2025 年 11 月 25 日 晨会纪要 研究所： 证券分析师： 余春生 S0350513090001 yucs@ghzq.com.cn [Table_Title] 晨会纪要 ——2025 年第 200 期 观点精粹: 最新报告摘要 收入达指引高端，业务结构优化带动毛利率提升--万物新生/海外(RERE/2180) 点评报告（港股美股） 债市情绪处于分歧之中--债券研究周报 基金发行端回暖，杠杆资金有所放缓--策略周报 广州车展开幕，小鹏 X9 增程版/享界 S9 新款上市，华为举办乾崑大会--行业周报 证券研究报告 1、最新报告摘要 1.1、收入达指引高端，业务结构优化带动毛利率提升--万物新生/海外 (RERE/2180) 点评报告（港股美股） 分析师：马川琪 S0350523050001 联系人：丁婧欣 S0350124040002 事件： 2025 年 11 月 20 日，万物新生（RERE）发布 2025Q3 业绩公告：公司 Q3 营收 51.49 亿元，同比+27.1%； Non-GAAP 经营利润 1.40 亿元，同比+34.9%；Non-GAAP 净利润 1.1 亿元，同比+22.3%。公司 ...

2025 年 11 月 24 日 公司研究 评级：买入(维持) 研究所： 证券分析师： 马川琪 S0350523050001 macq@ghzq.com.cn 联系人 ： 丁婧欣 S0350124040002 dingjx@ghzq.com.cn [Table_Title] 收入达指引高端，业务结构优化带动毛利率提升 ——万物新生（RERE）2025Q3 业绩点评报告 最近一年走势 相对标普 500 表现 | 1M | | 3M | 12M | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 万物新生 | 1.23 | -9.89 | 44.88 | | 标普 500 | -2.01 | 2.10 | 10.62 | | 市场数据 | | | 2025/11/21 | | 当前价格（美元） | | | 4.10 | | 52 周价格区间（美元） | | | 2.00-4.93 | | 总市值（百万美元） | | | 901.25 | | 流通市值（百万美元） | | | 541.32 | | 总股本（万股） | | | 14655.16 | | 流通股本（万股） | | | 8802.41 | | 日 ...

2025 年 11 月 24 日 债券研究周报 研究所： 证券分析师： 颜子琦 S0350525090002 yanzq@ghzq.com.cn 联系人 ： 郭溪源 S0350125090019 guoxy@ghzq.com.cn [Table_Title] 债市情绪处于分歧之中 债券研究周报 最近一年走势 相关报告 本篇报告解决了以下核心问题：最新一周债市卖方与买方的观点情绪变 化； 从我们统计的债市情绪指数来看，11 月 18 日-11 月 24 日（后同），债市 卖方情绪有所上升、买方情绪再度回落，买方卖方情绪走向背离，同时 卖方观点分歧度指数亦抬升至偏高水平。虽然日历效应渐进带来偏乐观 的因素，但市场情绪仍处于矛盾之中，机构谨慎态度未变。 卖方视角，债市情绪有所上升。基于对 24 家卖方机构观点的统计分析， 债市情绪有所上升，多家卖方观点从中性转为偏多。从市场情绪的角度 出发，目前卖方大多数持中性偏多态度，情绪较（11 月 11 日-11 月 17 日）上升，2 家看多，7 家偏多，14 家中性，1 家偏空，其中：①8%机 构均持看多态度，认为经济基本面承压、货币政策宽松预期、季节性规 律、机构抢配行 ...

| 研究所： | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 证券分析师： | | 赵阳 S0350525100003 | | | | zhaoy05@ghzq.com.cn | | 联系人 | ： | 郭可凡 S0350124070038 | | | | guokf@ghzq.com.cn | 2025 年 11 月 24 日 策略周报 [Table_Title] 基金发行端回暖，杠杆资金有所放缓 ——流动性周报 11 月第 1 期 最近一年走势 投资要点: 相关报告 《存款搬家如何演绎——牛市资金面专题研究 (一)*袁稻雨，胡国鹏》——2025-08-10 ETF 系列报告（一）*袁稻雨，胡国鹏》—— 2025-05-30 《业绩基准如何选择*袁稻雨，胡国鹏》—— 2025-05-29 《如何看待近期涨价领域拥挤度偏高的情况*赵 阳》——2025-11-23 《美股 AI 泡沫度量与互联网周期定位*袁野，赵阳》 ——2025-11-16 国海证券研究所 请务必阅读正文后免责条款部分 1. 宏观流动性保持宽松，央行通过公开市场操作开展 7 天逆回购 净投放 5540 亿元，连续两周实现净投放。同时， ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the automotive sector [1] Core Views - The automotive industry is experiencing a decline in performance due to high base effects, with expectations of a decrease in passenger vehicle year-on-year growth by the end of 2025. However, the high-end passenger vehicle market is expected to perform relatively better in 2026 due to policy adjustments [17] - The report highlights the rapid iteration capabilities of new models such as the Xiangjie S9 and Xiaopeng X9, indicating a trend towards advanced driving technologies becoming more accessible [14][15] - The report emphasizes the growth potential in the commercial vehicle sector, particularly heavy trucks, with a recovery in domestic demand anticipated in 2025 [17] Summary by Sections Recent Trends - The automotive sector has underperformed compared to the Shanghai Composite Index, with a weekly decline of 4.9% from November 17 to November 21, 2025 [5][18] - The Guangzhou Auto Show showcased 93 new car launches, with 58% being new energy vehicles, indicating a strong market presence for innovative technologies [13] Key Developments - The launch of the Xiangjie S9 and Xiaopeng X9 models reflects the industry's focus on high-end features and rapid product updates, with prices ranging from 309,800 to 369,800 yuan for the S9 [14] - Huawei's conference highlighted advancements in L3 autonomous driving technology, predicting a penetration rate of 30% by 2025 and over 50% by 2027 [15][16] Recommendations - For passenger vehicles, companies with quality offerings above 300,000 yuan are expected to benefit, with recommendations including Jianghuai Automobile, Geely, Xiaopeng, Great Wall, SAIC, Li Auto, Seres, and BYD [17] - In the parts sector, companies benefiting from the penetration of high-level intelligence into lower-priced models are recommended, including Huayang Group, Desay SV, and Kobot [17] - In the commercial vehicle segment, companies like Weichai Power, Foton, and China National Heavy Duty Truck are recommended due to expected recovery in heavy truck demand [17]

Group 1 - The smart electric vehicle business of Xiaomi Group achieved its first quarterly profit, with a record high profit in Q3 2025, reporting revenue of approximately 113.1 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 22.3% [4][5] - The automotive segment saw a significant increase in revenue, reaching 283 billion RMB in Q3 2025, a year-on-year growth of 197.9%, driven by an increase in delivery volume and average selling price (ASP) [7] - The IoT and lifestyle products segment maintained year-on-year growth, achieving revenue of 276 billion RMB in Q3 2025, despite subsidy reductions [6] Group 2 - Top Group reported a revenue of 209.28 billion RMB for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 8.14%, with a notable growth in the automotive electronics business [10] - The company’s Q3 2025 revenue reached 79.94 billion RMB, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter increase of 11.53%, primarily due to increased sales from key customers [10][11] Group 3 - Baidu Group's total revenue for Q3 2025 was approximately 311.74 billion RMB, a year-on-year decline of 7%, influenced by decreases in online marketing and iQIYI revenues [13][15] - The AI-driven marketing services within Baidu's core business saw a significant increase, with revenue reaching 28 billion RMB, a year-on-year growth of 262% [15] Group 4 - XPeng Motors reported a revenue of 203.8 billion RMB in Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 101.8%, with automotive revenue contributing 180.5 billion RMB [19][20] - The company expects Q4 2025 deliveries to reach between 125,000 and 132,000 units, representing a year-on-year growth of 36.6% to 44.3% [21] Group 5 - Lenovo Group reported a revenue of approximately 204.52 billion USD for FY2026Q2, a year-on-year increase of 15%, with AI-related business revenue accounting for 30% of total revenue [24][25] - The infrastructure solutions group within Lenovo saw a revenue increase of 24%, driven by new customer acquisitions and business transformations [26] Group 6 - The AIDC storage report indicates a high demand in the industry, with significant growth expected in the data center storage market, projected to reach 212 GWh globally by 2030 [28][29] - The report highlights that data center storage has shifted from being an optional configuration to a necessity, driven by increasing power density and load demands [29][30]

2025 年 11 月 23 日 行业研究 评级：推荐(维持) 研究所： 证券分析师： 李永磊 S0350521080004 liyl03@ghzq.com.cn 证券分析师： 董伯骏 S0350521080009 dongbj@ghzq.com.cn 证券分析师： 陈云 S0350524070001 cheny17@ghzq.com.cn ——新材料产业周报 最近一年走势 | 2- 11. 1-41. 2 - | | --- | | 行业相对表现 | | | 2025/11/21 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 表现 | 1M | 3M | 12M | | 基础化工 | 1.2% | 1.7% | 16.1% | | 沪深 300 | -3.3% | 3.9% | 11.6% | 相关报告 《化工新材料产业周报：2025H1 中国 AI IaaS 市 场同增 122.4%，2030 年我国动力电池回收市场将 破千亿（推荐）*基础化工*李永磊，董伯骏，陈云》 ——2025-10-26 《化工新材料产业周报：英伟达拟向英特尔投资 50 亿美元，2027 年全国储能装机预计 1.8 亿 ...

证券研究报告 2025年11月23日 机械设备 机械行业专题报告： 摩托车行业2025年10月海关数据更新 -11% 0% 11% 22% 33% 43% 2024/10/24 2025/04/24 2025/10/24 机械设备 沪深300 《机械行业专题报告：摩托车行业2025年1-10月数据更新（推荐）*机械设备* 张钰莹》——2025-11-16 《人形机器人专题5：Sim to Real，具身大模型的问题、现状与投资机会（推 荐）*机械设备*张钰莹》——2025-11-10 《机械行业专题报告：摩托车行业2025年9月海关数据更新（推荐）*机械设备 *张钰莹》——2025-10-26 评级：推荐(维持) 张钰莹(证券分析师) S0350524100004 zhangyy03@ghzq.com.cn 最近一年走势 相关报告 相对沪深300表现 | 表现 | 1M | 3M | 12M | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 机械设备 | -6.0% | -1.6% | 22.7% | | 沪深300 | -3.3% | 3.9% | 11.6% | 请务必阅读报告附注中的风险提示和 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the aluminum industry [1] Core Views - The aluminum price has recently retreated from high levels due to fluctuating expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, with a notable drop in aluminum prices observed [6][9] - The demand for aluminum is entering a traditional off-season, leading to concerns about inventory levels and price stability [9] - Long-term prospects for the aluminum industry remain positive due to limited supply growth and potential demand increases, justifying the "Recommended" rating [9] Summary by Sections Price - As of November 21, the LME three-month aluminum closing price was $2808.0 per ton, down $500.0 from the previous week, a 2.3% decrease [13] - The Shanghai aluminum active contract closing price was 21340.0 yuan per ton, reflecting a 2.4% decrease compared to the previous week [19] Production - In October 2025, the aluminum production was 3.742 million tons, a month-on-month increase of 3.5% and a year-on-year increase of 4.7% [50] - The alumina production for the same month was 7.785 million tons, also showing a month-on-month increase of 2.4% and a year-on-year increase of 12.6% [50] Inventory - As of November 20, the domestic mainstream consumption area of aluminum ingot inventory recorded 621,000 tons, with a slight decrease of 2,500 tons from the previous week [7] - The overall inventory situation remains a concern as the market enters the off-season, with potential risks of inventory accumulation [9] Key Companies and Earnings Forecast - Key companies in the industry include China Hongqiao, Tianshan Aluminum, Shenhuo Co., China Aluminum, and Yun Aluminum, all rated as "Buy" [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the chemical industry [1] Core Views - The chemical industry is expected to benefit from the ongoing "anti-involution" measures, which may lead to a significant slowdown in global chemical capacity expansion. This shift is anticipated to enhance cash flow and dividend yields for companies in the sector, transforming them from cash-consuming entities to cash-generating ones [7][27] - The report highlights the potential for domestic substitutes for Japanese semiconductor materials due to rising tensions in Sino-Japanese relations, which could accelerate the domestic market's growth in this area [6] Summary by Sections Recent Trends - The chemical industry has shown a relative performance increase of 16.1% over the past 12 months, outperforming the CSI 300 index, which increased by 11.6% [4] Key Price Movements - DMC (Dimethyl Carbonate) prices rose to 4400 CNY/ton, up 14.29% week-on-week, driven by strong demand from the electrolyte sector [14] - Lithium battery electrolyte prices increased to 27000 CNY/ton, up 8.00% week-on-week, although profit margins for manufacturers are under pressure due to rising raw material costs [14] - Diammonium phosphate prices in East China reached 3850 CNY/ton, up 5.48% week-on-week, amid rising production costs [14] Investment Opportunities - The report identifies four key opportunities in the chemical sector: 1. Low-cost expansion, focusing on companies like Wanhua Chemical and Hualu Hengsheng [9] 2. Improved industry conditions, particularly in chromium salts and phosphate rock [10] 3. New materials with high growth potential, such as electronic chemicals and aerospace materials [11] 4. High dividend yields from state-owned enterprises in the chemical sector, including China Petroleum and China National Chemical [11] Company Tracking and Earnings Forecast - The report provides a detailed earnings forecast for key companies, indicating a positive outlook for several firms in the chemical sector, with many rated as "Buy" [28]