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中金:维持中国旺旺(00151)“跑赢行业”评级 收入稳健增长
智通财经网· 2025-11-25 06:23
Core Viewpoint - China Wangwang (00151) maintains an "outperform" rating with a target price of HKD 5.83, primarily due to strong brand power despite a 7.8% year-on-year decline in net profit for the first half of FY25 [1] Performance Summary - For 1HFY25, the company reported revenue of CNY 11.108 billion, a year-on-year increase of 2.1%, and a net profit of CNY 1.717 billion, down 7.8%, slightly below market expectations due to higher operating expenses [1] Development Trends - The performance of rice snacks and leisure foods outperformed dairy beverages, with revenue growth in 1HFY25 as follows: rice snacks +3.5%, dairy beverages -1.1%, and leisure foods +7.7% [2] - Rice snacks saw single-digit growth in sales, with new product revenue contributing double-digit percentages; dairy beverages faced slight pressure from weak industry demand, with Wangzai milk revenue declining by low single digits, while beverage subcategories grew nearly 40% in revenue and doubled in sales, benefiting from emerging channels [2] - Leisure food new product revenue accounted for nearly 25%, with ice cream revenue growing in double digits; traditional and modern channel sales declined slightly, while overseas markets saw low single-digit growth, and emerging channels experienced rapid growth, with snack wholesale sales continuing to increase [2] Margin and Cost Analysis - The gross margin decreased by 1.1 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to rising costs of imported bulk powder and palm oil, along with product structure adjustments; gross margins for rice snacks, dairy beverages, and leisure foods changed by +1.3, -2.5, and +1 percentage points respectively [3] - Distribution and administrative expense ratios increased by 1.4 and 0.9 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to increased marketing investments and personnel costs following the establishment of product-specific divisions, leading to a decline in operating and net profit margins by 3.0 and 1.7 percentage points respectively [3] Future Outlook - The company is expected to face sales pressure in Q3 FY25 due to the timing of the Spring Festival; however, revenue is anticipated to maintain steady growth in the second half of the fiscal year, with snack wholesale channels likely to continue rapid growth [4] - Profit margins are expected to stabilize quarter-on-quarter in the second half of the fiscal year, with the company likely to maintain its investment in expenses to support new products and emerging channel performance [4]
中国旺旺:2025财年上半年总收益111.08亿元,同比增长2.1%
Cai Jing Wang· 2025-11-25 05:12
Core Viewpoint - China Wangwang reported a total revenue of 11.108 billion yuan for the first half of fiscal year 2025, representing a 2.1% growth compared to the same period last year, while profit attributable to equity holders decreased by 7.8% to 1.717 billion yuan [1] Revenue Breakdown - Dairy and beverage products accounted for approximately 53% of total revenue, while rice snacks and leisure food contributed about 46% [1] - Revenue from the rice snacks category grew by 3.5% year-on-year, while dairy and beverage revenue decreased by 1.1%, and leisure food revenue increased by 7.7% [1] Emerging Channels and New Products - The leisure food category, particularly the ice cream sub-category, experienced double-digit growth [1] - The company maintained strong performance in emerging channels such as e-commerce and OEM, achieving double-digit growth in revenue from these channels [1] - New products launched in the past five years contributed to a mid-double-digit percentage of total revenue, becoming a significant driver of revenue growth [1]
港股异动丨中国旺旺续跌超5% 4日连跌超10% 绩后遭多家机构下调目标价
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-25 03:58
Core Viewpoint - China Wangwang (0151.HK) continues to decline, dropping over 5% and more than 10% over four days, reaching a new low of 4.66 HKD, with a total market value of 5.1 billion HKD [1] Financial Performance - For the six months ending September 30, 2025, China Wangwang reported total revenue of 11.108 billion RMB, an increase of 2.1% compared to the same period last year [1] - The net profit for the same period was 1.717 billion RMB, representing a year-on-year decrease of 7.83% [1] Analyst Reactions - Following the earnings report, major financial institutions including JPMorgan, Bank of America, Citibank, and UBS have downgraded their target prices for China Wangwang [1] - Bank of America has lowered its target price to 4.7 HKD and reiterated a "underperform" rating, citing the 7.8% decline in net profit as below expectations, and has reduced earnings per share forecasts for 2026 and 2027 by 8% to 10% [1]
小摩:降中国旺旺目标价至4.9港元 料下半财年利润率持续承压 维持“中性”评级
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-25 03:50
旺旺9月底止2026上半财年销售额同比增长2.1%,盈利同比下降7.8%,分别逊预期1%及10%。该行认为 主要因牛奶饮品销售额下降1%、毛利率下跌1.1个百分点,以及销售及行政费用占收入比率上升2.3个百 分点。另外,零食折扣店渠道快速增长,占整体销售额比例由2025财年的10%,升至2026财年上半年的 15%;集团预期该渠道的营业利润率将略低于传统渠道。 摩根大通发布研报称,维持中国旺旺(00151)"中性"评级,目标价由5.1港元降至4.9港元。 管理层预计在2026下半财年及未来一两年广告促销费用率维持3%至4%,以推动产品创新。该行认为此 举虽带来短期利润压力,但有利长期持续增长;下调盈利预测6%至9%,最新料2026财年销售及盈利分别 同比增长1.6%及下跌9%。 ...
小摩:降中国旺旺(00151)目标价至4.9港元 料下半财年利润率持续承压 维持“中性”评级
智通财经网· 2025-11-25 03:46
管理层预计在2026下半财年及未来一两年广告促销费用率维持3%至4%,以推动产品创新。该行认为此 举虽带来短期利润压力,但有利长期持续增长; 下调盈利预测6%至9%,最新料2026财年销售及盈利分 别同比增长1.6%及下跌9%。 智通财经APP获悉,摩根大通发布研报称,维持中国旺旺(00151)"中性"评级,目标价由5.1港元降至4.9 港元。 旺旺9月底止2026上半财年销售额同比增长2.1%,盈利同比下降7.8%,分别逊预期1%及10%。该行认为 主要因牛奶饮品销售额下降1%、毛利率下跌1.1个百分点,以及销售及行政费用占收入比率上升2.3个百 分点。另外,零食折扣店渠道快速增长,占整体销售额比例由2025财年的10%,升至2026财年上半年的 15%; 集团预期该渠道的营业利润率将略低于传统渠道。 ...
中国旺旺再跌超4% 广告费用增加拖累中期利润 渠道拓展或削弱产品定价能力
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-25 03:28
瑞银指出,据旺旺管理层透露,今年10至11月销售表现较去年差,主要因2026年农历新年较迟。利润率 方面,管理层预期下半年毛利率与上半年相比将保持稳定,明年则有望改善,因进口奶粉成本由目前高 位逐步回落。美银认为,公司拓展新兴及零食折扣渠道虽然能推动销量与渗透率增长,但亦可能削弱产 品定价能力并推高渠道成本,对长期利润率构成压力,同时对乳饮品类需求疲软及电商平台补贴竞争感 到担忧。 瑞银发布研报称,中国旺旺2026财年上半财年(截至今年9月底止中期)收入按年增长2.1%至111亿元人民 币(下同),净利润则按年下降7.8%至17亿元;毛利率按年跌1.1个百分点至46.2%,净利润率按年跌1.7个 百分点至15.5%。该行认为收入符合预期,但盈利低于市场预期,主要受营运开支按年增长10.6%拖 累,其中广告及促销费用有所增加。 中国旺旺(00151)再跌超4%,截至发稿,跌4.47%,报4.7港元,成交额3111.69万港元。 ...
港股中国旺旺跌超4%
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-11-25 03:25
每经AI快讯,中国旺旺(00151.HK)跌超4%,截至发稿,跌4.47%,报4.7港元,成交额3111.69万港元。 (文章来源:每日经济新闻) ...
瑞银:降中国旺旺(00151)目标价至5.6港元 广告费用增加拖累上半财年利润
智通财经网· 2025-11-25 03:23
旺旺管理层透露,今年10至11月销售表现较去年差,主要因2026年农历新年较迟。利润率方面,管理层 预期下半年毛利率与上半年相比将保持稳定,明年则有望改善,因进口奶粉成本由目前高位逐步回落; 长期而言,广告及促销费用比率将维持在3至4%水平。 中国旺旺2026财年上半财年(截至今年9月底止中期)收入同比增长2.1%至111亿元人民币(下同),净利润 则同比下降7.8%至17亿元; 毛利率同比跌1.1个百分点至46.2%,净利润率同比跌1.7个百分点至15.5%。 该行认为收入符合预期,但盈利低于市场预期,主要受营运开支同比增长10.6%拖累,其中广告及促销 费用有所增加。 智通财经APP获悉,瑞银发布研报称,下调中国旺旺(00151)2026及2027财年净利润预测9%及8%; 料 2026财年全年收入及净利润分别同比增长2%及下跌9%,而2026财年下半年则分别增长2%及下跌10%。 目标价由6港元降至5.6港元,维持"买入"评级。 ...
大行评级丨摩根大通:下调中国旺旺目标价至4.9港元 维持“中性”评级
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-25 03:19
摩根大通发表研究报告指,中国旺旺9月底止2026上半财年销售额按年增长2.1%,盈利按年下降7.8%, 分别逊预期1%及10%。该行认为主要因牛奶饮品销售额下降1%、毛利率下跌1.1个百分点,以及销售及 行政费用占收入比率上升2.3个百分点。管理层预计在2026下半财年及未来一两年广告促销费用率维持 3%至4%,以推动产品创新。 该行认为此举虽带来短期利润压力,但有利长期持续增长;下调盈利预测6%至9%,最新料2026财年销 售及盈利分别按年增长1.6%及下跌9%;维持"中性"评级,目标价由5.1港元降至4.9港元。 ...
港股异动 | 中国旺旺(00151)再跌超4% 广告费用增加拖累中期利润 渠道拓展或削弱产品定价能力
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-25 03:13
Core Viewpoint - China Wangwang's stock has dropped over 4%, currently trading at 4.7 HKD, with a trading volume of 31.12 million HKD. UBS reports that for the first half of the 2026 fiscal year, revenue grew by 2.1% year-on-year to 11.1 billion RMB, while net profit fell by 7.8% to 1.7 billion RMB, indicating a mixed performance with revenue meeting expectations but profit falling short due to increased operating expenses [1][1][1] Financial Performance - Revenue for the first half of the 2026 fiscal year reached 11.1 billion RMB, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 2.1% [1] - Net profit decreased by 7.8% year-on-year to 1.7 billion RMB [1] - Gross margin declined by 1.1 percentage points to 46.2%, while net profit margin fell by 1.7 percentage points to 15.5% [1] Operational Insights - Operating expenses increased by 10.6% year-on-year, primarily due to higher advertising and promotional costs [1] - Management indicated that sales performance in October and November was weaker compared to last year, attributed to the later timing of the 2026 Lunar New Year [1] Future Outlook - Management expects gross margin to remain stable in the second half of the fiscal year, with potential improvements next year as the cost of imported milk powder is anticipated to decline from current high levels [1] - Concerns were raised regarding the impact of expanding into emerging and discount snack channels, which may boost sales and penetration but could weaken pricing power and increase channel costs, posing long-term pressure on profit margins [1] - There are worries about weak demand in the dairy beverage category and competition from e-commerce platform subsidies [1]