Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the industry, indicating a positive outlook compared to the broader market [3]. Core Insights - The AI application landscape is rapidly evolving, with significant advancements expected in 2026, which will impact traditional sectors such as software, film, and media [6]. - Domestic AI models are increasingly competitive with international counterparts, particularly in terms of performance and cost, suggesting a potential shift in the global AI model competition [6]. - The demand for AI inference is rising sharply, leading to increased pricing actions from model and cloud service providers, which benefits companies within the industry [6]. Industry Data Summary 1. Industry Data - The software industry in 2025 is projected to generate revenues of 15.48 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 13.2% [12]. - The IC design sector is expected to grow by 18.9% in 2025, while cloud computing and big data services are anticipated to grow by 13.6% [19]. - The information technology service revenue is expected to increase by 14.7%, further solidifying its share of the overall software business revenue to 68.7% [27]. 2. AI Developments - Major AI models are being released, with significant competition expected in the market, particularly with the upcoming launches of models like DeepSeek-V4 and others in February 2026 [33]. - The pricing of domestic models is significantly lower than that of international models, enhancing their attractiveness for various applications [39]. - The user engagement for AI applications is increasing, with notable growth in active users for platforms like Gemini and ChatGPT [44]. 3. Domestic Market Dynamics - Domestic chip manufacturers are expected to benefit from restrictions on foreign competitors, with companies like Huawei and Dawning making significant advancements in AI computing capabilities [6]. - The report highlights the increasing capital expenditures from overseas tech firms, raising concerns about market dynamics [6]. - The MaaS (Model as a Service) market is projected to grow rapidly, with significant contributions from companies like ByteDance and Alibaba [56].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Outperform" for the agricultural, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry [8] Core Insights - The report highlights the stabilization and rebound of pig prices, with the "No. 1 Document" reiterating the importance of biological breeding [8] - The report emphasizes the significance of the biological breeding industry for achieving self-sufficiency in seed sources and enhancing grain production capacity [19][20] - The report indicates that the industry is currently undervalued, with price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) ratios below historical averages, suggesting potential for valuation recovery [8] Summary by Sections Market Review - In January 2026, the agricultural, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery index rose by 1.63%, underperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index, which increased by 1.65% [11] - The animal health sector showed strong performance, while the timber processing sector lagged [11] Biological Breeding - The "No. 1 Document" emphasizes the need to promote the industrialization of biological breeding, which is crucial for achieving self-reliance in seed sources and enhancing grain production [19][20] Livestock Farming Data Tracking - In January 2026, the average price of pigs was 12.68 yuan/kg, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 9.58% but a year-on-year decrease of 19.52% [21] - The average price of white feather chickens rose to 3.73 yuan/jin, with a month-on-month increase of 1.36% and a year-on-year increase of 2.75% [28] Pet Food Exports - In December 2025, pet food exports reached 37,700 tons, a year-on-year increase of 15.49%, while the total export value for the year was 1.41 billion USD, a decrease of 4.62% [35] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies such as Muyuan Foods, Pulike, Qiule Seed Industry, Guobao Pet, Zhongchong Co., and Petty Co., as they are expected to benefit from the industry's recovery [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" investment rating for the communication industry [4][7]. Core Insights - In January 2026, the communication industry index increased by 5.47%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index (+3.76%), CSI 300 Index (+1.65%), Shenzhen Component Index (+5.03%), and ChiNext Index (+4.47%) [3][13]. - The capital expenditure of the four major North American cloud providers is expected to grow significantly, with a projected increase of over 60% in 2026 [6][24]. - The procurement results for special optical cables by China Mobile indicate that eight manufacturers, including Tongding Interconnection and Yangtze Optical Fibre and Cable, have been selected, highlighting the focus on key sectors such as industrial manufacturing and digital government [6][7]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The communication industry index showed a strong performance in January 2026, with a 5.47% increase, outperforming major indices [3][13]. - Sub-sectors within the communication industry saw varied performance, with cable, other communication equipment, and system equipment rising by 19.70%, 10.72%, and 7.85% respectively [16]. Telecommunications Sector - In 2025, the telecommunications business revenue reached CNY 1.75 trillion, a year-on-year increase of 0.7% [6][45]. - By December 2025, 5G mobile phone users accounted for 65.9% of total mobile phone users, with a monthly data usage (DOU) of 23.04GB per user, reflecting a 17.0% year-on-year increase [6][45]. Cloud Infrastructure Investment - The combined capital expenditure of the four major North American cloud providers in Q4 2025 was USD 126 billion, marking a 62.0% year-on-year increase [24][25]. - For 2026, the total capital expenditure guidance for these providers exceeds USD 660 billion, with an expected growth of 61.0% [24][25]. AI and Smartphone Market - The retail sales of communication equipment in China increased by 20.9% year-on-year in December 2025, driven by the demand for smartphones [44]. - The global smartphone shipment is projected to grow by 2% in 2025, reaching 1.25 billion units, with AI smartphones expected to penetrate 34% of the market by 2025 [6][44]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies involved in optical devices, optical chips, optical modules, and AI smartphones, including Tianfu Communication, ZTE, and China Mobile [7][6].

Economic Performance - In 2025, China's GDP reached 1401879 billion CNY, growing by 5.0% year-on-year, meeting the growth target[11] - Henan Province's GDP was 66632.79 billion CNY, with a year-on-year growth of 5.6%, exceeding the initial target of 5.5%[19] - The industrial added value in Henan grew by 8.4%, outperforming the national average by 2.5 percentage points[20] Consumption and Investment - Henan's total retail sales of consumer goods reached 29090.50 billion CNY, increasing by 5.6%, which is 1.9 percentage points higher than the national average[21] - Fixed asset investment in Henan grew by 4.0%, leading among the six central provinces, with industrial investment showing a robust increase of 13.3%[22] Trade and Exports - Henan's total foreign trade value reached 9356.7 billion CNY, a 14.1% increase, significantly higher than the national average of 3.8%[23] - High-tech product exports from Henan surged by 27.5 percentage points to 18.7%, with electric vehicles, lithium batteries, and photovoltaic products showing substantial growth[24] Market Trends - In January 2026, the Henan Index rose by 7.52%, outperforming major indices like the Shanghai Composite and CSI 300[6] - The top three A-shares in Henan for January 2026 were Yuguang Gold Lead (89.87%), Zhongcheng Technology (37.72%), and Guangli Technology (35.67%)[6] Policy and Regulatory Environment - In January 2026, financial regulatory bodies introduced policies to support the real economy and expand domestic demand, focusing on fostering new productive forces[33] - The Henan provincial government implemented several policies aimed at improving economic performance and enhancing living standards in early 2026[37]

联系人：李智 河南资本市场月报 分析师：李济生 登记编码：S0730522100002 lijs@ccnew.com 分析师：郑婷 登记编码：S0730524110001 zhengting@ccnew.com 相关报告 《河南资本市场月报（2026 年第 1 期）》 2026-1-15 《河南资本市场月报（2025 年第 11 期）》 2025-12-9 （2026 年第 2 期） 证券研究报告 发布日期：2026 年 2 月 13 日 投资要点： 风险提示：全球贸易和产业管制政策带来的不确定性风险；经济增长和 业绩不及预期；市场流动性风险。 本报告版权属于中原证券研究所股份有限公司 www.ccnew.com 请阅读最后一页各项声明 第 1页/共 20页 电话： 0371-65585629 地址： 郑州郑东新区商务外环路10号18楼 地址： 上海浦东新区世纪大道 1788 号 T1 座 22 楼 经济运行情况：2025 年，我国国内生产总值达到 1401879 亿元，比 上年增长 5.0%，经济增速目标圆满完成；2025 年河南省 GDP 达到 66632.79亿元，总规模位居全国第六、中部第一，GDP同 ...

Core Insights - The report highlights a positive outlook for the semiconductor industry, driven by increased capital expenditure from major cloud companies and a robust demand for AI infrastructure [22][24][25] - The electric power sector is expected to benefit from a significant increase in installed capacity, with a focus on renewable energy sources such as solar and wind [27][28][29] - The food and beverage sector shows mixed performance, with certain sub-sectors like prepared foods and snacks performing well, while others face challenges [19][20] Domestic Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4,134.02, with a slight increase of 0.05%, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 0.86% to 14,283.00 [4] - The A-share market has shown resilience, with average P/E ratios for the Shanghai Composite and ChiNext at 16.91 and 53.15, respectively, indicating a favorable environment for medium to long-term investments [10][11] International Market Performance - Major international indices such as the Dow Jones and S&P 500 experienced declines of 0.67% and 0.45%, respectively, reflecting a cautious global market sentiment [5] Industry Analysis - The semiconductor industry saw a strong performance in January 2026, with a 18.63% increase in the domestic semiconductor index, significantly outperforming the broader market [22][23] - The electric power sector's installed capacity reached 38.9 billion kilowatts by the end of 2025, marking a 16.1% year-on-year increase, with solar and wind energy contributing significantly to this growth [27][28] - The food and beverage sector's sales in January 2026 showed a slight increase of 0.11% year-on-year, with a notable decline in month-on-month sales due to policy changes [19][20] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a balanced investment strategy focusing on technology sectors, particularly AI and high-end manufacturing, while also considering opportunities in consumer sectors [10][11][15] - In the semiconductor space, investors are encouraged to look at companies benefiting from AI demand and increased capital expenditures from cloud providers [24][25][26] - For the electric power sector, a "barbell strategy" is recommended, focusing on stable, high-dividend companies as well as growth opportunities in renewable energy [27][29]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Outperform the Market" for the lithium battery industry [1][6]. Core Insights - The lithium battery sector showed a strong performance in January 2026, with the lithium battery index rising by 3.31%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 1.66 percentage points [3][10]. - In January 2026, China's new energy vehicle sales slightly increased to 945,000 units, a year-on-year growth of 0.11%, while the monthly sales accounted for 40.28% of total vehicle sales [6][16]. - The report highlights a general increase in upstream raw material prices, with battery-grade lithium carbonate and lithium hydroxide prices rising by 19.17% and 26.67%, respectively, as of February 12, 2026 [6][44]. - The overall industry outlook remains positive, with expectations of continued growth in the new energy vehicle and lithium battery sectors, despite potential fluctuations in sales growth rates due to policy changes and market conditions [20][23]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Review - The lithium battery index outperformed the Shanghai Composite Index in January 2026, with a 3.31% increase compared to the 1.65% rise of the latter [3][10]. - Among individual stocks, 55 lithium battery-related stocks rose, while 49 fell, with a median increase of 0.87% [10]. 2. New Energy Vehicle Sales and Industry Prices - In January 2026, new energy vehicle sales in China reached 945,000 units, showing a slight year-on-year increase of 0.11% [6][16]. - The report notes that the sales of new energy vehicles are expected to maintain a high growth trajectory, with exports also showing significant increases [20][26]. 3. Industry and Company News - The report mentions significant developments in the industry, including strategic partnerships and advancements in battery technology, which are expected to enhance the competitive landscape [58].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Outperform" for the lithium battery industry [6][10]. Core Insights - The lithium battery sector index outperformed the CSI 300 index in January 2026, with a rise of 3.31% compared to the CSI 300's 1.65% [3][10]. - In January 2026, China's new energy vehicle sales slightly increased to 945,000 units, a year-on-year growth of 0.11%, while the power battery installation reached 42.0 GWh, up 8.25% year-on-year [6][16]. - The prices of upstream raw materials have generally increased, with battery-grade lithium carbonate and lithium hydroxide prices rising by 19.17% and 26.67% respectively since early January 2026 [6][44][46]. - The report emphasizes the overall upward trend in industry prosperity, driven by domestic and international developments, price trends in sub-sectors, monthly sales, and industry growth expectations [6][10]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Review - The lithium battery sector index showed a strong performance in January 2026, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 1.66 percentage points [3][10]. - Among individual stocks, 55 stocks in the lithium battery concept sector rose, while 49 fell, with a median increase of 0.87% [10]. 2. New Energy Vehicle Sales and Industry Prices - In January 2026, new energy vehicle sales in China were 945,000 units, with a monthly market share of 40.28% [6][16]. - The report forecasts continued growth in the new energy vehicle sector, despite a projected slowdown in sales growth due to policy changes and base effects [20][23]. 3. Industry and Company News - The report highlights significant industry developments, including the establishment of a large electric vehicle charging network in China, which supports over 40 million new energy vehicles [58]. - Notable partnerships and technological advancements in the battery sector are also discussed, indicating ongoing innovation and collaboration within the industry [58].

Core Insights - The report highlights the strong performance of the semiconductor industry, with a significant increase in capital expenditure from major cloud companies, indicating a bullish outlook for the sector [21][22][23] - The report emphasizes the recovery in the chemical industry, with prices of key chemical products showing signs of improvement, suggesting potential investment opportunities [29][30] - The report notes the growth in the power generation sector, with a substantial increase in installed capacity and a shift towards renewable energy sources, particularly solar and wind [26][27][28] Domestic Market Performance - The A-share market showed slight fluctuations, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 4,131.98, reflecting a marginal increase of 0.09% [4] - The report indicates that the average P/E ratios for the Shanghai Composite and ChiNext indices are above their three-year median levels, suggesting a favorable environment for medium to long-term investments [10][13] Industry Analysis - The semiconductor industry saw a robust performance in January 2026, with a 18.63% increase in the domestic semiconductor sector, outperforming the broader market [21] - The food and beverage sector experienced a mixed performance, with certain sub-sectors like prepared foods and snacks showing growth, while others faced declines [18][19] - The power and utilities sector outperformed the market, with a 2.76% increase in the sector index, driven by strong demand and supply dynamics [26] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a balanced investment strategy focusing on technology sectors, particularly AI and high-end manufacturing, while also considering consumer sectors for potential growth [10][12] - In the chemical sector, it is recommended to focus on industries benefiting from rising raw material prices, such as chlor-alkali and agricultural chemicals [29][30] - The report advises monitoring the developments in the power sector, particularly in renewable energy, as it is expected to continue its growth trajectory [26][28]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "in line with the market," indicating that the industry index is expected to fluctuate between -10% to 10% relative to the CSI 300 index over the next six months [115]. Core Insights - The food and beverage sector experienced a slight increase of 0.55% in January 2026, with a total trading volume of 32.16 billion shares, reflecting a decrease in trading activity compared to December 2025 [7][8]. - Key sub-sectors related to the Spring Festival, such as prepared foods, snacks, and alcoholic beverages, saw price increases, while previously strong sectors like soft drinks and dairy products experienced declines [9][13]. - The investment growth in the food and beverage manufacturing sector remained high in the first half of 2025 but showed signs of decline in the second half, with a notable contraction in the production of liquor and dairy products [7][36]. - The report recommends focusing on investment opportunities in prepared foods, soft drinks, health products, baking, and snacks, with a suggested stock portfolio including companies like Baoli Food, Li Gao Food, and Xianle Health [7][110]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Performance - In January 2026, the food and beverage sector's performance ranked sixth from the bottom among 31 primary industries, indicating a weak overall market trend [13][22]. - The proportion of stocks that increased in value reached 64.84%, with significant improvements in sectors like prepared foods and snacks [25][26]. 2. Valuation - As of January 31, 2026, the food and beverage sector's valuation stood at 19.33 times earnings, which is relatively low compared to historical averages [18][22]. - The liquor sector's valuation was 17.76 times, also at a historical low, while other segments like snacks and prepared foods had significantly higher valuations [18][22]. 3. Individual Stock Performance - Stocks in the snack and prepared food sectors showed strong performance, with notable increases in companies like Qianwei Yangchun and Haoxiangni [26][31]. - The liquor sector displayed mixed results, with some brands like Huangtai Liquor and Water Well Liquor performing well, while others like Yanghe and Moutai faced declines [31][32]. 4. Investment Trends - The food and beverage manufacturing sector's investment growth was robust in early 2025 but began to decline in the latter half of the year, reflecting cautious investment behavior amid rising costs [33][36]. - The production of fresh and frozen meat maintained high growth, while liquor and dairy products continued to see production declines [38][39]. 5. Import and Price Trends - In 2025, imports of corn and wheat saw significant declines, while imports of high-end dairy products and nuts experienced growth [54][56]. - Domestic prices for raw milk are stabilizing, while prices for oils and vegetables are showing upward trends [81][82].