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Core Insights - Shell has made significant progress in Q1 2025, aligning with its long-term vision of delivering value with reduced emissions while ensuring consistent shareholder returns [1][2] - The company has met its financial targets for 2025 almost a year early, prompting the establishment of new financial targets while maintaining its carbon reduction ambitions [2] Financial Performance - Shell's Q1 results indicate strong performance, with a focus on disciplined growth and portfolio repositioning [1][2] - The completion of divestments in Singapore and Nigeria is part of the strategy to enhance financial targets and streamline operations [2] Strategic Moves - The acquisition of Pavilion Energy has been finalized, which is expected to strengthen Shell's market position [3]

Group 1: Market Performance - Dow futures rose by 0.41%, S&P 500 futures increased by 0.35%, and Nasdaq futures gained 0.14% [1] - Popular Chinese stocks mostly saw gains, with XPeng up over 6%, Alibaba rising more than 4%, and NIO, Li Auto, and JD.com all increasing over 3% [1] Group 2: Company Earnings and Forecasts - Apple reported Q2 revenue of $95.4 billion, exceeding analyst expectations of $94.66 billion, but faced a projected $900 million increase in costs due to tariffs, leading to a 2.78% drop in stock price [1] - Amazon's Q1 earnings surpassed expectations, but the company provided a weak outlook for Q2, estimating revenue between $13 billion and $17.5 billion, below the consensus of $17.64 billion, resulting in a 2.25% decline in stock price [1] - Shell's Q1 adjusted profit was $5.58 billion, exceeding the expected $5.09 billion, and announced a $3.5 billion stock buyback, leading to a 3.33% increase in stock price [2] - McDonald's reported a 3.6% decline in U.S. same-store sales, the largest drop since Q2 2020, which was worse than the anticipated 1.7% decline [2] - General Motors updated its financial guidance, citing potential tariff impacts of up to $5 billion, lowering its adjusted EBIT forecast to a range of $8.2 billion to $10 billion, down from $11 billion to $12 billion [2] Group 3: Banking Sector - ING reported a strong Q1 performance with a net profit of €1.46 billion, surpassing the market expectation of €1.4 billion, and announced a €2 billion stock buyback, resulting in a 4.67% increase in stock price [3]

The Shell gas station logo is displayed on February 13, 2025 in Austin, Texas.British oil giant Shell on Friday reported a sharp fall in first-quarter profit, following a period of weaker crude prices.Shell reported adjusted earnings of $5.58 billion for the first three months of the year, beating analyst expectations of $5.09 billion, according to an LSEG-compiled consensus. A separate forecast from analysts polled by Vara Research had expected Shell's first-quarter profit to come in at $4.96 billion.Shell ...

Core Insights - Shell reported strong financial results for Q1 2025, with adjusted earnings of $5.6 billion, reflecting robust performance across various business segments [5][3][11] - The company completed the acquisition of Pavilion Energy, enhancing its LNG business, and divested from the Nigeria onshore and Singapore Energy and Chemicals Park, optimizing its portfolio [1][5][4] - Shell announced a $3.5 billion share buyback program for the next three months, marking the 14th consecutive quarter of buybacks of at least $3 billion [2][5][6] Financial Performance - Adjusted Earnings for Q1 2025 were $5.6 billion, with adjusted EBITDA at $15.25 billion and cash flow from operations (CFFO) at $9.28 billion [3][5] - CFFO excluding working capital was $11.9 billion, with a working capital outflow of $2.7 billion [5][6] - The company maintained a resilient balance sheet with net debt of $41.5 billion and gearing of 19% [6][5] Segment Performance Integrated Gas - Adjusted earnings were $2.48 billion, with adjusted EBITDA of $4.74 billion [3] - LNG sales volumes increased to 16.5 million tonnes in Q1 2025, up from 15.5 million tonnes in Q4 2024 [8] Upstream - Adjusted earnings were $2.34 billion, with adjusted EBITDA of $7.39 billion [3] - Liquids production remained stable at 1,335 kboe/d, while gas production was slightly lower at 3,020 million scf/d [9] Marketing - Adjusted earnings were $0.9 billion, with marketing sales volumes at 2,674 kb/d [3][10] - Mobility sales volumes decreased to 1,964 kb/d, while lubricants sales increased to 87 kb/d [10] Chemicals & Products - Adjusted earnings were $0.45 billion, with refinery processing intake rising to 1,362 kb/d [3][14] - Global indicative refining margin improved to $6.2 per barrel [14] Renewables & Energy Solutions - Adjusted earnings were negative at $(0.042) billion, but external power sales remained stable at 76 TWh [3][15] - Renewables power generation capacity increased to 7.5 GW [15] Strategic Outlook - The company has a disciplined capital allocation strategy, with a cash capex outlook of $20-22 billion for 2025 [5] - Total shareholder distributions over the last four quarters accounted for 45% of CFFO, aligning with the target of 40-50% [5]

Core Insights - Shell plc reported a significant increase in income attributable to shareholders, reaching $4.78 billion in Q1 2025, compared to $928 million in Q4 2024 and $7.36 billion in Q1 2024, reflecting a 415% increase from the previous quarter [1] - Adjusted Earnings for Q1 2025 were $5.58 billion, a 52% increase from $3.66 billion in Q4 2024, while Adjusted EBITDA rose to $15.25 billion, a 7% increase from $14.28 billion in the previous quarter [1] - Cash flow from operating activities decreased by 29% to $9.28 billion compared to $13.16 billion in Q4 2024, primarily due to tax payments and working capital outflows [1][4] Financial Performance - Total revenue for Q1 2025 was $70.15 billion, an increase from $66.81 billion in Q4 2024 [71] - The company reported a basic earnings per share of $0.79, up from $0.15 in Q4 2024 [1] - Total debt at the end of Q1 2025 was $76.51 billion, with net debt increasing to $41.52 billion from $38.81 billion in Q4 2024, resulting in a gearing ratio of 18.7% [1][6] Segment Analysis Integrated Gas - Income for the Integrated Gas segment was $2.79 billion, up 60% from $1.74 billion in Q4 2024, driven by lower exploration well write-offs and higher product margins [18][21] - Adjusted Earnings for this segment increased to $2.48 billion, a 15% rise from $2.17 billion in the previous quarter [18] Upstream - The Upstream segment reported income of $2.08 billion, a 102% increase from $1.03 billion in Q4 2024, attributed to lower exploration well write-offs and favorable tax movements [27][29] - Adjusted Earnings rose to $2.34 billion, a 39% increase from $1.68 billion in Q4 2024 [27] Marketing - The Marketing segment's income was $814 million, a significant increase from $103 million in Q4 2024, driven by lower operating expenses and higher marketing margins [34][37] - Adjusted Earnings for this segment were $900 million, reflecting a 7% increase from $839 million in the previous quarter [34] Chemicals and Products - The Chemicals and Products segment reported a loss of $77 million, an improvement from a loss of $276 million in Q4 2024, driven by higher product margins [42][44] - Adjusted Earnings for this segment were $449 million, a substantial increase from a loss of $229 million in the previous quarter [42] Renewables and Energy Solutions - The Renewables and Energy Solutions segment reported a loss of $247 million, an improvement from a loss of $1.23 billion in Q4 2024, primarily due to higher trading and optimization margins [50][55] - Adjusted Earnings were negative at $42 million, compared to a loss of $311 million in the previous quarter [50] Shareholder Distributions - Total shareholder distributions in Q1 2025 amounted to $5.5 billion, including $3.3 billion in share repurchases and $2.2 billion in cash dividends [7] - The dividend declared for Q1 2025 was $0.3580 per share, consistent with the previous quarter [1][7] Outlook - For the full year 2025, Shell expects cash capital expenditure to be between $20 billion and $22 billion [64] - Integrated Gas production is projected to be approximately 890 - 950 thousand boe/d, while Upstream production is expected to be around 1,560 - 1,760 thousand boe/d [65][66]

Core Insights - Shell plc reported a significant decrease in income attributable to shareholders in Q1 2025, amounting to $4.78 billion, down from $7.36 billion in Q1 2024, reflecting a 35% decline [1][3] - Adjusted earnings for Q1 2025 were $5.58 billion, a 52% increase from $3.66 billion in Q4 2024, driven by lower exploration well write-offs and higher product margins [1][2] - The company experienced a cash flow from operating activities of $9.28 billion, a decrease of 29% compared to Q4 2024 [1][4] Financial Performance - Total revenue for Q1 2025 was $69.23 billion, an increase from $66.28 billion in Q4 2024 [73] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q1 2025 was $15.25 billion, up 7% from $14.28 billion in Q4 2024 [1] - Free cash flow was reported at $5.32 billion, reflecting a decrease from $8.73 billion in Q4 2024 [1] Segment Analysis Integrated Gas - Income for the Integrated Gas segment was $2.79 billion in Q1 2025, up from $1.74 billion in Q4 2024 [19] - Adjusted earnings increased to $2.48 billion, a 15% rise from $2.17 billion in Q4 2024 [19] - LNG sales volumes reached 16.49 million tonnes, a 6% increase compared to Q4 2024 [19] Upstream - The Upstream segment reported income of $2.08 billion, a significant increase from $1.03 billion in Q4 2024 [27] - Adjusted earnings rose to $2.34 billion, a 39% increase from $1.68 billion in Q4 2024 [27] - Total production available for sale was 1.86 million boe/d, slightly down from 1.86 million boe/d in Q4 2024 [27] Marketing - The Marketing segment saw income rise to $814 million, a substantial increase from $103 million in Q4 2024 [33] - Adjusted earnings were $900 million, reflecting a 7% increase from $839 million in Q4 2024 [33] - Cash flow from operating activities was $1.91 billion, up from $1.36 billion in Q4 2024 [33] Chemicals and Products - The Chemicals and Products segment reported a loss of $77 million, an improvement from a loss of $276 million in Q4 2024 [42] - Adjusted earnings for the segment were $449 million, a significant increase from a loss of $229 million in Q4 2024 [42] - Cash flow from operating activities was $130 million, down from $2.03 billion in Q4 2024 [42] Renewables and Energy Solutions - The Renewables and Energy Solutions segment reported a loss of $247 million, an improvement from a loss of $1.23 billion in Q4 2024 [52] - Adjusted earnings were negative at $42 million, an improvement from a loss of $311 million in Q4 2024 [52] - Cash flow from operating activities was $367 million, a decrease from $850 million in Q4 2024 [52] Shareholder Distributions - Total shareholder distributions in Q1 2025 amounted to $5.5 billion, including $3.3 billion in share repurchases and $2.2 billion in cash dividends [8] - The dividend declared for Q1 2025 was $0.3580 per share, consistent with the previous quarter [1][8] Outlook - The company expects cash capital expenditure for the full year 2025 to be between $20 billion and $22 billion [66] - Integrated Gas production is projected to be approximately 890 - 950 thousand boe/d in Q2 2025 [67] - Upstream production is expected to be around 1,560 - 1,760 thousand boe/d, reflecting the SPDC divestment [68]

Shell plc (SHEL) is set to release first-quarter results on May 2. The current Zacks Consensus Estimate for the to-be-reported quarter is earnings of $1.59 per share on revenues of $79.9 billion.Let’s delve into the factors that might have influenced the integrated energy behemoth’s results in the March quarter. But it’s worth taking a look at SHEL’s previous-quarter performance first.Highlights of Q4 Earnings & Surprise HistoryIn the last reported quarter, Europe’s largest oil company missed the consensus ...

Group 1: ExxonMobil's Low-Carbon Strategy - ExxonMobil is set to surpass European rivals Shell and BP in low-carbon energy investments, indicating a significant shift in the clean energy race among major oil companies [1] - The company plans to invest up to $30 billion in low-emission projects from 2025 to 2030, with approximately 65% of this budget aimed at helping third-party customers reduce emissions [2] - ExxonMobil's Low Carbon Solutions business is focusing on carbon capture, low-carbon hydrogen, and lithium, aligning with its engineering and process expertise [2] Group 2: Competitors' Strategies - Shell and BP are scaling back their clean energy investments, with Shell limiting its capital in low-carbon businesses to below 10% of total capital employed [4] - BP announced an increase in upstream oil and gas investment to $10 billion annually while cutting clean energy spending by over $5 billion [5] - Equinor plans to nearly halve its renewables and low-carbon investments to $5 billion, citing inflation and regulatory uncertainty [5] Group 3: Market Position and Future Outlook - ExxonMobil's clean energy ambitions are heavily reliant on the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) of 2022, which provides significant incentives for carbon capture and hydrogen projects [6] - Currently, ExxonMobil allocates 17% of its capital expenditures to low-carbon investments, similar to Shell, while TotalEnergies leads with 29% [7] - As European counterparts retreat from climate-focused investments, ExxonMobil is positioned to take the lead in the next phase of energy evolution [8]

Core Viewpoint - The five major oil companies are facing significant financial challenges due to prolonged low international oil prices, geopolitical conflicts, and pressures from energy transition, leading to a cumulative profit decline exceeding $90 billion over three years [1][3]. Financial Performance - The profits of the five major oil companies peaked at approximately $280 billion in 2022 but fell by 23% to $215 billion in 2023, with a further projected decline of 15% to $183 billion in 2024 [3]. - The Brent crude oil price is expected to drop to an average of $81 per barrel in 2024, with predictions of further declines in 2025 as global oil supply increases [3][7]. - In Q1 2025, profits are anticipated to decrease by 18%, with Brent crude prices dipping below $60 per barrel, representing a decline of over 25% compared to the previous year [3]. Dividend and Share Buyback Concerns - Investors are increasingly worried about the sustainability of high dividends and share buybacks, with warnings that companies like Shell and BP may need to cut dividends if oil prices remain below $60 per barrel [4]. - Shell's share buyback program for Q1 2025 has been reduced by 30%, and BP has suspended its buyback plans for the remainder of 2025 [4]. Credit Rating Risks - Moody's has placed Chevron and TotalEnergies on a "negative watch" list due to concerns that low oil prices may lead to increased debt levels [5]. Company Strategies - In response to financial pressures, companies are implementing cost-cutting measures, restructuring, and transitioning to renewable energy [6]. - ExxonMobil plans to reduce operating costs by 12% by 2025, while TotalEnergies is laying off 5% of its workforce [6]. - Shell aims to increase its renewable energy capacity target from 120 GW to 200 GW by 2030, and BP has partnered with Microsoft to supply 100% renewable energy to its data centers over the next decade [6]. Industry Outlook - The oil industry is expected to face ongoing challenges in the short term, with low oil prices likely becoming the norm and demand growth stagnating [7]. - Morgan Stanley predicts that Brent crude prices may stabilize between $65 and $70 per barrel in the second half of 2025, a 15% decrease from 2024 [7]. - Despite short-term pressures, some analysts remain optimistic about the potential for oil companies to transition into renewable energy and carbon capture sectors, which could provide new growth opportunities [7].