Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of policy support and AI applications in driving industry growth and investment opportunities [6][21][35] - The A-share market is experiencing fluctuations, with a focus on sectors such as telecommunications, pharmaceuticals, and semiconductors for short-term investment opportunities [10][14][24] - The automotive industry is highlighted for its resilience, with expectations for continued growth in both passenger and commercial vehicle segments, particularly in electric vehicles [22][30] Market Performance - The A-share market has shown mixed performance, with the Shanghai Composite Index at 3,864.18, down 0.15%, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 1.02% [4] - International markets also faced declines, with the Dow Jones down 0.67% and the S&P 500 down 0.45% [5] Industry Strategies - The report outlines various industry strategies, including a focus on enhancing consumption adaptability in key sectors such as smart vehicles and consumer electronics [6][9] - The media and entertainment sector is experiencing significant growth, with a 26.42% increase in the CITIC Media Index, outperforming major indices [17][19] - The automotive sector is advised to focus on intelligent and connected vehicles, with a projected increase in market concentration and a shift towards high-quality development [21][22] Economic Indicators - National industrial output increased by 4.9% year-on-year in October 2025, while retail sales grew by 2.9% [11][12] - The report indicates that the fixed asset investment has seen a decline of 1.7%, with real estate investment down by 14.7% [11][12] Investment Recommendations - Investors are encouraged to maintain reasonable positions and avoid speculative trading, with a focus on sectors like telecommunications, consumer electronics, and pharmaceuticals for potential gains [10][14][24] - The report suggests that the copper and aluminum sectors are expected to maintain high levels of profitability due to supply constraints and strong demand [30][31] Sector-Specific Insights - The telecommunications sector is poised for growth, driven by advancements in AI and cloud services, with significant capital expenditure expected from leading firms [35][38] - The report highlights the importance of AI applications in various industries, including gaming, film, and advertising, which are expected to enhance operational efficiency and market valuation [17][35]

Market Overview - On November 26, the A-share market experienced slight fluctuations after reaching resistance at 3879 points, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3864.18 points, down 0.15%[2][7] - The Shenzhen Component Index rose by 1.02% to close at 12,907.83 points, while the ChiNext Index increased by 2.14%[7][8] - Total trading volume for both markets was 17,974 billion yuan, slightly lower than the previous trading day[3][7] Sector Performance - Strong performers included communication equipment, electronic components, pharmaceuticals, and semiconductors, while shipbuilding, aerospace, gaming, and decoration sectors lagged[3][7] - Over 60% of stocks in the two markets declined, with the pharmaceutical and semiconductor sectors showing the highest gains[7][9] Valuation Metrics - The average price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for the Shanghai Composite and ChiNext indices were 15.90 times and 47.37 times, respectively, above the median levels of the past three years, indicating a suitable environment for medium to long-term investments[3][13] Future Outlook - The market is expected to consolidate around the 4000-point level, with a continued rebalancing of market styles between cyclical and technology sectors[3][13] - Investors are advised to maintain reasonable positions and avoid chasing highs or selling lows, while closely monitoring macroeconomic data and policy changes[3][13] Risks - Potential risks include unexpected overseas economic downturns, domestic policy changes, and macroeconomic disturbances that could impact the recovery process[4]

Group 1 - The report highlights a significant recovery in the media sector, with the CITIC Media Index rising by 26.42% in 2025, outperforming the CSI 300 by 13.24 percentage points [11][7] - The media sector's revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 reached 416.07 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.98%, while net profit attributable to shareholders rose by 40.23% [18][7] - Public funds have significantly increased their holdings in the media sector, with a total market value of 59.39 billion yuan, marking a 63.43% increase from the previous quarter [36][7] Group 2 - The gaming sector is experiencing high demand and supply, with a market size of 256.03 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 7.11% [41][7] - The film industry has seen fluctuating box office performance, with total box office revenue of 44.56 billion yuan from January to October 2025, a year-on-year increase of 16.07% [65][7] - The advertising sector has shown moderate growth, with outdoor advertising spending reaching 191.66 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6% [78][7] Group 3 - The policy environment for the media industry has improved significantly, with a more stable regulatory framework and supportive policies emerging [7][3] - AI applications are accelerating in the media sector, with advancements in AI models enhancing their capabilities and driving growth in gaming, film, advertising, and publishing [7][3] - The publishing sector has faced challenges, with total revenue declining by 7.10% to 97.60 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, although net profit increased by 15.43% [87][7]

分析师：刘智 登记编码：S0730520110001 liuzhi@ccnew.com 021-50586775 ⚫ 11 月中信机械板块下跌 5.02%，跑输沪深 300 指数（-3.24%）1.78 个百分点，在 30 个中信一级行业中排名第 26 名：截至 2025 年 11 月 25 日收盘，11 月中信机械板块下跌 5.02%，跑输沪深 300 指数（-3.24%）1.78 个百分点，在 30 个中信一级行业中排名第 26 名。11 月三级子行业中高空作业车、其他运输设备、船舶制造 涨幅三个子行业取得正涨幅，分别上涨 2.22%、1.35%、0.31%； 锂电设备、叉车、光伏设备跌幅居前。 机械 十五五规划强调科技自立，未来产业引 领，重点关注周期复苏和未来产业投资机 遇 ——机械行业月报 证券研究报告-行业月报 强于大市(维持) 机械相对沪深 300 指数表现 资料来源：中原证券 -7% -1% 5% 12% 18% 25% 31% 37% 2024.11 2025.03 2025.07 2025.11 机械 沪深300 相关报告 《机械行业月报：持续关注工程机械、船舶、 机器人、AIDC 等高景 ...

分析师：张刚 登记编码：S0730511010001 zhanggang@ccnew.com 021-50586990 晨会聚焦 资料来源：Wind,中原证券 -10% -4% 2% 8% 14% 20% 26% 32% 2024.11 2025.03 2025.07 2025.11 上证指数 深证成指 | 国内市场表现 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 指数名称 | | 昨日收盘价 | 涨跌幅(%) | | 上证指数 | | 3,870.02 | 0.87 | | 深证成指 | | 12,777.31 | 1.53 | | 创业板指 | | 2,022.77 | -0.47 | | 沪深 | 300 | 4,490.40 | 0.95 | | 上证 | 50 | 2,443.97 | -0.52 | | 科创 | 50 | 891.46 | 0.14 | | 创业板 | 50 | 1,924.26 | -0.67 | | 中证 | 100 | 4,362.98 | 0.99 | | 中证 | 500 | 6,954.60 | 1.25 | | 中证 | 1000 | 6 ...

分析师：郑婷 登记编码：S0730524110001 zhengting@ccnew.com 投资要点： 第1页 / 共12页 河南研究：经济数据跟踪（2025 年 10 月） 电话： 0371-65585629 地址： 郑州郑东新区商务外环路10号18楼 地址： 上海浦东新区世纪大道 1788 号 T1 座 22 楼 全国经济运行情况：2025 年 10 月份，全国规模以上工业增加值同 比增长 4.9%，社会消费品零售总额同比增长 2.9%，全国固定资产 投资（不含农户）累计同比下降 1.7%，房地产开发投资累计同比 下降 14.7%。总体来看，10 月份"反内卷"治理成效有所显现，高 技术制造业发展支撑经济韧性，但同时主要经济指标均有回落，内 需不足问题持续显现。往后看，主要经济指标回暖仍受到政策效应 退坡、前期需求透支、地产深度调整等系列因素阻力，但财政已通 过提前下达专项资金的方式进行托举，11 月人民日报文章《保持财 政政策取向不变力度不减》也指出"我国财政资源和举债空间仍然 充裕"。因此，预期四季度经济整体仍较具韧性。 河南省经济运行情况：2025 年 10 月份，河南省规模以上工业增加 值同比增 ...

Market Overview - The automotive industry index increased by 14.79% as of November 21, 2025, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index and CSI 300 Index by 0.38 percentage points and 1.61 percentage points respectively [11][12] - The automotive sector's performance was strong in the first half of 2025 but became more aligned with the broader market in the second half [11][12] - The majority of sub-sectors showed positive growth, with motorcycles and other segments leading the gains [17][18] Financial Performance - The automotive industry achieved a revenue of CNY 36,976.27 billion in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 3.35%, and a net profit of CNY 1,363.61 billion, up 9.98% [30] - In the first three quarters of 2025, the industry reported revenues of CNY 28,712.84 billion, reflecting a 10.73% year-on-year growth, and a net profit of CNY 1,165.36 billion, up 10.72% [30][31] - The industry’s gross margin was 15.83% in the first three quarters of 2025, a slight decline from the previous year, while the net margin improved to 4.29% [33] Passenger Vehicle Segment - The passenger vehicle market is expected to reach record sales in 2025, driven by policy support and increased penetration of new energy vehicles (NEVs) [43] - NEV retail sales reached 10.15 million units from January to October 2025, a year-on-year increase of 21.9%, with a market share of 52.73% [45][50] - The market structure is shifting towards domestic brands, which captured nearly 70% of the market share by September 2025, while foreign brands are losing ground [50][51] Commercial Vehicle Segment - The commercial vehicle market showed signs of recovery in 2025, with production and sales increasing by nearly 10% year-on-year in the first three quarters [5] - The growth in the commercial vehicle sector is driven by policies promoting vehicle replacements and the rising sales of new energy commercial vehicles [5][6] Automotive Parts Sector - The national strategy emphasizes "intelligent and connected" technologies as the main axis for upgrading the automotive industry [5] - The penetration of advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS) is expected to drive market expansion and domestic substitution in core hardware [5][6] Investment Recommendations - The report maintains a "stronger than market" rating for the automotive sector, recommending key companies in the passenger vehicle segment such as BYD, Changan Automobile, and Great Wall Motors [6] - In the commercial vehicle segment, Yutong Bus is recommended, along with a focus on China National Heavy Duty Truck [6] - For the automotive parts sector, companies like Feilong Co., Top Group, and Desay SV are highlighted as potential investment opportunities [6]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "In line with the market" [52] Core Insights - The brokerage sector index experienced a range-bound fluctuation in October 2025, with a decline of 0.73%, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.73 percentage points [4][7] - The average P/B ratio for the brokerage sector fluctuated between 1.510 and 1.580 times, closing at 1.510 times at the end of October [11] - The overall operating performance of listed brokerages is expected to decline in November 2025, with a forecasted drop to mid-low levels for the year [47][48] Summary by Sections 1. October 2025 Brokerage Sector Review - The brokerage index maintained a range-bound fluctuation with a significant reduction in volatility, closing down 0.73% for the month [4][7] - A total of 42 listed brokerages saw 17 increase in stock prices, with notable gains from Dongxing Securities (10.08%) and Changjiang Securities (6.27%) [8] - The average P/B ratio for the sector was 1.510 times, indicating a slight decrease from previous months [11] 2. Key Market Factors Affecting October 2025 Performance - Increased volatility in equity markets and a rebound in fixed income markets led to a decline in proprietary trading performance [6] - The average daily trading volume in October was 21,640 billion, down 10.5% month-on-month [25] - The margin financing balance reached a historical high of 24,864 billion, reflecting a stable outlook among investors [32] 3. November 2025 Performance Outlook - Proprietary trading is expected to face pressure due to a comprehensive market correction, with a forecasted decline in monthly investment returns [40][43] - The brokerage sector is anticipated to see a slight recovery in brokerage business due to an increase in trading days, despite a decrease in average daily trading volume [44] - The investment banking sector is expected to remain stable, with equity financing slightly declining and debt financing rebounding [46] 4. Investment Recommendations - The brokerage sector index has shown signs of further downward adjustment, with a significant gap from the average valuation since 2016 [48] - It is recommended to focus on leading brokerages with strong wealth management capabilities and those with valuations significantly below the sector average [50]

Core Insights - The report highlights the ongoing recovery in various industries, with a focus on the capital market's role in supporting economic growth and innovation [5][19][28] - The report emphasizes the importance of policy support and investment in emerging industries, particularly in technology and infrastructure [5][19][24] Domestic Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3,836.77 with a slight increase of 0.05%, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 0.37% to 12,585.08 [3] - The average price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for the Shanghai Composite and ChiNext are 15.77 and 46.14, respectively, indicating a favorable long-term investment environment [8][14] International Market Performance - The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at 30,772.79, down 0.67%, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq also experienced declines of 0.45% and 0.15% respectively [4] - The Hang Seng Index fell by 2.38% to 25,220.02, reflecting broader market challenges [4] Industry Strategies - The report outlines various industry strategies, including the focus on financing coordination and the continuation of industry prosperity [6][19] - The copper and aluminum sectors are highlighted for their strong demand and pricing stability, with copper prices expected to rise due to supply constraints and increased demand from green energy initiatives [20][21] - The AI and semiconductor industries are projected to experience significant growth, driven by advancements in technology and increased capital expenditure from cloud service providers [24][31] Financial Sector Insights - The securities industry is expected to maintain a strong performance, with a projected increase in equity financing and stable brokerage revenues [18][19] - The report notes that the first three quarters of 2025 saw a significant recovery in the performance of listed securities firms, with revenues up 42.55% year-on-year [17][18] Emerging Industries - The report indicates that the ice and snow industry in China is set to exceed 1 trillion yuan in scale, reflecting the growth potential in niche markets [5][8] - The focus on new energy vehicles and related infrastructure is expected to drive demand for lithium battery equipment, with significant investment opportunities identified [28][30] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on leading companies in the copper and aluminum sectors, as well as those involved in AI and semiconductor technologies, due to their strong growth prospects [20][24][31] - Specific companies highlighted for investment include Zijin Mining, Yunnan Aluminum, and leading AI firms such as Hikvision and Huya [20][24][36]

登记编码：S0730511010001 zhanggang@ccnew.com 021-50586990 传媒互联网领涨 A 股小幅上行 ——市场分析 分析师：张刚 相关报告 《市场分析：观望情绪提升 A 股宽幅震荡》 2025-11-21 《市场分析：银行地产行业领涨 A 股震荡整 固》 2025-11-20 《市场分析：船舶贵金属领涨 A 股小幅上行》 2025-11-19 联系人： 李智 电话： 0371-65585629 地址： 郑州郑东新区商务外环路10号18楼 地址： 上海浦东新区世纪大道 1788 号 T1 座 22 楼 证券研究报告-市场分析 发布日期：2025 年 11 月 24 日 投资要点： ◼ A 股市场综述 周一（11 月 24 日）A 股市场先抑后扬、小幅震荡上行，早盘股指高 开后震荡回落，盘中沪指在 3816 点附近获得支撑，随后股指维持震 荡，尾盘企稳回升，盘中船舶制造、文化传媒、航天航空以及软件 开发等行业表现较好；能源金属、保险、航空机场以及化肥等行业 表现较弱，沪指全天基本呈现小幅上行的运行特征。创业板市场周 一震荡上扬，创业板成分指数全天表现强于主板市场。 ◼ 后市研判 ...