评级：中性(维持) 曹泽运(证券分析师) 李畅(证券分析师) S0350525110001 S0350524010004 caozy@ghzq.com.cn lic05@ghzq.com.cn 证券研究报告 2026年01月30日 医药生物 生物医药深度报告：国产ADC药物即将迎来高光时刻 ——ADC子行业专题研究 最近一年走势 相关报告 《医药生物行业动态研究：中国独立医学实验室行业的先行者（中性）*医药生 物*曹泽运，林羽茜》——2026-01-27 《医药生物行业动态研究：AI药研或引产业革命，JPM大会再推行业新峰（中 性）*医药生物*曹泽运，林羽茜》——2026-01-20 相对沪深300表现 | 表现 | 1M | 3M | 12M | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 医药生物 | 2.0% | -2.7% | 21.1% | | 沪深300 | 2.1% | 1.3% | 24.5% | 请务必阅读报告附注中的风险提示和免责声明 2 -9% 0% 9% 19% 28% 37% 2025/02/05 2025/05/06 2025/08/04 2025/11/02 医药生物 ...

Group 1: ON RRP Liquidity Management - The report introduces the ON RRP (Overnight Reverse Repurchase Agreement) tool, which is a mechanism used by the Federal Reserve to manage liquidity by selling securities to qualified counterparties and agreeing to repurchase them the next day [3] - Since its introduction in 2013, ON RRP has played a crucial role in maintaining the minimum interest rate level in the market during periods of excess liquidity, with its scale growing from hundreds of billions to over $2.5 trillion at its peak in 2022 [4] - The report discusses the potential for a similar tool in China, suggesting that while the need for such a mechanism is not strong due to the current liquidity conditions, it could serve as a supplement to existing interest rate corridor mechanisms [4] Group 2: DingTong Technology - DingTong Technology forecasts a revenue of approximately 1.593 billion yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of about 54.37%, and a net profit of 242 million yuan, up 119.59% [6][8] - The growth is attributed to the rapid increase in demand for high-speed optical modules and the penetration of liquid cooling technologies, indicating a dual increase in both volume and price [6][8] - The company’s product range includes high-speed connectors used in data centers and communication devices, with significant upgrades in transmission speeds from 56G to 112G and 224G [8] Group 3: GuoCi Materials - GuoCi Materials is a leading manufacturer of MLCC (Multi-Layer Ceramic Capacitor) materials, with expected revenue from this segment to reach 624 million yuan in 2024, driven by demand from the automotive, AI, and robotics sectors [12][13] - The catalytic materials segment is poised for growth due to upgraded emission standards, with projected revenue of 787 million yuan in 2024, benefiting from domestic substitution opportunities [14] - The precision ceramics segment is also expanding, with expected revenue of 351 million yuan in 2024, supported by the increasing demand for low-orbit satellite applications [15] Group 4: Core Insights on KeRui International - KeRui International's traditional offline business is performing well, with a significant increase in flexible staffing and high-end talent recruitment, showing a revenue growth of 29.31% in the first half of 2025 [19] - The HeWa platform has seen substantial growth, with operational positions reaching 46,700 and a 73% increase in offer generation year-on-year [20] - The Mira Agent, an AI-driven recruitment tool, has streamlined the talent matching process, reducing the time from two days to a few minutes, enhancing operational efficiency [21]

Group 1 - Investment Rating: Buy (Maintain) [1] - Current Price: 30.12 CNY, Market Capitalization: 30,031.09 million CNY [5] - Recent Performance: The stock has shown a significant increase of 79.2% over the past 12 months compared to the CSI 300 index [7] Group 2 - Core Viewpoint: The report highlights the company's multi-field applications and the continuous growth ceiling, focusing on the demand from sectors like electric vehicles, AI, and robotics for MLCC products [8] - MLCC Demand Growth: The company is a leading manufacturer of MLCC ceramic powders, with expected revenue of 624 million CNY in 2024, driven by increasing demand from new products [9] - Catalytic Materials Opportunity: The upgrade of exhaust emission standards presents a significant opportunity for the company's catalytic materials segment, with projected revenue of 787 million CNY in 2024 [10] - Precision Ceramics Growth: The precision ceramics segment is expected to achieve revenue of 351 million CNY in 2024, with a strong growth rate of 41.68% [11] - New Materials Development: The company is actively developing solid-state electrolytes and other new materials, with expected revenues of 45.53 billion CNY, 57.52 billion CNY, and 70.56 billion CNY from 2025 to 2027 [30][31] Group 3 - Revenue Forecast: The company anticipates revenues of 45.53 billion CNY in 2025, 57.52 billion CNY in 2026, and 70.56 billion CNY in 2027, with corresponding net profits of 7.05 billion CNY, 9.13 billion CNY, and 11.36 billion CNY [30][31] - Market Position: The company is positioned to benefit from the growing demand in the new materials sector, with a focus on technological advancements and product development [30][31] - Strategic Development: The company is enhancing its product offerings and expanding its market share in response to the evolving needs of the electronics and automotive industries [70]

2026 年 01 月 29 日 固定收益点评 研究所： 国海证券研究所 请务必阅读正文后免责条款部分 证券分析师： 颜子琦 S0350525090002 yanzq@ghzq.com.cn 证券分析师： 刘畅 S0350524090005 liuc06@ghzq.com.cn [Table_Title] ON RRP 如何管理流动性？ 固定收益点评 最近一年走势 本篇报告解决了以下核心问题：ON RRP 工具介绍。 相关报告 《债市锐评第 4 期：外汇结汇潮，如何影响国内流 动性？*颜子琦，刘畅》——2026-01-22 《固定收益点评：分红险复兴，如何影响保险配置 偏好？*颜子琦，刘畅》——2025-12-25 《固定收益点评：日债为何陷入高波动困局？*颜 子琦，刘畅》——2025-12-12 《固定收益点评：定制债基知多少*颜子琦，刘畅》 ——2025-12-07 《破局而立，波段致胜——2026 年利率债投资策 略*颜子琦，刘畅，洪子彦》——2025-12-03 ON RRP 是什么？ 美国 ON RRP 指隔夜逆回购协议，是美联储 向广泛的合格对手方出售证券，并约定次日回购的操作。其利率由 美联储设 ...

Group 1: Company Overview - The report highlights the growth potential of the company through AIDC power engines, expansion to external customers, entry into the new energy sector, and a focus on internationalization [3][4] - The company is one of the few domestic manufacturers capable of producing high-power, high-displacement medium-speed internal combustion engines, with dual production capacity from Lingzhong Engine and Shanghai Diesel Engine [3][4] - The completion of the restructuring of SAIC Hongyan has significantly reduced the company's financial burden, leading to a projected turnaround in net profit for 2025 [5][6] Group 2: Financial Performance - The report anticipates a one-time gain of 3.367 to 3.467 billion yuan from the equity disposal due to the restructuring, which is expected to improve the company's financial structure [5] - The forecasted revenue for 2025-2027 is 6.09 billion, 6.77 billion, and 7.69 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of -6%, +11%, and +14% respectively [7] - The projected net profit for the same period is 2.79 billion, 300 million, and 460 million yuan, with significant fluctuations in growth rates [7] Group 3: Strategic Direction - The new leadership has set a strategic goal to double sales and revenue by 2025, focusing on new energy and internationalization as key growth areas [6] - The company aims to diversify its revenue streams by increasing its presence in high-value, technology-intensive segments, including power batteries and electric drive bridges [6] - The strategy includes enhancing the proportion of external supply and optimizing product structure and overall profitability [6] Group 4: Industry Context - The report discusses the broader context of the AIDC power engine industry, noting high barriers to entry and the increasing demand for reliable power sources driven by AIDC construction expansion [4] - The report indicates that the current inflation in the computing power industry is expected to continue, which may improve profit elasticity for related companies [16][18] - The anticipated price adjustments by major cloud service providers reflect the tightening supply-demand dynamics in the AI training and inference markets, which could impact the overall cloud computing landscape [15][18]

2026 年 01 月 28 日 公司研究 评级：增持(首次覆盖) 研究所： 证券分析师： 徐鸣爽 S0350525120002 xums@ghzq.com.cn 证券分析师： 戴畅 S0350523120004 daic@ghzq.com.cn [Table_Title] 上汽红岩出表后轻装上阵，AIDC 电源用发动机 提供盈利弹性 ——动力新科（600841）公司深度研究 最近一年走势 | 相对沪深 300 | 表现 | | 2026/01/28 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 表现 | 1M | 3M | 12M | | 动力新科 | 48.2% | 43.7% | 99.8% | | 沪深 300 | 1.3% | 0.6% | 23.6% | | 市场数据 | | | 2026/01/28 | | 当前价格（元） | | | 9.01 | | 52 周价格区间（元） | | | 4.22-9.48 | | 总市值（百万） | | | 12,504.27 | | 流通市值（百万） | | | 9,397.65 | | 总股本（万股） | | | 138,782.18 | | ...

2026 年 01 月 28 日 策略周报 研究所： 证券分析师： 赵阳 S0350525100003 zhaoy05@ghzq.com.cn [Table_Title] 宏观资金均衡偏松，ETF 继续大幅净流出 ——流动性周报 1 月第 3 期 最近一年走势 投资要点: 相关报告 变迁？*赵阳》——2026-01-16 《流动性周报 1 月第 1 期：资金需求端缓和，两融 余额创历史新高*赵阳》——2026-01-13 《信用重启与双峰共振——2026 年海外年度策略* 袁野，赵阳》——2026-01-12 1. 本周（2026/01/19-2026/01/23，下同）宏观资金面均衡偏松，央行通 过公开市场操作开展 7 天逆回购净投放 2295 亿元。资金价格方面，短端 利率下行、长端利率下行，且长端下行幅度大于短端，期限利差走窄。 2. 股市资金供给端总体结构分化，权益基金发行显著回升，两融余额仍 在高位震荡。融资净流入较多的行业为有色金属、非银金融等，融资净流 出较多的行业有电子、计算机等。股票 ETF 净流出 3331.17 亿元，宽基 ETF 资金主要流入中证 2000、科创 200 等指数，净流出 ...

Investment Insights - The report explores microstructure information contained in Level 2 order data, constructing stock selection factors with certain predictive capabilities based on order hand sizes and investor activity [2][8] - The main order hand size factors exhibit robust stock selection abilities, with small orders (1 hand, 100 shares) indicating strong institutional participation, while small orders (5, 10, 15 hands) from retail investors negatively impact stock prices [2][15] - The combined order buy hand size factor from 2015 to 2025 shows a T1-T6 VWAP RankIC of 0.048, with annualized excess returns of 18.6% for long positions and 30.6% for long-short strategies [2][19] Main Order Hand Size Factors - The report constructs a comprehensive order hand size factor by synthesizing significant hand sizes, including buy and sell orders, both executed and canceled [13][14] - The order buy hand size factor has a RankIC of 0.048 from 2015 to 2025, indicating a strong correlation with stock performance, while the order sell hand size factor has a RankIC of 0.040 [22][24] Investor Type Factors - The report identifies four types of investors based on order hand sizes: institutional investors, retail investors, quantitative traders, and speculative traders, each exhibiting distinct trading behaviors [27][29] - The buy-to-sell ratio for speculative investors shows a negative correlation with future returns, indicating that higher speculative buying may lead to lower future stock performance [29][33] Investor Activity - The report introduces a dynamic monitoring system for investor activity, quantifying the participation intensity of different investor types over time [56] - The analysis of specific stocks, such as Han's Laser and Neway, reveals that institutional and quantitative investor activity significantly influences stock price movements during certain periods [56][58] Speculative Stock Pool - The report constructs a "speculative stock pool" based on abnormal order sizes, aiming to capture stocks in the accumulation phase before price increases [69][72] - The enhanced strategy, incorporating machine learning factors, shows improved performance metrics, with annualized excess returns reaching 14.7% [2][72]

Group 1: Financial Information Services - The market is recovering, and AI empowerment is driving the continuous release of value in financial information services, with significant profit growth expected for Tonghuashun, projecting a net profit of 2.735 to 3.282 billion yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 50% to 80% [3][4] - The increase in profitability is attributed to the company's investment in AI technologies, enhancing product competitiveness and user experience, alongside a rise in demand for financial information services as investor confidence improves [3][4] Group 2: Advertising and Marketing - Focus on the exit from Shuhua, with a significant impairment of 2.153 billion yuan recorded, leading to a net profit reduction of 2.529 billion yuan for 2025, while the company anticipates a net profit increase of 565 million yuan in Q1 2026 [7][10] - The company maintains a high dividend policy, committing to a minimum annual dividend of 80% of net profit, with a projected dividend yield of 4.2% based on current stock prices [11] Group 3: Banking Sector - Hangzhou Bank expects a revenue growth of 1.09% and a net profit growth of 12.05% for 2025, with a significant reduction in overdue loans and an increase in non-interest income [15][17] - The bank's non-performing loan ratio remains stable at 0.76%, with overdue loans significantly reduced, indicating improved asset quality [17][19] - China Merchants Bank anticipates a slight revenue growth of 0.01% and a net profit growth of 1.21% for 2025, with a stable deposit growth rate and a steady non-performing loan ratio [20][22] Group 4: Independent Medical Laboratory Industry - Aidi Kang Holdings is a pioneer in the independent medical laboratory (ICL) industry in China, providing standardized third-party testing services through a nationwide network of 34 self-operated laboratories [24][25] - The company has announced the acquisition of a global CRO focused on oncology and immuno-oncology for 204 million USD, enhancing its service capabilities in core disease areas [24][25] Group 5: Aviation Industry - The aviation industry is expected to see improved supply-demand dynamics, with ticket prices stabilizing after a decline, indicating potential for revenue growth for airlines [27][29] - Domestic travel demand is gradually recovering, with business travel increasing and international travel showing strong growth, suggesting a positive outlook for airline performance [31][32]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Hangzhou Bank (600926) is maintained at "Buy" [1][6]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve a revenue growth of 1.09% year-on-year and a net profit attributable to shareholders growth of 12.05% in 2025. The increase in non-interest income and a significant reduction in overdue loans are highlighted as key factors [6]. - The net interest income for 2025 is projected to be CNY 27.594 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 12.83%, indicating a stable net interest margin [6]. - The proportion of non-interest income has risen to 11%, with net commission income expected to reach CNY 4.207 billion, a growth of 13.10% year-on-year [6]. - The overdue loan ratio is significantly reduced, remaining stable at 0.76% as of the end of 2025, with a notable decrease in the ratio of overdue loans to non-performing loans [6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Revenue for 2025 is projected at CNY 38.798 billion, with a growth rate of 1.09%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be CNY 19.029 billion, with a growth rate of 12.05% [8]. - Earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to be CNY 2.53 for 2025, with a projected P/E ratio of 6.16x [9]. Asset Quality - The non-performing loan ratio is stable at 0.76%, with a significant reduction in overdue loans, which are expected to be only 0.42% of total loans by the end of 2025 [6][8]. - The provision coverage ratio is projected to be 541.45% for 2024, indicating strong asset quality management [8]. Growth Projections - Revenue growth is forecasted to accelerate to 12.70% in 2026 and 10.40% in 2027, while net profit growth is expected to be 14.45% in 2026 and 10.88% in 2027 [8][9]. - The bank's total assets are projected to grow steadily, with a significant increase in retail customer assets and wealth management products [6].