盘前市场动向 1. 1月28日(周三)美股盘前，美股三大股指期货齐涨。截至发稿，道指期货涨0.04%，标普500指数期货涨0.37%，纳指期货涨 0.95%。 | = US 30 | 49,020.90 | 49,079.60 | 48,972.10 | +17.50 | +0.04% | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | = US 500 | 7,004.30 | 7.014.80 | 6,983.30 | +25.70 | +0.37% | | 트 US Tech 100 | 26,185.00 | 26,224.70 | 26,003.30 | +245.30 | +0.95% | 2. 截至发稿，德国DAX指数跌0.10%，英国富时100指数跌0.44%，法国CAC40指数跌0.96%，欧洲斯托克50指数涨0.03%。 | 德国DAX30 | 24,882.14 | 24,929.93 | 24,795.48 | -26.09 | -0.10% | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 英国富时100 | 10,1 ...

图源 特斯拉官方账号 汽车业内对L3的态度似乎走向了两个极端。 一个极端是短暂过渡、推广延后或直接"跳过"。2025年底，小鹏一反年初时的规划，创始人何小鹏在体验特斯拉FSD V14.2后，发文称"在2026年，无论美 国，还是中国，下一代真正的，全自动驾驶会真正到来，直接从L2到L4（L3已经被跳过）"；今年1月，德国《商报》报道称梅赛德斯-奔驰暂时搁置此前 大力推进的L3级自动驾驶系统推广计划，即将发布的改款豪华轿车S级也将不再提供L3级自动驾驶功能；同月的奇瑞AI之夜上，L4成为自动驾驶部分的主 角；百度、地平线等相关人士也曾公开表示L3只是"短暂过渡"。 另一端则是加速落地。2025年12月，工信部向长安深蓝SL03、北汽极狐阿尔法S的两款L3车型发放了准入许可，这也是国内首批发放的L3级高速公路自动 驾驶车辆专用号牌。上汽、一汽、比亚迪、鸿蒙智行、理想等多家车企表示其已获得规定区域的L3测试牌照，为获得准入做准备。其中，比亚迪宣布目 前已顺利完成超过15万公里的L3级自动驾驶实际道路验证，鸿蒙智行已经完成了超过2万公里的L3实际道路验证、6亿公里的高速L3仿真验证，已经"箭在 弦上"。 一方是"跳过 ...

但斌美股持仓最新出炉！ 私募排排网据美国证券交易委员会（SEC）统计称，截至2025年末，东方港湾旗下海外基金在美股市场共持有10只股票，持仓总市值约为 13.16亿美元（约合人民币91亿元），较三季度末的12.92亿美元略有增长。从调仓动作来看，东方港湾2025年四季度清仓了包括Coinbase、奈 飞、博通、台积电在内的多只股票，同时大手笔加仓谷歌、纳斯达克指数等，持仓进一步集中于科技板块巨头，第一大重仓股也由英伟达变为 谷歌。 多位业内人士称，2026年科技仍将是全球资本市场的重要投资主线，尤其是AI相关且逐步兑现业绩的标的值得关注。 第一大重仓股变更 同时，东方港湾旗下海外基金2025年四季度大手笔加仓了TQQQ（三倍做多纳斯达克100ETF）和GGLL（二倍做多谷歌ETF）。 截至2025年末，东方港湾旗下海外基金持仓进一步聚焦科技，除谷歌和英伟达外，微软、苹果、Meta、特斯拉和亚马逊均位列其中，显示出 对美股科技龙头股的高度关注。 SEC官网披露的信息显示，截至2025年末，东方港湾旗下海外基金共持有10只美股标的，前五大重仓股分别为谷歌、英伟达、TQQQ（三倍做 多纳斯达克100ETF）、FN ...

汽车和汽车零部件行业周报 20260125 特斯拉计划 2027 年销售机器人 关注机器人板块 glmszqdatemark 长安汽车与美的集团签署全面战略合作协议，深化"人车家"智慧生态合作。1 月 21 日，长安汽车与美的集团签署全面战略合作协议，聚焦"人·车·家"智慧生态 融合。双方将实现"车控家"，用户可语音远程控制 20 类美的智能家电，一键开 启场景模式；开发"家控车"，用户可通过美的设备查询车辆状态、远程控车， 预计缩短出行准备时间约 40%。此外，美的旗下威灵汽车部件将为长安新能源提 供热管理系统、底盘执行系统等核心零部件，其 800V SiC 电动压缩机已量产适 配。双方还将在智能制造升级上协同，推进 AI 智能体、工业机器人等应用，提升 生产效率与定制化能力，推动汽车从代步工具向智慧生活枢纽转型。 投资建议： 乘用车：推荐【吉利汽车、小鹏汽车、比亚迪】，建议关注【江淮汽车】。 零部件： 1）智能化：推荐智能驾驶-【伯特利、地平线机器人、科博达】，智能 座舱-【继峰股份】；2）新势力产业链：推荐 H 链-【星宇股份、沪光股份】；推 荐 T 链-【拓普集团、新泉股份、双环传动】；3）出海链：推 ...

零部件： 1）智能化：推荐智能驾驶-【伯特利、地平线机器人、科博达】，智能座舱-【继峰股份】； 2）新势力产业链：推荐H 链-【星宇股份、沪光股份】；推荐T 链-【拓普集团、新泉股份、双环传 动】；3）出海链：推荐【爱柯迪、中鼎股份】。 机器人：推荐汽配机器人标的【拓普集团、新泉股份、伯特利、银轮股份、均胜电子、沪光股份、豪能 股份、爱柯迪、双环传动、隆盛科技】，汽车机器人主机厂【小鹏汽车】。 摩托车：推荐中大排量龙头车企【春风动力、隆鑫通用】。 轮胎：推荐【赛轮轮胎、森麒麟】。 本周行情：汽车板块本周表现优于市场。汽车板块本周表现优于市场。本周（1 月19 日-1 月25 日）A 股汽车板块上涨2.6%，在申万子行业中排名第14 位，表现优于沪深300（-0.6pct）。细分板块中，汽车 服务、商用载货车、汽车零部件、摩托车及其他、商用载客车分别上涨6.9%、4.8%、4.0%、1.4%、 0.7%，乘用车-1.4%。 本周观点：本月建议关注核心组合【吉利汽车、小鹏汽车、比亚迪、伯特利、拓普集团、新泉股份、春 风动力】。 特斯拉计划2027 年面向公众销售机器人，关注机器人板块。智通财经1 月22 日报道， ...

Electrified vehicles accounted for a bigger market share of the European auto sector than their gasoline counterparts.Gasoline Registrations DropGasoline registrations fell in the market towards the end of the year by 18.7% in 2025 in the EU, according to data released by the European Automobile Manufacturers' Association (ACEA) on Tuesday. The market share for Gas-powered vehicles fell to 26.6% from 33.3% a year earlier.On the other hand, Hybrid Electric Vehicles (HEVs) accounted for 34.5%, while Battery E ...

Market Overview - U.S. stock futures rose on Wednesday following a mixed close on Tuesday, with major benchmark indices showing higher futures [1] - The CME Group's FedWatch tool indicates a 97.2% likelihood of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in January [2] - The 10-year Treasury bond yielded 4.24%, while the two-year bond was at 3.57% [2] Index Performance - Dow Jones increased by 0.04%, S&P 500 by 0.30%, Nasdaq 100 by 0.74%, and Russell 2000 by 0.40% in premarket trading [2] - The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY) was up 0.33% at $697.77, and Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (NASDAQ:QQQ) advanced 0.77% to $635.96 [2] Stocks in Focus - Starbucks Corp. (NASDAQ:SBUX) was down 0.76% in premarket, projected to post quarterly earnings of $0.59 per share on revenue of $9.73 billion [4] - Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ:MSFT) rose 0.087% ahead of earnings expected to be $3.97 per share on revenue of $80.27 billion [4] - Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) advanced 0.23%, projected to post quarterly earnings of $0.45 per share on revenue of $24.78 billion [4] - Seagate Technology Holdings PLC (NASDAQ:STX) jumped 10.02% after reporting better-than-expected revenue and earnings, along with strong guidance [4] Economic Insights - Jeffrey Roach, Chief Economist at LPL Financial, forecasts a resilient U.S. economy in 2026, with real economic growth projected at 2.5% year-over-year and nominal growth surpassing 5% [8] - Roach emphasizes that productivity growth, particularly from early AI adoption, will support economic expansion without reigniting inflation [8] - His team maintains a "tactical neutral stance on equities," favoring large-cap growth stocks and the communication services sector [9] Upcoming Economic Data - The FOMC will announce its interest-rate decision at 2:00 p.m., followed by a press conference from Fed Chair Powell at 2:30 p.m. ET [10] Commodities and Global Markets - Crude oil futures were down 0.22% to around $62.25 per barrel, while Gold Spot rose 1.75% to approximately $5,272.90 per ounce [11] - Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) was trading 1.52% higher at $89,223.76 per coin [13]

TrendForce集邦咨询指出，要跨越续航五至八小时的门槛，可采取"换电策略"，如Agility Robotics(敏捷机器人)的Digit、Apptronik的Apollo通过热插拔技 术，换电池时无须重启，以实现理论上的24小时不间断工作。另一方式是通过高能量密度电池技术提升电池容量，如Xpeng(小鹏) IRON、GAC GoMate、 Engineai T800等机器人选择搭载固态电池，续航大幅提升至四小时以上。 目前人形机器人电池产品的开发，尚面临两大挑战：第一，由于关节设计、构型选择、AI边缘算力等机器人的核心技术尚在快速迭代，电池的定制化开 发面临较大不确定性，如电池的安装空间、功耗需求皆会受机器人不同的技术构型影响。第二，由于人形机器人尚在商用化初期，产业的首要目标是寻找 可大规模商用化的场景，续航力改善属次要任务，因此，尚无法刺激相关电池技术达成关键突破。 尽管如此，人形机器人对高能量密度、高倍率放电、高安全型电池的需求，正好可作为固态电池的"试验场"，以发挥其能量密度优势。随着固态电池技术 突破与成本下降，将有助人形机器人打破动力瓶颈。 TrendForce集邦咨询预计，2026年全球人 ...

Core Insights - Tesla is facing challenges in the electric vehicle market, losing market share due to increased competition and the discontinuation of federal tax credits, with deliveries falling 9% in 2025 despite a 25% increase in global electric car sales [1][2]. Autonomous Driving and Robotaxi Developments - Tesla's focus has shifted towards robotaxis and humanoid robotics, with recent updates from CEO Elon Musk indicating progress in these areas [2]. - The company launched its autonomous ride-sharing service in Austin without safety monitors, validating its camera-only strategy, which is cheaper and faster to implement compared to competitors like Waymo that use lidar [3]. - Tesla plans to expand its autonomous ride-sharing service to five new markets in 2025, including Las Vegas, Phoenix, Dallas, Houston, and Miami, having already received permits for operations in Arizona and testing in Nevada [4]. Competitive Landscape - While Tesla is making strides in autonomous driving technology, it still trails Waymo, which operates commercial robotaxi services in five U.S. cities. The robotaxi market is projected to grow at an annual rate of 99% through 2033 [5]. Full Self-Driving (FSD) Technology - Tesla's FSD service, currently available in the U.S. for $99 per month, may receive approval in Europe by February 2026, which would facilitate faster adoption across the EU [6][7]. - Approval in China is also a possibility, although recent state media reports have cast doubt on this timeline. The expansion of FSD in Europe could significantly increase Tesla's addressable market [8]. Humanoid Robot Optimus - Tesla's humanoid robot, Optimus, is expected to be available to the public by late 2027, with Musk suggesting it could add $20 trillion to the company's market value [9]. - The humanoid robot market is projected to grow at 50% annually, potentially reaching $1.2 trillion by 2040, indicating a significant future revenue source for Tesla [10]. Overall Market Position - Despite losing market share in electric vehicles, Tesla is building momentum in physical AI technologies. The stock is currently trading at a high valuation of 290 times earnings, but this could change if robotaxis and humanoid robots become substantial revenue sources [11].

科技巨头"Mag 7"财报季将于周三拉开帷幕，微软、Meta和特斯拉将在盘后公布业绩，苹果紧随其后于周四发布，四家公司总市 值达10.5万亿美元。高盛Delta One部门负责人Rich Prvorotsky最新表示，这一轮财报季归根结底将围绕一个核心问题："谁在减少 支出，谁在增加支出。" 市场预期"Mag 7"第四季度利润增长20%，这将是2023年初以来最慢的增速。在此背景下，这些公司面临压力，需要证明其承诺 的巨额资本开支正在以更显著的方式产生回报。投资者对资本开支指引的关注度空前高涨，这一数据将直接影响市场对AI投资回 报周期的判断。 本周将有三分之一的标普500成分股（按市值计算）公布业绩。据彭博汇编数据，迄今已有近80%的标普500公司业绩超出分析师 预期。瑞银全球财富管理的Ulrike Hoffmann-Burchardi表示："我们预计科技股业绩将表现强劲，但也预期盈利增长将扩展至各个 板块。" 尽管业绩稳健，但Wolfe Research的Chris Senyek指出，营收和利润双双超预期的公司股价在财报后反而出现负面表现。"换句话 说，双重超预期正因稳健业绩而受到惩罚，"他表示，"我们认 ...