股 票 研 究 股票研究 /[Table_Date] 2026.02.01 特斯拉加速 AI 转型，将发布第三代人形机器人 Optimus [Table_Industry] 汽车 汽车行业周报（2026/1/26-2026/1/30） | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 刘一鸣(分析师) | 021-23154145 | liuyiming@gtht.com | S0880525040050 | | 潘若婵(分析师) | 021-23154145 | panruochan@gtht.com | S0880525110006 | 本报告导读： 近一周，申万汽车指数下跌 5%，新能源整车指数下跌 5%，汽车零部件指数下跌 投资要点： [Table_Report] 相关报告 汽车《12 月乘用车销量同环比下降，预计 26 年 销量同比微增》2026.01.25 汽车《国内人形机器人持续放量，Robotaxi 产业 化加速》2026.01.24 汽车《12 月重卡顺利收官，收获同比"九连 增"》2026.01.23 汽车 ...

Core Viewpoint - Tesla's competitors in China, including Xiaomi, XPeng, Nio, Li Auto, and BYD, are preparing to report their sales for January, although the Lunar New Year holidays are still weeks away [1] Group 1 - Tesla faces competition from several key players in the Chinese electric vehicle market [1] - The upcoming sales reports from these companies will provide insights into market dynamics and consumer demand [1] - The timing of the Lunar New Year holidays may impact sales figures and consumer behavior in January [1]

Group 1 - Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) shares have increased by 6.4% over the past year but have decreased by 1.7% year-to-date [2] - Truist has slightly reduced its price target for Tesla shares to $438 from $439 while maintaining a Hold rating, noting a shift in Tesla's business strategy, including the discontinuation of Model S and X production and the integration of AI-related targets for 2026 [2] - Needham also reiterated a Hold rating for Tesla, highlighting the company's benefits from geographic diversity and strong margins due to autonomy strengths [2] Group 2 - Jim Cramer expresses strong belief in Tesla, viewing it more as a technology company than a car manufacturer, and emphasizes the significance of the company's advancements in robotics [3] - Cramer acknowledges the presence of analysts and investors who support Tesla, suggesting a positive outlook despite market fluctuations [3] - The article suggests that while Tesla is a potential investment, there are AI stocks that may offer higher returns with lower risk [3]

Core Viewpoint - Elon Musk has sparked merger speculation as SpaceX explores a potential merger involving xAI and Tesla, preparing for a significant IPO valued at approximately $1.5 trillion [1][2]. Group 1: Merger Discussions - SpaceX is reportedly in internal discussions regarding a merger that could involve both Tesla and xAI, with an IPO targeted for June [2]. - The potential merger could position SpaceX as one of the most valuable publicly traded companies globally [2]. Group 2: Investment Insights - Gene Munster from Deepwater Asset Management estimates a 45% chance that Tesla will acquire xAI, a 35% chance that SpaceX will buy xAI, and a 20% probability that xAI will remain independent [3][4]. - Both SpaceX and Tesla have invested $2 billion each into xAI, indicating strong financial backing for the potential merger [4]. Group 3: Strategic Importance of AI - Musk's companies are expected to collaborate effectively, with SpaceX aiming to utilize xAI for "datacenters in the sky" and Tesla planning to leverage xAI's Grok chatbot for Full Self-Driving software and the Optimus humanoid robot program [6][9]. - If SpaceX acquires xAI, Tesla would still retain access to Grok, ensuring continued collaboration between the companies [6][9].

随着xAI烧钱速度加快，围绕SpaceX上市、与特斯拉或xAI合并的讨论正浮出水面。本质上，这是一次围绕现金流、算力和基础 设施的整合尝试。对市场而言，一个以AI为核心的"马斯克联合体"正在成形，但透明度、估值合理性与风险定价也同步上升。 1月31日，据彭博报道，随着人工智能投入成本持续攀升，马斯克正重新审视其旗下企业的资本结构。围绕SpaceX上市、与特 斯拉或xAI合并的讨论，正从"可能性"演变为现实选项。 在达沃斯世界经济论坛上，马斯克畅谈人形机器人、逆转衰老，甚至把太阳能数据中心送上太空。但真正的问题在于： 这些宏 大设想，资金从哪里来？ AI吞噬现金，成为一切变化的起点 推动这一轮结构性调整的直接原因，是AI的资金需求已超出单一公司的承受范围。 xAI目前的现金消耗速度约为 每月10亿美元 。财务文件显示，该公司 去年第三季度净亏损14.6亿美元 ，前九个月现金支出达 78亿美元 。 即便在完成多轮大规模融资后，这种烧钱速度仍在放大压力。 Roundhill Investments首席执行官Dave Mazza评价称： "这不是20年前就写好的计划，但AI把所有业务都拉得更近了。" 当AI开始吞噬现 ...

Financial markets churned on Friday as investors tried to figure out what President Donald Trump’s new nominee to lead the Federal Reserve will mean for interest rates.U.S. stocks fell, with the S&P 500 down 0.4% after sinking as much as 1.1% earlier in the day. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 179 points, or 0.4%, and the Nasdaq composite lost 0.9%.The value of the U.S. dollar rallied, but only after swiveling a couple times following Trump’s nomination of Kevin Warsh. And some of the wildest actio ...

Core Viewpoint - Investor Michael Burry has referred to Elon Musk as a "futurist" amid discussions of potential mergers between Musk's companies, including Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI [1][2]. Group 1: Investor Perspectives - Burry described Musk as an "American treasure" but also criticized him as a "desperately incentivized futurist," indicating skepticism about the merger plans [2]. - Despite previously labeling Tesla as "ridiculously overvalued" and criticizing its supporters, Burry does not currently hold a short position against the company [3]. Group 2: Merger Discussions - Reports suggest that SpaceX is considering a merger with Tesla, a concept Musk hinted at previously regarding a "convergence" of his companies [5]. - Investor Gene Munster has praised the potential merger, suggesting that Musk is "thinking big" in anticipation of SpaceX's possible IPO this year, which Musk first mentioned during Tesla's annual shareholder meeting last November [5].

Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) is one of the stocks that Jim Cramer shared takes on, along with navigating market shortages. Cramer noted that the company delivered a “surprisingly strong set of numbers,” as he remarked: Tesla reported too. As I told you on Monday, this is the Magnificent Seven stock where the numbers barely matter, especially this time, because we already had Tesla’s production and delivery results, both of which we know fell short of expectations. So when Tesla reported tonight and delivered ...

Core Viewpoint - Tesla Inc has introduced a new initiative allowing owners of Model 3 and Model Y vehicles to loan their cars to the company's robotaxi network, potentially transforming these vehicles into revenue-generating assets [1] Group 1 - The announcement was made during Tesla's Q4 2025 earnings call, highlighting the company's innovative approach to vehicle utilization [1] - CEO Elon Musk emphasized the potential for Tesla owners to benefit financially from their vehicles by participating in the robotaxi network [1]

4680重回Model Y，锂精炼与LFP产线将投产。 特斯拉在最新财报电话会后披露，计划在2026年把资本开支提高到 超过200亿美元 ，规模较过去几年显著抬升。 摘要 作为对比，特斯拉2025年的资本开支约为 85亿美元 （财报口径调整后含能源系统采购），200亿美元实属"翻倍式抬升"。 在"装机年产能"口径下，特斯拉给出了电池链条的分项能力与状态：内华达 LFP 7GWh 、德州 4680 40GWh 、 正极材料10GWh 、 锂精炼 30GWh 。 公司提示装机产能不等于当前产量，实际产出仍取决于设备稼动率与供应等因素。 公司称，这笔投入将用于推动多条业务线的扩产与产线改造，其中便包括电池与锂资源环节的纵向整合。 对锂电产业链而言，本次电话会需要关注的主要有两处： 4680的应用边界发生变化 ，以及特斯拉把 锂精炼—正极材料—LFP电芯 的"本土化链条"摆上了同一张产能表。 特斯拉表示，已开始为 部分Model Y 生产搭载自研4680电芯的电池包，并将其定位为新增的供应来源，用以应对贸易壁垒与关税带来的供应链复 杂性。 更关键的是工艺侧的推进。特斯拉称，已在奥斯汀实现4680的双 干法电极 生产， ...