Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Outperform" for the non-bank financial sector, indicating a positive outlook for investment opportunities in this industry [5]. Core Insights - The Japanese securities industry has experienced increasing concentration, with the top five comprehensive securities firms dominating the market, accounting for over 40% of industry revenue and 45% of net profit as of 2023 [1][11]. - The number of foreign securities firms in Japan has significantly decreased from 52 in 2000 to just 9 by 2022, with their market share in revenue dropping from over 30% to approximately 1% [1][11]. - The industry has seen a stabilization in commission income, although the proportion of brokerage business has declined from 70.8% in 1990 to 24.6% in 2023 [3][34]. - The market has matured with a rise in institutional investors, whose share of the market increased from 4.7% in 1990 to 31.8% in 2023, while the share of individual investors decreased from 23.9% to 16.9% [3][41]. Summary by Sections 1. Japanese Securities Industry Transformation - The industry has a high concentration level, with major firms like Nomura and Daiwa leading the market [1][11]. - Total assets in the industry have shown an upward trend despite economic crises, with net assets surpassing 8.29 trillion yen in March 2024 [2][12]. - Net profit has stabilized post-2012, with ROE figures of 4.57% and 8.29% for the fiscal years 2022 and 2023 respectively [20][21]. 2. Cost Structure and Employee Dynamics - The industry's cost structure remains high, with a cost-to-income ratio of 83.6% in 2023, and management fees constituting a significant portion of total costs [28][30]. - The number of employees in the securities industry has halved since the peak in 1990, stabilizing around 85,000 by 2023 [31][32]. 3. Revenue Streams and Market Dynamics - Commission income has stabilized, with total commission income exceeding 2.7 trillion yen in 2023, but brokerage commissions have decreased significantly [34][35]. - Trading income has fluctuated but has stabilized, while financial income surged to 1.81 trillion yen in 2023, marking a 79.86% increase year-on-year [40][41]. 4. Case Studies of Differentiated Development - Daiwa Securities focuses on both domestic and international markets, enhancing its service offerings through technological innovation and strategic acquisitions [46][47]. - Rakuten Securities has leveraged its technological advancements to expand its market share, achieving a total account number exceeding 10.2 million in 2023 [64][65].

证券研究报告|行业专题报告 2025 年 02 月 17 日 传媒 事件：公募基金 24Q4 持仓披露完毕，传媒行业维持低配，细分板块及个股 表现有所分化。 24Q4 传媒行业维持低配，低配比例略有提升。24Q4 传媒行业重仓市值占 比为 0.81%，环比下降 0.1pct；传媒行业总市值/全 A 总市值为 1.54%，环 比下降 0.02pct。传媒行业整体维持低配，低配比例为 0.73%，环比上升 0.08pct。整体来看，传媒低配比例环比有所提升，持仓仍处低位，向后展 望，我们认为传媒行业有望受益于国内大模型性能的提升以及 API 服务定价 的下降有望加速国内 AI 应用落地，并逐步兑现业绩，此外伴随微信小店、 谷子经济等热点话题催动以及市场风险偏好提升，我们认为传媒行业配置有 望逐步企稳回升。 板块表现有所分化，游戏板块偏好度提升，影视院线板块偏好度持续回落。 分板块来看，游戏板块由超配下降至平配，广告营销、影视院线低配比例有 所扩大，数字媒体、出版及电视广播板块低配比例有所收窄： （1）24Q4 游戏板块超配比例为 0.11%，环比提升 0.07pct。板块整体偏好 度有所下降，24Q4 重仓市值为 ...

证券研究报告|行业深度报告 2025 年 02 月 17 日 非银行金融 经济泡沫破裂后的日本证券业复盘 日本证券业集中度不断提升，外资券商市占率下降。上世纪 80 年代末，日 本泡沫经济破裂后券商数量保持稳定，总体数量保持在 250 家左右，证券业 竞争格局进一步集中化。日本证券行业具有集中度非常高的特点，综合性大 券商占据绝对优势地位，形成了如今日本证券市场五大综合型券商独大的局 面。2023 年五大券商的营业收入占行业营业收入 40%以上，净利润占行业 净利润 45%以上。2000 年以来，受日本经济的长期低迷、通货紧缩、市场 激烈竞争以及监管环境变化等多因素影响，外资券商数量逐步收缩，数量从 2000 年 52 家下降至 2022 年 9 家，在营业收入方面，外资券商的市场占 有率由高峰近 30%以上下降到约 1%。 股市下行导致资产负债表质量恶化，同时收入下降但成本刚性导致净利润波 动。一方面，行业总资产和行业净资产虽然受到泡沫破裂、亚洲金融危机和 2008 年金融危机的影响，资产水平有所下降，但总资产整体的上升趋势未 有所改变。净资产在 2013 年股市重启上涨行情后，净资产规模也在波动上 升，2 ...

三生制药（1530.HK） 开展双抗 ADC 联用研究，研发矩阵储备丰富 | 财务指标 | 2022A | 2023A | 2024E | 2025E | 2026E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入（百万元） | 6859.4 | 7815.9 | 8863.3 | 9988.9 | 11407.3 | | 增长率 yoy（%） | 7.5 | 13.9 | 13.4 | 12.7 | 14.2 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 1914.9 | 1549.2 | 2004.9 | 2212.3 | 2475.7 | | 增长率 yoy（%） | 16.0 | -19.1 | 29.4 | 10.3 | 11.9 | | ROE（%） | 14.8 | 11.0 | 12.7 | 12.4 | 12.4 | | EPS 最新摊薄（元） | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.0 | | P/E（倍） | 7.1 | 8.8 | 6.8 | 6.2 | 5.5 | | P/B（倍） | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.8 | ...

证券研究报告 | 行业周报 2025 年 02 月 17 日 汽车 比亚迪发布"天神之眼"高阶智驾，加速推进智驾平权 | 1 | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 股票 | 股票 | 投资 | EPS （元） | | PE | | | 代码 | 名称 | 评级 | 2024E | 2025E | 2024E | 2025E | | 000625.SZ | 长安汽车 | 增持 | 0.94 | 1.27 | 14.48 | 10.72 | | 000887.SZ | 中鼎股份 | 增持 | 0.99 | 1.17 | 16.8 | 14.21 | | 002284.SZ | 亚太股份 | 增持 | 0.29 | 0.35 | 31.76 | 26.31 | | 002906.SZ | 华阳集团 | 增持 | 1.31 | 1.78 | 27.38 | 20.15 | | 09660.HK 地平线机器人-W | | 买入 | 1.26 | 1.56 | 5.41 | 4.37 | | 301106.SZ | 骏成科技 | 增持 | ...

证券研究报告|行业周报 2025 年 02 月 18 日 电力及公用事业 行业周报（2.10-2.16）：各省持续出台绿电政策，板块因市场风格 切换表现低迷 | 股票 | 股票 | 投资 | EPS （元） | | PE | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 代码 | 名称 | 评级 | 2024E | 2025E | 2024E | 2025E | | 001289.SZ | 龙源电力 | 增持 | 0.82 | 0.89 | 20.33 | 18.73 | | 600163.SH | 中闽能源 | 增持 | 0.39 | 0.42 | 13.26 | 12.31 | | 600674.SH | 川投能源 | 增持 | 1.02 | 1.09 | 15.28 | 14.3 | | 600795.SH | 国电电力 | 买入 | 0.55 | 0.51 | 7.76 | 8.37 | | 600886.SH | 国投电力 | 增持 | 1.04 | 1.18 | 13.96 | 12.31 | | 600900.SH | 长江电力 | 买入 | 1 ...

行业点评观点：根据风电头条数据统计，2025 年 1 月央企陆上和海上风电项 目机组开标总规模约 6.24GW，中标规模最大的三家整机商合计中标规模 3.4GW，品牌集中度较高。均价方面，含塔筒海风项目中标均价为 2910.00 元 /kw，环比上月下降 10.19%；不含塔筒陆风项目中标均价为 1422.39 元/kW， 同比、环比均有所下降；含塔筒陆风项目中标均价为 2122.42 元/kW，同比、 环比均有所提升，主要原因是部分开标项目容量较小从而导致单价较高。 证券研究报告 | 行业周报 2025 年 02 月 17 日 风电周报（2025.2.10-2025.2.16） 五部门印发重点风电低碳技术，广东 300MW 海风机组启动招标 | 股票 | 股票 | 投资 | EPS （元） | | PE | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 代码 | 名称 | 评级 | 2024E | 2025E | 2024E | 2025E | | 002531.SZ | 天顺风能 | 增持 | 0.42 | 0.66 | 17.57 | 11.13 | | ...

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market" [4] Core Viewpoints - DeepSeek is driving the acceleration of the domestic AI industry, with the launch of DeepSeek-R1 showcasing significant advancements in model performance and cost-effectiveness compared to OpenAI's offerings [1] - The robot industry is experiencing breakthroughs both domestically and internationally, with notable developments such as the performance of humanoid robots at the Spring Festival Gala and Tesla's plans for mass production of Optimus robots [2][3][6] - The year 2025 is identified as a critical year for the humanoid robot industry, with expectations of increased production and technological advancements [6] Summary by Sections DeepSeek and AI Industry - DeepSeek-R1 utilizes reinforcement learning to enhance model inference capabilities with minimal labeled data, achieving performance comparable to OpenAI's models [1] - The API pricing for DeepSeek-R1 is significantly lower than that of OpenAI, making it a competitive option for developers [1] - The lightweight adaptability of DeepSeek-R1 models allows for efficient deployment on devices with limited memory [1] Robotics Industry Developments - Domestic humanoid robots, such as the H1 from Yushu Technology, demonstrated advanced capabilities during a high-profile performance, indicating progress in hardware and AI integration [2] - Tesla's Optimus robot is projected to reach a production capacity of 10,000 units per month by 2026, with potential revenue exceeding $10 trillion in the long term [3][6] Investment Opportunities - The report suggests a focus on various sectors within the AI and robotics industries, including telecommunications operators, main equipment manufacturers, optical modules, and industrial internet solutions [7]

Investment Rating - The industry is rated as "stronger than the market" with expectations of outperforming the market in the next six months [72]. Core Insights - The humanoid robot H1 from Yushutech made a notable appearance at the Spring Festival Gala, showcasing advanced movement capabilities and marking the company's entry into the humanoid robot sector [1][18]. - Tesla has updated its production guidance for the Optimus robot, aiming to produce 10,000 units by 2025, with a monthly capacity increase to 1,000 units, and plans to reach 100,000 units per month by 2027 [2][18]. - Blues Technology has successfully delivered the Lingxi X1 humanoid robot products to Zhiyuan Robotics, demonstrating its strong capabilities in mass production and quality control [2][19]. - The National Railway Group has issued an action plan for railway equipment upgrades, focusing on enhancing safety, reliability, and promoting green alternatives [3][20]. Summary by Sections Industry News - Yushutech's humanoid robot H1 performed at the Spring Festival Gala, highlighting its agility and coordination [1][18]. - Tesla aims for significant production increases of its Optimus robot, targeting 10,000 units by 2025 and scaling up to 100,000 units by 2027 [2][18]. - Blues Technology has partnered with Zhiyuan Robotics for the mass delivery of humanoid robots, showcasing its production capabilities [2][19]. - The National Railway Group's action plan includes five initiatives to modernize railway equipment and enhance operational efficiency [3][20]. Trade Data - In December 2024, China's engineering machinery export value reached $50.47 billion, a year-on-year increase of 26.3% [4][20]. - The total engineering machinery trade value for 2024 was $554.5 billion, with exports growing by 8.87% [7][20]. Market Performance - The mechanical equipment sector saw a slight increase of 0.02% from January 20 to February 2, 2025, underperforming the broader market [11][15]. - The sector's price-to-earnings ratio stood at 30.95 as of January 27, 2025 [12]. Rental Market Insights - The rental index for aerial work platforms in December 2024 was 616 points, showing a slight month-on-month decline of 1.3% and a year-on-year decrease of 8.1% [21][22].

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market" indicating an expectation that the overall industry performance will surpass the market in the next six months [16]. Core Insights - DeepSeek has emerged as a significant player in the AI landscape, achieving performance comparable to OpenAI's models at a fraction of the cost, with its latest model DeepSeek-R1 demonstrating capabilities at one-tenth the cost of GPT-o1 [3]. - The launch of multiple models, including Janus-Pro and JanusFlow, has enhanced DeepSeek's product offerings, particularly in multimodal capabilities, which is expected to accelerate AI application development [3]. - Major companies like Tencent, Alibaba, and Baidu have completed cloud deployments of DeepSeek's models, indicating a growing trend towards integrating domestic AI solutions into enterprise applications [5]. Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - The report highlights the ongoing developments in the computer industry, particularly during the Spring Festival period, with DeepSeek's advancements capturing significant attention [2]. - DeepSeek's models have been recognized for their innovative architecture and cost-effectiveness, leading to a competitive landscape characterized by a "model price war" [3]. Cybersecurity Concerns - DeepSeek has faced multiple DDoS attacks, emphasizing the critical importance of cybersecurity in the AI sector as the platform's popularity grows [4]. - The report notes that DeepSeek's AI assistant has achieved the top download ranking in 140 global markets, increasing the stakes for information security [4]. Cloud Deployment - The report details the successful cloud deployments of DeepSeek's models by major tech companies, which streamline the AI development process for users [5]. - This trend is expected to enhance the efficiency and accessibility of AI applications for developers and enterprises alike [5].