WANT WANT CHINA(WWNTY)
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晨星:维持对中国旺旺公允价值6.4港元 维持盈测大体不变 认为被低估
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-26 06:38
Core Viewpoint - Morningstar maintains a fair value estimate of HKD 6.4 for China Wangwang (00151) and keeps its earnings expectations largely unchanged, believing the company is undervalued primarily due to a projected dividend yield of 4.3% in 2025 [1] Financial Performance - For the half-year ending September, Wangwang reported a revenue increase of 2.1% year-on-year, while net profit decreased by 7.8%, attributed to a decline in gross margin and increased operating expenses [1] - Revenue exceeded expectations, but net profit was in line with forecasts [1] Investment and Growth Strategy - The company is increasing investments in new channels, which has temporarily raised the sales expense ratio; however, this is viewed positively as essential for long-term growth [1] - Revenue from traditional wholesale and modern retail channels decreased by approximately 15-20%, indicating a shift in customer traffic from traditional products and channels [1] Emerging Channels and Market Expansion - Despite challenges in traditional channels, overall revenue growth remains positive, supported by new products in emerging channels [1] - Wangwang is optimistic about expanding sales in niche markets like dairy products through discount stores, which accounted for 15% of total sales during the period [1] - The overseas market also showed positive growth, which is viewed favorably [1]
晨星:维持对中国旺旺(00151)公允价值6.4港元 维持盈测大体不变 认为被低估
智通财经网· 2025-11-26 06:37
Core Viewpoint - Morningstar maintains a fair value estimate of HKD 6.4 for China Wangwang (00151) and keeps its earnings expectations largely unchanged, believing the company is undervalued primarily due to a projected dividend yield of 4.3% in 2025 [1] Financial Performance - For the half-year period ending September, Wangwang reported a revenue increase of 2.1% year-on-year, while net profit decreased by 7.8%, attributed to a decline in gross margin and increased operating expenses [1] - Revenue exceeded expectations, but net profit was in line with forecasts [1] Investment and Growth Strategy - The company is increasing investments in new channels, which has temporarily raised the sales expense ratio; however, this is viewed positively as essential for long-term growth [1] - Revenue from traditional wholesale and modern retail channels decreased by approximately 15-20%, indicating a shift in customer traffic from traditional products and channels [1] Emerging Channels and Market Expansion - Despite the decline in traditional channels, overall revenue growth remains positive, supported by new products in emerging channels [1] - Wangwang is optimistic about expanding sales in niche markets like dairy products through discount stores, which accounted for 15% of total sales during the period [1] - The overseas market also showed positive growth, which is viewed favorably [1]
建银国际:下调中国旺旺目标价至5.7港元 “跑赢大市”评级
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-26 02:52
Core Viewpoint - Jianyin International has slightly lowered the target price for China Wangwang (00151) by 1.7% from HKD 5.8 to HKD 5.7 while maintaining an "Outperform" rating [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - For the first half of the 2026 fiscal year, China Wangwang's net profit decreased by 8% to RMB 1.717 billion, primarily due to weak gross margins, despite a reduction in the effective tax rate [1] - The firm has revised its profit forecasts for China Wangwang for the 2026/2027 fiscal years down by 10% and 8% respectively, mainly due to weaker-than-expected mid-year performance in 2026 [1] Group 2: Strategic Initiatives - China Wangwang is undergoing channel reforms to seize transformation opportunities, which is expected to enhance its adaptability to changing consumer demands [1] - The company is anticipated to continue pushing for channel reforms and accelerating innovation, which, despite short-term pressure on profit margins, is believed to support long-term sustainable sales growth [1] Group 3: Future Outlook - For the second half of the 2026 fiscal year, revenue is projected to grow by 2.4%, while gross margin and operating profit margin are expected to decline by 0.7 and 1.6 percentage points respectively, leading to a 4.2% decrease in net profit [1] - A recovery in profit growth is expected in the 2027 fiscal year, driven by a more favorable cost environment and improved channel execution [1]
建银国际:下调中国旺旺(00151)目标价至5.7港元 “跑赢大市”评级
智通财经网· 2025-11-26 02:49
Core Viewpoint - Jianyin International has slightly lowered the target price for China Wangwang (00151) by 1.7% from HKD 5.8 to HKD 5.7 while maintaining an "outperform" rating, primarily due to weaker-than-expected mid-year performance for the fiscal year 2026 and more conservative profit margin assumptions under channel reforms [1] Financial Performance - For the first half of the fiscal year 2026, China Wangwang's net profit decreased by 8% to RMB 1.717 billion, mainly due to weak gross margins, despite a reduction in the effective tax rate [1] - The company is expected to see a revenue growth of 2.4% in the second half of fiscal year 2026, with gross margin and operating profit margin declining by 0.7 and 1.6 percentage points respectively, leading to a net profit decline of 4.2% [1] Strategic Outlook - The company has restructured multiple channel units in early 2025 to seize opportunities from channel transformation, indicating a focus on adapting to changing consumer demands [1] - Despite short-term pressure on profit margins, the strategy of channel reform and innovation is believed to support long-term sustainable sales growth [1] - It is anticipated that profit growth will resume in fiscal year 2027 as the cost environment becomes more favorable and channel execution improves [1]
旺仔牛奶“失宠”!中国旺旺净利下滑,机构下调目标价
Guo Ji Jin Rong Bao· 2025-11-25 15:57
Core Viewpoint - China Wangwang's flagship product, Wangzai Milk, is experiencing declining sales, leading to a challenging financial performance for the company in the recent half-year report [1][4]. Financial Performance - For the half-year ending September 30, 2025, China Wangwang reported revenue of 11.108 billion yuan, a slight increase of 2.1% year-on-year [1]. - The company's net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.717 billion yuan, down 7.8% year-on-year, marking the lowest net profit margin of 15.46% in nearly four years [1][11]. - The stock price fell over 6.5% on the first trading day after the earnings release, closing at 4.71 HKD per share, a decline of 4.27% [1]. Revenue Composition - The dairy and beverage segment, which includes Wangzai Milk, constitutes a significant portion of the company's total revenue, accounting for nearly half [3]. - Revenue from the dairy and beverage segment decreased by 1.1% to 5.941 billion yuan, contributing to the overall revenue decline [6]. Market Challenges - The overall market for ambient dairy products is sluggish, compounded by the rapid growth of affordable ready-to-drink tea beverages, which has diminished Wangzai Milk's market presence [4]. - The company's gross margin for the dairy and beverage segment fell from 50.3% to 47.8%, indicating significant profit pressure [6]. Emerging Channels - China Wangwang is actively expanding into emerging sales channels, with snack wholesale channels growing rapidly and now accounting for 15% of total revenue [6]. - Despite the growth in snack sales, the discount channels may weaken pricing power and increase channel costs, putting pressure on profit margins [8]. Other Product Segments - The snack food segment, including products like Wangzai QQ candy and milk candy, achieved revenue of 2.940 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.7% [8]. - The ice cream segment benefited from hot weather and the growth of snack wholesale channels, showing double-digit growth [8]. - The rice cracker segment generated revenue of 2.13 billion yuan, up 3.5% year-on-year [8]. Analyst Reactions - Following the mid-term performance report, several institutions, including JPMorgan, Bank of America, and UBS, downgraded their target prices for China Wangwang [10][11]. - Bank of America lowered its target price to 4.7 HKD, rating it as "underperform," while JPMorgan maintained a "neutral" rating but reduced its target price from 5.1 HKD to 4.9 HKD [11]. - Analysts cited declining sales of dairy products, falling gross margins, and rising administrative expenses as key reasons for the disappointing performance [11].
旺仔牛奶“失宠”!中国旺旺净利下滑 机构下调目标价
Guo Ji Jin Rong Bao· 2025-11-25 15:47
Core Insights - The financial report of China Wangwang (00151.HK) for the half-year ending September 30, 2025, shows a revenue of 11.108 billion yuan, a slight increase of 2.1% year-on-year, but a decline in net profit by 7.8% to 1.717 billion yuan, marking the lowest net profit margin of 15.46% in nearly four years, which fell short of market expectations [2][4][9] Revenue Composition - The dairy and beverage segment, primarily driven by the flagship product Wangzai Milk, constitutes a significant portion of the company's revenue, accounting for nearly half of total revenue [3] - The revenue from the dairy and beverage segment decreased by 1.1% year-on-year to 5.941 billion yuan, attributed to a sluggish ambient dairy market and the rapid growth of affordable ready-to-drink tea beverages [4][9] Emerging Sales Channels - The company is actively expanding into emerging sales channels such as e-commerce, instant retail, and snack wholesale, with the snack wholesale channel growing rapidly and now representing 15% of total revenue [4] - Despite the growth in new channels, the gross margin for the dairy and beverage segment fell from 50.3% to 47.8%, indicating significant pressure on profitability [4][9] Market Reactions - Following the financial report, several financial institutions, including JPMorgan, Bank of America, and UBS, downgraded their target prices for China Wangwang, with Bank of America lowering its target price to 4.7 HKD and assigning an "underperform" rating [8] - Analysts pointed out that the decline in milk beverage sales, reduced gross margins, and increased selling and administrative expenses are key reasons for the company's underperformance [9] Cost Pressures - The company's total operating expenses rose by 10.6% year-on-year to 3.202 billion yuan, with the distribution costs increasing significantly by 13.2% to 1.555 billion yuan, contributing to the pressure on profits [9] - UBS forecasts a 9% year-on-year decline in net profit for the fiscal year 2026, while Citi has adjusted its net profit forecasts for 2026-2028 down by 8%-13% due to rising raw material costs and increased advertising expenditures [9]
旺仔牛奶收入下滑、广告费用增加削减利润 中国旺旺股价下跌
Nan Fang Du Shi Bao· 2025-11-25 09:56
Core Viewpoint - China Wangwang's stock price fell over 5% following the release of its mid-term performance report, which showed a revenue increase but a decline in net profit, leading to multiple institutions lowering their target prices [2][6]. Financial Performance - For the first half of the 2025 fiscal year, China Wangwang reported revenue of 11.108 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 2.1%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.717 billion RMB, down 7.8% [2][3]. - The revenue growth was primarily supported by the dairy and beverage segment, which accounted for 53% of total revenue, and the rice snacks and leisure foods segment, which accounted for 46% [3][4]. Product Performance - The dairy and beverage segment generated 5.9413 billion RMB, a decrease of 1.1% year-on-year, largely due to a low single-digit decline in sales of Wangzai milk [3][4]. - The rice snacks category saw a revenue increase of 3.5% to 2.13 billion RMB, with sales growth in emerging channels achieving double-digit growth [4]. Marketing and Expenses - Overall operating expenses increased by 10.6%, attributed to higher promotional costs for new products and channels following organizational restructuring [6]. - Despite the increase in revenue from new products, the associated advertising costs have negatively impacted net profit [5][6]. Market Reactions - Following the mid-term report, several institutions, including Morgan Stanley and Bank of America, downgraded their target prices for China Wangwang, citing concerns over profitability and market conditions [6][7].
富瑞:调低旺旺中国(00151)目标价至5.48港元 维持“中性”评级
智通财经网· 2025-11-25 07:05
Core Viewpoint - Jefferies has lowered the target price for Want Want China (00151) by 4% from HKD 5.71 to HKD 5.48, maintaining a "Neutral" rating, while also reducing earnings forecasts for the fiscal years 2026, 2027, and 2028 by 9%, 5%, and 1% respectively due to expected increases in sales and administrative expense ratios in the second half of fiscal 2026 [1] Group 1 - The sales, general, and administrative expense ratio for the half-year period ending September 30 increased by 2.2 percentage points to 28.8%, with the distribution expense ratio rising by 1.4 percentage points due to increased advertising and promotional investments, including cross-industry and co-branding projects [1] - The administrative expense ratio increased by 0.9 percentage points due to organizational restructuring, which led to higher employee costs [1] - The company has decided not to declare an interim dividend to maintain operational flexibility [1] Group 2 - For the outlook of the second half of fiscal 2026, management indicated that progress in October and November (third fiscal quarter) is slightly lagging compared to the same period last year, particularly due to the impact of the Spring Festival on gift box products [2] - Management expects strong growth in emerging channels and snack specialty stores in the second half, while traditional and modern channels may continue to face pressure [2] - The company aims to drive growth in rice snacks and snack products in the second half while striving to catch up in the dairy and beverage sectors [2]
港股异动 | 中国旺旺(00151)午后跌超6% 中期盈利低于市场预期 美银下调未来两年盈测
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-25 06:33
智通财经APP获悉,中国旺旺(00151)午后跌超6%,截至发稿,跌5.89%,报4.63港元,成交额4882.45万 港元。 美银证券发表研报称,重申对中国旺旺的"跑输大市"评级,认为拓展新兴及零食折扣渠道虽然能推动销 量与渗透率增长,但亦可能削弱产品定价能力并推高渠道成本,对长期利润率构成压力,同时对乳饮品 类需求疲软及电商平台补贴竞争感到担忧。相应地,美银证券将旺旺2026及2027财年每股盈利预测下调 8%至10%,目标价从5港元降至4.7港元。 消息面上,中国旺旺近期发布截至9月底的中期业绩报告。2025财年上半年公司实现营收111.08亿元, 同比增长2.1%;归母净利润为17.17亿元,同比下降7.8%。瑞银认为公司收入符合预期,但盈利低于市 场预期,主要受营运开支按年增长10.6%拖累,其中广告及促销费用有所增加。 ...
中金:维持中国旺旺“跑赢行业”评级 收入稳健增长
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-25 06:32
Core Viewpoint - CICC maintains a "outperform" rating for China Wangwang (00151) with a target price of HKD 5.83, primarily due to the company's strong brand power despite a 7.8% year-on-year decline in net profit for the first half of the fiscal year [1] Performance Summary - For 1HFY25, the company's revenue was CNY 11.108 billion, a year-on-year increase of 2.1%, while net profit was CNY 1.717 billion, down 7.8%, slightly below market expectations due to higher operating expenses [2] Development Trends - The performance of rice snacks and leisure foods outperformed dairy beverages, with emerging channels showing good growth. Revenue growth for 1HFY25 was steady, with rice snacks, dairy beverages, and leisure foods increasing by 3.5%, decreasing by 1.1%, and increasing by 7.7% year-on-year, respectively [3] - Specific insights include: 1) Rice snack sales grew in the single digits, with new product revenue accounting for double digits 2) Dairy beverages faced slight pressure from weak industry demand, with Wangzai milk revenue declining in low single digits, while beverage subcategories saw nearly 40% revenue growth and doubled sales, benefiting from emerging channels like snack wholesale, e-commerce, and OEM 3) New product revenue in leisure foods accounted for nearly 25%, with ice cream revenue growing in double digits [3] Margin and Cost Analysis - Gross margin decreased slightly by 1.1 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to rising costs of imported bulk powder and palm oil, along with product structure adjustments and increased share of emerging channels. Gross margins for rice snacks, dairy beverages, and leisure foods changed by +1.3, -2.5, and +1 percentage points, respectively [4] - Distribution and administrative expense ratios increased by 1.4 and 0.9 percentage points year-on-year, respectively, due to increased marketing investments and personnel costs following the establishment of product-specific divisions. Overall operating profit margin and net profit margin decreased by 3.0 and 1.7 percentage points year-on-year [4] Future Outlook - The company is expected to maintain steady revenue growth in the second half of the fiscal year, with snack wholesale channels likely to continue their rapid growth. However, sales performance in Q3FY25 may be under pressure due to the timing of the Spring Festival [5] - Profit margins are expected to remain stable quarter-on-quarter in the second half of the fiscal year, with the company likely to continue its investment in expenses to boost new products and emerging channel performance [5]