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Tesla Q4 earnings preview: Wall Street expects weak numbers, but a key wildcard looms
Invezz· 2026-01-27 15:00
Core Viewpoint - Tesla is expected to report weak Q4 2025 earnings, with revenue projected to decline by 3.6% to $24.5 billion and profit per share potentially dropping by 40% to $0.44, driven by a 15.6% decrease in vehicle deliveries. However, the energy segment may provide a significant upside surprise, potentially offsetting some of the automotive challenges [1]. Group 1: Financial Performance Expectations - Revenue is anticipated to fall to $24.5 billion, a 3.6% decrease year-over-year [1]. - Profit per share is expected to decline by 40% to $0.44, reflecting a significant drop in vehicle deliveries [1]. - Vehicle deliveries are projected to decrease by 15.6%, indicating a slowdown in Tesla's auto business [1]. Group 2: Energy Segment Insights - Tesla's Energy segment is expected to generate $3.825 billion in revenue with a gross margin of approximately 31.1%, nearly double the automotive gross margin of 17% [1]. - The energy revenue grew by 44% year-over-year in Q3, driven by demand from AI data centers requiring stable power [1]. - Tesla's Megapack is positioned as a solution for power supply volatility, catering to major clients like xAI, Google, and OpenAI [1]. Group 3: Challenges and Risks - Regulatory credit revenue fell by 43.6% year-over-year to $417 million, with forecasts predicting a 75% decline in 2026, impacting overall profitability [1]. - The political actions of CEO Elon Musk have been estimated to have cost Tesla between 1.0 to 1.26 million potential vehicle sales from October 2022 to April 2025, with significant impacts noted in Q1 2025 [1]. - The shift to a subscription model for Full Self-Driving (FSD) may lead to a surge in January sales but could face challenges in subscriber retention and monetization in subsequent quarters [1].
7年期车贷来了 车企“超低息”大促有点儿猛
21世纪经济报道记者 曹媛 深圳报道 "7年超低息,轻松入手特斯拉""小鹏全系享7年低息,月供低至1355元""购小米YU7 7年低息"…… 1月27日,21世纪经济报道记者注意到,2026年开年,车企掀起"7年低息"促销潮。如,特斯拉、小米、小鹏、理想、吉利银 河、岚图等车企陆续推出"7年低息"金融方案,打破了传统新车车贷1-5年的常规期限,以低月供、低首付为核心卖点。 这股热潮的背后,是国家提振消费的政策导向。 一般而言,传统新车贷款期限普遍在1至5年。去年2月《关于发展消费金融助力提振消费的通知》提出,针对有长期消费需求的 客户,商业银行用于个人消费的贷款期限可阶段性由不超过5年延长至不超过7年。 "本质上就是响应国家号召刺激消费。"某银行汽车金融相关人士告诉记者。"很多顾客都有在年前买/换一辆新车回家过年的需 求,所以这个购车方案主要是为了年前冲销量。"一位新势力车企销售人员告诉记者。 但在提振消费同时,7年超长车贷究竟适合哪类消费者?更长周期、更低首付的汽车贷款产品,也让金融机构的风控压力陡增? 车辆残值会不会跟不上贷款余额?银行与融资租赁的模式差异又该如何区分?这些问题都值得深思。 | | | | ...
21调查|7年期车贷来了 车企“超低息”大促有点儿猛
21世纪经济报道记者 曹媛 深圳报道 "7年超低息,轻松入手特斯拉""小鹏全系享7年低息,月供低至1355元""购小米YU7 7年低息"…… 1月27日,21世纪经济报道记者注意到,2026年开年,车企掀起"7年低息"促销潮。如,特斯拉、小米、小鹏、理想、吉利银 河、岚图等车企陆续推出"7年低息"金融方案,打破了传统新车车贷1-5年的常规期限,以低月供、低首付为核心卖点。 这股热潮的背后,是国家提振消费的政策导向。 一般而言,传统新车贷款期限普遍在1至5年。去年2月《关于发展消费金融助力提振消费的通知》提出,针对有长期消费需求的 客户,商业银行用于个人消费的贷款期限可阶段性由不超过5年延长至不超过7年。 "本质上就是响应国家号召刺激消费。"某银行汽车金融相关人士告诉记者。"很多顾客都有在年前买/换一辆新车回家过年的需 求,所以这个购车方案主要是为了年前冲销量。"一位新势力车企销售人员告诉记者。 但在提振消费同时,7年超长车贷究竟适合哪类消费者?更长周期、更低首付的汽车贷款产品,也让金融机构的风控压力陡增? 车辆残值会不会跟不上贷款余额?银行与融资租赁的模式差异又该如何区分?这些问题都值得深思。 | | | | ...
Volkswagen EV Growth Accelerates as Tesla Europe Sales Fall in 2025
ZACKS· 2026-01-27 13:56
Core Insights - Volkswagen (VWAGY) surpassed Tesla (TSLA) to become the best-selling electric vehicle (EV) brand in Europe in 2025, marking a significant shift in the European EV market [1][7] Group 1: Volkswagen's Success Factors - Volkswagen's success is attributed to its broad electric vehicle lineup, including models like ID.3, ID.4, and ID.7, which appealed to various customer segments [2] - The company sold 274,417 electric vehicles in Europe in 2025, representing a 56% year-over-year increase, driven by strong demand for its key models [3][10] - Volkswagen's strong presence in European markets, characterized by high brand recognition, extensive dealer networks, and local manufacturing capabilities, enabled it to respond effectively to rising EV demand [4] Group 2: Tesla's Performance - Tesla's EV sales in Europe declined by 27% year-over-year to 238,765 vehicles in 2025, resulting in the loss of its top position in the region [5][10] - Despite the decline, Tesla's Model Y remained one of the best-selling electric vehicles in Europe, indicating continued strong appeal for its products [6] Group 3: Market Dynamics - The shift in leadership from Tesla to Volkswagen highlights increased competition and a more diversified electric vehicle landscape in Europe [7]
Not Owning Tesla (TSLA) Impacted NewBridge Large Cap Growth Equity’s Performance
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-27 13:29
NewBridge Asset Management, an investment management company, recently released its Q4 2025 letter for “NewBridge Large Cap Growth Equity Strategy”. A copy of the letter can be downloaded here. Equity markets continued their upward momentum in the fourth quarter, driven by resilient economic growth and solid corporate returns. In the fourth quarter, large-cap growth outperformed, while in the third quarter, small-cap and value equities exceeded the growth strategy. The NewBridge Large Cap Growth Strategy g ...
汽车与零部件行业周报(2026.1.19-2026.1.25):特斯拉计划27年面向公众销售Optimus机器人,红旗全固态电池首台样车下线-20260127
Shanghai Securities· 2026-01-27 13:26
证 券 研 究 报 告 汽车周度批发/零售量:根据乘联会数据,2026 年 1 月 12 日-1 月 18 日,国内乘用车厂商日均批发量为 5.12 万辆/天,同比-28.00%;国内 乘用车厂商日均零售量为 5.02 万辆/天,同比-22.00%。 特斯拉计划 27 年面向公众销售 Optimus 机器人,红旗全固态电池首台 样车下线 ————汽车与零部件行业周报(2026.1.19-2026.1.25) [Tabl市e_场Su回mm顾ary] 汽车板块涨跌幅+2.20%,子板块中汽车服务表现最佳。过去一周, Wind 全部 A 股涨跌幅为+1.55%,申万汽车涨跌幅为+2.20%,在 31 个申万一级行业中排名第 15 位,处于中游位置。汽车行业各子板块中 汽车服务+6.87%、汽车零部件+3.93%、商用车+3.61%、摩托车及其 他+1.34%、乘用车-1.65%。 [行Ta业ble_Industry] : 汽车 [T分ab析le师_Author] : 仇百良 申万汽车行业中,涨跌幅前五位的公司为新坐标+36.30%、铁流股份 +32.97% 、 潍 柴 重 机 +27.97% 、 联 诚 精 密 + ...
Uber Technologies (UBER) was the Worst Performer: NewBridge Large Cap Growth Equity
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-27 13:22
NewBridge Asset Management, an investment management company, recently released its Q4 2025 letter for “NewBridge Large Cap Growth Equity Strategy”. A copy of the letter can be downloaded here. Equity markets continued their upward momentum in the fourth quarter, driven by resilient economic growth and solid corporate returns. In the fourth quarter, large-cap growth outperformed, while in the third quarter, small-cap and value equities exceeded the growth strategy. The NewBridge Large Cap Growth Strategy g ...
Earnings live: UnitedHealth stock tumbles, UPS and General Motors rise
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-27 13:07
The fourth quarter earnings season kicks into high gear this week, with Big Tech results from Microsoft (MSFT), Meta (META), Tesla (TSLA), and Apple (AAPL) headlining the earnings calendar. An optimistic consensus is forming: As of Jan. 23, 13% of S&P 500 (^GSPC) companies have reported fourth quarter results, according to FactSet data, and Wall Street analysts estimate an 8.2% increase in earnings per share for the fourth quarter. If that rate holds, it would represent the 10th consecutive quarter of ann ...
欧洲汽车销量实现连续三年增长,2025 年电动汽车成主要驱动力
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-27 12:36
IT之家 1 月 27 日消息,欧洲汽车制造商协会(ACEA)当地时间周二发布的数据显示,2025 年欧洲新车注册量增长 2.4%,达到 1330 万辆,12 月份再度实 现反弹。尽管这一数据对饱受关税压力与竞争加剧困扰的行业而言是利好消息,但销量仍比疫情前水平低约 15%。 去年欧洲汽车销量增长部分得益于电动汽车销售的复苏。随着售价约 2 万欧元(IT之家注:现汇率约合 16.5 万元人民币)的更多车型上市,市场需求被有 效激活。这类车型包括 Stellantis 集团旗下的雪铁龙 ë-C3 城市车,以及比亚迪等中国品牌进口车型。纯电动汽车注册量激增 30%,该动力类型已占据整体市 场约五分之一的份额。 不过,这一表现仍略低于预期。由于欧洲充电基础设施尚不完善,许多消费者转而选择兼具电池与内燃机的混动车型。大众和保时捷均已调整其电动化战 略,以应对增长放缓的趋势,两家车企均计划推出更多混动车型。去年,插电式混合动力汽车销量增长 33%,成为该地区增长最快的动力类型。 彭博行业研究分析师吉莉安 · 戴维斯表示,受新补贴政策及多款新一代车型上市推动,欧洲汽车销量今年有 望继续增长。戴维斯在一份报告中指出,中国品 ...
Tesla Stock Rises. Why Its Earnings Are Going to Be 'Ugly.
Barrons· 2026-01-27 12:11
Tesla Stock Rises. Why Its Earnings Are Going to Be 'Ugly.' - Barron'sSkip to Main ContentThis copy is for your personal, non-commercial use only. Distribution and use of this material are governed by our Subscriber Agreement and by copyright law. For non-personal use or to order multiple copies, please contact Dow Jones Reprints at 1-800-843-0008 or visit www.djreprints.com.# Tesla Stock Rises. Why Its Earnings Are Going to Be 'Ugly.'By [Al Root]ShareResize---ReprintsIn this article[TSLA][SPX][DJIA]Tesla s ...