and a 10-fold efficiency improvement [3] Group 2 - SoftBank Group is working to finalize a $22.5 billion investment in OpenAI by year-end, potentially using its stake in Arm as collateral [3] - Guizhou Bailing faced penalties totaling 25.6 million yuan due to false records in multiple annual reports, with its stock being suspended and then marked as ST [5] - Alibaba's DingTalk initiated a secret project "D Plan" to enter the AI hardware market, speculated to launch smart hardware products [5] Group 3 - OpenAI improved its "compute margin" to 70% as of October, significantly up from 52% at the end of 2024 [8] - Nike projected a low single-digit revenue decline for Q3, reflecting weak consumer demand and increased market competition [8] - Tesla's CEO Elon Musk had a legal victory restoring his $55-56 billion compensation plan, which may impact the company's governance structure [8] Group 4 - Samsung Electronics launched the world's first 2nm mobile application processor Exynos 2600, with AI computing power increased by 113% compared to the previous generation [10] - Toyota launched the new Levin L and Corolla models, with prices starting at 129,800 yuan and 99,000 yuan respectively, while also expanding its hydrogen network in California [10] - Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group acquired a 20% stake in Shriram Finance, part of a broader trend of mergers and acquisitions in Japan [10] Group 5 - BMW Group opened a battery recycling center in Bavaria, capable of processing several tons annually, utilizing innovative direct recycling technology [14] - LVMH continued to invest in high-end beauty brands to strengthen its competitive position in the beauty market [14] - Swedish Stegra's green steel plant project has surpassed 50% installation progress of its electrolyzers, aiming for production in 2026 [14]

格隆汇12月21日｜据读卖新闻，日本政府将与私营部门合作启动一项大型项目，开发总价值约3万亿日 元（约合190亿美元）的国家人工智能系统。预计明年春季，软银集团及其他十余家日本企业将组建新 公司，开发日本最大的基础人工智能模型。新公司将由软银集团牵头组建，汇集约100名通过公司竞赛 选拔出的专家，包括软银工程师和Preferred Networks公司的开发人员。日本政府强调，人工智能直接影 响工业竞争力和国家安全，过度依赖国外技术会带来战略风险，这也是启动该项目的原因之一。 ...

Core Insights - ByteDance Ltd. is projected to achieve profits of approximately $50 billion by 2025, marking a record year for the company as it expands into e-commerce and new markets [1][11] - The company has already reported a net income of about $40 billion in the first three quarters of the year, surpassing its internal target for 2025 [2] Financial Performance - ByteDance's earnings are expected to approach those of US competitor Meta Platforms Inc., which is estimated to earn around $60 billion this year [2][12] - The company aims for a 20% increase in sales by 2025, targeting total revenue of $186 billion [6] - ByteDance's revenue growth has been robust, with the company experiencing over 20% growth in previous years [7] Market Position and Expansion - TikTok has rapidly expanded globally, including significant growth in the US market, despite scrutiny from the Biden administration regarding national security [5][12] - The platform is aggressively entering the e-commerce space, partnering with major tech companies like Amazon [5] Valuation and Investor Interest - ByteDance's valuation has seen significant increases, with estimates ranging from $400 billion to $480 billion, reflecting strong investor interest [9] - The company claims over 4 billion monthly active users across its apps, comparable to Meta's user base [8] Challenges and Future Outlook - Despite strong growth, ByteDance may face slower growth rates moving forward, particularly as its main revenue driver, Douyin, deals with declining consumption and advertising spending in China [10]

资产清算与融资渠道全开 为了确保OpenAI的这笔"豪赌"资金到位，软银正在多条战线上同时操作，利用其资产负债表上的现金、上市股票以及债务工具进行融资。 软银为兑现对OpenAI的300亿美元投资承诺，正激进筹资力争年底前完成剩余225亿美元注资。孙正义已清仓价值58亿美元的英伟达股份，减持 48亿美元T-Mobile股票，并计划抵押Arm股份获取115亿美元保证金贷款。 软银集团与其创始人孙正义正通过大规模资产处置与债务融资手段，激进筹措资金以履行对OpenAI的巨额投资承诺。 12月19日，据路透社报道，知情人士透露，软银正争分夺秒，力争在今年年底前完成对OpenAI尚未支付的225亿美元融资承诺。为了筹集所需 资金，孙正义已采取了一系列激进措施，包括 出售软银持有的全部价值58亿美元的AI芯片龙头英伟达股份 ，以及抛售价值48亿美元的T-Mobile US股份。 此外，据报道，知情人士指出，软银可能会动用其通过抵押所持芯片设计公司Arm Holdings股份所获得的未提取保证金贷款。 分析认为，这一融资冲刺不仅凸显了软银在AI领域的雄心，也为市场提供了一个观察全球顶级交易撮合者在万亿美元级AI基础设施竞 ...

Core Insights - SoftBank Group and its founder Masayoshi Son are aggressively raising funds to fulfill a massive investment commitment to OpenAI, totaling $22.5 billion, with a deadline set for the end of this year [1][5] - The urgency of this funding push highlights SoftBank's ambitions in the AI sector and reflects the significant capital pressures faced by top global dealmakers in the trillion-dollar AI infrastructure race [1][2] Fundraising Strategies - SoftBank is employing multiple strategies to secure the necessary funds, including liquidating assets, utilizing its balance sheet, and leveraging debt instruments [2] - Key asset disposals include the complete sale of its $5.8 billion stake in Nvidia and a $4.8 billion reduction in its holdings of T-Mobile US [1][2] Focus on OpenAI - Investment managers at SoftBank's Vision Fund have been instructed to shift their focus entirely to the OpenAI deal, indicating the strategic importance of this investment [3] - SoftBank plans to take its payment application PayPay public, with an anticipated IPO in the first quarter of next year, potentially raising over $20 billion [3] Leveraging Arm Holdings - A significant source of funding for SoftBank comes from margin loans secured against its holdings in Arm Holdings, with the loan capacity recently expanded by $6.5 billion, bringing the total available financing to $11.5 billion [4] - The tripling of Arm's stock price since its IPO provides SoftBank with substantial additional collateral without needing to sell this core asset [4] OpenAI's Valuation Surge - The urgency to complete the funding is driven by OpenAI's soaring valuation, which has reportedly increased to nearly $900 billion since SoftBank's initial investment agreement in April, which was based on a $300 billion valuation [5] - This new funding is critical for OpenAI as it faces rising costs associated with training and operating AI models, with CEO Sam Altman stating a goal of investing $1.4 trillion to build 30GW of computing capacity [6]

以下文章来源于日商日旅 ，作者KYOKU 日商日旅 . 前商业媒体人，管理者，早稻田大学硕士。 在一家40%外国人、员工来自15+国的日本旅游上市公司工 作。 基本能半月更。 原文标题：《日本与人形机器人：万事不俱备，爷另辟蹊路》，题图来自：AI生成 "机器人"是怎样一个产业？几乎是2020年以来除AI之外的重要热点。 日本被调侃"起个大早赶了晚集" ，中国有宇树、优必选、众擎，美国有特斯拉、Figure， 日本一家 能打的都没有。 不是号称创新发源地吗？不是全球最早创造出人形机器人的国家吗？1963年诞生的 机器人阿童木，不就满天飞了吗？ 但是咱们也不太敢盲目断定日本机器人真不行，因为 机器人里还有个类型叫"工业机器人"，日本貌 似很强。 笔者写这篇分析的原因是，某日读到徐静波老师写到"东京国际机器人展"，特意飞奔到现场参观了一 番。与笔者写过的 日本出不来Deepseek相似 ，日本AI的"行"与"不行"，日本机器人的"行"与"不 行"，还真是不分析不知道。 日本为何完全放弃人形机器人 2025年春晚扭着秧歌亮相+"世界人形机器人运动会"，使得"机器人"往往被误认为就是"人形机器 人"。 但是，海那边的日 ...

Group 1 - Apple responds to concerns about iPhone storage issues, stating that users should maintain at least 1GB of free space for optimal performance [3][4] - ByteDance is advancing partnerships with hardware manufacturers like Vivo and Lenovo to develop AI phones, aiming to pre-install AIGC plugins [4] - Alibaba's DingTalk has initiated a secret project called "D Plan," potentially targeting AI hardware, with speculation about launching a product similar to "Doubao phone" [4] Group 2 - Over 500 stores of Mooson Milk have closed, with the founder Zhao Bohua completely exiting the company [6] - SF Express has confirmed its exit from the Douyin e-commerce return service, stating that the contract naturally expired [6] - XREAL won a lawsuit against VITURE for patent infringement, leading to a ban on VITURE products in nine European countries [6] Group 3 - Li Auto has restructured its supply chain department, merging the "Parts Cluster" into the "Manufacturing" department, with nearly 1,000 employees affected [7] - Xiaomi has obtained an L3 level road testing license for its autonomous vehicles in Beijing [7] - Neta Auto is undergoing bankruptcy restructuring, with a management trustee selected to oversee the process [7] Group 4 - Apple's first foldable phone, iPhone Fold, is delayed in mass production until the second half of 2026, with potential supply shortages expected [9] - SoftBank is racing to fulfill its $22.5 billion funding commitment to OpenAI by the end of the year [9] - Elon Musk predicts the gradual extinction of traditional fuel vehicles, emphasizing the future competitiveness of smart vehicles [9] Group 5 - Ford is recalling over 270,000 electric and hybrid vehicles in the U.S. due to parking function issues that could lead to rollaway risks [9] - Geely's autonomous driving unit is undergoing personnel changes, with key scientists leaving the company [9] - ChatGPT mobile app user spending has surpassed $3 billion, with projections for significant growth in the coming years [9] Group 6 - Meta's former chief AI scientist Yann LeCun plans to raise €500 million for his new AI startup, aiming for a valuation of around €3 billion [12] - OpenAI is reportedly planning to raise up to $100 billion, potentially reaching a valuation of $830 billion [12] - Galaxy Z TriFold, Samsung's new foldable phone, has launched in China, starting at ¥19,999 [18]

知情人士称，软银还想要将部分滴滴出行的持股进行套现，后者正寻求在中国香港上市。软银愿景基金 的投资经理正被引导将工作重点转向OpenAI这笔交易。 孙正义已大幅放缓软银愿景基金的其他多数交易进程，目前任何超过5000万美元的交易都需要他本人的 明确批准。软银匆忙筹集资金的举动，揭示了一个现实：即便是全球顶尖的投资机构，在为耗资数千亿 美元的雄心勃勃的AI数据中心项目融资时，也面临着巨大压力。 截至发稿，软银不予置评。(作者/箫雨) 孙正义 凤凰网科技讯北京时间12月20日，据路透社报道，知情人士称，软银集团正争分夺秒，力争在年底前落 实对OpenAI高达225亿美元的投资承诺。该公司正通过多种方案筹集现金，其中包括出售部分投资。此 外，软银还可能动用尚未提取的保证金贷款，这些贷款以旗下芯片公司ARM的高价值持股作为抵押。 软银此次豪赌OpenAI，是孙正义迄今最大规模的投资之一。目前，这位日本亿万富翁正寻求提升公司 在AI竞赛中的地位。为了筹集资金，孙正义已经出售了软银所持有AI芯片领头羊英伟达的全部58亿美 元股份，抛售了48亿美元的T-Mobile美国股份，并进行了裁员。 ...

华见早安之声 市场概述 科技股力挺， 美股无惧周五 创纪录"三巫日"动荡继续走高，三大股指 两连阳，纳指两日均涨超1%，和标普全周惊险转涨，但道指一个月来首度周跌； TikTok协议消息后， 甲骨文大涨6.6%，带动AI股和芯片股走高，芯片指数涨3%，AMD涨超6%， 英伟达涨近4%；特斯拉逆市回落，但全周涨近5%。欧央 行上调经济预期后，泛欧股指两日连创历史新高。 日本央行加息后， 全球债市价格齐跌。10年期日债收益率1999年来首次升破2.0%；法国预算案谈判破裂，30年期法债收益率创2009年来新高；美联储"三把 手"称不急于降息， 美债收益率加速反弹。 美元指数三连涨至一周高位、扭转全周跌势； 日央行加息前景"审慎"， 日元盘中跌超1%至四周新低，创逾两月最差表现；离岸人民币暂别14个月高位，连 涨四周；加密货币反弹，比特币一度较日高涨近5%、重新逼近9万美元，以太坊盘中涨超7%。 金银反弹， 银铜齐创历史新高，黄金盘中转涨、靠近纪录高位；白银本周二度创新高，期银盘中涨近4%，连涨四周；伦铜时隔一周又收创新高，一周涨超 3%；原油盘中涨超1%，连续三日反弹、仍连跌两周。 亚洲时段，A股和港股股指数集体 ...