Core Viewpoint - Super Micro Computer (SMCI) has lowered its preliminary guidance for third-quarter revenue and adjusted EPS, leading to a significant decline in stock price and analysts revising their price targets [1][2]. Financial Guidance - The company now expects third-quarter revenue to be between $4.5 billion and $4.6 billion, a decrease from the previous guidance of $5 billion to $6 billion [1]. - Adjusted EPS is now projected to be between $0.29 and $0.30, down from the earlier guidance of $0.46 to $0.62 [2]. Margin Analysis - The adjusted gross margin for the third quarter is expected to be 220 basis points lower than that of the second quarter, primarily due to higher inventory reserves from older-generation products and expedited costs for new products [2]. - Margin issues related to Hopper-based products are anticipated to be short-lived, while the inventory write-down impact is expected to be temporary [4]. Analyst Insights - JP Morgan analyst Samik Chatterjee maintains a Neutral rating and has updated his model based on the new guidance, projecting third-quarter revenue of $4.55 billion and adjusted EPS of $0.30 [3][5]. - Chatterjee does not believe the revenue miss indicates an industry-wide demand slowdown but is more related to specific customer decisions [3]. Investor Sentiment - The outcome for the fiscal third quarter has raised concerns about the company's credibility with investors regarding guidance practices, leading to increased scrutiny on future revenue and margin forecasts [5].

In this video, I will talk about the recent updates regarding Super Micro Computer (SMCI -15.44%). Watch the short video to learn more, consider subscribing, and click the special offer link below.*Stock prices used were from the trading day of April 29, 2025. The video was published on April 29, 2025. ...

About this content About Emily Jarvie Emily began her career as a political journalist for Australian Community Media in Hobart, Tasmania. After she relocated to Toronto, Canada, she reported on business, legal, and scientific developments in the emerging psychedelics sector before joining Proactive in 2022. She brings a strong journalism background with her work featured in newspapers, magazines, and digital publications across Australia, Europe, and North America, including The Examiner, The Advocate, ...

Core Insights - JR Research is recognized as a top analyst in technology, software, and internet sectors, focusing on growth and GARP strategies [1] - The investment approach emphasizes identifying attractive risk/reward opportunities with robust price action to generate alpha above the S&P 500 [1][2] - The investment group Ultimate Growth Investing specializes in high-potential opportunities across various sectors with a focus on strong growth potential and contrarian plays [3] Investment Strategy - The strategy combines sharp price action analysis with fundamental investing, avoiding overhyped stocks while targeting battered stocks with recovery potential [2] - The investment outlook is typically 18 to 24 months for the thesis to materialize, aiming for robust fundamentals and attractive valuations [3] Target Audience - The group is designed for investors looking to capitalize on growth stocks with strong fundamentals, buying momentum, and turnaround plays [3]

Group 1 - Super Micro Computer Inc (NASDAQ:SMCI) stock has decreased by 16.4%, trading at $30.11, following a reduction in fiscal third-quarter profit and revenue guidance significantly below analysts' expectations, with customers postponing orders leading to a delay of up to $1.4 billion in sales [1] - J.P. Morgan Securities has lowered its price target for SMCI from $39 to $36, with potential for further downward revisions as the current 12-month consensus target price of $48.62 represents a 62.3% premium to current levels [2] - The stock is testing support at the $30 level and is on track for its worst day since November, with the $40 region acting as a ceiling since late February, contributing to a 65.2% year-over-year deficit [3] Group 2 - Today's options activity shows 135,000 calls and 107,000 puts traded, which is triple the intraday average volume, with the most active being the weekly 5/2 30-strike put where new positions are being opened [4] - Calls have been more popular than usual, indicated by a 10-day call/put volume ratio of 2.61 at major exchanges, ranking in the 96th percentile of its annual range [5]

Here's our initial take on Super Micro's preliminary results.Key MetricsMetricQ3 2024Q3 2025Changevs. ExpectationsRevenue$3.85 billion$4.5 billion to $4.6 billion+18%MissedGAAP earnings per share$0.66$0.16 to $0.17-75%n/aNon-GAAP earnings per share$0.67$0.29 to $0.31-55%MissedSales and Profits TumbleSuper Micro Computer (SMCI -16.94%) released preliminary results for the third quarter of fiscal 2025 on Tuesday afternoon, disclosing that it would fall well short of its previous guidance. The company now expe ...

整理 | 美股研究社 在这个快速变化的时代，人工智能技术正以前所未有的速度发展，带来了广泛的机会 。《AI日报 》致力于挖掘和分析最新的AI概念股公司和市场趋势，为您提供深度的行业 洞察和价值 分析。 A I 快 报 1.4月30日，三六零董事长周鸿祎在2024年度沪市主板人工智能专题集体业绩说明会上表示， 随 着DeepSeek、阿里千问等推理大模型成熟，成本和能力不是问题，另外，智能体将帮助交付产 品，MCP也将有助于解决AI工具不足的情况，今年AI杀手级应用将有望出现。 2.今天，小米开源首个为推理（Reasoning）而生的大模型「Xiaomi MiMo」，联动预训练到 后训练，全面提升推理能力。 在数学推理（AIME 24-25）和 代码竞赛（LiveCodeBench v5） 公开测评集上，MiMo 仅用 7B 的参数规模，超越了 OpenAI 的闭源推理模型 o1-mini 和阿里 Qwen 更大规模的开源推理模型 QwQ-32B-Preview。 3.报道：Altman等AI高管们将出席美国参议院听证会。 OpenAI的CEO Sam Altman、AMD的 CEP Lisa Su、CoreW ...

作者 | Henrik Alex 编译 | 华尔街大事件 大约三个月前，在 Super Micro（NASDAQ： SMCI ） 提供的 2025 财年第三季度业绩指引远低于预期并大幅下调全年预测后，分析师 重申了 对超微电脑股票的 " 卖出"评级。 近几个月来，对贸易紧张局势升级和人工智能图形芯片新出口限制 的影响的担忧 给 Super Micro的股价带来了压力。 此外，该公司还面临着来自戴尔科技和惠普企业等行业领导者的激烈竞争，这些公司最近也受到了审查： 周二收盘后，该公司 发布了 令人失望的第三季度初步业绩： | | Original | Guidance | Updated | Preliminary | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | Consensus | | Consensus | Results | | Net Sales | 5.95 | 5.0-6.0 | 5.41 | 4.5-4.6 | | Non-GAAP Gross Margin | n/a | n/a | n/a | 9.7% | | Non-GAAP EPS (S) | 0.66 | 0 ...

Are Supermicro's preliminary results a warning for AI stock investors?In today's video, I discuss Super Micro Computer (SMCI -3.34%) and whether its preliminary results serve as a warning for artificial intelligence (AI) stock investors. To learn more, check out the short video, consider subscribing, and click the special offer link below.*Stock prices used were the after-market prices of April 29, 2025. The video was published on April 29, 2025. ...

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