2025 年 10 月 30 日 公司研究 评级：增持(维持) | 研究所： | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 证券分析师： | 陈晨 | S0350522110007 | | | | chenc09@ghzq.com.cn | | 联系人 | ： 张益 | S0350124100016 | | | | zhangy33@ghzq.com.cn | [Table_Title] 2025Q3 公司煤炭售价回暖，但盈利受量与成本 ——潞安环能（601699）2025 年三季报点评 最近一年走势 事件: 2025 年 10 月 30 日，潞安环能发布 2025 年第三季度报：2025 年前三 季度，公司实现营业收入 211.0 亿元，同比-20.8%；归属于上市公司股 东净利润 15.5 亿元，同比-44.45%。加权平均 ROE 为 3.3%，同比减少 1.2 个百分点。 2025Q3，公司实现营业收入 70.3 亿元，环比-1.0%，同比-21.8%；归属 于母公司所有者的净利润 2.1 亿元，环比-70.2%，同比-64.0%。 | 相对沪深 | 300 | 2025/10/29 | | ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The company has shown continuous high growth in Q3 performance, with significant contributions from its semiconductor business and new product expansions [3][8] - The company achieved a revenue of 2.698 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 11.2%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 519 million yuan, up 38.0% year-on-year [7][8] - The semiconductor segment is a key growth driver, with Q3 revenue from this sector reaching 591 million yuan, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 19.06% and a year-on-year increase of 30.91% [8][11] Financial Performance Summary - For Q3 2025, the company reported a single-quarter revenue of 967 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.6% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 6.5% [7] - The gross profit margin for Q3 was 53.67%, up 5.1 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 22.86%, an increase of 2.37 percentage points year-on-year [7][8] - The operating cash flow for Q3 was 331 million yuan, indicating strong cash generation capabilities [7][19] Segment Performance - The CMP polishing pad business achieved record sales in Q3 with revenue of 320 million yuan, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 25% and a year-on-year increase of 42% [8][11] - The company is expanding its product offerings in semiconductor materials, including new products for large silicon wafers and silicon carbide polishing pads, which are expected to enhance future market potential [11][12] - The company maintains a leading position in domestic supply for semiconductor display materials, with ongoing customer validations for new products [12] Future Projections - Revenue projections for the company are estimated at 3.93 billion yuan, 4.77 billion yuan, and 5.81 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding net profits of 726 million yuan, 912 million yuan, and 1.21 billion yuan [13][20] - The expected growth rates for revenue and net profit are 18% and 39% for 2025, respectively, indicating a robust growth trajectory [13][20]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [1][7]. Core Views - The report highlights a significant improvement in the company's Q3 performance, attributed to a rebound in coking coal prices and effective cost control measures [4][5]. - The company reported a total revenue of 27.18 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 18%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.43 billion yuan, down 50% year-on-year [4]. - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 9.12 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 21% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 1%, with a net profit of 420 million yuan, down 52% year-on-year but up 26% quarter-on-quarter [4][5]. Summary by Sections Company Performance - In Q3 2025, the average price of main coking coal at ports increased by 19% quarter-on-quarter, aiding the company's performance [5]. - The average price of premium metallurgical coke at Rizhao Port was 1,437 yuan/ton, down 23% year-on-year but up 5% quarter-on-quarter [5]. - The company benefited from improved supply-demand dynamics in the coking coal industry due to ongoing policies to curb overproduction and high iron output levels [5]. Cost Management - The company successfully managed costs, with operating costs decreasing by 2.6% quarter-on-quarter and 19% year-on-year in Q3 2025 [5]. - The sales expense ratio was 1.0%, down 0.42 percentage points year-on-year and 0.19 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, while the management expense ratio was 8.3%, down 0.42 percentage points year-on-year and 1.48 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [5]. Earnings Forecast - The company is projected to have revenues of 39.9 billion yuan, 41.7 billion yuan, and 43.6 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year changes of -12%, +5%, and +5% [5][6]. - Net profits are expected to be 2.2 billion yuan, 2.8 billion yuan, and 3.4 billion yuan for the same years, reflecting year-on-year changes of -30%, +27%, and +23% [5][6]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be 0.39 yuan, 0.49 yuan, and 0.60 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, corresponding to price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 19, 15, and 12 times [5][6].

2025 年 10 月 30 日 公司研究 评级：买入(维持) 证券分析师： 陈晨 S0350522110007 [Table_Title] Q3 煤炭销量与价格环比齐升， 业绩环比提升明显 ——华阳股份（600348）2025 年三季报点评 最近一年走势 | 相对沪深 300 | 表现 | | 2025/10/29 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 表现 | 1M | 3M | 12M | | 华阳股份 | 2.9% | 9.3% | 5.5% | | 沪深 300 | 2.8% | 14.3% | 21.0% | | 市场数据 | 2025/10/29 | | --- | --- | | 当前价格（元） | 7.72 | | 周价格区间（元） 52 | 6.17-8.25 | | 总市值（百万） | 27,849.90 | | 流通市值（百万） | 27,849.90 | | 总股本（万股） | 360,750.00 | | 流通股本（万股） | 360,750.00 | | 日均成交额（百万） | 324.96 | | 近一月换手（%） | 1.75 | 相关报告 《华阳股份（ ...

| 研究所： | | | --- | --- | | 证券分析师： | 李永磊 S0350521080004 | | | liyl03@ghzq.com.cn | | 证券分析师： | 董伯骏 S0350521080009 | | | dongbj@ghzq.com.cn | | 证券分析师： | 王鹏 S0350525090001 | | | wangp05@ghzq.com.cn | [Table_Title] Q3 业绩短期承压，赛峰转动件结构件有望助力 成长加速 ——航亚科技（688510）2025 年三季报点评 最近一年走势 | 相对沪深 300 | 表现 | | 2025/10/29 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 表现 | 1M | 3M | 12M | | 航亚科技 | -4.3% | -2.7% | 51.2% | | 沪深 300 | 2.8% | 14.3% | 21.0% | | 市场数据 | 2025/10/29 | | --- | --- | | 当前价格（元） | 25.17 | | 52 周价格区间（元） | 14.50-28.10 | | 总市值（ ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [2][8]. Core Insights - The company has shown significant year-on-year growth in revenue and net profit for Q3 2025, driven by rising prices of products like calcium hydrogen phosphate [4][5]. - The company maintains a mineralization integration development model, enhancing its resource supply capabilities and expanding its production capacity [7]. - The forecast for the company's revenue and net profit shows a positive growth trajectory for 2025-2027, indicating strong growth potential [8]. Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 7.387 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.06%, and a net profit of 437 million yuan, up 2.81% year-on-year [4]. - In Q3 2025, the company reported a revenue of 2.686 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 32.54% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 2.70% [4]. - The gross profit margin for Q3 2025 was 17.17%, a decrease of 0.31 percentage points year-on-year but an increase of 3.07 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [4]. Product Price Trends - The average price of phosphate rock in Q3 2025 was 1,020 yuan/ton, showing a year-on-year increase of 0.24% [5]. - The average price of calcium hydrogen phosphate rose to 3,089 yuan/ton in Q3 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 21% [5][11]. Resource and Production Capacity - The company has approximately 130 million tons of phosphate rock resource reserves across three major mines, with plans to increase annual production capacity to 4.1 million tons [7]. - The company is actively pursuing exploration and development of lithium and vanadium-titanium resources, which will further enhance its resource base [7]. Earnings Forecast - The projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 9.3 billion yuan, 9.7 billion yuan, and 10.2 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 602 million yuan, 741 million yuan, and 910 million yuan [8][19].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The company achieved a record high profit in Q3 2025, with revenue growth driven by both volume and price increases in tire products [9] - The company is expanding its overseas production bases, enhancing its global trade network and competitive advantage [12][13] - The company has made significant breakthroughs in brand partnerships, becoming the exclusive tire supplier for a major joint venture SUV model [10] Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported revenue of 27.587 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.76%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.872 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 11.47% [8] - In Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of 10 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 18.01%, and a net profit of 1.041 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.71% [8] - The gross profit margin for Q3 2025 was 25.09%, a year-on-year decrease of 2.60 percentage points, while the net profit margin was 10.72%, a year-on-year decrease of 2.43 percentage points [8] Future Projections - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 37.091 billion yuan, 42.206 billion yuan, and 51.322 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding net profits of 4.128 billion yuan, 4.942 billion yuan, and 5.909 billion yuan [14][15] - The expected price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 12.26, 10.24, and 8.56 respectively [14][15]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Zhejiang Longsheng (600352) as of October 30, 2025 [1]. Core Insights - The company has shown steady growth in net profit attributable to shareholders, with a 3.23% year-on-year increase in the first three quarters of 2025, despite an 8.85% decline in revenue [6][9]. - The dye industry remains competitive, with domestic overcapacity leading to low sales prices, but the company is leveraging its leading position to maintain market share [6][7]. Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, Zhejiang Longsheng achieved revenue of 9.671 billion yuan, down 8.85% year-on-year, while net profit reached 1.397 billion yuan, up 3.23% [6]. - In Q3 2025, the company reported revenue of 3.166 billion yuan, a decrease of 13.39% year-on-year, but net profit increased by 4.00% to 469 million yuan [5]. - The gross profit margin for the first three quarters was 29.32%, an increase of 0.71 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 16.47%, up 1.78 percentage points [6]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is focusing on direct sales in the dye sector and maintaining its distribution business to enhance its competitive edge during industry downturns [7]. - In the first three quarters, the company sold 174,617 tons of dyes, an increase of 188 tons year-on-year, demonstrating stable market share growth [7]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The report projects revenues for 2025-2027 to be 14.816 billion, 19.473 billion, and 22.659 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits of 2.125 billion, 2.460 billion, and 2.904 billion yuan [9]. - The corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios are expected to be 16, 14, and 12 times for the respective years [9].

2025 年 10 月 30 日 公司研究 评级：买入(维持) 研究所： 证券分析师： 李永磊 S0350521080004 liyl03@ghzq.com.cn 证券分析师： 董伯骏 S0350521080009 dongbj@ghzq.com.cn 证券分析师： 李振方 S0350524080003 lizf@ghzq.com.cn [Table_Title] 越南三期项目顺利推进，2025 年 Q3 单季度归 母净利润同环比改善 ——贵州轮胎（000589）2025 年三季报点评 最近一年走势 | 相对沪深 | 表现 300 | | | 2025/10/29 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 表现 | | 1M | 3M | 12M | | 贵州轮胎 | | 8.0% | 5.0% | -2.5% | | 沪深 300 | | 2.8% | 14.3% | 21.0% | | 市场数据 | 2025/10/29 | | --- | --- | | 当前价格（元） | 4.86 | | 52 周价格区间（元） | 4.14-5.42 | | 总市值（百万） | 7,5 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The company reported steady performance in Q3 2025, with a potential for a second growth curve to open up [4][5] - The company achieved a revenue of 1.439 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 11%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 230 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15% [4] - In Q3 2025, the company recorded a revenue of 525 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 2% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 11%, with a net profit of 72 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 31% [4] Summary by Sections Recent Performance - In Q3 2025, the company maintained a quarter-on-quarter revenue growth of 11% despite being in the off-season for electric tools [5] - The company's overseas production capacity is gradually being released, with significant revenue growth from its Vietnam factory (139% year-on-year) and the commencement of production in Mexico [5] Market Conditions - The Federal Reserve's decision to restart interest rate cuts is expected to sustain strong demand for electric tool accessories, with market expectations of two additional rate cuts in 2025 [5] - Retail inventory levels at major retailers indicate a continued replenishment cycle for electric tools, supporting high shipment levels for the company [5] Financial Health - The company reported a net operating cash flow of 275 million yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 177%, with cash on hand amounting to 1.774 billion yuan by the end of Q3 [5] - The company is expected to expand into emerging businesses such as battery swapping stations, machine tools, and energy storage batteries, potentially opening a second growth curve [5] Earnings Forecast - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 2.115 billion yuan, 2.378 billion yuan, and 2.645 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with net profits of 345 million yuan, 392 million yuan, and 432 million yuan [7][8] - Corresponding P/E ratios for these years are estimated at 20.07x, 17.65x, and 16.03x, respectively [5][8]