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万联证券万联晨会
Wanlian Securities· 2024-04-18 01:31
Core Insights - The banking industry continues to face operational pressure, with a projected revenue growth rate of -0.89% for 2024, a decline of 0.04 percentage points from the previous quarter. Net profit growth is expected to be 1.6%, down 1 percentage point from the previous quarter. The positive contribution to revenue in 2023 was primarily due to high scale expansion and low base investment income growth, while net interest margins and non-interest income are weakening [10][17] - The overall interest rates are expected to remain on a downward trend, with the U.S. Federal Reserve's interest rate target range currently at 5.25%-5.5%. The long-term interest rates may have limited room for further decline unless there is a significant economic downturn in the U.S. [10][17] Market Review - On a recent trading day, all three major A-share indices rose, with the Shanghai Composite Index increasing by 2.14% to 3,071.38 points, and the Shenzhen Component Index rising by 2.48%. The total trading volume in A-shares reached 918.2 billion RMB, with over 4,800 stocks rising. In the Hong Kong market, the Hang Seng Index rose by 0.02% [7][25] Diamond Industry Insights - In March, India's rough diamond imports decreased by 12.39% year-on-year, while exports of polished diamonds increased by 11.03%. The penetration rates for both imported and exported cultivated diamonds improved, with export penetration at 9.61% and import penetration at 5.88% [12][18] - The natural diamond market saw a significant decline in rough diamond imports, down 15.66% year-on-year, while polished diamond exports remained stable with a decline of 27.43%. The price index for finished diamonds has slightly decreased, indicating a low demand recovery [12][21]
2023年业绩点评报告:营业收入突破百亿,第二曲线表现亮眼
Wanlian Securities· 2024-04-15 16:00
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Add" [6][13]. Core Insights - In 2023, the company achieved a revenue of 11.263 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 32.42%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.040 billion yuan, up 41.60% year-on-year [3][4]. - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 25 yuan per 10 shares to all shareholders [3]. - The company is focusing on a national expansion strategy while continuing to strengthen its core market in Guangdong, with significant growth in sales from new product launches [4][10]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q4 2023, the company reported a revenue of 2.622 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 40.88%, and a net profit of 384 million yuan, up 39.69% year-on-year [3][4]. - The gross profit margin for 2023 was 43.07%, an increase of 0.74 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to lower raw material costs [10]. Product and Market Development - The core product, Dongpeng Special Drink, generated a revenue of 10.336 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 26.48%, while other beverages saw a revenue increase of 186.65% to 914 million yuan [4]. - The company’s market share in the energy drink segment increased, with sales volume share rising from 36.70% at the end of 2022 to 43.02% in 2023 [4]. Future Projections - The company aims for a revenue and net profit growth of over 20% in 2024, with projected net profits of 2.557 billion yuan, 3.200 billion yuan, and 3.883 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively [10][11]. - The earnings per share are expected to be 6.39 yuan, 8.00 yuan, and 9.71 yuan for the same years [11].
2024年“国九条”政策文件解读:“国九条”部署资本市场高质量发展
Wanlian Securities· 2024-04-14 16:00
证 券 研 究 报 告 宏观快评报告 宏观研究 次文件中,资本市场服务实体经济的属性更加突出,强调了对 于科创、绿色、国企改革、中小企业、民企等的服务方向。未 来符合国家战略方向的数字经济、新兴产业和未来产业发展服 务有望进一步加强,推动新质生产力发展。资本市场也将配合 央行做好科技、绿色、普惠、养老数字金融五大篇章相关工 作。 证券研究报告|宏观报告 [Table_AdressInfo] 万联证券股份有限公司 研究所 [Table_RightTitle] 证券研究报告|宏观报告 万联证券研究所 www.wlzq.cn 第2 页共3页 虑的因素。投资者应阅读整篇报告,以获取比较完整的观点与信息,不应仅仅依靠投资评级来推断结论。 [Table_PromiseInfo] 证券分析师承诺 本人具有中国证券业协会授予的证券投资咨询执业资格并登记为证券分析师,以勤勉的执业态度,独立、客观地 出具本报告。本报告清晰准确地反映了本人的研究观点。本人不曾因,不因,也将不会因本报告中的具体推荐意 见或观点而直接或间接收到任何形式的补偿。 [Tale_ReliefInfo] 免责条款 万联证券股份有限公司(以下简称"本公司")是 ...
传媒行业周观点:4月份14款进口版号下发,网易暴雪国服回归正式官宣
Wanlian Securities· 2024-04-14 16:00
[Table_RightTitle] 证券研究报告|传媒 行 [Table_Title] [Table_IndustryRank] 业 4 月份 14 款进口版号下发,网易暴雪国服 强于大市 研 (维持) 究 回归正式官宣 [Table_ReportType] [Table_ReportDate] ——传媒行业周观点(04.08-04.14) 2024年04月15日 [行Ta业ble核_S心um观m点ar:y] [行Ta业ble相_C对ha沪rt] 深 300 指数表现 上周传媒行业(申万)下跌 3.88%,居市场第20 位,跑输沪深 300 指 数。4月进口版号下发,14款游戏过审。4月8日,国家新闻出版署公 传媒 沪深300 30% 布了2024年最新一批进口版号,本次共有14款游戏过审,包括7款移 20% 动端产品、5款客户端产品和3款NS/复合载体产品。值得关注的产品 10% 行 有:腾讯《宝可梦 走吧!伊布》《洛克人11》、完美世界《乖离性百万 0% 业 -10% 亚瑟王:环》、雷霆游戏《王都创世录》、4399游戏《怪物乐土》、东方 周 -20% 明珠《侍魂 晓》、咪咕互动《刺猬索尼克团队赛车》等。 ...
计算机行业周观点:网信办发布第五批境内深度合成服务算法备案信息
Wanlian Securities· 2024-04-14 16:00
[Table_RightTitle] 证券研究报告|计算机 行 [Table_Title] [Table_IndustryRank] 业 网信办发布第五批境内深度合成服务算法 强于大市 研 (维持) 究 备案信息 [Table_ReportType] [Table_ReportDate] ——计算机行业周观点(04.08-04.14) 2024年04月15日 [行Ta业ble核_S心um观m点ar:y] [行Ta业ble相_C对ha沪rt] 深 300 指数表现 上周沪深300指数下跌2.58%,申万计算机行业下跌4.22%,落后于指数 计算机 沪深300 1.64pct,在申万一级行业中排名24位。本周建议重点关注人工智能大 10% 模型应用、算力、大规模设备更新带来的投资机会。 0% 行 -10% 投资要点: 业 -20% -30% 周 产业动态:(1)政策:近日,市场监管总局、国家发展改革委、工业 -40% 观 和信息化部、生态环境部、住房城乡建设部、商务部、应急管理部七部 -50% 点 门联合印发《以标准提升牵引设备更新和消费品以旧换新行动方案》。 (2)安全:4月11日,中国第三代自主超导量子计算机 ...
银行行业月报:二季度关注政府债发行情况
Wanlian Securities· 2024-04-14 16:00
[Table_RightTitle] 证券研究报告|银行 行 [Table_Title] [Table_IndustryRank] 业 强于大市 研 二季度关注政府债发行情况 (维持) 究 [Table_ReportType] [Table_ReportDate] ——银行行业月报 2024年04月15日 [事Ta件ble:_S ummary] [行Ta业ble相_C对ha沪rt] 深 300 指数表现 2024年4月12日,中国人民银行发布2024年3月金融统计数据 报告、社融存量以及增量统计数据报告。 银行 沪深300 10% 投资要点: 5% 0% 3月社融存量增速8.7%,增速环比下降0.3%:3月,社融新增4.87 行 -5% 万亿元,同比少增5142亿元。其中,新增贷款和政府债是主要拖 -10% 业 累项。一季度合计增量为12.93万亿元,同比少增1.61万亿元。 -15% 月 -20% 存量规模达到390.32万亿元,同比增速8.7%,较2月同比增速环 报 -25% 比下降 0.3%。基本符合市场预期。综合看,我们预计二季度发债 有望提速,或对社融增速有一定的支撑。 数据来源:聚源,万联证券研究 ...
万联证券万联晨会
Wanlian Securities· 2024-04-14 16:00
Core Insights - The A-share market experienced fluctuations with the Shanghai Composite Index falling by 0.49% to 3019.47 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index dropped by 0.78% and 1.08% respectively. The total trading volume in the A-share market was 810 billion RMB, with northbound funds recording a net sell of 7.385 billion RMB [1][6][8] - The State Council issued a new set of guidelines aimed at enhancing regulation and preventing risks in the capital market, emphasizing the protection of small and medium investors and the need for a high-quality development framework [2][5][8] - The new "National Nine Articles" introduces stricter regulations for IPOs, daily supervision of listed companies, and delisting processes, aiming to improve the overall quality of listed companies and enhance market stability [7][8][33] Market Performance - The A-share market saw over 3500 stocks decline, with the telecommunications sector leading gains while the real estate sector faced the largest losses. Concept sectors such as gold, home appliances, and cultivated diamonds showed significant increases [1][6] - The Hong Kong market also faced declines, with the Hang Seng Index dropping by 2.18% and the Hang Seng Tech Index falling by 1.81%. In the overseas markets, all three major US indices closed lower, with the Dow Jones down 1.24% [1][6] Regulatory Developments - The new guidelines consist of nine parts, focusing on maintaining the correct development direction of the capital market, enhancing investor protection, and strengthening regulatory measures to prevent risks [2][5][8] - The guidelines emphasize the need for a market-oriented and law-based approach to deepen capital market reforms, ensuring that the market serves the national economy and modern industrial system [2][5][8] - The guidelines also call for stricter entry standards for IPOs, enhanced ongoing supervision of listed companies, and increased delisting regulations to ensure market integrity [7][8][33] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies with stable operations, significant performance improvements, and a history of high dividend payouts. Additionally, attention should be given to technology firms with strong R&D capabilities, particularly those classified as "specialized and innovative small giants" [9][33]
社会服务行业周观点:出游热情持续高涨,假日市场活力迸发
Wanlian Securities· 2024-04-14 16:00
[Table_RightTitle] 证券研究报告|社会服务 行 [Table_Title] [Table_IndustryRank] 业 强于大市 研 出游热情持续高涨,假日市场活力迸发 (维持) 究 [Table_ReportType] [Table_ReportDate] ——社会服务行业周观点(04.08-04.14) 2024年04月15日 [行Ta业ble核_S心um观m点ar:y] [行Ta业ble相_C对ha沪rt] 深 300 指数表现 上周(4月8日-4月14日)沪深300指数下跌2.58%、申万社会服务 指数下跌 0.74%,社会服务指数跑赢沪深 300 指数 1.84 个百分点,在 社会服务 沪深300 5% 申万 31 个一级行业指数涨跌幅排第 7。年初至今沪深 300 指数上涨 0% -5% 1.3%、申万社会服务指数下跌6.68%,申万社会指数跑输沪深300指数 -10% 行 -15% 7.98个百分点,在申万31个一级子行业中涨跌幅排名第18。上周社会 -20% 业 -25% -30% 服务子板块涨跌互现,酒店餐饮7.31%,旅游景区6.02%,教育-5.77%、 周 -35% ...
策略周观点2024年第14期:大规模设备更新及消费品以旧换新政策陆续出台,需求释放可期
Wanlian Securities· 2024-04-14 16:00
Group 1 - The report highlights that large-scale equipment upgrades and policies for replacing old consumer goods are being introduced, which is expected to release demand in the industrial equipment and durable consumer goods sectors [2][5][51] - The A-share market experienced a decline from April 8 to April 12, with the ChiNext Index dropping by 4.21%, and the real estate sector seeing the largest decline of 7.13% [10][11] - The report suggests focusing on companies with stable operations, significant performance improvements, and high cash dividend ratios as the 2023 annual reports are set to be disclosed [5][51] Group 2 - The report indicates that the average daily trading volume in the A-share market decreased by 12.96% to 8410.05 billion yuan during the week of April 8 to April 12, with the electronics sector being the most active [23][24] - As of April 12, the dynamic price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of the Shanghai 50 Index is at its highest historical percentile since 2010, at approximately 48.47% [46][47] - The report recommends paying attention to the industrial equipment and durable consumer goods sectors due to the anticipated demand release from new policies [51][54]
通信行业周观点:工信部部署开展增值电信业务扩大对外开放试点工作
Wanlian Securities· 2024-04-14 16:00
[Table_RightTitle] 证券研究报告|通信 行 [Table_Title] [Table_IndustryRank] 业 工信部部署开展增值电信业务扩大对外开 强于大市 研 (维持) 究 放试点工作 [Table_ReportType] [Table_ReportDate] ——通信行业周观点(04.08-04.14) 2024年04月15日 [行Ta业ble核_S心um观m点ar:y] [行Ta业ble相_C对ha沪rt] 深 300 指数表现 上周(4.8-4.12)沪深300指数下跌2.58%,申万通信行业指数下跌 通信 沪深300 1.28%,在31个申万一级行业中排名第11位,跑赢沪深300指数1.30个百 20% 15% 分点。建议重点关注5G建设及应用、数据中心、物联网等细分板块投资 10% 行 机会。 5% 0% 业 -5% 投资要点: -10% 周 -15% -20% 观 产业动态:(1)政策:4月10日,工业和信息化部发布《关于开展增值 -25% -30% 点 电信业务扩大对外开放试点工作的通告》,部署开展增值电信业务扩大 对外开放试点工作。(2)运营商:4月10日,中国电信 ...