Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the computer industry, indicating a positive outlook compared to the market [1]. Core Insights - The acceleration of AI applications is expected to significantly reshape the global AI competitive landscape, particularly with the anticipated release of DeepSeek's V4 model [7]. - The Chinese AI cloud market is projected to reach 51.8 billion yuan by 2025 and 193 billion yuan by 2030, with Alibaba aiming to capture 80% of the market's incremental growth in 2026 [7]. - The report highlights the ongoing trend of domestic chip manufacturers gaining market share due to restrictions on foreign competitors, particularly Nvidia's H200 [7]. Summary by Sections Industry Data - From January to November 2025, the software industry revenue reached 13.98 trillion yuan, growing by 13.3% year-on-year, marking a continuous recovery over nine months [13]. - The IC design sector showed the highest growth rate at 16.5%, outperforming the overall software industry growth [18]. AI Developments - Major AI models such as OpenAI's GPT-5 and DeepSeek's V3.2 are leading the market, with DeepSeek's models expected to challenge established players significantly [41][46]. - The report notes that the trend of using domestic chips for training large models is expected to gain momentum in 2026, with DeepSeek already optimizing its models for compatibility with domestic chips [66]. Domestic Market Trends - The report emphasizes the increasing number of devices running on Huawei's HarmonyOS, which has surpassed 36 million, indicating a strong push towards domestic technology adoption [7]. - The AI cloud market is becoming increasingly competitive, with Alibaba and Volcano Engine emerging as the two dominant players [7]. Investment Opportunities - The report suggests focusing on companies like Runze Technology, Sugon, and Zhongke Shuguang, which have significant roles in the AI infrastructure and domestic chip development [7]. - It also highlights the potential of companies like Changxin Technology and Chipone Semiconductor, which are actively pursuing IPOs [7].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the lithium battery industry relative to the CSI 300 index [2]. Core Insights - The new energy storage market is experiencing significant growth, with global new energy storage installations expected to reach 74.1 GW/177.8 GWh by the end of 2024, representing year-on-year growth of 62.5% and 61.9% respectively. In China, the new energy storage capacity is projected to increase by 103% and 136% to 43.7 GW/109.8 GWh [10][17]. - Lithium batteries are expected to dominate the energy storage technology landscape, with shipments in China reaching 430 GWh in the first three quarters of 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 99.07% [10][24]. - The report highlights the supportive policy environment for the energy storage industry, with multiple initiatives launched by the Chinese government to promote the development of new energy storage technologies [10][35]. Summary by Sections 1. Energy Storage Industry Overview - The global energy system is undergoing significant changes to meet carbon neutrality commitments, with a focus on increasing the share of renewable energy [15][16]. - Energy storage technologies are categorized into mechanical and electrochemical storage, with pumped storage being the most mature technology [16][22]. 2. Energy Storage Policies - Since 2021, the Chinese government has introduced a series of policies to support the development of energy storage, including the "New Energy Storage Manufacturing High-Quality Development Action Plan" [35][36]. - The goal is to achieve over 100 million kW of new energy storage capacity by 2027, with significant investments expected [36][37]. 3. Electrochemical Energy Storage - Lithium-ion batteries are highlighted as the most mature and widely used technology in energy storage, with a market share of 97.5% in new energy storage technologies [24][29]. - The report discusses the advantages of lithium batteries, including high energy density and long lifespan, while also noting safety risks [22][24]. 4. Mechanical Energy Storage - Pumped storage remains a significant part of the energy storage landscape, accounting for 54.3% of total storage capacity as of the end of 2024 [24][29]. - Other mechanical storage technologies, such as compressed air and flywheel storage, are also discussed, highlighting their respective advantages and limitations [22][24]. 5. Henan Province Energy Storage Overview - Henan Province has implemented policies to accelerate the development of new energy storage technologies, aiming for a scale of over 15 million kW by 2030 [10][36]. - Key companies in the Henan energy storage sector include multiple firms specializing in lithium, sodium, and flow batteries [10][36].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the computer industry, indicating a positive outlook compared to the market [1]. Core Insights - The acceleration of AI applications is expected to significantly alter the global AI competitive landscape, particularly with the anticipated release of DeepSeek's V4 model [7]. - The Chinese AI cloud market is projected to reach 51.8 billion yuan by 2025 and 193 billion yuan by 2030, with Alibaba aiming to capture 80% of the market's incremental growth in 2026 [7]. - The report highlights the ongoing trend of domestic chip manufacturers gaining market share due to restrictions on foreign competitors like NVIDIA [7]. Summary by Sections Industry Data - From January to November 2025, the software industry revenue reached 13.98 trillion yuan, growing by 13.3% year-on-year, marking a continuous recovery over nine months [13]. - The IC design sector showed a robust growth of 16.5% during the same period, outperforming the overall software industry growth [18]. AI Developments - Major AI models such as OpenAI's GPT-5 and DeepSeek's V3.2 are leading the market, with DeepSeek's models expected to challenge established players significantly [39][44]. - The report notes that the trend of using domestic chips for training large models is anticipated to grow in 2026, with DeepSeek already optimizing its models for compatibility with local hardware [63]. Domestic Market Trends - The report emphasizes the increasing importance of domestic chip manufacturers, as restrictions on foreign technology create opportunities for local firms [7]. - The number of devices running Huawei's HarmonyOS has surpassed 36 million, indicating strong growth in the domestic software ecosystem [7]. Investment Opportunities - The report suggests focusing on companies like Runze Technology, Sugon, and Huada Jiutian, which are positioned well within the AI and chip sectors [7]. - The ongoing IPOs of companies like Changxin Technology and Chipone Semiconductor are highlighted as potential investment opportunities in the semiconductor space [7].

分析师：张刚 登记编码：S0730511010001 zhanggang@ccnew.com 021-50586990 晨会聚焦 资料来源：聚源，中原证券研究所 -9% -2% 5% 12% 19% 26% 32% 39% 2025.01 2025.05 2025.09 2026.01 上证指数 深证成指 | 国内市场表现 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 指数名称 | | 昨日收盘价 | 涨跌幅(%) | | 上证指数 | | 4,116.94 | 0.08 | | 深证成指 | | 14,255.12 | 0.70 | | 创业板指 | | 2,022.77 | -0.47 | | 沪深 | 300 | 4,723.07 | 0.09 | | 上证 | 50 | 2,443.97 | -0.52 | | 科创 | 50 | 891.46 | 0.14 | | 创业板 | 50 | 1,924.26 | -0.67 | | 中证 | 100 | 4,630.50 | 0.26 | | 中证 | 500 | 8,340.11 | 1.12 | | 中证 | 1000 | ...

Market Overview - On January 21, the A-share market opened lower but experienced a slight upward trend, with the Shanghai Composite Index facing resistance around 4135 points[2] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4116.94 points, up 0.08%, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 0.70% to 14255.13 points[7] - Total trading volume for both markets was 26,240 billion yuan, slightly lower than the previous trading day[3] Sector Performance - Strong performers included precious metals, energy metals, semiconductors, and electronic components, while coal, liquor, retail, and power equipment sectors lagged[3] - Over 60% of stocks in the two markets saw gains, with significant inflows into semiconductors, computer equipment, and non-ferrous metals[7] Valuation Metrics - The average price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for the Shanghai Composite and ChiNext indices are 16.87 times and 52.56 times, respectively, above the median levels of the past three years[3] - The current trading volume is above the median of the past three years, indicating a healthy market activity level[3] Future Outlook - The central bank's recent actions, including interest rate cuts, suggest there is still room for further easing to support economic transformation and boost market confidence[3] - Short-term adjustments are expected to be limited, with a focus on performance and industry trends for future market momentum[3] Investment Recommendations - Investors are advised to closely monitor macroeconomic data, changes in overseas liquidity, and policy developments[3] - Short-term investment opportunities are recommended in sectors such as semiconductors, electronic components, energy metals, and non-ferrous metals[3]

分析师：张刚 登记编码：S0730511010001 zhanggang@ccnew.com 021-50586990 晨会聚焦 资料来源：Wind,中原证券 -9% -2% 5% 12% 19% 26% 33% 40% 2025.01 2025.05 2025.09 2026.01 上证指数 深证成指 | 国内市场表现 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 指数名称 | | 昨日收盘价 | | 涨跌幅(%) | | 上证指数 | | 4,113.65 | | -0.01 | | 深证成指 | | 14,155.63 | | -0.97 | | 创业板指 | | 2,022.77 | | -0.47 | | 沪深 | 300 | 4,718.88 | | -0.33 | | 上证 | 50 | 2,443.97 | | -0.52 | | 科创 | 50 | 891.46 | | 0.14 | | 创业板 | 50 | 1,924.26 | | -0.67 | | 中证 | 100 | 4,618.40 | | -0.49 | | 中证 | 500 | 8,2 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Outperform the Market" for the automotive industry [5] Core Insights - The automotive industry in China is expected to achieve record production and sales in 2025, driven by policies encouraging vehicle trade-ins and the release of new models [5] - The passenger vehicle market is experiencing steady growth, with production and sales surpassing 30 million units in 2025, and domestic brands capturing nearly 70% of the market share [5] - The commercial vehicle market is recovering, with production and sales exceeding 4 million units, particularly in the new energy heavy truck segment, which has seen significant growth [5] - New energy vehicles (NEVs) are rapidly increasing in production and sales, achieving a market share of 47.9% in 2025, with domestic sales surpassing 50% [5] - The report highlights two main investment themes: the acceleration of L3 autonomous driving technology and the transition of automotive technology towards robotics and liquid cooling systems [5] Industry Performance Review - As of January 20, 2026, the automotive (CITIC) industry index rose by 4.07%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 2.15 percentage points [10] - Over 75% of automotive stocks increased in value during the same period, with notable performers including Jiaoyun Co., Saifu Technology, and Siliang Zhichui [16] - The automotive sector's PE (TTM) ratio stands at 34.4 times, placing it in the 46th percentile over the past five years [19] Key Data Tracking - In 2025, the total production and sales of automobiles reached 34.53 million and 34.40 million units, respectively, marking year-on-year increases of 10.4% and 9.4% [27] - The passenger vehicle segment produced and sold 30.27 million and 30.10 million units, reflecting growth rates of 10.2% and 9.2% year-on-year [41] - The commercial vehicle sector saw production and sales of 4.26 million and 4.30 million units, with year-on-year growth of 12% and 10.9% [56] - NEVs achieved production and sales of 16.63 million and 16.49 million units, with year-on-year growth of 29% and 28.2% [67] Important Industry Company News - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, along with other departments, held a meeting to discuss the competitive order in the NEV industry, emphasizing the need for fair competition and quality [87] - The Ministry of Commerce reported that over 1.15 million vehicles were traded in under the vehicle replacement program in 2025, contributing significantly to consumer spending [88] - Geely Auto received a license for L3 autonomous driving road tests, marking a significant step in the commercialization of advanced driving technologies [88]

Market Overview - On January 20, the A-share market experienced a slight fluctuation, with the Shanghai Composite Index facing resistance around 4128 points before retreating[2][3] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4113.65 points, down 0.01%, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.97% to 14155.63 points[7][8] - Total trading volume for both markets reached 28,044 billion yuan, above the median of the past three years[3][14] Sector Performance - Strong performers included banking, insurance, precious metals, and real estate sectors, while communication equipment, aerospace, photovoltaic equipment, and computer equipment sectors lagged[3][7] - Over 50% of stocks in the two markets declined, with notable gains in precious metals, chemical raw materials, cement, and real estate development sectors[7] Valuation Metrics - The average price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for the Shanghai Composite and ChiNext indices are 16.85 times and 53.40 times, respectively, above the median levels of the past three years, indicating a suitable environment for medium to long-term investments[3][14] Economic Indicators - The central bank has indicated that there is still room for further interest rate cuts this year, aiming to support economic transformation and boost market confidence[3][14] - Regulatory measures are being implemented to encourage long-term capital inflow while maintaining market stability through adjustments in margin trading and transaction regulations[3][4] Investment Recommendations - Investors are advised to focus on financial, real estate, precious metals, and engineering construction sectors for short-term opportunities[3][14] - Future market trends are expected to concentrate on performance and industry trends, with a likelihood of the Shanghai Composite Index maintaining a slight upward trend[3][14]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Outperform the Market" for the automotive industry [5] Core Insights - The automotive industry in China is expected to achieve record production and sales in 2025, driven by policies encouraging vehicle trade-ins and the release of new models [5] - The passenger vehicle market is showing steady growth, with production and sales surpassing 30 million units in 2025, and domestic brands capturing nearly 70% of the market share [5] - The commercial vehicle market is recovering, with production and sales exceeding 4 million units, particularly strong performance in the new energy heavy truck segment [5] - New energy vehicles (NEVs) are experiencing rapid growth, with production and sales reaching approximately 1.66 million units in 2025, accounting for nearly 50.8% of domestic sales [5] - The report highlights two main investment themes: the acceleration of L3 level autonomous driving commercialization and the transition of automotive technology towards robotics and liquid cooling systems [5] Industry Performance Review - As of January 20, 2026, the automotive (CITIC) industry index increased by 4.07%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 2.15 percentage points [10] - Over 75% of automotive stocks saw an increase in value, with notable performers including Jiaoyun Co., Saifu Technology, and Siliang Zhidu [16] - The automotive sector's PE (TTM) is at 34.4 times, ranking 15th among 30 CITIC primary industries, while the PB (LF) is at 2.7 times, ranking 80th percentile [19] Key Data Tracking Industry Overview - In 2025, the total production and sales of automobiles reached 34.53 million and 34.40 million units, respectively, marking a year-on-year increase of 10.4% and 9.4% [27] Passenger Vehicles - Passenger vehicle production and sales for 2025 reached 30.27 million and 30.10 million units, with year-on-year growth of 10.2% and 9.2% [41] Commercial Vehicles - Commercial vehicle production and sales for 2025 totaled 4.26 million and 4.30 million units, reflecting year-on-year increases of 12% and 10.9% [56] New Energy Vehicles - New energy vehicle production and sales reached 1.66 million and 1.65 million units in 2025, with a market share of 47.9%, up 7.01 percentage points year-on-year [67]

Investment Rating - The report rates the electrical equipment industry as "Outperforming the Market," indicating an expected increase of over 10% in the industry index relative to the CSI 300 over the next six months [17]. Core Insights - The demand for electrical equipment is robust, driven by significant investments in the energy sector, particularly in green and low-carbon transitions, as well as the construction of new power systems [4][8]. - The State Grid's investment plan for the 14th Five-Year Plan period is projected to reach 4 trillion yuan, a 40% increase compared to the previous plan, focusing on enhancing transmission capabilities and supporting large clean energy bases [4][8]. - The electrical equipment sector is expected to benefit from structural opportunities, particularly in areas such as smart grid upgrades, digitalization, and the integration of renewable energy sources [8]. - There is a notable shortage of overseas electrical equipment supply, creating opportunities for domestic products to expand into international markets, especially in developed countries and Southeast Asia [8]. Summary by Sections Investment Trends - The total investment in the electrical grid is expected to exceed 825 billion yuan in 2025, primarily for ultra-high voltage projects and digital upgrades [8]. - The investment in power grid projects has shown a consistent upward trend, with significant year-on-year growth anticipated [11][15]. Market Opportunities - The report highlights key areas for investment, including ultra-high voltage equipment, smart distribution networks, and digital infrastructure, which are expected to see increased demand [9]. - The focus on new energy integration and grid technology presents long-term growth opportunities for companies with technological advantages [8][9]. Export Growth - Exports of key electrical equipment products, such as transformers and switchgear, have seen substantial growth, with increases exceeding 35% in the first three quarters of 2025 [8].